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2022-08-25 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0655
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.99%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.1%
in alpha space · 87.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.86211.9213-14.00%17.384+25.41%0.4320✗0.423.8M2022-09-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.04e-76.99e-7-13.00%5.04e-7-37.36%0.2235✓0.80192k2022-09-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.811.6042-11.37%1.237-31.66%0.1045✓1.19103k2022-09-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,795.518,754.18-10.63%8,220.83-16.08%0.1141✗1.367.3M2022-09-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7214.2325-10.35%3.906-17.26%0.0441✓0.95225k2022-09-24
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.0565-10.31%0.919-21.99%0.0853✓1.723.6M2022-09-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37170.334476-10.01%0.2903-21.90%0.0062✓1.13111k2022-09-24
METISMetisEthereum35.2331.7165-9.97%24.66-30.00%0.0080✓1.87365k2022-09-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.57665.0396-9.63%6.738+20.83%0.3140✗0.183.5M2022-09-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069790.063125-9.55%0.06107-12.49%0.1112✗1.112.4M2022-09-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9230.836298-9.39%0.874-5.31%0.1000✗0.434.2M2022-09-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.8934.4425-9.10%14.95-60.54%0.7199✓0.881.8M2022-09-24
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30773.9176-9.06%5.2757+22.47%0.4282✗1.00171k2022-09-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3565.789-8.92%5.575-12.29%0.0722✓0.8410.1M2022-09-24
FLOWFlownative2.1371.9485-8.82%1.678-21.48%0.0203✓1.301.2M2022-09-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.22450.205229-8.58%0.2653+18.17%0.3617✗0.802.6M2022-09-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.118.3294-8.57%8.33-8.56%0.0560✓0.432.4M2022-09-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7240.662251-8.53%0.591-18.37%0.0002✓0.87253k2022-09-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38010.348252-8.38%0.2999-21.10%0.0149✓1.26152k2022-09-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4216.8864-8.33%15.1-18.02%0.0207✓0.701.4M2022-09-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.25273.9012-8.26%3.6408-14.39%0.0009✓0.542.9M2022-09-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008010.007373-7.95%0.00708-11.61%0.1077✗1.14513k2022-09-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.000131320.000121098-7.78%0.00022573+71.89%0.7292✗0.82340k2022-09-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.71975.2768-7.74%5.9377+3.81%0.1381✗0.155.0M2022-09-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.1434.2917-7.67%28.66-22.83%0.0076✓1.4316.0M2022-09-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.05480.050599-7.67%0.0414-24.45%0.0715✓0.99256k2022-09-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.38941.2839-7.60%1.173-15.58%0.0295✓0.921.5M2022-09-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7213.6356-7.37%12.7-13.72%0.0882✗1.221.3M2022-09-24
QTUMQtumQtum3.47713.2217-7.34%2.849-18.06%0.0061✓0.9930k2022-09-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0212.801-7.28%2.41-20.23%0.0556✓1.584.0M2022-09-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.86.3094-7.21%6.03-11.32%0.0035✓0.372.7M2022-09-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013930.000012927-7.20%0.00001124-19.31%0.0202✓0.92900k2022-09-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.041110.038154-7.19%0.03006-26.88%0.1103✓0.9828k2022-09-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.104354-7.16%0.0864-23.13%0.0976✓0.70250k2022-09-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015250.001418-7.02%0.001057-30.73%0.1933✓0.772.0M2022-09-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.3062-7.01%1.81-27.02%0.0843✓1.21299k2022-09-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50980.474093-7.00%0.4153-18.54%0.0261✓0.81625k2022-09-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.846.3651-6.94%6.68-2.34%0.0974✗0.382.1M2022-09-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.612.6607-6.91%13.63+0.22%0.2191✗1.111.9M2022-09-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084050.078255-6.89%0.07767-7.59%0.0043✓0.09637k2022-09-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.5087-6.84%6.54-18.86%0.0058✓1.10638k2022-09-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023910.02228-6.82%0.02275-4.85%0.1326✗0.8613.4M2022-09-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.559322-6.78%0.451-24.83%0.0732✓1.09102k2022-09-24
