8=======>

2022-08-25 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1107
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.81%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.1%
in alpha space · 87.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37540.373845-0.41%0.3197-14.84%0.0047✗1.23205k2022-09-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.580.573865-1.06%0.387-33.28%0.2347✓1.222,3272022-09-24
AAVEAaveEthereum93.3591.812-1.65%74.94-19.72%0.0025✓1.546.7M2022-09-24
GTGateEthereum4.5674.484-1.82%4.2479-6.99%0.0468✗0.77827k2022-09-24
TRXTRONTron0.0654990.064231-1.94%0.059922-8.51%0.0063✓0.58151k2022-09-24
XMRMoneroMonero153.94150.3067-2.36%141.98-7.77%0.0726✗0.991.2M2022-09-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18370.179253-2.42%0.1619-11.87%0.0756✗1.362,2552022-09-24
DIADIAEthereum0.411010.401024-2.43%0.37751-8.15%0.0627✗0.9462k2022-09-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,605.6021,064.55-2.50%18,988.80-12.11%0.0204✓0.9512k2022-09-24
SOLSolanaSolana35.2534.2869-2.73%33.38-5.30%0.1232✗1.1570.1M2022-09-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.608460.59165-2.76%0.46599-23.41%0.0715✓1.2845k2022-09-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.6255.029-2.81%53.43-5.63%0.0996✗0.9913.5M2022-09-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.61554.0499-2.81%49.307-11.34%0.0044✓0.74332k2022-09-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06910.067153-2.82%0.058-16.06%0.0290✓0.90116k2022-09-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10980.106491-3.01%0.0908-17.30%0.0680✓0.703,6712022-09-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06030.058471-3.03%0.0544-9.78%0.0464✗0.91112k2022-09-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058560.005675-3.10%0.00497-15.13%0.0453✓0.672,6192022-09-24
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.136394-3.13%0.1278-9.23%0.0589✗0.951.9M2022-09-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03890.037661-3.19%0.0335-13.88%0.0034✓0.9286k2022-09-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.374150.362147-3.21%0.30895-17.43%0.0336✓0.9687k2022-09-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.095667-3.27%0.1064+7.58%0.2281✗0.93430k2022-09-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.26920.260349-3.29%0.1635-39.26%0.3371✓0.98109k2022-09-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.7910.764947-3.29%0.6362-19.57%0.0012✓1.42259k2022-09-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22890.221313-3.31%0.2052-10.35%0.0553✗1.0070k2022-09-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.26260.253542-3.45%0.2769+5.45%0.2121✗0.9583k2022-09-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.251647-3.51%0.1188-54.45%0.7493✓0.0187k2022-09-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.165330.159417-3.58%0.16399-0.81%0.3042✗2.116042022-09-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30740.296336-3.60%0.3853+25.34%0.3820✗0.927.8M2022-09-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.672.5736-3.61%1.94-27.34%0.2179✓0.5093k2022-09-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075880.073115-3.64%0.06277-17.28%0.0026✓1.1929k2022-09-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.007040.006783-3.66%0.00493-29.97%0.2358✓0.641.2M2022-09-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13090.126113-3.66%0.1318+0.69%0.1765✗1.0135k2022-09-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17414.9836-3.68%4.2695-17.48%0.1357✓0.14158k2022-09-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0473860.045623-3.72%0.037461-20.95%0.1288✓0.5233k2022-09-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0225110.021673-3.72%0.019685-12.55%0.0100✓0.8113k2022-09-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009140.008797-3.75%0.00697-23.74%0.1338✓0.766.4M2022-09-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00680.006545-3.75%0.006417-5.63%0.0378✓0.4457k2022-09-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.165936-3.80%0.1359-21.22%0.0609✓1.061,7802022-09-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365110.351172-3.82%0.37942+3.92%0.2047✗0.98435k2022-09-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047920.046089-3.82%0.0406-15.28%0.0383✓0.6816k2022-09-24
XVGVergenative0.003280.003154-3.84%0.00321-2.13%0.1522✗1.03537k2022-09-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7440.715316-3.86%0.607-18.41%0.0446✓0.92322k2022-09-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09090.087383-3.87%0.0824-9.35%0.0661✗0.9613k2022-09-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.3836-3.92%1.42-1.39%0.0180✓-0.06115k2022-09-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04690.045051-3.94%0.0418-10.87%0.0523✗0.97182k2022-09-24
