8=======>

2022-05-14 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2045
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.87%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.8%
in alpha space · 96.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.48951.5164+1.81%1.5127+1.56%0.0463✗1.084.3M2022-05-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001340.001362+1.64%0.00141+5.22%0.0259✗1.493.8M2022-05-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003950.004012+1.57%0.00449+13.67%0.0738✓0.9519k2022-05-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8271.8555+1.56%2.084+14.07%0.0357✓1.98973k2022-05-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.7811.8076+1.49%1.844+3.54%0.0090✓0.711.9M2022-05-15
AVTAventusEthereum0.950.963776+1.45%1.08+13.68%0.0817✓0.79201k2022-05-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07140.072425+1.44%0.0751+5.18%0.0404✗1.88176k2022-05-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.351630.356673+1.43%0.41498+18.02%0.0850✓1.63331k2022-05-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.64381.6673+1.43%1.6876+2.66%0.0325✗1.092.5M2022-05-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73291.7576+1.42%1.8142+4.69%0.0183✗1.239.6M2022-05-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.8558+1.41%1.86+1.64%0.0669✗1.70418k2022-05-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.12070.12239+1.40%0.1323+9.61%0.0015✓1.88694k2022-05-15
DODODODOEthereum0.1580.1602+1.39%0.169+6.96%0.0057✓1.454.4M2022-05-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.635.7079+1.38%6.04+7.28%0.0005✓1.38572k2022-05-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6350.643756+1.38%0.697+9.76%0.0204✓1.4517k2022-05-15
API3Api3Ethereum1.8391.8642+1.37%1.915+4.13%0.0316✗1.442.5M2022-05-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.085.1494+1.37%5.39+6.10%0.0124✓0.821.3M2022-05-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36470.36965+1.36%0.3803+4.28%0.0232✗1.2793k2022-05-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4960.502714+1.35%0.528+6.45%0.0099✓1.45869k2022-05-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04720.047836+1.35%0.0557+18.01%0.1050✓1.161.5M2022-05-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.42.4322+1.34%2.54+5.83%0.0007✓1.05548k2022-05-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.196760.199287+1.28%0.21866+11.13%0.0271✓1.61262k2022-05-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.377370.382197+1.28%0.39997+5.99%0.0158✗1.501.4M2022-05-15
RADRadworksEthereum1.891.9141+1.28%2+5.82%0.0023✓1.02381k2022-05-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3050.308889+1.28%0.328+7.54%0.0105✓1.731.8M2022-05-15
AAVEAaveEthereum86.4487.5269+1.26%92.06+6.50%0.0102✓1.497.8M2022-05-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.230856+1.25%0.237+3.95%0.0341✗1.484.0M2022-05-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.337141+1.24%0.357+7.21%0.0165✓1.001.1M2022-05-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010130.010256+1.24%0.011+8.59%0.0028✓1.6543.3M2022-05-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.5141.5327+1.23%1.587+4.82%0.0040✓0.95779k2022-05-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.531.5487+1.22%1.57+2.61%0.0286✗1.04683k2022-05-15
DIADIAEthereum0.376460.381034+1.21%0.40967+8.82%0.0412✓0.7770k2022-05-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0740.074898+1.21%0.0861+16.35%0.0987✓1.003.8M2022-05-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01710.017302+1.18%0.0173+1.17%0.0910✗2.2325.3M2022-05-15
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8570.866972+1.16%0.954+11.32%0.0335✓1.537.6M2022-05-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.231.2442+1.15%1.412+14.80%0.0579✓1.69582k2022-05-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14290.144517+1.13%0.1516+6.09%0.0159✗1.576.2M2022-05-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.582.6091+1.13%2.52-2.33%0.1063✗1.76378k2022-05-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1211.1336+1.12%1.359+21.23%0.1261✓1.3614.9M2022-05-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.112138+1.12%0.122+10.01%0.0208✓1.561.7M2022-05-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6210.627704+1.08%0.641+3.22%0.0278✗1.2040k2022-05-15
