8=======>

2022-05-22 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2485
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.82%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
63.1%
in alpha space · 45.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.89%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00020.000174704-12.65%0.00016-20.00%0.0277✓2.916.3M2022-05-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.963360.919428-4.56%0.7044-26.88%0.2071✓1.49327k2022-05-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7224.6006-2.57%4.685-0.78%0.0330✗0.372.4M2022-05-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02940.028945-1.55%0.0257-12.59%0.0309✓2.2223.0M2022-05-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.1070.105344-1.55%0.0896-16.26%0.1002✓1.55162k2022-05-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.3982.3659-1.34%2.618+9.17%0.1440✗1.08730k2022-05-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.288.1875-1.12%8.01-3.26%0.0034✓0.471.2M2022-05-23
DIADIAEthereum0.538810.533245-1.03%0.48959-9.13%0.0644✓0.5382k2022-05-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.065010.064366-0.99%0.05627-13.44%0.0927✓1.0520k2022-05-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.027470.027208-0.95%0.02975+8.30%0.1166✗0.69402k2022-05-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.453.423-0.78%3.57+3.48%0.0747✗0.82575k2022-05-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.451720.448895-0.63%0.41457-8.22%0.0119✓1.7026k2022-05-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.60532.5916-0.53%2.2096-15.19%0.1081✓1.297.4M2022-05-23
XEMNEMnative0.06020.059916-0.47%0.0554-7.97%0.0241✓1.3743k2022-05-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0193090.019224-0.44%0.017682-8.43%0.0594✓0.61208k2022-05-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.66961.6625-0.42%1.5809-5.31%0.0269✓0.5912k2022-05-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.9461.9379-0.41%3.201+64.49%0.5388✗0.93783k2022-05-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.17722.1685-0.40%2.2211+2.02%0.0600✗0.914.3M2022-05-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5091.5031-0.39%1.444-4.31%0.0159✗1.4110.7M2022-05-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04880.048612-0.39%0.04706-3.57%0.0063✗0.987,9612022-05-23
STEEMSteemnative0.28180.280771-0.36%0.265-5.96%0.0110✗1.731.1M2022-05-23
KCSKuCoinnative16.92616.8669-0.35%16.3-3.70%0.0045✗0.976.3M2022-05-23
TRXTRONTron0.0781080.077836-0.35%0.076052-2.63%0.0084✗0.80990k2022-05-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.32572.3178-0.34%2.5073+7.81%0.1179✗0.992.5M2022-05-23
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.17310.172536-0.33%0.1675-3.24%0.0101✗1.003,4222022-05-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7810.778855-0.27%0.703-9.99%0.0432✓1.4916k2022-05-23
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.0493.0409-0.27%2.936-3.71%0.0046✗1.00155k2022-05-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.6112.5769-0.26%12.71+0.79%0.0734✗1.586.9M2022-05-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15560.155199-0.26%0.1439-7.52%0.0097✓1.6697k2022-05-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3124.3016-0.24%3.79-12.11%0.0897✓0.931.9M2022-05-23
HIVEHivenative0.52060.519399-0.23%0.4894-5.99%0.0087✓1.281.5M2022-05-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.162.1553-0.22%1.94-10.19%0.0371✓1.72575k2022-05-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.975.9581-0.20%5.66-5.19%0.0220✓0.743.1M2022-05-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4273.4205-0.19%3.4941+1.96%0.0804✗1.499.8M2022-05-23
COMPCompoundEthereum71.0670.9267-0.19%68.89-3.05%0.0264✗1.4028k2022-05-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.033.0245-0.18%3.12+2.97%0.0710✗1.00557k2022-05-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana43.993-0.17%4+0.00%0.0341✗0.82798k2022-05-23
XMRMoneroMonero187.32187.0326-0.15%185.61-0.91%0.0351✗1.082.5M2022-05-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5960.595213-0.13%0.545-8.56%0.0263✓1.56904k2022-05-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2710.270648-0.13%0.2567-5.28%0.0032✓1.25305k2022-05-23