QNTQuantEthereum106.7999.5882-6.74%114.65+7.36%0.2506✗0.843.5M2022-09-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06760.063054-6.73%0.0553-18.20%0.0281✓1.221.0M2022-09-24
BANDBandEthereum1.3831.2901-6.72%1.19-13.96%0.0784✗1.22534k2022-09-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6824.3702-6.66%3.917-16.34%0.0678✓0.321.9M2022-09-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.374470.349728-6.61%0.381+1.74%0.2064✗0.93321k2022-09-24
STXStacksnative0.39980.373409-6.60%0.3317-17.03%0.0322✓1.15470k2022-09-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86580.809197-6.54%0.7405-14.47%0.0518✓1.082.2M2022-09-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5837.0874-6.54%6.27-17.32%0.0108✓1.0214.0M2022-09-24
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017620.001647-6.53%0.001558-11.58%0.0617✓0.90590k2022-09-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.865.4783-6.51%5.32-9.22%0.0198✓0.382.9M2022-09-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.181.1036-6.47%0.9213-21.92%0.0132✓1.484.9M2022-09-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015970.001494-6.42%0.001515-5.13%0.1066✗0.719,9742022-09-24
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0236.5729-6.41%5.794-17.50%0.0419✓1.2910.3M2022-09-24
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3795.0382-6.34%5.425+0.86%0.2503✗1.3510.1M2022-09-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034950.003275-6.28%0.002211-36.74%0.2806✓0.861.1M2022-09-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05290.049602-6.23%0.0379-28.36%0.1449✓0.95877k2022-09-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11590.108704-6.21%0.1006-13.20%0.0621✓1.073.7M2022-09-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1910.179214-6.17%0.14704-23.02%0.0593✓1.06500k2022-09-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0233430.021907-6.15%0.026013+11.44%0.1856✗0.11250k2022-09-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81970.769606-6.11%0.8516+3.89%0.2920✗1.46205k2022-09-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.343-6.08%1.18-17.48%0.0054✓0.95182k2022-09-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0042.8219-6.06%3.023+0.63%0.1514✗0.63669k2022-09-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7440.69917-6.03%0.607-18.41%0.0218✓0.92322k2022-09-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.84712.0828-5.95%13.638+6.16%0.2648✗1.1010.4M2022-09-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06910.064993-5.94%0.058-16.06%0.0037✓0.90116k2022-09-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.129633-5.93%0.1132-17.85%0.0638✓0.553.9M2022-09-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3950.371787-5.88%0.2967-24.89%0.0830✓1.09174k2022-09-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81051.7048-5.84%1.1961-33.94%0.2164✓1.06980k2022-09-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.304110.286547-5.78%0.24602-19.10%0.0165✓1.0413k2022-09-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9911.8765-5.75%1.7298-13.12%0.0571✓1.0633k2022-09-24
XEMNEMnative0.0478160.045084-5.71%0.04064-15.01%0.0060✓0.8432k2022-09-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.7114.4437-5.67%3.923-16.73%0.1135✓0.092.4M2022-09-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1550.146209-5.67%0.139-10.32%0.0753✗0.96668k2022-09-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5710.538707-5.66%0.47-17.69%0.0101✓1.1288k2022-09-24
CBKCobakEthereum0.951410.897786-5.64%0.80386-15.51%0.0151✓0.9613k2022-09-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.9431.8349-5.56%1.578-18.79%0.0325✓0.91782k2022-09-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9821.7022-5.56%17.6-23.41%0.0415✓1.2924.1M2022-09-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.136.7356-5.53%7.625+6.94%0.2624✗1.0619.5M2022-09-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.007040.006652-5.52%0.00493-29.97%0.2163✓0.641.2M2022-09-24
HIVEHivenative0.56910.537739-5.51%0.5008-12.00%0.0444✓0.881.7M2022-09-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.374150.353688-5.47%0.30895-17.43%0.0100✓0.9687k2022-09-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.15750.148911-5.45%0.1301-17.40%0.0047✓1.00178k2022-09-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.20061.1356-5.41%1.069-10.96%0.1009✗1.24981k2022-09-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691720.065431-5.41%0.063176-8.67%0.0993✗1.031.7M2022-09-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.47642.3427-5.40%1.8174-26.61%0.0973✓1.2013k2022-09-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.054.7774-5.40%4.45-11.88%0.0168✓0.411.3M2022-09-24
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21790.206283-5.33%0.1697-22.12%0.0647✓1.00149k2022-09-24