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4472.4733+1.08%2.469+0.90%0.0712✗1.7123k2022-05-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.07290.07368+1.07%0.074+1.51%0.0380✗1.04115k2022-05-15
STXStacksnative0.560.565946+1.06%0.62+10.71%0.0463✓1.10296k2022-05-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.880.88928+1.05%0.89+1.14%0.0619✗1.54801k2022-05-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11710.118334+1.05%0.1359+16.05%0.1014✓0.9119k2022-05-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015660.015823+1.04%0.01781+13.73%0.0903✓0.69400k2022-05-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7532.7815+1.03%3.057+11.04%0.0263✓1.677.4M2022-05-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004710.004759+1.03%0.0057+21.02%0.1314✓1.211.8M2022-05-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.010010.010112+1.02%0.01045+4.40%0.0005✓0.80269k2022-05-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0152870.015443+1.02%0.017163+12.27%0.0605✓1.114.3M2022-05-15
XVGVergenative0.004770.004818+1.00%0.0053+11.11%0.0409✓1.34885k2022-05-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.572.5953+0.98%2.74+6.61%0.0146✓0.98453k2022-05-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.135.1803+0.98%4.99-2.73%0.0728✗0.872.7M2022-05-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068470.06914+0.98%0.07163+4.62%0.0071✓1.0419k2022-05-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5982.6232+0.97%2.887+11.12%0.0339✓1.52221k2022-05-15
HIVEHivenative0.50930.514176+0.96%0.5339+4.83%0.0132✗1.251.5M2022-05-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0119920.012107+0.96%0.012593+5.01%0.0092✓0.74198k2022-05-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012570.00001269+0.96%0.00001304+3.74%0.0262✗1.311.3M2022-05-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90.908554+0.95%1+11.11%0.0580✓0.93137k2022-05-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos22.019+0.95%2.072+3.60%0.0415✗1.6687k2022-05-15
BANDBandEthereum1.7441.7605+0.95%1.808+3.67%0.0317✗1.43500k2022-05-15
KSMKusamaHydration74.374.9998+0.94%80.53+8.38%0.0216✓1.221.2M2022-05-15
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0921.1021+0.93%1.16+6.23%0.0053✓1.39760k2022-05-15
XVSVenusEthereum4.64.6422+0.92%5.01+8.91%0.0174✓1.452.8M2022-05-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.183.2091+0.92%3.26+2.52%0.0225✗0.94798k2022-05-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24970.251966+0.91%0.2616+4.77%0.0132✗1.25292k2022-05-15
UMAUMAEthereum2.9923.0185+0.88%3.132+4.68%0.0309✗1.672.4M2022-05-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.20080.202567+0.88%0.2124+5.78%0.0050✓1.042,6012022-05-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4175280.421171+0.87%0.444265+6.40%0.0010✓1.346.1M2022-05-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0893580.090134+0.87%0.092987+4.06%0.0139✗1.116.3M2022-05-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.06340.063949+0.87%0.0705+11.20%0.0509✓1.14415k2022-05-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.547610.552353+0.87%0.59535+8.72%0.0168✓1.4393k2022-05-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64010.64563+0.86%0.7169+12.00%0.0483✓1.396.1M2022-05-15
MOVRMoonriverBase22.493222.6841+0.85%25.575+13.70%0.0610✓1.45195k2022-05-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.311.3211+0.85%1.39+6.11%0.0088✗1.463.6M2022-05-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.19240.194025+0.84%0.1995+3.69%0.0354✗1.558.6M2022-05-15
XECeCashnative0.000042570.000042925+0.83%0.00004308+1.20%0.0523✗1.376.5M2022-05-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.27590.278185+0.83%0.319+15.62%0.0855✓1.26463k2022-05-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7112.8144+0.82%13.65+7.40%0.0265✓0.90555k2022-05-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.629.6985+0.82%10.37+7.80%0.0037✓1.555.9M2022-05-15
