8=======>

2022-08-28 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1166
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.04%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.4%
in alpha space · 72.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.44%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum78.5778.3185-0.32%76.6-2.51%0.0148✗1.506.5M2022-09-27
XVSVenusEthereum4.824.7469-1.52%4.71-2.28%0.0133✓0.861.6M2022-09-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.3852.5187-1.61%52.67-1.33%0.0272✗0.9812.8M2022-09-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6450.634543-1.62%0.558-13.49%0.0984✓1.224.8M2022-09-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.313630.307551-1.94%0.43112+37.46%0.3599✗0.90378k2022-09-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068970.067587-2.01%0.06055-12.21%0.0807✓1.1927k2022-09-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130020.012727-2.12%0.011651-10.39%0.0726✓0.641.3M2022-09-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4890.477977-2.25%0.355-27.40%0.2665✓1.252,6092022-09-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash112.59110.0337-2.27%114.29+1.51%0.0662✗1.144.7M2022-09-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.32610.318664-2.28%0.318-2.48%0.0291✗1.26176k2022-09-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.524370.512301-2.30%0.46109-12.07%0.0733✓1.3041k2022-09-27
GTGateEthereum4.32284.2194-2.39%4.2532-1.61%0.0270✗0.77775k2022-09-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.08540.083348-2.40%0.104+21.78%0.2449✗0.96409k2022-09-27
TRXTRONTron0.0613920.059867-2.48%0.059413-3.22%0.0072✓0.60142k2022-09-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02420.02357-2.61%0.02148-11.24%0.0613✓1.283,4352022-09-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20240.196953-2.69%0.1944-3.95%0.0121✓1.0261k2022-09-27
SOLSolanaSolana30.4529.6258-2.71%32.68+7.32%0.1273✗1.1867.0M2022-09-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.00430.97699-2.72%1.0698+6.52%0.1214✗1.24973k2022-09-27
XVGVergenative0.002890.002811-2.73%0.00325+12.46%0.1702✗1.02508k2022-09-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,554.0319,008.20-2.79%19,077.57-2.44%0.0283✗1.00474.0M2022-09-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21340.207329-2.84%0.1721-19.35%0.1541✓1.30133k2022-09-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05540.053824-2.85%0.0523-5.60%0.0059✓0.9399k2022-09-27
XTZTezosTezos1.4261.3843-2.92%1.4449+1.33%0.0703✗1.11319k2022-09-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,646.4019,069.96-2.93%19,015.60-3.21%0.0204✓0.9411k2022-09-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03450.033483-2.95%0.0336-2.61%0.0265✓0.9386k2022-09-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.13810.133973-2.99%0.1365-1.16%0.0444✗1.041,7802022-09-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.00341.9434-2.99%1.7779-11.26%0.0594✓1.2013k2022-09-27
UNIUniswapEthereum5.7395.5628-3.07%6.366+10.93%0.1670✗1.3010.0M2022-09-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,426.631,382.68-3.08%1,327.92-6.92%0.0071✓1.35597.1M2022-09-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.332.2581-3.08%2.85+22.32%0.2455✗0.5293k2022-09-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055190.005346-3.13%0.004977-9.82%0.0549✓0.672,5882022-09-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.43490.421086-3.18%0.4494+3.33%0.0927✗1.12364k2022-09-27
COMPCompoundEthereum43.8542.4555-3.18%62.04+41.48%0.4097✗1.2312k2022-09-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.5317.9407-3.18%17.29-6.69%0.0044✓1.3222.5M2022-09-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07920.076681-3.18%0.0807+1.89%0.0747✗0.9614k2022-09-27
DIADIAEthereum0.363040.351492-3.18%0.3775+3.98%0.0952✗0.9745k2022-09-27
DODODODOEthereum0.11820.114435-3.19%0.1241+4.99%0.1047✗0.961.8M2022-09-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.748320.724385-3.20%0.69457-7.18%0.0200✓0.89509k2022-09-27
GMTGMTEthereum0.64630.625548-3.21%0.6935+7.30%0.1380✗1.41242k2022-09-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93340.90327-3.23%0.903-3.26%0.0128✓0.533.6M2022-09-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27310.264132-3.28%0.3066+12.27%0.1728✗0.963.2M2022-09-27
KCSKuCoinnative8.8168.5248-3.30%9.026+2.38%0.0809✗0.961.5M2022-09-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9441.8796-3.31%1.693-12.91%0.0763✓1.1547k2022-09-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.03451-3.33%0.0413+15.69%0.1992✗0.7911k2022-09-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3431-3.37%1.43+2.88%0.0608✗-0.07105k2022-09-27
