8=======>

2022-05-15 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0181
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.32%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
34.5%
in alpha space · 20.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.63%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000220.000174472-20.69%0.0002-9.09%0.2620✗2.648.4M2022-05-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.33831.3313-0.53%1.1653-12.93%0.0613✓1.511.2M2022-05-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.19430.193435-0.44%0.1919-1.24%0.0395✗1.004,0132022-05-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.4543.4418-0.35%3.142-9.03%0.0437✓1.00257k2022-05-16
TRXTRONTron0.0723170.072093-0.31%0.069019-4.56%0.0058✓0.801.2M2022-05-16
ZECZcashZcash112.6112.3009-0.27%102.47-9.00%0.0315✓1.275.3M2022-05-16
KCSKuCoinnative14.50714.4766-0.21%13.821-4.73%0.0009✓0.964.1M2022-05-16
XEMNEMnative0.06670.066575-0.19%0.0583-12.59%0.0724✓1.27164k2022-05-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7040.703249-0.11%0.61-13.35%0.0668✓1.591.7M2022-05-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.77981.7783-0.09%1.7113-3.85%0.0076✓0.6516k2022-05-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1449860.144872-0.08%0.136163-6.09%0.0111✓1.0713.4M2022-05-16
NEXONEXOEthereum1.4011.4-0.07%1.367-2.43%0.0236✗1.005.1M2022-05-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.00775.0043-0.07%4.961-0.93%0.0038✗0.26285k2022-05-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3582-0.06%1.249-8.09%0.0170✓1.4115.1M2022-05-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9770.976558-0.05%0.916-6.24%0.0116✓1.11769k2022-05-16
ADACardanoCardano0.5980.597773-0.04%0.5561-7.01%0.0105✓1.3048.2M2022-05-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04850.048486-0.03%0.0461-4.95%0.0043✓0.978,2452022-05-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.833.829-0.03%3.52-8.09%0.0480✓0.76788k2022-05-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.5311.5272-0.02%9.27-19.60%0.1466✓1.50140k2022-05-16
FTTFTXEthereum32.6632.654-0.02%31.82-2.57%0.0196✗0.9613.8M2022-05-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.433460.433396-0.01%0.3914-9.70%0.0418✓1.27223k2022-05-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71690.716814-0.01%0.6732-6.10%0.0039✗1.406.1M2022-05-16
STEEMSteemnative0.26890.268868-0.01%0.284+5.62%0.1022✗1.001.9M2022-05-16
QNTQuantEthereum75.2175.2121+0.00%70.49-6.28%0.0156✗1.043.6M2022-05-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.27084.2713+0.01%3.9461-7.60%0.0221✗1.20135k2022-05-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00570.005701+0.02%0.00527-7.54%0.0189✗1.261.9M2022-05-16
ETHEthereumEthereum2,142.692,143.12+0.02%2,020.58-5.70%0.0101✗1.03494.1M2022-05-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.51.5004+0.03%1.41-6.00%0.0107✗1.08140k2022-05-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20210.202171+0.04%0.1872-7.37%0.0082✗1.45683k2022-05-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum15.7715.7759+0.04%14.58-7.55%0.0169✗1.31822k2022-05-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.014260.014265+0.04%0.01387-2.73%0.0224✓1.063.2M2022-05-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.49020.490391+0.04%0.4598-6.20%0.0078✗1.1914.3M2022-05-16
GTGateEthereum5.56745.5699+0.05%5.4363-2.35%0.0011✓0.535.0M2022-05-16
XMRMoneroMonero171.74171.8345+0.06%161.82-5.78%0.0099✗1.063.2M2022-05-16
ZENHorizenBase22.122.1133+0.06%20.3-8.14%0.0136✗1.52167k2022-05-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,292.3031,311.70+0.06%30,058.30-3.94%0.0055✓0.9876k2022-05-16
XYMSymbolnative0.07170.071747+0.07%0.068-5.16%0.0187✗0.74568k2022-05-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8320.832578+0.07%0.753-9.50%0.0488✗1.093.2M2022-05-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.3710.3778+0.08%10.65+2.70%0.0999✓1.565.9M2022-05-16
GMTGMTEthereum1.6181.6192+0.08%1.433-11.43%0.0747✗1.007.5M2022-05-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.7911.7994+0.08%10.62-9.92%0.0438✗1.3012.5M2022-05-16
