8=======>

2022-08-26 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0495
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.35%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.0%
in alpha space · 78.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.08%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.57e-76.67e-7-11.89%4.79e-7-36.69%0.2706✓0.82192k2022-09-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.74410.3718-11.68%18.429+56.92%0.6100✗0.484.8M2022-09-25
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.838801-9.61%0.862-7.11%0.0574✓0.414.2M2022-09-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,981.548,162.12-9.12%8,084.45-9.99%0.0901✓1.367.3M2022-09-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6321.484-9.07%1.21-25.86%0.1155✓1.2196k2022-09-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2253.8424-9.06%3.81-9.82%0.0636✓0.98269k2022-09-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.78814.3677-8.78%7.7616+62.10%0.5934✗0.254.2M2022-09-25
METISMetisEthereum31.128.3785-8.75%23.75-23.63%0.0399✓1.88348k2022-09-25
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063210.057717-8.69%0.06083-3.77%0.1348✗1.122.4M2022-09-25
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30273.9337-8.58%5.704+32.57%0.4450✗1.00169k2022-09-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.20770.190205-8.42%0.2555+23.01%0.3551✗0.822.8M2022-09-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3934.2891-8.29%15.23-59.27%0.7481✓0.871.8M2022-09-25
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.39830.365449-8.25%0.2949-25.96%0.1329✓1.11152k2022-09-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33230.305364-8.11%0.2916-12.25%0.0388✓1.16112k2022-09-25
OPTIMOptimism1.0190.936792-8.07%0.904-11.29%0.0922✗1.743.5M2022-09-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2215.8452-7.98%15.04-12.66%0.0000✓0.711.2M2022-09-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6715.2229-7.90%5.717+0.81%0.1539✗0.8710.1M2022-09-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.317.6718-7.68%8.41+1.20%0.1250✗0.452.3M2022-09-25
FLOWFlownative1.8511.7096-7.64%1.644-11.18%0.0585✓1.331.2M2022-09-25
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6470.597839-7.60%0.573-11.44%0.0231✓0.89253k2022-09-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.08664.7008-7.58%6.5495+28.76%0.3469✗0.215.1M2022-09-25
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085260.078857-7.51%0.07522-11.78%0.0424✓0.07637k2022-09-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.693.4191-7.34%3.974+7.70%0.1934✗0.593.5M2022-09-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.9131.4945-7.12%28.38-16.31%0.0015✓1.4416.0M2022-09-25
LUNATerraTerra 20.000123060.00011449-6.96%0.00019608+59.34%0.6014✗0.86340k2022-09-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.04980.046336-6.96%0.0406-18.47%0.0587✓1.00251k2022-09-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007650.007121-6.91%0.0069-9.80%0.0510✓1.13503k2022-09-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10060.093715-6.84%0.0879-12.62%0.0089✓0.75247k2022-09-25
QTUMQtumQtum3.12052.9072-6.83%2.7901-10.59%0.0331✓1.0128k2022-09-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24891.1643-6.77%1.1659-6.65%0.0702✗0.941.5M2022-09-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.47730.445997-6.56%0.4159-12.86%0.0095✓0.82625k2022-09-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.975.579-6.55%6.13+2.68%0.1256✗0.432.5M2022-09-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.312.4344-6.51%12.39-6.84%0.0868✗1.231.2M2022-09-25
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77510.72603-6.33%0.7301-5.81%0.0855✗1.092.1M2022-09-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5460.511684-6.29%0.465-14.84%0.0153✓1.0996k2022-09-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2103-6.18%1.13-12.40%0.0019✓0.96182k2022-09-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06260.058741-6.16%0.055-12.14%0.0239✓1.221.0M2022-09-25
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80010.751246-6.11%0.8499+6.22%0.2284✗1.43193k2022-09-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001395-6.09%0.001431-3.70%0.0780✗0.729,9742022-09-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.6723-6.09%6.91+14.40%0.2283✗0.422.1M2022-09-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013750.001291-6.08%0.001035-24.67%0.1618✓0.802.0M2022-09-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1243.8751-6.04%3.981-3.47%0.0543✓0.371.9M2022-09-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.326.8817-5.99%6.34-13.39%0.0003✓1.11638k2022-09-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.2711.5382-5.96%13.81+12.55%0.2625✗1.131.9M2022-09-25