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.1976-5.28%2.1-9.48%0.0585✗0.80520k2022-09-24
FTTFTXEthereum27.9426.4691-5.26%23.68-15.25%0.0128✓0.957.5M2022-09-24
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.003979-5.26%0.00356-15.24%0.0177✓0.99152k2022-09-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3526.024-5.16%6.057-4.64%0.1253✗0.925.2M2022-09-24
DASHDashDash49.1846.6432-5.16%41.6-15.41%0.0111✓0.96504k2022-09-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143260.13588-5.15%0.12433-13.21%0.0708✗1.22213k2022-09-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.192.0777-5.13%1.652-24.57%0.0048✓1.72114k2022-09-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.7910.750556-5.11%0.6362-19.57%0.0202✓1.42259k2022-09-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.281005-5.07%0.252-14.86%0.0152✓0.72826k2022-09-24
UMAUMAEthereum2.9462.7969-5.06%2.398-18.60%0.0440✓0.84749k2022-09-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4580.434923-5.04%0.398-13.10%0.0409✓0.998,8922022-09-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5496.2195-5.03%5.479-16.34%0.0854✓0.325.3M2022-09-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04690.044541-5.03%0.0418-10.87%0.0637✗0.97182k2022-09-24
XMRMoneroMonero153.94146.2406-5.00%141.98-7.77%0.1000✗0.991.2M2022-09-24
XECeCashnative0.000039470.0000375-4.99%0.00003974+0.68%0.1738✗0.891.7M2022-09-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00680.006462-4.97%0.006417-5.63%0.0505✓0.4457k2022-09-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1104010.104959-4.93%0.11814+7.01%0.2299✗0.857.8M2022-09-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2892.1762-4.93%1.739-24.03%0.0751✓1.1460k2022-09-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30740.292257-4.93%0.3853+25.34%0.3958✗0.927.8M2022-09-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5411.4657-4.89%1.368-11.23%0.0830✗1.16138k2022-09-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2621.2006-4.87%1.08-14.42%0.0219✓0.982.1M2022-09-24
PROPropyEthereum0.730.694599-4.85%0.6-17.81%0.0988✓0.36105k2022-09-24
STEEMSteemnative0.24180.230095-4.84%0.2268-6.20%0.1026✗0.90510k2022-09-24
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.134002-4.83%0.1278-9.23%0.0766✗0.951.9M2022-09-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3216440.306372-4.75%0.272484-15.28%0.0233✓1.08743k2022-09-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04850.999441-4.68%0.8876-15.35%0.0388✓1.211.0M2022-09-24
COMPCompoundEthereum51.4849.0931-4.64%60.6+17.72%0.3698✗1.2215k2022-09-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3810.8537-4.62%9.37-17.66%0.0073✓1.18439k2022-09-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039930.038084-4.62%0.03492-12.55%0.0197✓0.822,7072022-09-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.13421.0818-4.62%0.948552-16.37%0.0206✓0.8553k2022-09-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009140.008718-4.62%0.00697-23.74%0.1248✓0.766.4M2022-09-24
MOVRMoonriverBase13.461512.8422-4.60%10.8104-19.69%0.0484✓0.9539k2022-09-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0225110.021488-4.55%0.019685-12.55%0.0186✓0.8113k2022-09-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11160.106564-4.51%0.1001-10.30%0.0497✗0.86255k2022-09-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13090.125004-4.50%0.1318+0.69%0.1853✗1.0135k2022-09-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.8561.7725-4.50%1.416-23.71%0.0994✓0.96146k2022-09-24
ADACardanoCardano0.46420.443413-4.48%0.4511-2.82%0.1527✗1.0440.7M2022-09-24
SOLSolanaSolana35.2533.6739-4.47%33.38-5.30%0.1413✗1.1570.1M2022-09-24
NANOnanopayBase0.9588910.916272-4.44%0.796-16.99%0.0367✓0.8084k2022-09-24
ZENHorizenBase17.1916.428-4.43%14.09-18.03%0.0099✓1.10130k2022-09-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.26260.251015-4.41%0.2769+5.45%0.2222✗0.9583k2022-09-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18370.175633-4.39%0.1619-11.87%0.0960✗1.362,2552022-09-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04070.038915-4.39%0.0392-3.69%0.1166✗0.8411k2022-09-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.840180.8034-4.38%0.70794-15.74%0.0076✓0.91507k2022-09-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03890.037201-4.37%0.0335-13.88%0.0157✓0.9286k2022-09-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.06360.06084-4.34%0.0464-27.04%0.1206✓1.15258k2022-09-24
XTZTezosTezos1.6691.5971-4.31%1.4784-11.42%0.0649✗1.09355k2022-09-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10980.105085-4.29%0.0908-17.30%0.0547✓0.703,6712022-09-24