COMPCompoundEthereum74.8374.891+0.08%68.67-8.23%0.0219✗1.3730k2022-05-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.85572.8581+0.08%2.5916-9.25%0.0212✗1.629.1M2022-05-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.18680.186955+0.08%0.1733-7.23%0.0089✗1.41386k2022-05-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.10010.100188+0.09%0.0861-13.99%0.0719✗1.68239k2022-05-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,290.0531,320.22+0.10%29,839.89-4.63%0.0010✓1.00672.6M2022-05-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.1122.1323+0.10%20.77-6.06%0.0037✗1.264.2M2022-05-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.28341.2848+0.11%1.1933-7.02%0.0234✗1.0698k2022-05-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7730.773834+0.11%0.699-9.57%0.0315✗1.48338k2022-05-16
HIVEHivenative0.53390.534478+0.11%0.4896-8.30%0.0283✗1.251.5M2022-05-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0092840.009295+0.12%0.008554-7.86%0.0350✗1.0124k2022-05-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0929870.093096+0.12%0.087881-5.49%0.0050✗1.116.3M2022-05-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.3190.319399+0.13%0.3018-5.39%0.0049✓1.30445k2022-05-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.19950.199754+0.13%0.1736-12.98%0.0670✗1.558.8M2022-05-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.3712.3859+0.13%11.07-10.51%0.0476✗1.3620.1M2022-05-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.1224.1511+0.13%20.95-13.14%0.0737✗1.443.4M2022-05-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09070.090823+0.14%0.0887-2.21%0.0163✓0.84177k2022-05-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.21240.212694+0.14%0.1988-6.40%0.0178✗1.052,6012022-05-16
SCSiacoinnative0.005720.005728+0.14%0.00517-9.62%0.0325✗1.47403k2022-05-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017810.017835+0.14%0.01902+6.79%0.0990✓0.73400k2022-05-16
APEApeCoinEthereum9.1319.1439+0.14%8.069-11.63%0.0036✗2.5694.8M2022-05-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.37450.375059+0.15%0.3587-4.22%0.0153✓1.268.8M2022-05-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.27570.276116+0.15%0.254-7.87%0.0165✗1.41176k2022-05-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash214.55214.8762+0.15%197.37-8.01%0.0317✗1.125.3M2022-05-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14610.146329+0.16%0.1449-0.82%0.0687✓1.65109k2022-05-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.229.2345+0.16%8.1-12.15%0.0647✗1.408.3M2022-05-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin71.571.6138+0.16%67.13-6.11%0.0103✗1.1518.7M2022-05-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.967.9736+0.17%7.41-6.91%0.0105✗1.3218.4M2022-05-16
MOVRMoonriverBase25.57525.6186+0.17%23.5002-8.11%0.0163✗1.48201k2022-05-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.30e-76.31e-7+0.17%6.93e-7+10.10%0.1207✓0.551.4M2022-05-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.056780.05688+0.18%0.05342-5.92%0.0151✗1.0025k2022-05-16
DASHDashDash63.0363.1473+0.19%57.82-8.27%0.0322✗1.181.1M2022-05-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.5071.5099+0.19%1.361-9.69%0.0359✗1.436.6M2022-05-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.653.6572+0.20%3.379-7.42%0.0306✗1.021.5M2022-05-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.9655.0688+0.20%53.59-2.49%0.0183✓0.961.8M2022-05-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12990.130163+0.20%0.149+14.70%0.1893✓1.141.1M2022-05-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.595350.596575+0.21%0.53418-10.27%0.0420✗1.4493k2022-05-16
BTTCBTTC0.000001150.000001152+0.21%0.00000111-3.48%0.0001✓0.797.8M2022-05-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.6513.6781+0.21%13.03-4.54%0.0051✗0.91564k2022-05-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05570.055818+0.21%0.0537-3.59%0.0187✓1.211.6M2022-05-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026940.026999+0.22%0.03061+13.62%0.1766✓1.08194k2022-05-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.742.7461+0.22%2.54-7.30%0.0313✗0.99453k2022-05-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,598.4910,622.50+0.23%9,743.68-8.07%0.0313✗1.162.8M2022-05-16
