8=======>

2022-08-27 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1097
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.59%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
64.5%
in alpha space · 78.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.04%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum82.1181.3862-0.88%76.28-7.10%0.0008✓1.556.7M2022-09-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0352.085-1.78%53.45+0.79%0.0668✗0.9913.0M2022-09-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6590.647119-1.80%0.56-15.02%0.0955✓1.195.0M2022-09-26
XVSVenusEthereum4.874.7799-1.85%4.8-1.44%0.0394✗0.851.6M2022-09-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06750.06622-1.90%0.06071-10.06%0.0375✓1.2028k2022-09-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.329760.321743-2.43%0.48074+45.78%0.4425✗0.99391k2022-09-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5090.496499-2.46%0.375-26.33%0.2298✓1.242,6092022-09-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131780.012854-2.46%0.011701-11.21%0.0674✓0.651.4M2022-09-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.541550.527994-2.50%0.45938-15.17%0.0863✓1.2843k2022-09-26
GTGateEthereum4.3764.2632-2.58%4.2373-3.17%0.0255✓0.77798k2022-09-26
TRXTRONTron0.0629350.06128-2.63%0.059595-5.31%0.0034✓0.59151k2022-09-26
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024690.024026-2.69%0.02222-10.00%0.0254✓1.283,4352022-09-26
XVGVergenative0.002920.002841-2.69%0.00324+10.96%0.1739✗1.03520k2022-09-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.26112.0772-2.76%116.33+0.93%0.0839✗1.134.8M2022-09-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05690.055209-2.97%0.0528-7.21%0.0076✓0.9099k2022-09-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.09080.08808-3.00%0.1023+12.67%0.1887✗0.95414k2022-09-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20670.2005-3.00%0.1967-4.84%0.0228✓1.0261k2022-09-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,036.6919,422.26-3.07%19,228.00-4.04%0.0311✗1.00474.0M2022-09-26
XTZTezosTezos1.46761.4222-3.10%1.475+0.50%0.0820✗1.11336k2022-09-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22010.213278-3.10%0.1738-21.04%0.1496✓1.34133k2022-09-26
SOLSolanaSolana31.5430.562-3.10%33.89+7.45%0.1510✗1.1668.8M2022-09-26
DIADIAEthereum0.367740.356249-3.12%0.38522+4.75%0.1178✗0.9651k2022-09-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056180.005439-3.19%0.004988-11.22%0.0590✓0.672,5882022-09-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,933.0019,295.60-3.20%19,140.50-3.98%0.0309✓0.9511k2022-09-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34920.337915-3.23%0.3272-6.30%0.0187✓1.24191k2022-09-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03480.033661-3.27%0.0337-3.16%0.0385✗0.9186k2022-09-26
ETHEthereumEthereum1,491.221,442.41-3.27%1,336.61-10.37%0.0207✓1.35597.1M2022-09-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9630.930949-3.33%0.9069-5.83%0.0031✓0.563.6M2022-09-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3619-3.41%1.43+1.42%0.0473✗-0.04115k2022-09-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.147199-3.41%0.1414-7.22%0.0046✓1.091,7802022-09-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27960.269865-3.48%0.3116+11.44%0.1831✗0.953.3M2022-09-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.37450.5448-3.49%51.331-1.99%0.0458✗0.74332k2022-09-26
KCSKuCoinnative9.1348.815-3.49%9.117-0.19%0.0725✗0.941.6M2022-09-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45670.440739-3.49%0.4441-2.76%0.0537✗1.12386k2022-09-26
C98Coin98Ethereum0.3760.362816-3.51%0.3614-3.88%0.0424✗1.1289k2022-09-26
GMTGMTEthereum0.68530.661162-3.52%0.6407-6.51%0.0277✓1.44257k2022-09-26
KSMKusamaHydration45.8444.2226-3.53%42.14-8.07%0.0076✓0.99572k2022-09-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06121.0234-3.56%1.0612+0.00%0.0879✗1.25981k2022-09-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08450.08148-3.57%0.0821-2.84%0.0465✗0.9414k2022-09-26
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.472.3809-3.61%2.84+14.98%0.1974✗0.5189k2022-09-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11860.114316-3.61%0.1264+6.58%0.1426✗1.0232k2022-09-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022610.02179-3.63%0.01857-17.87%0.1287✓0.76444k2022-09-26
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778420.75017-3.63%0.70255-9.75%0.0278✓0.92512k2022-09-26
DODODODOEthereum0.12460.120064-3.64%0.1242-0.32%0.0723✗0.931.9M2022-09-26
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068190.065695-3.66%0.06223-8.74%0.0205✓0.829142022-09-26
