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2022-05-15 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0419
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.10%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
30.2%
in alpha space · 10.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.63%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SGBSongbirdnative0.02230.022647+1.56%0.0281+26.01%0.2359✓0.43135k2022-05-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.51271.5361+1.54%1.3834-8.55%0.0542✗1.064.3M2022-05-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001410.001429+1.35%0.00133-5.67%0.0011✓1.493.7M2022-05-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.68761.7084+1.23%1.5881-5.90%0.0214✗1.092.5M2022-05-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.861.8821+1.19%1.69-9.14%0.0275✗1.69436k2022-05-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.8441.8657+1.18%1.733-6.02%0.0399✗0.711.9M2022-05-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07510.075972+1.16%0.0795+5.86%0.1342✓1.87173k2022-05-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.395.4515+1.14%4.95-8.16%0.0572✗0.831.3M2022-05-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5280.534008+1.14%0.477-9.66%0.0443✗1.45891k2022-05-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004490.004541+1.13%0.00432-3.79%0.0030✓0.9920k2022-05-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.9151.9366+1.13%1.805-5.74%0.0021✓1.442.4M2022-05-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.38030.384547+1.12%0.34-10.60%0.0627✗1.2793k2022-05-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81421.834+1.09%1.6704-7.93%0.0355✗1.229.3M2022-05-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.542.5676+1.09%2.53-0.39%0.0354✓1.06548k2022-05-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1690.170806+1.07%0.151-10.65%0.0539✗1.464.3M2022-05-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.399970.404221+1.06%0.37002-7.49%0.0171✗1.501.4M2022-05-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0842.1059+1.05%1.976-5.18%0.0316✓2.01973k2022-05-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.046.1024+1.03%6.06+0.33%0.0587✓1.38572k2022-05-16
AAVEAaveEthereum92.0693.01+1.03%83.79-8.98%0.0336✗1.498.6M2022-05-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.13230.133637+1.01%0.1577+19.20%0.2553✓1.89694k2022-05-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01730.017474+1.01%0.0152-12.14%0.0351✗2.2025.3M2022-05-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.522.5453+1.01%2.26-10.32%0.0369✗1.73378k2022-05-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6970.703814+0.98%0.628-9.90%0.0442✗1.4716k2022-05-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.571.5853+0.97%1.504-4.20%0.0037✓1.03683k2022-05-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3570.360464+0.97%0.316-11.48%0.0836✗1.011.1M2022-05-16
RADRadworksEthereum22.0192+0.96%1.93-3.50%0.0038✓1.03350k2022-05-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3280.331134+0.96%0.307-6.40%0.0066✓1.731.8M2022-05-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2370.23925+0.95%0.213-10.13%0.0459✗1.483.7M2022-05-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15160.15303+0.94%0.139-8.31%0.0220✗1.566.2M2022-05-16
DIADIAEthereum0.409670.413484+0.93%0.37994-7.26%0.0470✗0.7970k2022-05-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.5871.6016+0.92%1.446-8.88%0.0565✗0.96779k2022-05-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.081.0899+0.92%1.11+2.78%0.0573✓0.82201k2022-05-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.890.898086+0.91%0.81-8.99%0.0307✗1.53801k2022-05-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.218660.220641+0.91%0.19391-11.32%0.0518✗1.63264k2022-05-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0740.074668+0.90%0.068-8.11%0.0444✗1.04113k2022-05-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.414980.418704+0.90%0.35987-13.28%0.0719✗1.68331k2022-05-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4692.4911+0.90%2.298-6.93%0.0005✓1.6923k2022-05-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.0110.011098+0.89%0.01489+35.36%0.3730✓1.6643.3M2022-05-