UMAUMAEthereum2.9462.8283-4.00%2.398-18.60%0.0552✓0.84749k2022-09-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2621.2108-4.06%1.08-14.42%0.0135✓0.982.1M2022-09-24
NANOnanopayBase0.9588910.919625-4.09%0.796-16.99%0.0404✓0.8084k2022-09-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1550.148652-4.10%0.139-10.32%0.0587✗0.96668k2022-09-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,561.8620,678.30-4.10%18,923.20-12.24%0.0418✓1.00485.5M2022-09-24
XEMNEMnative0.0478160.045831-4.15%0.04064-15.01%0.0105✓0.8432k2022-09-24
KCSKuCoinnative9.7639.3566-4.16%8.909-8.75%0.0755✗0.951.8M2022-09-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.13421.0868-4.18%0.948552-16.37%0.0252✓0.8553k2022-09-24
KSMKusamaHydration48.5446.5057-4.19%41.14-15.25%0.0058✓0.98607k2022-09-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039930.038253-4.20%0.03492-12.55%0.0153✓0.822,7072022-09-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4580.438676-4.22%0.398-13.10%0.0323✓0.998,8922022-09-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016660.015956-4.23%0.01037-37.76%0.3437✓0.67173k2022-09-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.283398-4.26%0.252-14.86%0.0237✓0.72826k2022-09-24
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017620.001687-4.28%0.001558-11.58%0.0379✓0.90590k2022-09-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1104010.105667-4.29%0.11814+7.01%0.2231✗0.857.8M2022-09-24
XECeCashnative0.000039470.000037771-4.30%0.00003974+0.68%0.1666✗0.891.7M2022-09-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0080.9645-4.32%0.9169-9.04%0.0211✓0.553.6M2022-09-24
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004018-4.33%0.00356-15.24%0.0079✓0.99152k2022-09-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.840180.803291-4.39%0.70794-15.74%0.0075✓0.91507k2022-09-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.304110.290436-4.50%0.24602-19.10%0.0299✓1.0413k2022-09-24
STEEMSteemnative0.24180.230871-4.52%0.2268-6.20%0.0992✗0.90510k2022-09-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.15750.15034-4.55%0.1301-17.40%0.0143✓1.00178k2022-09-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11160.106435-4.63%0.1001-10.30%0.0509✗0.86255k2022-09-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04070.038811-4.64%0.0392-3.69%0.1193✗0.8411k2022-09-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49610.472966-4.66%0.4369-11.93%0.0659✗1.11400k2022-09-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0144820.013806-4.67%0.011796-18.55%0.0753✓0.631.4M2022-09-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.69124.5816-4.67%117.26-10.28%0.0849✗1.114.9M2022-09-24
CBKCobakEthereum0.951410.906894-4.68%0.80386-15.51%0.0051✓0.9613k2022-09-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06760.064404-4.73%0.0553-18.20%0.0069✓1.221.0M2022-09-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30560.291145-4.73%0.2788-8.77%0.0801✗0.953.4M2022-09-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04850.998446-4.77%0.8876-15.35%0.0398✓1.211.0M2022-09-24
HIVEHivenative0.56910.54184-4.79%0.5008-12.00%0.0368✓0.881.7M2022-09-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42470.404154-4.84%0.3626-14.62%0.0370✓1.1189k2022-09-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143260.136324-4.84%0.12433-13.21%0.0675✗1.22213k2022-09-24
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3795.1184-4.84%5.425+0.86%0.2345✗1.3510.1M2022-09-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.06360.060495-4.88%0.0464-27.04%0.1149✓1.15258k2022-09-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5411.4653-4.91%1.368-11.23%0.0833✗1.16138k2022-09-24
ADACardanoCardano0.46420.441363-4.92%0.4511-2.82%0.1573✗1.0440.7M2022-09-24
FTTFTXEthereum27.9426.5602-4.94%23.68-15.25%0.0093✓0.957.5M2022-09-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.130988-4.94%0.1132-17.85%0.0742✓0.553.9M2022-09-24
PROPropyEthereum0.730.693585-4.99%0.6-17.81%0.0973✓0.36105k2022-09-24
BTTCBTTC9.20e-78.74e-7-5.04%7.90e-7-14.13%0.0031✓0.792.4M2022-09-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9911.8906-5.04%1.7298-13.12%0.0496✓1.0633k2022-09-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.47642.3507-5.07%1.8174-26.61%0.1007✓1.2013k2022-09-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4217.4823-5.09%15.1-18.02%0.0554✓0.701.4M2022-09-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.118.6457-5.10%8.33-8.56%0.0187✓0.432.4M2022-09-24
DASHDashDash49.1846.6486-5.15%41.6-15.41%0.0110✓0.96504k2022-09-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23840.226128-5.15%0.1752-26.51%0.0790✓1.35133k2022-09-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7340.695889-5.19%0.564-23.16%0.0360✓1.335.0M2022-09-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023910.022665-5.21%0.02275-4.85%0.1155✗0.8613.4M2022-09-24