KSMKusamaHydration45.443.864-3.38%42.54-6.30%0.0066✓0.98560k2022-09-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.79350.0336-3.40%49.802-3.84%0.0136✓0.74328k2022-09-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09960.096207-3.41%0.0887-10.94%0.0632✓0.733,2112022-09-27
BTTCBTTC8.50e-78.21e-7-3.41%7.70e-7-9.41%0.0449✓0.782.3M2022-09-27
ADACardanoCardano0.42910.414432-3.42%0.4412+2.82%0.0869✗0.9939.2M2022-09-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.93320.901024-3.45%0.8448-9.47%0.0344✓1.22972k2022-09-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.23620.228044-3.45%0.2646+12.02%0.1721✗0.9579k2022-09-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022140.021375-3.46%0.01892-14.54%0.1021✓0.81419k2022-09-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11840.114304-3.46%0.1299+9.71%0.1531✗1.0230k2022-09-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.26380.254669-3.46%0.1576-40.26%0.4570✓0.9394k2022-09-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067120.064786-3.48%0.06124-8.76%0.0361✓0.829142022-09-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10130.097727-3.53%0.0992-2.07%0.0365✗0.87200k2022-09-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.05820.056142-3.54%0.0467-19.76%0.1556✓1.16252k2022-09-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.36730.354093-3.60%0.3504-4.60%0.0172✓1.1289k2022-09-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014780.014245-3.62%0.0108-26.93%0.2599✓0.69165k2022-09-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9160.882622-3.64%0.919+0.33%0.0710✗1.241.4M2022-09-27
FTTFTXEthereum25.3524.4234-3.66%23.63-6.79%0.0093✓0.967.3M2022-09-27
STEEMSteemnative0.21830.210304-3.66%0.2234+2.34%0.0827✗0.90528k2022-09-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.519.1589-3.69%8.89-6.52%0.0001✓1.20386k2022-09-27
CBKCobakEthereum0.846260.81472-3.73%0.78247-7.54%0.0161✓0.9814k2022-09-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0203860.019609-3.81%0.019414-4.77%0.0101✓0.8213k2022-09-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2912770.280133-3.83%0.266297-8.58%0.0240✓1.08593k2022-09-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.15920.153088-3.84%0.1477-7.22%0.0017✓1.382,2552022-09-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0443960.042691-3.84%0.036288-18.26%0.1496✓0.5228k2022-09-27
XMRMoneroMonero146.4140.7692-3.85%144.38-1.38%0.0495✗0.981.2M2022-09-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.361.3076-3.85%1.34-1.47%0.0533✗1.17128k2022-09-27
ZECZcashZcash61.1758.7799-3.91%57.07-6.70%0.0016✓1.131.9M2022-09-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8281.7564-3.92%1.576-13.79%0.0670✓1.6890k2022-09-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.71521.6475-3.95%1.7097-0.32%0.0638✗1.0931k2022-09-27
ZENHorizenBase14.814.2153-3.95%14.09-4.80%0.0180✓1.09119k2022-09-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.250667-3.96%0.1169-55.21%0.7626✓0.0191k2022-09-27
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19030.182629-4.03%0.1568-17.60%0.1278✓1.00146k2022-09-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1291.0834-4.04%1.049-7.09%0.0080✓0.981.9M2022-09-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99340.953084-4.06%0.9137-8.02%0.0051✓1.514.6M2022-09-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.25e-7-4.06%7.90e-7-8.14%0.0234✓0.8116k2022-09-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.2515.9947-4.10%8.054+28.84%0.3214✗1.0619.0M2022-09-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008131-4.11%0.00679-19.93%0.1614✓0.766.2M2022-09-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.1754.9619-4.12%4.1377-20.04%0.1784✓0.13119k2022-09-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.61.5337-4.15%1.591-0.56%0.0598✗0.94623k2022-09-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2756.0137-4.16%6.109-2.65%0.0378✓0.895.2M2022-09-27
NANOnanopayBase0.8625010.826523-4.17%0.760511-11.82%0.0633✓0.8177k2022-09-27
DASHDashDash44.1442.2939-4.18%41.55-5.87%0.0061✓0.97466k2022-09-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06190.059296-4.21%0.0526-15.02%0.0974✓0.91107k2022-09-27
MOVRMoonriverBase12.06211.5543-4.21%10.547-12.56%0.0674✓0.9735k2022-09-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.344.1572-4.21%4.55+4.84%0.1025✗0.491.3M2022-09-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04190.040115-4.26%0.0413-1.43%0.0530✗0.97175k2022-09-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04550.043561-4.26%0.0385-15.38%0.0992✓0.98843k2022-09-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1027360.098328-4.29%0.110129+7.20%0.1339✗0.837.1M2022-09-27