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9360.901728-3.66%0.919-1.82%0.0692✗1.221.4M2022-09-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10150.097766-3.68%0.099-2.46%0.0484✗0.87212k2022-09-26
COMPCompoundEthereum46.0944.3927-3.68%62.82+36.30%0.3983✗1.2412k2022-09-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03660.03525-3.69%0.042+14.75%0.2099✗0.8411k2022-09-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.24240.233456-3.69%0.2696+11.22%0.1834✗0.9681k2022-09-26
FORTFortaEthereum0.2680.25806-3.71%0.1587-40.78%0.4477✓0.94100k2022-09-26
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.96610.930112-3.73%0.8592-11.07%0.0292✓1.22999k2022-09-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.08592.0081-3.73%1.7631-15.48%0.0798✓1.2213k2022-09-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206730.019901-3.73%0.019438-5.97%0.0106✓0.8313k2022-09-26
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.37e-7-3.74%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0254✓0.802.4M2022-09-26
ADACardanoCardano0.450.432829-3.82%0.4471-0.64%0.0752✗1.0440.7M2022-09-26
STEEMSteemnative0.22110.212509-3.89%0.2204-0.32%0.0739✗0.91504k2022-09-26
ZENHorizenBase15.214.6088-3.89%14.07-7.43%0.0082✓1.11125k2022-09-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015180.014587-3.91%0.01097-27.73%0.2573✓0.67165k2022-09-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10350.099429-3.93%0.0897-13.33%0.0737✓0.713,4822022-09-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0281.9481-3.94%1.702-16.07%0.0879✓1.1549k2022-09-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.058018-3.94%0.0467-22.68%0.1699✓1.14252k2022-09-26
XMRMoneroMonero145.16139.3888-3.98%145.75+0.41%0.0857✗1.001.2M2022-09-26
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0565.8151-3.98%5.924-2.18%0.0727✗1.3210.1M2022-09-26
ZECZcashZcash61.3658.9043-4.00%58.95-3.93%0.0471✗1.131.9M2022-09-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.5978-4.02%9.07-9.30%0.0077✓1.18439k2022-09-26
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.25064-4.04%0.1168-55.28%0.7632✓0.0191k2022-09-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.0419.2296-4.04%17.57-12.33%0.0373✓1.2923.0M2022-09-26
FTTFTXEthereum25.824.7533-4.06%24.21-6.16%0.0173✓0.967.4M2022-09-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.16484.9531-4.10%4.0724-21.15%0.1901✓0.14138k2022-09-26
XYMSymbolnative0.04540.043529-4.12%0.036747-19.06%0.1479✓0.5230k2022-09-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2968890.284634-4.13%0.26843-9.59%0.0137✓1.09620k2022-09-26
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.43e-7-4.17%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0318✓0.8117k2022-09-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1461.0978-4.20%1.073-6.37%0.0178✓0.992.1M2022-09-26
NANOnanopayBase0.8828390.845696-4.21%0.767713-13.04%0.0635✓0.8184k2022-09-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00870.008334-4.21%0.00685-21.26%0.1645✓0.776.4M2022-09-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4041.3446-4.23%1.342-4.42%0.0465✗1.18130k2022-09-26
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19570.187395-4.24%0.1605-17.99%0.1137✓1.00149k2022-09-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7845.5358-4.29%5.677-1.85%0.0413✓0.395.3M2022-09-26
CBKCobakEthereum0.864060.826941-4.30%0.78146-9.56%0.0162✓0.9814k2022-09-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.8756-4.31%1.585-19.13%0.0975✓1.7294k2022-09-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038280.036625-4.32%0.03398-11.23%0.0412✓0.822,8422022-09-26
DASHDashDash45.1343.1469-4.39%41.71-7.58%0.0064✓0.98486k2022-09-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3036.0195-4.50%6.234-1.09%0.0735✗0.935.2M2022-09-26
MOVRMoonriverBase12.539111.9736-4.51%10.8942-13.12%0.0549✓0.9635k2022-09-26
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16930.161642-4.52%0.1515-10.51%0.0080✓1.382,1742022-09-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1055940.100787-4.55%0.113735+7.71%0.1559✗0.857.4M2022-09-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.14190.135432-4.56%0.1286-9.37%0.0101✓1.01166k2022-09-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78791.7062-4.57%1.7071-4.52%0.0448✓1.0733k2022-09-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5316.232-4.58%7.943+21.62%0.2866✗1.0719.3M2022-09-26
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157620.150382-4.59%0.17014+7.94%0.2092✗2.086362022-09-26