NANOnanopayBase1.18671.1894+0.23%1.0859-8.49%0.0318✗1.25156k2022-05-16
PROPropyEthereum1.21.2028+0.23%1.13-5.83%0.0290✗0.70459k2022-05-16
XTZTezosTezos1.9151.9195+0.23%1.7722-7.46%0.0200✗1.26971k2022-05-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010190.010214+0.24%0.00978-4.02%0.0094✓1.111.2M2022-05-16
SOLSolanaSolana58.8258.9594+0.24%53.69-8.72%0.0266✗1.4187.8M2022-05-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040220.040318+0.24%0.03791-5.74%0.0028✓1.3694k2022-05-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.51520.516461+0.24%0.4618-10.36%0.0417✗1.48307k2022-05-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.12580.126114+0.25%0.1137-9.62%0.0389✗1.361.2M2022-05-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.063.0679+0.26%2.907-5.00%0.0048✗1.0396k2022-05-16
KSMKusamaHydration80.5380.7387+0.26%73.47-8.77%0.0361✗1.231.2M2022-05-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03570.035796+0.27%0.0317-11.20%0.0578✗1.34174k2022-05-16
STXStacksnative0.620.621737+0.28%0.56-9.68%0.0511✗1.13314k2022-05-16
UNIUniswapEthereum5.455.4654+0.28%5.03-7.71%0.0261✗1.203.5M2022-05-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.028040.02812+0.28%0.02818+0.50%0.0503✓1.0226k2022-05-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9540.956798+0.29%0.872-8.60%0.0194✗1.557.6M2022-05-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.07050.070707+0.29%0.0702-0.43%0.0485✓1.17405k2022-05-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.09140.091669+0.29%0.0809-11.49%0.0529✗1.523.6M2022-05-16
BANDBandEthereum1.8081.8135+0.31%1.602-11.39%0.0564✗1.42500k2022-05-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.169.188+0.31%8.29-9.50%0.0437✗1.257.4M2022-05-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15160.152064+0.31%0.139-8.31%0.0156✗1.566.2M2022-05-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0171630.017216+0.31%0.015316-10.76%0.0634✗1.134.2M2022-05-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08610.086366+0.31%0.0764-11.27%0.0752✗1.003.4M2022-05-16
XVGVergenative0.00530.005317+0.31%0.00486-8.30%0.0254✗1.36915k2022-05-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.010450.010483+0.31%0.00903-13.59%0.1116✗0.79246k2022-05-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.66172.6701+0.32%2.4311-8.66%0.0354✗1.23166k2022-05-16
MINAMina Protocolnative1.161.1638+0.32%1.042-10.17%0.0452✗1.38760k2022-05-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13590.136347+0.33%0.1178-13.32%0.1009✗0.9519k2022-05-16
ORCAOrcaSolana11.0034+0.34%0.92-8.00%0.0413✗0.96137k2022-05-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.542.5487+0.34%2.53-0.39%0.0428✓1.06548k2022-05-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0722.0791+0.34%1.9-8.30%0.0121✗1.6487k2022-05-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013040.000013085+0.35%0.00001196-8.28%0.0277✗1.311.2M2022-05-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6410.643258+0.35%0.619-3.43%0.0185✓1.2038k2022-05-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.240.240862+0.36%0.2098-12.58%0.1182✗0.42448k2022-05-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.409920.411394+0.36%0.38073-7.12%0.0008✓1.6530k2022-05-16
UMAUMAEthereum3.1323.1433+0.36%2.988-4.60%0.0281✓1.662.4M2022-05-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4442650.445881+0.36%0.401596-9.60%0.0409✗1.346.1M2022-05-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.13230.132782+0.36%0.1577+19.20%0.2617✓1.89694k2022-05-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.263.2719+0.37%3.15-3.37%0.0065✓0.94783k2022-05-16
XVSVenusEthereum5.015.0296+0.39%4.54-9.38%0.0338✗1.452.8M2022-05-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.1220.122481+0.39%0.1097-10.08%0.0356✗1.571.7M2022-05-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26160.262635+0.40%0.2463-5.85%0.0049✗1.25280k2022-05-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche36.5436.6894+0.41%32.49-11.08%0.0528✗1.4546.9M2022-05-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0125930.012644+0.41%0.012762+1.34%0.0447✓0.75198k2022-05-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0573.0697+0.41%2.723-10.93%0.0398✗1.696.7M2022-05-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.218660.219583+0.42%0.19391-11.32%0.0470✗1.63264k2022-05-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071630.071933+0.42%0.07067-1.34%0.0320✓1.0519k2022-05-16