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015870.001519-4.30%0.001575-0.76%0.0600✗0.96538k2022-09-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.8095.5591-4.30%5.627-3.13%0.0225✓0.425.3M2022-09-27
PROPropyEthereum0.730.698533-4.31%0.64-12.33%0.0793✓0.3384k2022-09-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12020.114992-4.33%0.1135-5.57%0.0004✓0.553.8M2022-09-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021620.020682-4.34%0.02234+3.33%0.0984✗0.8612.4M2022-09-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037320.03568-4.39%0.03407-8.71%0.0263✓0.812,7072022-09-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum1.951.8642-4.40%1.77-9.23%0.0218✓1.22255k2022-09-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.006420.006137-4.40%0.00484-24.61%0.2219✓0.631.1M2022-09-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4880.466521-4.40%0.461-5.53%0.0163✓1.1486k2022-09-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.159770.152693-4.43%0.16684+4.43%0.1397✗2.076362022-09-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.55910.0912-4.43%13.486+27.72%0.3178✗1.1310.4M2022-09-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0963.9139-4.45%3.918-4.35%0.0049✓0.162.3M2022-09-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28230.269727-4.45%0.3524+24.83%0.2896✗0.907.1M2022-09-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.13960.133296-4.52%0.1281-8.24%0.0148✓1.01149k2022-09-27
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6494.439-4.52%5.412+16.41%0.2313✗1.348.9M2022-09-27
RADRadworksEthereum2.081.9856-4.54%1.99-4.33%0.0217✓0.79384k2022-09-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.320.305473-4.54%0.292-8.75%0.0164✓1.16146k2022-09-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.262492-4.55%0.248-9.82%0.0388✓0.73710k2022-09-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13370.127496-4.64%0.1392+4.11%0.1129✗1.02553k2022-09-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09920.094551-4.69%0.0991-0.10%0.0738✗1.093.6M2022-09-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035520.03384-4.73%0.03021-14.95%0.0886✓1.0131k2022-09-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067080.006391-4.73%0.00614-8.47%0.0295✓0.4358k2022-09-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.7331.6509-4.74%1.419-18.12%0.1281✓0.94137k2022-09-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.392448-4.75%0.391-5.10%0.0213✓1.018,1172022-09-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.6072.4831-4.75%2.357-9.59%0.0309✓0.86734k2022-09-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061750.058812-4.76%0.060554-1.94%0.0551✗1.051.7M2022-09-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.03840.98891-4.77%0.976767-5.94%0.0085✓0.8550k2022-09-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131720.12542-4.78%0.12298-6.64%0.0107✓1.23210k2022-09-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011770.000011191-4.92%0.00001112-5.52%0.0170✓0.95886k2022-09-27
XEMNEMnative0.0429950.040873-4.93%0.040084-6.77%0.0014✓0.8529k2022-09-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.328060.311831-4.95%0.29745-9.33%0.0230✓0.9850k2022-09-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6310.599744-4.95%0.608-3.65%0.0367✓0.93235k2022-09-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1640.155836-4.98%0.14453-11.87%0.0490✓1.07399k2022-09-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.3310.7651-4.99%15.33+35.30%0.3796✗1.061.9M2022-09-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.340.323016-5.00%0.294-13.53%0.0676✓1.07170k2022-09-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044180.041967-5.01%0.0402-9.01%0.0271✓0.6416k2022-09-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66561.5818-5.03%1.1492-31.00%0.2951✓0.991.2M2022-09-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9662.8151-5.09%2.263-23.70%0.1816✓1.493.8M2022-09-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0229630.02179-5.11%0.024971+8.74%0.1389✗0.11262k2022-09-27
HIVEHivenative0.52820.500882-5.17%0.4891-7.40%0.0023✓0.871.3M2022-09-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029870.002829-5.29%0.002037-31.80%0.3060✓0.911.1M2022-09-27
QNTQuantEthereum92.3187.4119-5.31%133.5+44.62%0.4441✗0.843.3M2022-09-27
SCSiacoinnative0.003930.00372-5.35%0.00349-11.20%0.0393✓0.99158k2022-09-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8616.4931-5.36%6.368-7.19%0.0063✓1.0413.1M2022-09-27