QNTQuantEthereum98.2392.3828-5.95%116.27+18.37%0.2926✗0.853.5M2022-09-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012430.000011691-5.95%0.00001103-11.26%0.0110✓0.94948k2022-09-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.234.9223-5.88%5.36+2.49%0.1148✗0.402.8M2022-09-25
BANDBandEthereum1.2231.1514-5.86%1.22-0.25%0.1487✗1.24534k2022-09-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9226.5201-5.81%6.206-10.34%0.0261✓1.0314.0M2022-09-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036890.034763-5.76%0.02945-20.17%0.0924✓1.0031k2022-09-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0231980.021868-5.73%0.025743+10.97%0.1719✗0.12250k2022-09-25
STXStacksnative0.36120.340718-5.67%0.3268-9.52%0.0439✓1.17450k2022-09-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.340.320933-5.61%0.38138+12.17%0.2419✗0.95321k2022-09-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003120.002946-5.57%0.002104-32.56%0.2712✓0.891.1M2022-09-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.162.0411-5.50%1.74-19.44%0.0689✓1.24299k2022-09-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72351.6289-5.49%1.163-32.52%0.2607✓1.041.2M2022-09-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.625756-5.47%0.601-9.21%0.0287✓0.94304k2022-09-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.280990.265637-5.46%0.24186-13.93%0.0168✓1.0512k2022-09-25
HIVEHivenative0.53430.50535-5.42%0.4965-7.07%0.0472✓0.881.6M2022-09-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35560.336333-5.42%0.295-17.04%0.0497✓1.11175k2022-09-25
RADRadworksEthereum2.252.1313-5.27%2.03-9.78%0.0093✓0.79451k2022-09-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170.161128-5.22%0.14748-13.25%0.0090✓1.08464k2022-09-25
XEMNEMnative0.0438050.041533-5.19%0.039806-9.13%0.0204✓0.8632k2022-09-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6812.5425-5.17%3.035+13.20%0.2257✗0.66653k2022-09-25
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.408833-5.14%0.397-7.89%0.0431✓0.998,3142022-09-25
SCSiacoinnative0.003910.00371-5.12%0.00353-9.72%0.0234✓1.00158k2022-09-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.55410.9634-5.11%13.976+20.96%0.3251✗1.1210.4M2022-09-25
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7744.5323-5.06%5.722+19.86%0.3334✗1.379.8M2022-09-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336050.319043-5.06%0.30082-10.48%0.0131✓0.9870k2022-09-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7232.586-5.03%2.321-14.76%0.0083✓1.594.0M2022-09-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0635310.060347-5.01%0.061274-3.55%0.0916✗1.041.9M2022-09-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5090.483617-4.99%0.458-10.02%0.0296✓1.1488k2022-09-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066650.006334-4.97%0.006393-4.08%0.0413✓0.4457k2022-09-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05291.0006-4.97%0.8882-15.64%0.0095✓1.494.9M2022-09-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021860.020787-4.91%0.02274+4.03%0.1520✗0.8513.4M2022-09-25
UMAUMAEthereum2.72.5681-4.89%2.367-12.33%0.0186✓0.86749k2022-09-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12460.118519-4.88%0.1109-11.00%0.0242✓0.584.1M2022-09-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.05080.999846-4.85%0.955083-9.11%0.0171✓0.8653k2022-09-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131480.125106-4.85%0.12204-7.18%0.0651✗1.22210k2022-09-25
PROPropyEthereum0.730.694746-4.83%0.65-10.96%0.0408✓0.35105k2022-09-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10240.097459-4.83%0.1012-1.17%0.1181✗1.103.9M2022-09-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1493.9497-4.80%4.058-2.19%0.0372✓0.142.4M2022-09-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06340.060358-4.80%0.0564-11.04%0.0011✓0.91116k2022-09-25
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015660.001491-4.79%0.001554-0.77%0.1137✗0.98558k2022-09-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13960.132933-4.78%0.138-1.15%0.1094✗0.98638k2022-09-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.006570.006258-4.74%0.00478-27.25%0.2219✓0.651.2M2022-09-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04720.044964-4.74%0.0373-20.97%0.1151✓0.98843k2022-09-25
API3Api3Ethereum1.6831.604-4.69%1.593-5.35%0.0625✗0.95782k2022-09-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044580.04251-4.64%0.04104-7.94%0.0158✓0.7016k2022-09-25
XECeCashnative0.000036680.00003499-4.61%0.0000401+9.32%0.2021✗0.901.7M2022-09-25