ELAElastosEthereum1.7581.677-4.61%1.39-20.93%0.1488✓0.94143k2022-09-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28890.275501-4.64%0.3688+27.66%0.3297✗0.927.4M2022-09-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04360.041562-4.67%0.0418-4.13%0.0461✓0.98175k2022-09-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06390.060908-4.68%0.0524-18.00%0.1136✓0.90111k2022-09-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04740.045179-4.69%0.0388-18.14%0.1122✓0.97843k2022-09-26
XECeCashnative0.000036880.000035151-4.69%0.00004071+10.39%0.1837✗0.901.7M2022-09-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.691.6106-4.70%1.608-4.85%0.0373✓0.94704k2022-09-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12360.117774-4.71%0.1132-8.41%0.0161✓0.573.9M2022-09-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.280.266788-4.72%0.25-10.71%0.0352✓0.72772k2022-09-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.594.3728-4.73%4.37-4.79%0.0188✓0.471.3M2022-09-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.00660.006286-4.76%0.0049-25.76%0.2225✓0.651.1M2022-09-26
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016060.001529-4.78%0.00153-4.73%0.0407✓0.98538k2022-09-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.04790.997768-4.78%0.9298-11.27%0.0090✓1.494.7M2022-09-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.510.485479-4.81%0.467-8.43%0.0083✓1.1488k2022-09-26
RADRadworksEthereum2.142.0368-4.82%1.99-7.01%0.0093✓0.79407k2022-09-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17310.6334-4.83%13.903+24.43%0.3144✗1.1210.4M2022-09-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.04880.997946-4.85%1.0038-4.29%0.0410✓0.8551k2022-09-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045180.042985-4.86%0.0407-9.92%0.0262✓0.6916k2022-09-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.234.024-4.87%3.87-8.51%0.0334✓0.142.3M2022-09-26
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7574.5246-4.89%5.514+15.91%0.2542✗1.379.3M2022-09-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006740.00641-4.89%0.006497-3.61%0.0314✓0.4458k2022-09-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.391832-4.90%0.394-4.37%0.0463✓0.998,1172022-09-26
PROPropyEthereum0.750.713251-4.90%0.62-17.33%0.1261✓0.3486k2022-09-26
UMAUMAEthereum2.6712.54-4.90%2.376-11.04%0.0314✓0.86749k2022-09-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13220.125695-4.92%0.12443-5.88%0.0397✓1.21210k2022-09-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0634220.060269-4.97%0.061133-3.61%0.0571✗1.041.7M2022-09-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336220.31946-4.98%0.29942-10.95%0.0244✓0.9852k2022-09-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14040.133395-4.99%0.1394-0.71%0.0840✗0.97624k2022-09-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10330.098084-5.05%0.1025-0.77%0.0891✗1.093.7M2022-09-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035990.034142-5.14%0.03052-15.20%0.0708✓1.0031k2022-09-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6822.5442-5.14%3.028+12.90%0.2014✗0.66650k2022-09-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1710.162051-5.23%0.14586-14.70%0.0608✓1.08434k2022-09-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.617872-5.23%0.625-4.14%0.0503✓0.94266k2022-09-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023030.021819-5.26%0.02306+0.13%0.0905✗0.8613.0M2022-09-26
XEMNEMnative0.0447080.042355-5.26%0.040163-10.17%0.0180✓0.8530k2022-09-26
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003684-5.29%0.00352-9.51%0.0045✓1.00152k2022-09-26
HIVEHivenative0.53350.504968-5.35%0.4933-7.54%0.0132✓0.891.6M2022-09-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.340040.321792-5.37%0.36544+7.47%0.1660✗0.94321k2022-09-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.111.9964-5.38%1.78-15.64%0.0641✓1.23281k2022-09-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8912.7335-5.45%2.327-19.51%0.0959✓1.583.8M2022-09-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012160.000011497-5.46%0.00001112-8.55%0.0053✓0.94895k2022-09-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0232380.021965-5.48%0.025324+8.98%0.1474✗0.12258k2022-09-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030410.002874-5.48%0.002048-32.65%0.3024✓0.891.1M2022-09-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.282280.266789-5.49%0.24056-14.78%0.0603✓1.0512k2022-09-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35690.337037-5.57%0.2991-16.20%0.0737✓1.11175k2022-09-26
STXStacksnative0.36380.343384-5.61%0.327-10.12%0.0007✓1.17432k2022-09-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.911.2316-5.62%14.86+24.87%0.3266✗1.131.9M2022-09-26