XECeCashnative0.000043080.000043266+0.43%0.00004677+8.57%0.1424✓1.366.2M2022-05-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.399970.401737+0.44%0.37002-7.49%0.0109✗1.501.4M2022-05-16
DIADIAEthereum0.409670.411512+0.45%0.37994-7.26%0.0422✗0.7970k2022-05-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3280.3295+0.46%0.307-6.40%0.0116✓1.731.8M2022-05-16
AAVEAaveEthereum92.0692.4844+0.46%83.79-8.98%0.0279✗1.498.6M2022-05-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.2121.2176+0.46%1.178-2.81%0.0144✓1.0024k2022-05-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004490.004511+0.47%0.00432-3.79%0.0036✓0.9920k2022-05-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.68761.6956+0.47%1.5881-5.90%0.0139✗1.092.5M2022-05-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5280.530583+0.49%0.477-9.66%0.0378✗1.45891k2022-05-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8872.9011+0.49%2.66-7.86%0.0136✗1.54245k2022-05-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.4121.4189+0.49%1.289-8.71%0.0146✗1.72665k2022-05-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1690.16983+0.49%0.151-10.65%0.0482✗1.464.3M2022-05-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.861.8692+0.49%1.69-9.14%0.0206✗1.69436k2022-05-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2370.238174+0.50%0.213-10.13%0.0414✗1.483.7M2022-05-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.5871.5949+0.50%1.446-8.88%0.0523✗0.96779k2022-05-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0740.074374+0.51%0.068-8.11%0.0404✗1.04113k2022-05-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.414980.417086+0.51%0.35987-13.28%0.0680✗1.68331k2022-05-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.0110.011056+0.51%0.01489+35.36%0.3767✓1.6643.3M2022-05-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.391.3972+0.52%1.27-8.63%0.0259✗1.473.6M2022-05-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.9151.925+0.52%1.805-5.74%0.0039✓1.442.4M2022-05-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4692.482+0.53%2.298-6.93%0.0032✓1.6923k2022-05-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.046.0723+0.54%6.06+0.33%0.0636✓1.38572k2022-05-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3570.358963+0.55%0.316-11.48%0.0794✗1.011.1M2022-05-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.8441.8542+0.55%1.733-6.02%0.0337✗0.711.9M2022-05-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.081.0861+0.57%1.11+2.78%0.0608✓0.82201k2022-05-16
RADRadworksEthereum22.0117+0.58%1.93-3.50%0.0075✓1.03350k2022-05-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.395.4218+0.59%4.95-8.16%0.0517✗0.831.3M2022-05-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.890.895259+0.59%0.81-8.99%0.0275✗1.53801k2022-05-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.571.5796+0.61%1.504-4.20%0.0001✓1.03683k2022-05-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.51271.5219+0.61%1.3834-8.55%0.0449✗1.064.3M2022-05-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0842.0974+0.64%1.976-5.18%0.0356✓2.01973k2022-05-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.522.5363+0.65%2.26-10.32%0.0333✗1.73378k2022-05-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.995.0223+0.65%4.56-8.62%0.0565✗0.852.7M2022-05-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.38030.382972+0.70%0.34-10.60%0.0586✗1.2793k2022-05-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01730.017422+0.70%0.0152-12.14%0.0321✗2.2025.3M2022-05-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6970.701924+0.71%0.628-9.90%0.0415✗1.4716k2022-05-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81421.8271+0.71%1.6704-7.93%0.0317✗1.229.3M2022-05-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07510.07568+0.77%0.0795+5.86%0.1381✓1.87173k2022-05-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001410.001423+0.91%0.00133-5.67%0.0033✓1.493.7M2022-05-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.