STXStacksnative0.35290.333954-5.37%0.3301-6.46%0.0172✓1.17410k2022-09-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013460.00127-5.63%0.001031-23.39%0.1888✓0.802.1M2022-09-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.164.8651-5.71%5.2+0.78%0.0774✗0.442.5M2022-09-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5250.494921-5.73%0.461-12.19%0.0448✓1.0678k2022-09-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.292940.276117-5.74%0.23778-18.83%0.1237✓1.0412k2022-09-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.363890.342865-5.78%0.35615-2.13%0.0612✗0.94321k2022-09-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9983.7662-5.80%3.933-1.63%0.0528✓0.392.0M2022-09-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78420.738683-5.80%0.8472+8.03%0.1736✗1.48161k2022-09-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06040.056867-5.85%0.0569-5.79%0.0315✓1.26908k2022-09-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015030.001413-5.99%0.001442-4.06%0.0376✓0.709,7092022-09-27
BANDBandEthereum1.1921.1206-5.99%1.209+1.43%0.1054✗1.20491k2022-09-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.6778-6.00%6.63+9.77%0.1659✗0.441.9M2022-09-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1612.3644-6.05%12.37-6.00%0.0283✓1.131.0M2022-09-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77440.726636-6.17%0.744-3.93%0.0494✓1.041.9M2022-09-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.5046-6.22%6.11+4.09%0.1152✗0.442.1M2022-09-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.2011.126-6.24%1.1857-1.27%0.0739✗0.901.5M2022-09-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.26.747-6.29%6.45-10.42%0.0175✓1.12534k2022-09-27
QTUMQtumQtum2.98252.7914-6.41%2.8649-3.94%0.0509✓1.0126k2022-09-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49960.467291-6.47%0.4143-17.07%0.0999✓0.83625k2022-09-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.00012510.000117009-6.47%0.00027842+122.56%0.8860✗0.77352k2022-09-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.231.1502-6.49%1.16-5.69%0.0319✓0.95154k2022-09-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.9328.9048-6.55%28.13-9.05%0.0096✓1.4914.6M2022-09-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.04930.046061-6.57%0.0403-18.26%0.1091✓1.00249k2022-09-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09810.091638-6.59%0.0835-14.88%0.0742✓0.76247k2022-09-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30440.28407-6.68%0.2725-10.48%0.0149✓1.08112k2022-09-27
FLOWFlownative1.6921.5749-6.92%1.656-2.13%0.0833✗1.341.2M2022-09-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.097.5211-7.03%8.66+7.05%0.1528✗0.482.1M2022-09-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086380.08019-7.17%0.072-16.65%0.1063✓0.06598k2022-09-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6450.597255-7.40%0.59-8.53%0.0091✓0.86242k2022-09-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.65553.3812-7.50%3.9539+8.16%0.1711✗0.593.7M2022-09-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6715.4098-7.56%14.91-10.56%0.0152✓0.72952k2022-09-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008250.00762-7.64%0.00694-15.88%0.0657✓1.12477k2022-09-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.55375.1276-7.67%6.0413+8.78%0.1689✗0.205.2M2022-09-27
METISMetisEthereum29.2626.9446-7.91%23.74-18.87%0.0802✓1.88304k2022-09-27
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.38864.0384-7.98%5.3063+20.91%0.2977✗1.00147k2022-09-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6395.1888-7.98%5.733+1.67%0.1209✗0.8610.1M2022-09-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.234.2275-7.99%15.57-58.15%0.7702✓0.711.6M2022-09-27
OPTIMOptimism1.0540.969431-8.02%0.92-12.71%0.0096✓1.733.3M2022-09-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5111.3897-8.03%1.336-11.58%0.0099✓1.2088k2022-09-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,473.377,774.83-8.24%8,301.22-2.03%0.0991✗1.366.5M2022-09-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.21020.19256-8.39%0.2491+18.51%0.2778✗0.822.9M2022-09-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062290.056949-8.57%0.06045-2.95%0.0870✓1.112.2M2022-09-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1063.7471-8.74%3.782-7.89%0.0339✓1.00245k2022-09-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8763.5334-8.84%3.006-22.45%0.1469✓0.60650k2022-09-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.765598-8.86%0.866+3.10%0.1332✗0.404.2M2022-09-27
XECeCashnative0.000046760.000042575-8.95%0.00004062-13.13%0.0259✓0.861.7M2022-09-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.43524.8964-9.91%7.27+33.76%0.4012✗0.244.6M2022-09-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.78e-76.87e-7-11.73%5.76e-7-25.97%0.1551✓0.85542k2022-09-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38210.8849-12.09%19.147+54.64%0.5771✗0.506.1M2022-09-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.