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6410.646661+0.88%0.619-3.43%0.0132✓1.2038k2022-05-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.240.242119+0.88%0.2098-12.58%0.1234✗0.42448k2022-05-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071630.072246+0.86%0.07067-1.34%0.0276✓1.0519k2022-05-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.995.0321+0.84%4.56-8.62%0.0584✗0.852.7M2022-05-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.010450.010537+0.84%0.00903-13.59%0.1168✗0.79246k2022-05-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.1220.123006+0.82%0.1097-10.08%0.0399✗1.571.7M2022-05-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0171630.017304+0.82%0.015316-10.76%0.0685✗1.134.2M2022-05-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013040.000013147+0.82%0.00001196-8.28%0.0324✗1.311.2M2022-05-16
STXStacksnative0.620.625025+0.81%0.56-9.68%0.0564✗1.13314k2022-05-16
BANDBandEthereum1.8081.8226+0.81%1.602-11.39%0.0615✗1.42500k2022-05-16
HIVEHivenative0.53390.538209+0.81%0.4896-8.30%0.0352✗1.251.5M2022-05-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.4121.4234+0.80%1.289-8.71%0.0177✗1.72665k2022-05-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9540.961479+0.78%0.872-8.60%0.0243✗1.557.6M2022-05-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0125930.012692+0.78%0.012762+1.34%0.0409✓0.75198k2022-05-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0722.0882+0.78%1.9-8.30%0.0165✗1.6487k2022-05-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.263.2853+0.78%3.15-3.37%0.0024✓0.94783k2022-05-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13590.136947+0.77%0.1178-13.32%0.1053✗0.9519k2022-05-16
XVGVergenative0.00530.00534+0.76%0.00486-8.30%0.0298✗1.36915k2022-05-16
KSMKusamaHydration80.5381.1328+0.75%73.47-8.77%0.0409✗1.231.2M2022-05-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.742.7604+0.74%2.54-7.30%0.0365✗0.99453k2022-05-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.21240.213973+0.74%0.1988-6.40%0.0237✗1.052,6012022-05-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26160.263526+0.74%0.2463-5.85%0.0083✗1.25280k2022-05-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017810.01794+0.73%0.01902+6.79%0.0932✓0.73400k2022-05-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0573.0791+0.72%2.723-10.93%0.0429✗1.696.7M2022-05-16
MINAMina Protocolnative1.161.1684+0.72%1.042-10.17%0.0492✗1.38760k2022-05-16
XVSVenusEthereum5.015.0457+0.71%4.54-9.38%0.0370✗1.452.8M2022-05-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8872.9075+0.71%2.66-7.86%0.0158✗1.54245k2022-05-16
UMAUMAEthereum3.1323.1539+0.70%2.988-4.60%0.0248✓1.662.4M2022-05-16
GTGateEthereum5.56745.6057+0.69%5.4363-2.35%0.0053✓0.535.0M2022-05-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.19950.200871+0.69%0.1736-12.98%0.0725✗1.558.8M2022-05-16
XECeCashnative0.000043080.000043372+0.68%0.00004677+8.57%0.1399✓1.366.2M2022-05-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08610.086675+0.67%0.0764-11.27%0.0787✗1.003.4M2022-05-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.595350.599326+0.67%0.53418-10.27%0.0466✗1.4493k2022-05-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0929870.093606+0.67%0.087881-5.49%0.0104✗1.116.3M2022-05-16
ORCAOrcaSolana11.0066+0.66%0.92-8.00%0.0445✗0.96137k2022-05-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8320.837316+0.64%0.753-9.50%0.0545✗1.093.2M2022-05-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03570.035927+0.64%0.0317-11.20%0.0615✗1.34174k2022-05-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.6513.7368+0.64%13.03-4.54%0.0094✗0.91564k2022-05-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.37450.37687+0.63%0.3587-4.22%0.0105✓1.268.8M2022-05-16
COMPCompoundEthereum74.8375.3027+0.63%68.67-8.23%0.0274✗1.3730k2022-05-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.391.3987+0.62%1.27-8.63%0.0269✗1.473.6M2022-05-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.10010.100717+0.62%0.0861-13.99%0.0771✗1.68239k2022-05-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.28341.2912+0.61%1.1933-7.02%0.0284✗1.0698k2022-05-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.433460.436072+0.60%0.3914-9.70%0.0479✗1.27223k2022-05-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.12580.126555+0.60%0.1137-9.62%0.0424✗1.361.2M2022-05-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71690.721199+0.60%0.6732-6.10%0.0022✓1.406.1M2022-05-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05570.056032+0.60%0.0537-3.59%0.0148✓1.211.6M2022-05-16