IMXImmutableEthereum0.990.988764-0.12%0.938-5.25%0.0093✗1.566.3M2022-05-23
GMTGMTEthereum1.4211.4194-0.11%1.365-3.94%0.0006✓1.004.2M2022-05-23
ZECZcashZcash106.66106.5396-0.11%99.18-7.01%0.0203✓1.295.1M2022-05-23
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3561.3545-0.11%1.292-4.72%0.0075✓1.003.4M2022-05-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.211.1877-0.11%9.44-15.71%0.1065✓1.60176k2022-05-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9990.998095-0.09%0.951-4.80%0.0056✓1.08714k2022-05-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.11e-77.11e-7-0.08%7.03e-7-1.22%0.0262✗0.951.5M2022-05-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05540.055361-0.07%0.0539-2.71%0.0230✗1.251.3M2022-05-23
XLMStellarStellar0.1352820.135186-0.07%0.128708-4.86%0.0064✓1.0812.0M2022-05-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum15.3715.3593-0.07%14.13-8.07%0.0342✓1.24822k2022-05-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4494960.449216-0.06%0.420264-6.50%0.0141✓1.325.6M2022-05-23
ADACardanoCardano0.54130.540977-0.06%0.5129-5.25%0.0002✓1.3448.2M2022-05-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.009250.009245-0.05%0.00859-7.14%0.0337✓1.0011k2022-05-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.583.5783-0.05%3.39-5.31%0.0161✓0.96758k2022-05-23
ZENHorizenBase21.0121.0017-0.04%19.9-5.28%0.0084✗1.57156k2022-05-23
QTUMQtumQtum4.12214.1205-0.04%4.1025-0.48%0.0424✗1.18103k2022-05-23
ETHEthereumEthereum2,040.922,040.17-0.04%1,971.06-3.42%0.0066✗1.03425.9M2022-05-23
MANADecentralandEthereum1.10091.1006-0.03%1.0279-6.64%0.0063✓1.561.2M2022-05-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.19210.192042-0.03%0.1757-8.54%0.0346✓1.37386k2022-05-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.13420.134161-0.03%0.1194-11.03%0.0469✓1.75613k2022-05-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.67440.67425-0.02%0.6653-1.35%0.0441✗1.455.0M2022-05-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408560.408473-0.02%0.3839-6.04%0.0110✓1.28197k2022-05-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3760.375923-0.02%0.346-7.98%0.0118✓1.791.8M2022-05-23
UMAUMAEthereum3.5163.5153-0.02%3.459-1.62%0.0508✗1.682.4M2022-05-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.028440.028435-0.02%0.02709-4.75%0.0078✓1.0220k2022-05-23
XYMSymbolnative0.06780.067788-0.02%0.0654-3.54%0.0059✓0.75305k2022-05-23
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8380.837855-0.02%0.769-8.23%0.0417✓1.113.0M2022-05-23
APEApeCoinEthereum8.0198.0188-0.00%7.749-3.37%0.0604✗2.3877.0M2022-05-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012740.01274-0.00%0.01241-2.59%0.0330✗1.4935.4M2022-05-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19360.193603+0.00%0.1721-11.11%0.0589✗1.48572k2022-05-23
FTTFTXEthereum30.7430.7405+0.00%29.68-3.45%0.0031✓0.9610.6M2022-05-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6940.694013+0.00%0.647-6.77%0.0106✗1.501.7M2022-05-23
QNTQuantEthereum69.4969.4923+0.00%67.91-2.27%0.0198✓1.083.5M2022-05-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.91294.9133+0.01%4.9179+0.10%0.0101✓0.23307k2022-05-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7170.717085+0.01%0.676-5.72%0.0002✓1.49294k2022-05-23
BANDBandEthereum1.861.8602+0.01%1.708-8.17%0.0269✗1.47433k2022-05-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027980.027984+0.01%0.02707-3.25%0.0037✓0.93180k2022-05-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.013290.013292+0.01%0.01287-3.16%0.0091✓1.042.6M2022-05-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.29671.2969+0.02%1.2304-5.11%0.0077✗1.1370k2022-05-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.411.4102+0.02%1.36-3.55%0.0070✓1.09132k2022-05-23
XTZTezosTezos1.9751.9754+0.02%1.8727-5.18%0.0035✗1.261.1M2022-05-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0859310.08595+0.02%0.083087-3.31%0.0107✓1.125.8M2022-05-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13330.133337+0.03%0.1324-0.68%0.0378✓1.131.0M2022-05-23