CBKCobakEthereum0.867510.827573-4.60%0.79361-8.52%0.0299✓0.9813k2022-09-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.2645-4.60%4.61+3.13%0.1119✗0.461.3M2022-09-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.77411.6928-4.58%1.7094-3.64%0.0891✗1.0838k2022-09-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5046.207-4.57%7.869+20.99%0.3158✗1.0719.5M2022-09-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.261508-4.56%0.25-8.76%0.0086✓0.73826k2022-09-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1038590.099124-4.56%0.117358+13.00%0.2318✗0.867.8M2022-09-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28310.270203-4.56%0.3884+37.20%0.4308✗0.937.6M2022-09-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04330.041328-4.56%0.0412-4.85%0.0691✗0.98180k2022-09-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.136521-4.53%0.129-9.79%0.0178✓1.01190k2022-09-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037830.03613-4.49%0.03412-9.81%0.0028✓0.822,8422022-09-25
ELAElastosEthereum1.7731.6933-4.49%1.389-21.66%0.1288✓0.94145k2022-09-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6819.765-4.42%17.32-16.25%0.0374✓1.2923.6M2022-09-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5310.0726-4.34%9.24-12.25%0.0007✓1.19466k2022-09-25
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.154180.147497-4.33%0.16721+8.45%0.2783✗2.086042022-09-25
XYMSymbolnative0.0454970.043534-4.31%0.037449-17.69%0.1125✓0.5233k2022-09-25
MOVRMoonriverBase12.120111.6009-4.28%10.7033-11.69%0.0097✓0.9639k2022-09-25
FTTFTXEthereum25.9724.8604-4.27%23.5-9.51%0.0140✓0.967.5M2022-09-25
DASHDashDash44.342.4072-4.27%41.11-7.20%0.0409✓0.98504k2022-09-25
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1545.8914-4.27%5.659-8.04%0.0558✗1.3110.3M2022-09-25
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9421.8595-4.25%1.589-18.18%0.0313✓1.72106k2022-09-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6925.4508-4.24%5.84+2.60%0.0967✗0.385.3M2022-09-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1511.1027-4.20%1.072-6.86%0.0442✗0.992.1M2022-09-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015860.015195-4.19%0.0107-32.53%0.3017✓0.67171k2022-09-25
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.24e-7-4.18%7.80e-7-9.30%0.0051✓0.8217k2022-09-25
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19730.18911-4.15%0.16-18.91%0.0938✓1.00152k2022-09-25
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.250361-4.11%0.1178-54.88%0.7533✓0.0191k2022-09-25
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16190.155245-4.11%0.1575-2.72%0.1157✗1.382,1742022-09-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14944.94-4.07%4.0999-20.38%0.1762✓0.14158k2022-09-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2890820.277339-4.06%0.268444-7.14%0.0476✗1.09696k2022-09-25
NANOnanopayBase0.88010.844443-4.05%0.784151-10.90%0.0147✓0.8184k2022-09-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3861.3301-4.03%1.35-2.60%0.1013✗1.18130k2022-09-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023340.022401-4.02%0.01924-17.57%0.0951✓0.78444k2022-09-25
STEEMSteemnative0.22130.212444-4.00%0.2183-1.36%0.0940✗0.91528k2022-09-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0351.9536-4.00%1.695-16.71%0.0570✓1.1655k2022-09-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.05990.057507-4.00%0.0464-22.54%0.1309✓1.14258k2022-09-25
ZENHorizenBase15.5214.9049-3.96%13.77-11.28%0.0027✓1.12130k2022-09-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008147-3.93%0.00683-19.46%0.1194✓0.776.4M2022-09-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12070.115956-3.93%0.1275+5.63%0.1700✗1.0233k2022-09-25
XMRMoneroMonero142.81137.1984-3.93%141.32-1.04%0.1033✗1.001.2M2022-09-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03780.036321-3.91%0.0409+8.20%0.1806✗0.8411k2022-09-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.019916-3.91%0.019355-6.61%0.0323✓0.8313k2022-09-25
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.36e-7-3.91%7.70e-7-11.49%0.0237✓0.802.4M2022-09-25
GITCOINGITCOIN2.16622.0822-3.88%1.7195-20.62%0.1015✓1.2313k2022-09-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10290.09894-3.85%0.0987-4.08%0.0615✗0.87238k2022-09-25
GMTGMTEthereum0.70530.678411-3.81%0.618-12.38%0.0122✓1.44258k2022-09-25
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06851.0278-3.81%1.0388-2.78%0.1022✗1.25981k2022-09-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03580.034452-3.77%0.0331-7.54%0.0285✓0.9386k2022-09-25
DODODODOEthereum0.12730.122521-3.75%0.1222-4.01%0.0684✗0.971.9M2022-09-25