NANOnanopayBase1.18671.1937+0.60%1.0859-8.49%0.0355✗1.25156k2022-05-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.07050.07092+0.60%0.0702-0.43%0.0455✓1.17405k2022-05-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.056780.057115+0.59%0.05342-5.92%0.0193✗1.0025k2022-05-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,598.4910,660.70+0.59%9,743.68-8.07%0.0349✗1.162.8M2022-05-16
DASHDashDash63.0363.3991+0.59%57.82-8.27%0.0362✗1.181.1M2022-05-16
SCSiacoinnative0.005720.005753+0.57%0.00517-9.62%0.0369✗1.47403k2022-05-16
XMRMoneroMonero171.74172.7183+0.57%161.82-5.78%0.0151✗1.063.2M2022-05-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040220.040447+0.57%0.03791-5.74%0.0004✓1.3694k2022-05-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.18680.187852+0.56%0.1733-7.23%0.0136✗1.41386k2022-05-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.028040.028197+0.56%0.02818+0.50%0.0476✓1.0226k2022-05-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00570.005732+0.56%0.00527-7.54%0.0243✗1.261.9M2022-05-16
MOVRMoonriverBase25.57525.7179+0.56%23.5002-8.11%0.0202✗1.48201k2022-05-16
GMTGMTEthereum1.6181.627+0.56%1.433-11.43%0.0795✗1.007.5M2022-05-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.063.077+0.56%2.907-5.00%0.0077✗1.0396k2022-05-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.968.004+0.55%7.41-6.91%0.0143✗1.3218.4M2022-05-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7730.777227+0.55%0.699-9.57%0.0359✗1.48338k2022-05-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.409920.412151+0.54%0.38073-7.12%0.0011✓1.6530k2022-05-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.3190.320725+0.54%0.3018-5.39%0.0008✓1.30445k2022-05-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.3712.4368+0.54%11.07-10.51%0.0517✗1.3620.1M2022-05-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche36.5436.7373+0.54%32.49-11.08%0.0541✗1.4546.9M2022-05-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.014260.014337+0.54%0.01387-2.73%0.0174✓1.063.2M2022-05-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4442650.446629+0.53%0.401596-9.60%0.0425✗1.346.1M2022-05-16
UNIUniswapEthereum5.455.4789+0.53%5.03-7.71%0.0286✗1.203.5M2022-05-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum15.7715.8534+0.53%14.58-7.55%0.0218✗1.31822k2022-05-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.85572.8708+0.53%2.5916-9.25%0.0257✗1.629.1M2022-05-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010190.010244+0.53%0.00978-4.02%0.0065✓1.111.2M2022-05-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.49020.492764+0.52%0.4598-6.20%0.0126✗1.1914.3M2022-05-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.169.2077+0.52%8.29-9.50%0.0458✗1.257.4M2022-05-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.2121.2183+0.52%1.178-2.81%0.0138✓1.0024k2022-05-16
SOLSolanaSolana58.8259.1228+0.51%53.69-8.72%0.0294✗1.4187.8M2022-05-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20210.203134+0.51%0.1872-7.37%0.0130✗1.45683k2022-05-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14610.146843+0.51%0.1449-0.82%0.0652✓1.65109k2022-05-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.66172.6752+0.51%2.4311-8.66%0.0373✗1.23166k2022-05-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.27570.2771+0.51%0.254-7.87%0.0201✗1.41176k2022-05-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.51520.517809+0.51%0.4618-10.36%0.0443✗1.48307k2022-05-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09070.091155+0.50%0.0887-2.21%0.0127✓0.84177k2022-05-16