SCSiacoinnative0.005460.005462+0.03%0.00513-6.04%0.0015✗1.54367k2022-05-23
BTTCBTTC0.000001140.00000114+0.04%0.0000011-3.51%0.0047✗0.797.5M2022-05-23
MOVRMoonriverBase24.62324.6321+0.04%24.2885-1.36%0.0431✓1.44215k2022-05-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.20520.205279+0.04%0.2242+9.26%0.1318✓1.101,8582022-05-23
GTGateEthereum5.74325.7456+0.04%5.6735-1.21%0.0076✓0.514.9M2022-05-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.4420.442199+0.04%0.4165-5.77%0.0118✗1.2115.6M2022-05-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,260.8730,275.81+0.05%29,082.52-3.89%0.0005✓1.00718.8M2022-05-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.313.3066+0.05%12.87-3.23%0.0038✓0.94568k2022-05-23
DASHDashDash61.5361.5609+0.05%59.83-2.76%0.0187✓1.191.0M2022-05-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.209360.20947+0.05%0.20877-0.28%0.0623✓1.65293k2022-05-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.592350.592662+0.05%0.56008-5.45%0.0019✓1.4787k2022-05-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.0621.0713+0.05%21.79+3.47%0.0835✓1.263.4M2022-05-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040970.040993+0.06%0.03865-5.66%0.0041✗1.3844k2022-05-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.26860.268752+0.06%0.2569-4.36%0.0099✓1.39156k2022-05-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13140.131478+0.06%0.1265-3.73%0.0057✓1.1117k2022-05-23
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8042.8057+0.06%2.531-9.74%0.0312✗1.8121k2022-05-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009920.009926+0.06%0.00906-8.67%0.0607✗0.77184k2022-05-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004840.004843+0.06%0.00472-2.48%0.0212✓1.181.8M2022-05-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08450.084555+0.06%0.0801-5.21%0.0115✓1.652.5M2022-05-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.411.4075+0.07%11.13-2.37%0.0323✓1.4321.0M2022-05-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.23940.239561+0.07%0.2149-10.23%0.0844✗0.61369k2022-05-23
XECeCashnative0.000047860.000047894+0.07%0.00004815+0.61%0.0577✓1.325.7M2022-05-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004680.004683+0.07%0.0045-3.85%0.0031✓1.0813k2022-05-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08910.089166+0.07%0.087-2.36%0.0067✓0.79190k2022-05-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.3250.325242+0.07%0.3022-7.02%0.0242✗1.24438k2022-05-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2430.243182+0.07%0.236-2.88%0.0334✓1.602.1M2022-05-23
XVSVenusEthereum4.954.954+0.08%4.66-5.86%0.0061✓1.702.6M2022-05-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin71.6171.6708+0.08%68.95-3.71%0.0083✓1.1819.5M2022-05-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.228.2277+0.09%7.76-5.60%0.0001✓1.487.5M2022-05-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.12330.123416+0.09%0.1176-4.62%0.0043✓1.321.1M2022-05-23
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5820.582549+0.09%0.555-4.64%0.0020✗1.1731k2022-05-23
KSMKusamaHydration80.4480.5287+0.11%82.85+3.00%0.0779✓1.251.4M2022-05-23
CBKCobakEthereum1.2351.2364+0.11%1.169-5.34%0.0155✗1.0210k2022-05-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum21.6721.6942+0.11%20.98-3.18%0.0221✓1.403.2M2022-05-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1752.1774+0.11%2-8.05%0.0246✗1.5287k2022-05-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.51550.516134+0.12%0.5503+6.75%0.1239✓1.51211k2022-05-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34930.349734+0.12%0.3315-5.10%0.0021✗1.298.6M2022-05-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.448.4509+0.13%8.16-3.32%0.0159✓1.284.9M2022-05-23
NANOnanopayBase1.16351.165+0.13%1.1466-1.45%0.0340✓1.26157k2022-05-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV50.64550.7113+0.13%51+0.70%0.0442✓0.971.5M2022-05-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.327.3296+0.13%7.01-4.23%0.0086✓1.3418.8M2022-05-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0175760.017599+0.13%0.020648+17.48%0.2031✓1.093.1M2022-05-23