QNTQuantEthereum94.3889.0454-5.65%120.63+27.81%0.3389✗0.863.4M2022-09-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78241.68-5.74%1.169-34.41%0.3196✓1.051.2M2022-09-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014540.00137-5.81%0.001452-0.14%0.0880✗0.729,7092022-09-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0446.6318-5.85%6.559-6.89%0.0312✓1.0213.7M2022-09-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06080.057217-5.89%0.0562-7.57%0.0325✓1.23984k2022-09-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.294.9746-5.96%5.18-2.08%0.0578✓0.422.6M2022-09-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001370.001288-5.98%0.001052-23.20%0.1695✓0.802.1M2022-09-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.790.7427-5.99%0.8476+7.29%0.1912✗1.43161k2022-09-26
BANDBandEthereum1.2211.1474-6.03%1.212-0.74%0.1057✗1.24518k2022-09-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2123.9498-6.22%3.902-7.36%0.0031✓0.372.0M2022-09-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.550.515626-6.25%0.468-14.91%0.0519✓1.0984k2022-09-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.185.7917-6.28%6.72+8.74%0.1661✗0.421.9M2022-09-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.336.8579-6.44%6.46-11.87%0.0140✓1.11592k2022-09-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.78960.738638-6.45%0.7403-6.24%0.0466✓1.082.0M2022-09-26
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.35320.330247-6.50%0.2916-17.44%0.0778✓1.13152k2022-09-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2053-6.57%1.16-10.08%0.0011✓0.96170k2022-09-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007570.007073-6.57%0.00697-7.93%0.0317✓1.13477k2022-09-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.812.8811-6.66%12.5-9.42%0.0208✓1.231.1M2022-09-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.225.8046-6.68%5.99-3.70%0.0490✓0.432.5M2022-09-26
QTUMQtumQtum3.12692.9159-6.75%2.8439-9.05%0.0166✓1.0127k2022-09-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10160.094666-6.82%0.0831-18.21%0.0990✓0.76247k2022-09-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative3330.721-6.91%28.46-13.76%0.0171✓1.4415.4M2022-09-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.05090.047332-7.01%0.0407-20.04%0.1102✓0.99252k2022-09-26
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085470.079153-7.39%0.07321-14.34%0.0754✓0.07613k2022-09-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.73533.4581-7.42%3.8697+3.60%0.1367✗0.593.7M2022-09-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013390.00012396-7.42%0.0003091+130.84%0.9485✗0.85340k2022-09-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31440.291053-7.43%0.2826-10.11%0.0183✓1.16112k2022-09-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.37281.2699-7.49%1.2-12.59%0.0182✓0.931.6M2022-09-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.2594.8603-7.58%5.8779+11.77%0.1989✗0.215.2M2022-09-26
FLOWFlownative1.8231.6842-7.61%1.662-8.83%0.0416✓1.331.2M2022-09-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.47.7558-7.67%8.5+1.19%0.1105✗0.462.1M2022-09-26
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.610893-7.86%0.591-10.86%0.0034✓0.89248k2022-09-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.5416.1439-7.96%14.93-14.88%0.0490✓0.71965k2022-09-26
OPTIMOptimism1.0250.941978-8.10%0.923-9.95%0.0514✓1.743.4M2022-09-26
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.26553.9173-8.16%5.3321+25.01%0.3496✗1.00158k2022-09-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57530.528298-8.17%0.4284-25.53%0.1759✓0.82625k2022-09-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8295.3502-8.21%5.694-2.32%0.0979✗0.8610.1M2022-09-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.1735.0327-8.22%15.47-59.47%0.7822✓0.851.7M2022-09-26
METISMetisEthereum30.0527.5108-8.45%24.4-18.80%0.0423✓1.89327k2022-09-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.220.200777-8.74%0.258+17.27%0.2844✗0.823.1M2022-09-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1343.7696-8.81%3.71-10.26%0.0243✓0.98245k2022-09-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,782.658,007.32-8.83%8,333.34-5.12%0.0962✗1.376.8M2022-09-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064280.058549-8.92%0.06182-3.83%0.1003✗1.122.4M2022-09-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.08014.6201-9.05%7.0111+38.01%0.4275✗0.254.6M2022-09-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.631.4822-9.06%1.347-17.36%0.0461✓1.2093k2022-09-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.759117-9.63%0.87+3.57%0.1532✗0.414.2M2022-09-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.59e-76.70e-7-11.77%5.80e-7-23.56%0.1094✓0.82198k2022-09-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.22711.499-13.06%17.596+33.03%0.4453✗0.486.1M2022-09-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.