QNTQuantEthereum75.2175.5876+0.50%70.49-6.28%0.0206✗1.043.6M2022-05-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12990.130545+0.50%0.149+14.70%0.1864✓1.141.1M2022-05-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.833.849+0.50%3.52-8.09%0.0532✗0.76788k2022-05-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.30e-76.33e-7+0.49%6.93e-7+10.10%0.1175✓0.551.4M2022-05-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,290.0531,443.18+0.49%29,839.89-4.63%0.0049✓1.00672.6M2022-05-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.09140.091846+0.49%0.0809-11.49%0.0548✗1.523.6M2022-05-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.229.2645+0.48%8.1-12.15%0.0679✗1.408.3M2022-05-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.653.667+0.47%3.379-7.42%0.0333✗1.021.5M2022-05-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0092840.009327+0.46%0.008554-7.86%0.0384✗1.0124k2022-05-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.51.5069+0.46%1.41-6.00%0.0150✗1.08140k2022-05-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.3710.4158+0.44%10.65+2.70%0.0962✓1.565.9M2022-05-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.33831.3442+0.44%1.1653-12.93%0.0710✗1.511.2M2022-05-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.9655.1992+0.44%53.59-2.49%0.0159✓0.961.8M2022-05-16
ADACardanoCardano0.5980.600595+0.43%0.5561-7.01%0.0152✗1.3048.2M2022-05-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.5311.5799+0.43%9.27-19.60%0.1512✗1.50140k2022-05-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.5071.5134+0.43%1.361-9.69%0.0382✗1.436.6M2022-05-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.1122.2025+0.42%20.77-6.06%0.0068✗1.264.2M2022-05-16
FTTFTXEthereum32.6632.7936+0.41%31.82-2.57%0.0153✓0.9613.8M2022-05-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04850.048692+0.40%0.0461-4.95%0.0086✗0.978,2452022-05-16
ZENHorizenBase22.122.1875+0.40%20.3-8.14%0.0170✗1.52167k2022-05-16
ETHEthereumEthereum2,142.692,151.16+0.40%2,020.58-5.70%0.0138✗1.03494.1M2022-05-16
ZECZcashZcash112.6113.0409+0.39%102.47-9.00%0.0380✗1.275.3M2022-05-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.1224.2129+0.39%20.95-13.14%0.0763✗1.443.4M2022-05-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash214.55215.3725+0.38%197.37-8.01%0.0340✗1.125.3M2022-05-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9770.980745+0.38%0.916-6.24%0.0159✗1.11769k2022-05-16
BTTCBTTC0.000001150.000001154+0.38%0.00000111-3.48%0.0017✓0.797.8M2022-05-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1449860.145529+0.37%0.136163-6.09%0.0156✗1.0713.4M2022-05-16
APEApeCoinEthereum9.1319.1628+0.35%8.069-11.63%0.0056✗2.5694.8M2022-05-16
XYMSymbolnative0.07170.071946+0.34%0.068-5.16%0.0215✗0.74568k2022-05-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin71.571.7446+0.34%67.13-6.11%0.0121✗1.1518.7M2022-05-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026940.02703+0.34%0.03061+13.62%0.1755✓1.08194k2022-05-16
NEXONEXOEthereum1.4011.4056+0.32%1.367-2.43%0.0196✓1.005.1M2022-05-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3634+0.32%1.249-8.09%0.0208✗1.4115.1M2022-05-16
XTZTezosTezos1.9151.9207+0.30%1.7722-7.46%0.0206✗1.26971k2022-05-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.00775.0215+0.28%4.961-0.93%0.0003✓0.26285k2022-05-16
STEEMSteemnative0.26890.26964+0.28%0.284+5.62%0.0993✓1.001.9M2022-05-16
XEMNEMnative0.06670.066881+0.27%0.0583-12.59%0.0770✗1.27164k2022-05-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.7911.8207+0.26%10.62-9.92%0.0456✗1.3012.5M2022-05-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7040.705638+0.23%0.61-13.35%0.0702✗1.591.7M2022-05-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,292.3031,360.69+0.22%30,058.30-3.94%0.0039✓0.9876k2022-05-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.27084.2786+0.18%3.9461-7.60%0.0238✗1.20135k2022-05-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.77981.7827+0.16%1.7113-3.85%0.0101✗0.6516k2022-05-16
KCSKuCoinnative14.50714.5296+0.16%13.821-4.73%0.0045✗0.964.1M2022-05-16
PROPropyEthereum1.21.2015+0.13%1.13-5.83%0.0280✗0.70459k2022-05-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.19430.194328+0.01%0.1919-1.24%0.0349✓1.004,0132022-05-16
TRXTRONTron0.0723170.072236-0.11%0.069019-4.56%0.0078✓0.801.2M2022-05-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.4543.4456-0.24%3.142-9.03%0.0448✓1.00257k2022-05-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000220.000133643-39.25%0.0002-9.09%0.5286✗2.648.4M2022-05-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.