GMTGMTEthereum1.5331.5454+0.81%1.618+5.54%0.0052✓1.008.1M2022-05-15
SCSiacoinnative0.005120.005161+0.81%0.00572+11.72%0.0436✓1.45403k2022-05-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053370.053801+0.81%0.05678+6.39%0.0135✓0.9925k2022-05-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.58e-75.62e-7+0.80%6.30e-7+12.98%0.0930✓0.521.4M2022-05-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34930.352066+0.79%0.3745+7.21%0.0108✓1.258.5M2022-05-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.11710.118026+0.79%0.1258+7.43%0.0085✓1.361.2M2022-05-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7710.855+0.79%12.37+14.86%0.0763✓1.3320.1M2022-05-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03380.034066+0.79%0.0357+5.62%0.0077✓1.34179k2022-05-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.19581.2051+0.78%1.2834+7.32%0.0201✓1.0598k2022-05-15
COMPCompoundEthereum71.4572.0011+0.77%74.83+4.73%0.0171✗1.3730k2022-05-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche33.8934.1481+0.76%36.54+7.82%0.0089✓1.4545.0M2022-05-15
SOLSolanaSolana52.3752.7646+0.75%58.82+12.32%0.0519✓1.3987.4M2022-05-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026460.026659+0.75%0.02804+5.97%0.0094✓1.0126k2022-05-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28640.288548+0.75%0.24-16.20%0.2037✗0.48458k2022-05-15
XMRMoneroMonero153.49154.6397+0.75%171.74+11.89%0.0629✓1.033.2M2022-05-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009440.00951+0.74%0.01019+7.94%0.0244✓1.101.1M2022-05-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,210.4910,285.05+0.73%10,598.49+3.80%0.0173✗1.162.7M2022-05-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.4630.466374+0.73%0.4902+5.87%0.0014✓1.1914.3M2022-05-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.399530.402438+0.73%0.40992+2.60%0.0500✗1.6832k2022-05-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11980.120671+0.73%0.1299+8.43%0.0280✓1.121.1M2022-05-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.257.3024+0.72%7.96+9.79%0.0329✓1.3118.3M2022-05-15
GTGateEthereum5.55515.5953+0.72%5.5674+0.22%0.0269✗0.544.9M2022-05-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038980.03926+0.72%0.04022+3.18%0.0313✗1.3694k2022-05-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08660.087214+0.71%0.0914+5.54%0.0153✗1.533.6M2022-05-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.73262.7519+0.71%2.8557+4.50%0.0290✗1.628.0M2022-05-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.1411.149+0.70%1.212+6.22%0.0131✓0.9924k2022-05-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.533.5547+0.70%3.83+8.50%0.0446✓0.74777k2022-05-15
DASHDashDash60.8661.2854+0.70%63.03+3.57%0.0201✗1.181.1M2022-05-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.88.8609+0.69%9.16+4.09%0.0177✗1.257.4M2022-05-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8180.823656+0.69%0.832+1.71%0.0346✗1.103.3M2022-05-15
NANOnanopayBase1.15951.1674+0.68%1.1867+2.34%0.0348✗1.26161k2022-05-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47580.479015+0.68%0.5152+8.28%0.0129✓1.47307k2022-05-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.417580.42039+0.67%0.43346+3.80%0.0211✗1.27199k2022-05-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.9215.019+0.66%15.77+5.70%0.0044✓1.31822k2022-05-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.258201+0.66%0.2757+7.49%0.0086✓1.40180k2022-05-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.09940.100057+0.66%0.1001+0.70%0.0688✗1.70215k2022-05-15
UNIUniswapEthereum5.175.2039+0.66%5.45+5.42%0.0026✓1.203.6M2022-05-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.538.5854+0.65%9.22+8.09%0.0145✓1.408.0M2022-05-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7430.747818+0.65%0.773+4.04%0.0273✗1.48357k2022-05-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.4131.422+0.64%1.507+6.65%0.0003✓1.436.6M2022-05-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13750.138368+0.63%0.1461+6.25%0.0131✗1.66109k2022-05-15