BANDBandEthereum1.3831.3109-5.21%1.19-13.96%0.0623✗1.22534k2022-09-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,695.271,606.85-5.22%1,317.25-22.30%0.0251✓1.33608.4M2022-09-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013930.0000132-5.24%0.00001124-19.31%0.0411✓0.92900k2022-09-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.136.7553-5.25%7.625+6.94%0.2594✗1.0619.5M2022-09-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.054.7842-5.26%4.45-11.88%0.0183✓0.411.3M2022-09-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3950.373816-5.36%0.2967-24.89%0.0884✓1.09174k2022-09-24
COMPCompoundEthereum51.4848.7187-5.36%60.6+17.72%0.3774✗1.2215k2022-09-24
MOVRMoonriverBase13.461512.7394-5.36%10.8104-19.69%0.0404✓0.9539k2022-09-24
ZECZcashZcash67.7564.1041-5.38%55.64-17.87%0.0041✓1.122.0M2022-09-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3216440.304306-5.39%0.272484-15.28%0.0301✓1.08743k2022-09-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070310.066498-5.42%0.0639-9.12%0.0664✗0.819142022-09-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11590.109529-5.50%0.1006-13.20%0.0545✓1.073.7M2022-09-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.60e-7-5.53%8.30e-7-8.79%0.0714✗0.8217k2022-09-24
ZENHorizenBase17.1916.2346-5.56%14.09-18.03%0.0019✓1.10130k2022-09-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.6106-5.58%6.54-18.86%0.0077✓1.10638k2022-09-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0233430.022041-5.58%0.026013+11.44%0.1795✗0.11250k2022-09-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1910.180189-5.66%0.14704-23.02%0.0647✓1.06500k2022-09-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.025773-5.66%0.02171-20.53%0.0060✓1.273,4352022-09-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023030.021715-5.71%0.01924-16.46%0.0160✓0.80419k2022-09-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3810.7301-5.71%9.37-17.66%0.0187✓1.18439k2022-09-24
XTZTezosTezos1.6691.5735-5.72%1.4784-11.42%0.0798✗1.09355k2022-09-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05290.049869-5.73%0.0379-28.36%0.1502✓0.95877k2022-09-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.84712.1082-5.75%13.638+6.16%0.2627✗1.1010.4M2022-09-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0042.8309-5.76%3.023+0.63%0.1482✗0.63669k2022-09-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6824.4119-5.77%3.917-16.34%0.0773✓0.321.9M2022-09-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.565322-5.78%0.451-24.83%0.0838✓1.09102k2022-09-24
XVSVenusEthereum5.695.361-5.78%4.67-17.93%0.0288✓0.841.6M2022-09-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015970.001505-5.78%0.001515-5.13%0.0997✗0.719,9742022-09-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9821.6416-5.82%17.6-23.41%0.0387✓1.2924.1M2022-09-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9980.939458-5.87%0.931-6.71%0.1505✗1.221.3M2022-09-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0212.8438-5.87%2.41-20.23%0.0405✓1.584.0M2022-09-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034950.003289-5.90%0.002211-36.74%0.2846✓0.861.1M2022-09-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.8561.7463-5.91%1.416-23.71%0.0845✓0.96146k2022-09-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.181.11-5.93%0.9213-21.92%0.0075✓1.484.9M2022-09-24
QNTQuantEthereum106.79100.4311-5.95%114.65+7.36%0.2422✗0.843.5M2022-09-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.3443-6.00%1.18-17.48%0.0064✓0.95182k2022-09-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3525.9711-6.00%6.057-4.64%0.1341✗0.925.2M2022-09-24
QTUMQtumQtum3.47713.2675-6.03%2.849-18.06%0.0080✓0.9930k2022-09-24
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21790.204751-6.03%0.1697-22.12%0.0572✓1.00149k2022-09-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2892.1505-6.05%1.739-24.03%0.0632✓1.1460k2022-09-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691720.064975-6.07%0.063176-8.67%0.1062✗1.031.7M2022-09-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86580.812923-6.11%0.7405-14.47%0.0472✓1.082.2M2022-09-24
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.1771-6.16%2.1-9.48%0.0678✗0.80520k2022-09-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.000131320.000123229-6.16%0.00022573+71.89%0.7118✗0.82340k2022-09-24