XVGVergenative0.005310.005317+0.13%0.00507-4.52%0.0090✓1.43867k2022-05-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,473.139,485.93+0.14%8,924.64-5.79%0.0135✗1.203.2M2022-05-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03480.034847+0.14%0.0329-5.46%0.0018✗1.40198k2022-05-23
UNIUniswapEthereum5.495.4975+0.14%5.62+2.37%0.0704✓1.222.9M2022-05-23
PROPropyEthereum1.091.0915+0.14%1.04-4.59%0.0214✗0.68337k2022-05-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2731.2748+0.14%1.297+1.89%0.0703✓1.347.5M2022-05-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.0683.0723+0.14%2.852-7.04%0.0137✗1.53271k2022-05-23
AVTAventusEthereum1.231.2318+0.15%1.18-4.07%0.0109✗0.81192k2022-05-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0193.0235+0.15%2.975-1.46%0.0274✓1.1090k2022-05-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.366.3698+0.15%6.18-2.83%0.0252✓1.40610k2022-05-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14320.143427+0.16%0.1353-5.52%0.0054✓1.605.5M2022-05-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,400.0030,451.45+0.17%29,122.50-4.20%0.0059✗0.9776k2022-05-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash197.72198.062+0.17%191.72-3.03%0.0138✓1.174.9M2022-05-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.940.941689+0.18%0.87-7.45%0.0178✗1.55639k2022-05-23
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06840.068527+0.19%0.0659-3.65%0.0006✓1.003.0M2022-05-23
RADRadworksEthereum2.072.0738+0.19%1.93-6.76%0.0282✗1.10258k2022-05-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.08470.084859+0.19%0.0797-5.90%0.0053✓1.71215k2022-05-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.62.6049+0.19%2.5223-2.99%0.0174✓1.2593k2022-05-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.379960.380689+0.19%0.38305+0.81%0.0633✓1.441.1M2022-05-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3790.379734+0.19%0.377-0.53%0.0367✓1.111.0M2022-05-23
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0151.017+0.19%0.981-3.35%0.0222✓1.47760k2022-05-23
ORCAOrcaSolana0.860.861698+0.20%0.78-9.30%0.0583✗1.0495k2022-05-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.782.7855+0.20%2.56-7.91%0.0138✗1.78390k2022-05-23
SUSHISushiEthereum1.451.4529+0.20%1.53+5.52%0.1117✓1.513.0M2022-05-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.1442.1486+0.21%1.931-9.93%0.0316✗1.89789k2022-05-23
STXStacksnative0.560.561193+0.21%0.62+10.71%0.1452✓1.15260k2022-05-23
SOLSolanaSolana52.4452.5525+0.21%49.11-6.35%0.0102✗1.4588.2M2022-05-23
DODODODOEthereum0.1450.145315+0.22%0.146+0.69%0.0651✓1.523.1M2022-05-23
API3Api3Ethereum1.9231.9272+0.22%1.748-9.10%0.0357✗1.561.8M2022-05-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.11770.117962+0.22%0.1154-1.95%0.0426✓1.631.4M2022-05-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7232.7291+0.22%2.587-4.99%0.0155✓1.745.4M2022-05-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.16290.163266+0.22%0.1546-5.10%0.0055✓1.518.8M2022-05-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009450.009472+0.23%0.00988+4.55%0.0859✓1.101.1M2022-05-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.07190.072068+0.23%0.07037-2.13%0.0190✓1.0817k2022-05-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.40090.401895+0.25%0.381-4.96%0.0016✓1.3070k2022-05-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.1410.1658+0.25%9.88-2.56%0.0248✓1.3413.8M2022-05-23
AAVEAaveEthereum94.1894.4231+0.26%99.24+5.37%0.1108✓1.548.7M2022-05-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.06420.064366+0.26%0.0664+3.43%0.0792✓1.21393k2022-05-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2371.2406+0.29%1.161-6.14%0.0001✓1.67490k2022-05-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011910.000011945+0.29%0.00001167-2.02%0.0286✓1.311.1M2022-05-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0590.059185+0.31%0.055-6.78%0.0256✗1.2085k2022-05-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche31.6831.7842+0.33%29.04-8.33%0.0321✗1.4750.4M2022-05-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001480.001485+0.35%0.00141-4.73%0.0081✓1.513.3M2022-05-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.