APEApeCoinEthereum8.6468.6996+0.62%9.131+5.61%0.0578✗2.6194.8M2022-05-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.013760.013844+0.61%0.01426+3.63%0.0136✗1.063.2M2022-05-15
ADACardanoCardano0.53710.54039+0.61%0.598+11.34%0.0492✓1.2846.3M2022-05-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.630.633837+0.61%0.704+11.75%0.0413✓1.571.7M2022-05-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0193.0374+0.61%3.06+1.36%0.0351✗1.0596k2022-05-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.18290.183993+0.60%0.1868+2.13%0.0429✗1.43375k2022-05-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08790.088418+0.59%0.0907+3.19%0.0088✗0.84169k2022-05-15
QNTQuantEthereum72.1172.5333+0.59%75.21+4.30%0.0059✗1.033.6M2022-05-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.58832.6032+0.58%2.6617+2.83%0.0280✗1.23173k2022-05-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6410.7009+0.57%11.53+8.36%0.0139✓1.49136k2022-05-15
STEEMSteemnative0.25420.255652+0.57%0.2689+5.78%0.0098✓1.002.1M2022-05-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,041.8830,212.78+0.57%31,290.05+4.15%0.0057✓1.00672.6M2022-05-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.421.428+0.56%1.5+5.63%0.0052✓1.08140k2022-05-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.9754.2663+0.55%54.96+1.83%0.0266✗0.971.8M2022-05-15
XEMNEMnative0.05680.05711+0.55%0.0667+17.43%0.1052✓1.23164k2022-05-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum22.422.5204+0.54%24.12+7.68%0.0104✓1.433.5M2022-05-15
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3571.3643+0.54%1.401+3.24%0.0141✗1.005.2M2022-05-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.0521.1622+0.53%22.11+5.04%0.0073✗1.264.2M2022-05-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0093150.009364+0.53%0.009284-0.33%0.0505✗1.0327k2022-05-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20080.201859+0.53%0.2021+0.65%0.0585✗1.47649k2022-05-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04610.046341+0.52%0.0485+5.21%0.0062✓0.978,2452022-05-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.7313.7503+0.52%3.65-2.17%0.0696✗1.041.5M2022-05-15
BTTCBTTC0.000001110.000001116+0.52%0.00000115+3.60%0.0018✓0.797.9M2022-05-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024960.025084+0.50%0.02694+7.93%0.0282✓1.06202k2022-05-15
ZENHorizenBase21.2121.3146+0.49%22.1+4.20%0.0259✗1.52167k2022-05-15
XYMSymbolnative0.06970.070042+0.49%0.0717+2.87%0.0066✗0.74568k2022-05-15
ETHEthereumEthereum2,053.332,063.23+0.48%2,142.69+4.35%0.0041✓1.03494.1M2022-05-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9380.942469+0.48%0.977+4.16%0.0091✗1.11769k2022-05-15
PROPropyEthereum1.111.1151+0.46%1.2+8.11%0.0455✓0.68470k2022-05-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1381110.138741+0.46%0.144986+4.98%0.0005✓1.0713.6M2022-05-15
ZECZcashZcash105.67106.1486+0.45%112.6+6.56%0.0075✓1.275.3M2022-05-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash208.47209.4105+0.45%214.55+2.92%0.0216✗1.135.3M2022-05-15
FTTFTXEthereum31.5331.6703+0.45%32.66+3.58%0.0083✗0.9615.2M2022-05-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.8169.0996+0.42%71.5+3.91%0.0125✗1.1518.2M2022-05-15
XTZTezosTezos1.83041.8376+0.39%1.915+4.62%0.0102✗1.26878k2022-05-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.67441.681+0.39%1.7798+6.29%0.0313✓0.6416k2022-05-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.2811.3193+0.35%11.79+4.52%0.0120✗1.3012.2M2022-05-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,968.5030,062.40+0.31%31,292.30+4.42%0.0005✓0.9768k2022-05-15
KCSKuCoinnative12.96813.0085+0.31%14.507+11.87%0.0710✓0.934.1M2022-05-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.065.0744+0.28%5.0077-1.03%0.0242✗0.27285k2022-05-15
QTUMQtumQtum4.10784.1187+0.27%4.2708+3.97%0.0129✗1.21135k2022-05-15
MANADecentralandEthereum1.33181.3337+0.14%1.3383+0.49%0.0589✗1.531.1M2022-05-15
TRXTRONTron0.072360.072286-0.10%0.072317-0.06%0.0325✓0.811.1M2022-05-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.000460.000269321-41.45%0.00022-52.17%0.3214✓2.938.4M2022-05-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.