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95780.921947-3.74%0.8636-9.84%0.0239✓1.221.0M2022-09-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.24330.234198-3.74%0.2691+10.60%0.2093✗0.9683k2022-09-25
COMPCompoundEthereum45.9244.2042-3.74%61.45+33.82%0.4202✗1.2414k2022-09-25
ZECZcashZcash61.158.8186-3.73%56.19-8.04%0.0374✓1.132.0M2022-09-25
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778130.74913-3.73%0.69888-10.18%0.0021✓0.92523k2022-09-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10120.097438-3.72%0.0892-11.86%0.0358✓0.723,6712022-09-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,587.8019,834.77-3.66%18,700.00-9.17%0.0105✓0.9513k2022-09-25
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.492.399-3.66%1.97-20.88%0.1595✓0.5193k2022-09-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.7485.5379-3.66%5.911+2.84%0.1338✗0.935.2M2022-09-25
FORTFortaEthereum0.26450.254831-3.66%0.1614-38.98%0.3878✓0.94106k2022-09-25
ADACardanoCardano0.43170.416107-3.61%0.4463+3.38%0.1466✗1.0440.7M2022-09-25
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9250.892031-3.56%0.919-0.65%0.1192✗1.221.4M2022-09-25
C98Coin98Ethereum0.38790.374118-3.55%0.3536-8.84%0.0261✓1.1289k2022-09-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27920.269297-3.55%0.2739-1.90%0.0871✗0.963.4M2022-09-25
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08570.082661-3.55%0.0811-5.37%0.0496✗0.9414k2022-09-25
KCSKuCoinnative9.2328.9058-3.53%8.909-3.50%0.0702✗0.951.8M2022-09-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.150737-3.50%0.1352-13.44%0.0291✓1.091,8902022-09-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44910.433472-3.48%0.4357-2.98%0.0874✗1.12400k2022-09-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.14750.3424-3.46%48.082-7.80%0.0088✓0.75340k2022-09-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95920.926424-3.42%0.9007-6.10%0.0130✓0.563.6M2022-09-25
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066250.064011-3.38%0.06309-4.77%0.0456✗0.829142022-09-25
KSMKusamaHydration44.5243.0238-3.36%40.47-9.10%0.0118✓0.99610k2022-09-25
ETHEthereumEthereum1,508.021,457.94-3.32%1,294.63-14.15%0.0201✓1.34608.4M2022-09-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22450.21705-3.32%0.1759-21.65%0.1126✓1.33133k2022-09-25
XTZTezosTezos1.48281.4338-3.30%1.4603-1.52%0.0993✗1.10355k2022-09-25
SOLSolanaSolana31.7430.7216-3.21%32.33+1.86%0.1359✗1.1670.1M2022-09-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,240.7219,592.62-3.20%18,808.61-7.08%0.0325✗1.00485.5M2022-09-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33970.328871-3.19%0.3346-1.50%0.1083✗1.24191k2022-09-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20820.201582-3.18%0.1962-5.76%0.0477✗1.0266k2022-09-25
AVTAventusEthereum1.361.3177-3.11%1.43+5.15%0.0790✗-0.04124k2022-09-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055380.00537-3.05%0.004975-10.17%0.0270✓0.672,6192022-09-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.055661-3.03%0.0543-5.40%0.0416✗0.90104k2022-09-25
DIADIAEthereum0.368280.35737-2.96%0.37615+2.14%0.1221✗0.9753k2022-09-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.16112.7499-2.94%113.48-2.31%0.0897✗1.134.9M2022-09-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.08870.086105-2.93%0.1073+20.97%0.2900✗0.95430k2022-09-25
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02460.023901-2.84%0.02108-14.31%0.0316✓1.283,4352022-09-25
XVGVergenative0.003030.002944-2.84%0.00325+7.26%0.1747✗1.03537k2022-09-25
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.54137-2.70%0.45533-18.17%0.0787✓1.2945k2022-09-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013330.01297-2.70%0.011757-11.80%0.0512✓0.641.4M2022-09-25
GTGateEthereum4.37994.267-2.58%4.2146-3.77%0.0441✗0.77827k2022-09-25
TRXTRONTron0.0615520.060015-2.50%0.0597-3.01%0.0382✗0.59151k2022-09-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331610.323435-2.47%0.4743+43.03%0.4556✗0.99418k2022-09-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5170.504993-2.32%0.376-27.27%0.2047✓1.232,6092022-09-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070150.068619-2.18%0.06038-13.93%0.0404✓1.1929k2022-09-25
XVSVenusEthereum5.135.0193-2.16%4.7-8.38%0.0028✓0.861.6M2022-09-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.670.65664-1.99%0.552-17.61%0.0798✓1.285.2M2022-09-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.7151.7386-1.84%52.55-0.30%0.0884✗0.9913.1M2022-09-25
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7281.8198-1.09%73.64-10.98%0.0083✓1.556.7M2022-09-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.