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0236.5896-6.17%5.794-17.50%0.0394✓1.2910.3M2022-09-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.9431.8222-6.22%1.578-18.79%0.0255✓0.91782k2022-09-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.374470.351179-6.22%0.381+1.74%0.2023✗0.93321k2022-09-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.612.7465-6.28%13.63+0.22%0.2124✗1.111.9M2022-09-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.811.696-6.30%1.237-31.66%0.1601✓1.19103k2022-09-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.05480.051323-6.34%0.0414-24.45%0.0857✓0.99256k2022-09-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.865.4809-6.47%5.32-9.22%0.0193✓0.382.9M2022-09-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084050.078549-6.54%0.07767-7.59%0.0005✓0.09637k2022-09-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5710.533564-6.56%0.47-17.69%0.0197✓1.1288k2022-09-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5496.1157-6.62%5.479-16.34%0.0686✓0.325.3M2022-09-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81051.69-6.66%1.1961-33.94%0.2077✓1.06980k2022-09-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5837.0741-6.71%6.27-17.32%0.0127✓1.0214.0M2022-09-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.846.3791-6.74%6.68-2.34%0.0952✗0.382.1M2022-09-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.25273.9657-6.75%3.6408-14.39%0.0155✓0.542.9M2022-09-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.192.0412-6.80%1.652-24.57%0.0129✓1.72114k2022-09-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9230.86027-6.80%0.874-5.31%0.0717✗0.434.2M2022-09-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.38941.2949-6.80%1.173-15.58%0.0209✓0.921.5M2022-09-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.20061.1186-6.83%1.069-10.96%0.1160✗1.24981k2022-09-24
STXStacksnative0.39980.372328-6.87%0.3317-17.03%0.0351✓1.15470k2022-09-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7240.674223-6.88%0.591-18.37%0.0181✓0.87253k2022-09-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008010.007432-7.22%0.00708-11.61%0.0999✗1.14513k2022-09-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81970.75826-7.50%0.8516+3.89%0.3069✗1.46205k2022-09-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.86.288-7.53%6.03-11.32%0.0069✓0.372.7M2022-09-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.2898-7.67%1.81-27.02%0.0771✓1.21299k2022-09-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.7114.3296-8.10%3.923-16.73%0.0875✓0.092.4M2022-09-24
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.0809-8.24%0.919-21.99%0.0625✓1.723.6M2022-09-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7213.5038-8.26%12.7-13.72%0.0979✗1.221.3M2022-09-24
METISMetisEthereum35.2332.1684-8.69%24.66-30.00%0.0221✓1.87365k2022-09-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.041110.037533-8.70%0.03006-26.88%0.0939✓0.9828k2022-09-24
FLOWFlownative2.1371.9508-8.71%1.678-21.48%0.0191✓1.301.2M2022-09-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,795.518,934.56-8.79%8,220.83-16.08%0.0937✗1.367.3M2022-09-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50980.464026-8.98%0.4153-18.54%0.0046✓0.81625k2022-09-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.22450.20299-9.58%0.2653+18.17%0.3727✗0.802.6M2022-09-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.101599-9.61%0.0864-23.13%0.0709✓0.70250k2022-09-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015250.001377-9.70%0.001057-30.73%0.1642✓0.772.0M2022-09-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37170.334951-9.89%0.2903-21.90%0.0047✓1.13111k2022-09-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3565.7233-9.95%5.575-12.29%0.0836✓0.8410.1M2022-09-24
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30773.8745-10.06%5.2757+22.47%0.4392✗1.00171k2022-09-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.8934.0771-10.06%14.95-60.54%0.7092✓0.881.8M2022-09-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38010.340835-10.33%0.2999-21.10%0.0364✓1.26152k2022-09-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7214.2243-10.52%3.906-17.26%0.0460✓0.95225k2022-09-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069790.062278-10.76%0.06107-12.49%0.1247✗1.112.4M2022-09-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.1433.1244-10.81%28.66-22.83%0.0422✓1.4316.0M2022-09-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.71975.0373-11.93%5.9377+3.81%0.1845✗0.155.0M2022-09-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.57664.8737-12.60%6.738+20.83%0.3475✗0.183.5M2022-09-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.04e-76.84e-7-14.94%5.04e-7-37.36%0.2010✓0.80192k2022-09-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.86211.5075-16.98%17.384+25.41%0.4674✗0.423.8M2022-09-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.