BTTCBTTC9.20e-78.81e-7-4.28%7.90e-7-14.13%0.0049✓0.792.4M2022-09-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.69125.1277-4.26%117.26-10.28%0.0805✗1.114.9M2022-09-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.165330.158301-4.25%0.16399-0.81%0.3113✗2.116042022-09-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37540.359442-4.25%0.3197-14.84%0.0440✗1.23205k2022-09-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30560.292649-4.24%0.2788-8.77%0.0750✗0.953.4M2022-09-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016660.015954-4.24%0.01037-37.76%0.3436✓0.67173k2022-09-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047920.045918-4.18%0.0406-15.28%0.0346✓0.6816k2022-09-24
KSMKusamaHydration48.5446.523-4.16%41.14-15.25%0.0054✓0.98607k2022-09-24
ZECZcashZcash67.7564.9386-4.15%55.64-17.87%0.0088✓1.122.0M2022-09-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.73e-7-4.09%8.30e-7-8.79%0.0562✗0.8217k2022-09-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0473860.045464-4.06%0.037461-20.95%0.1253✓0.5233k2022-09-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.250316-4.02%0.1188-54.45%0.7440✓0.0187k2022-09-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,561.8620,698.56-4.00%18,923.20-12.24%0.0409✓1.00485.5M2022-09-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.094941-4.00%0.1064+7.58%0.2357✗0.93430k2022-09-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.672.5645-3.95%1.94-27.34%0.2144✓0.5093k2022-09-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.165692-3.95%0.1359-21.22%0.0595✓1.061,7802022-09-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22890.219968-3.90%0.2052-10.35%0.0614✗1.0070k2022-09-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.61553.4504-3.89%49.307-11.34%0.0156✓0.74332k2022-09-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,695.271,629.84-3.86%1,317.25-22.30%0.0393✓1.33608.4M2022-09-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17414.9755-3.84%4.2695-17.48%0.1341✓0.14158k2022-09-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,605.6020,794.06-3.76%18,988.80-12.11%0.0333✓0.9512k2022-09-24
DIADIAEthereum0.411010.395578-3.75%0.37751-8.15%0.0764✗0.9462k2022-09-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9980.960815-3.73%0.931-6.71%0.1280✗1.221.3M2022-09-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23840.229531-3.72%0.1752-26.51%0.0940✓1.35133k2022-09-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49610.477649-3.72%0.4369-11.93%0.0560✗1.11400k2022-09-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.26920.259255-3.69%0.1635-39.26%0.3329✓0.98109k2022-09-24
XVGVergenative0.003280.00316-3.67%0.00321-2.13%0.1505✗1.03537k2022-09-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.026321-3.66%0.02171-20.53%0.0271✓1.273,4352022-09-24
KCSKuCoinnative9.7639.4076-3.64%8.909-8.75%0.0701✗0.951.8M2022-09-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09090.087599-3.63%0.0824-9.35%0.0637✗0.9613k2022-09-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023030.022195-3.63%0.01924-16.46%0.0379✓0.80419k2022-09-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.3879-3.62%1.42-1.39%0.0149✓-0.06115k2022-09-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0144820.013962-3.59%0.011796-18.55%0.0866✓0.631.4M2022-09-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0080.971846-3.59%0.9169-9.04%0.0135✓0.553.6M2022-09-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365110.352282-3.51%0.37942+3.92%0.2016✗0.98435k2022-09-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.608460.587097-3.51%0.46599-23.41%0.0638✓1.2845k2022-09-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42470.410011-3.46%0.3626-14.62%0.0226✓1.1189k2022-09-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070310.067921-3.40%0.0639-9.12%0.0453✗0.819142022-09-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.580.561153-3.25%0.387-33.28%0.2123✓1.222,3272022-09-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06030.058395-3.16%0.0544-9.78%0.0477✗0.91112k2022-09-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058560.005684-2.95%0.00497-15.13%0.0469✓0.672,6192022-09-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075880.073651-2.94%0.06277-17.28%0.0047✓1.1929k2022-09-24
XVSVenusEthereum5.695.5235-2.93%4.67-17.93%0.0586✓0.841.6M2022-09-24
GTGateEthereum4.5674.4372-2.84%4.2479-6.99%0.0573✗0.77827k2022-09-24
TRXTRONTron0.0654990.063699-2.75%0.059922-8.51%0.0146✓0.58151k2022-09-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7340.715394-2.53%0.564-23.16%0.0636✓1.335.0M2022-09-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.6255.2168-2.48%53.43-5.63%0.0962✗0.9913.5M2022-09-24
AAVEAaveEthereum93.3591.0367-2.48%74.94-19.72%0.0060✓1.546.7M2022-09-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.