8=======>

2022-05-14 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2074
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.32%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.8%
in alpha space · 95.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000460.00036409-20.85%0.00022-52.17%0.6229✓2.938.4M2022-05-15
MANADecentralandEthereum1.33181.3219-0.74%1.3383+0.49%0.0500✓1.531.1M2022-05-15
ZECZcashZcash105.67105.4507-0.21%112.6+6.56%0.0141✗1.275.3M2022-05-15
TRXTRONTron0.072360.072218-0.20%0.072317-0.06%0.0315✓0.811.1M2022-05-15
KCSKuCoinnative12.96812.9704+0.02%14.507+11.87%0.0740✓0.934.1M2022-05-15
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3571.3574+0.03%1.401+3.24%0.0091✗1.005.2M2022-05-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1381110.138158+0.03%0.144986+4.98%0.0047✓1.0713.6M2022-05-15
XEMNEMnative0.05680.056824+0.04%0.0667+17.43%0.1102✓1.23164k2022-05-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.065.0626+0.05%5.0077-1.03%0.0219✗0.27285k2022-05-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04610.046138+0.08%0.0485+5.21%0.0106✓0.978,2452022-05-15
FTTFTXEthereum31.5331.557+0.09%32.66+3.58%0.0047✗0.9615.2M2022-05-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9380.938852+0.09%0.977+4.16%0.0053✗1.11769k2022-05-15
GTGateEthereum5.55515.5613+0.11%5.5674+0.22%0.0208✗0.544.9M2022-05-15
QNTQuantEthereum72.1172.1921+0.11%75.21+4.30%0.0012✗1.033.6M2022-05-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.417580.418082+0.12%0.43346+3.80%0.0156✗1.27199k2022-05-15
ETHEthereumEthereum2,053.332,055.99+0.13%2,142.69+4.35%0.0006✓1.03494.1M2022-05-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20080.201061+0.13%0.2021+0.65%0.0545✗1.47649k2022-05-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.421.4219+0.13%1.5+5.63%0.0095✓1.08140k2022-05-15
QTUMQtumQtum4.10784.1135+0.14%4.2708+3.97%0.0116✗1.21135k2022-05-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.67441.6769+0.15%1.7798+6.29%0.0337✓0.6416k2022-05-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8180.819232+0.15%0.832+1.71%0.0292✗1.103.3M2022-05-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.013760.013781+0.15%0.01426+3.63%0.0091✗1.063.2M2022-05-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6410.6576+0.17%11.53+8.36%0.0180✓1.49136k2022-05-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0093150.009331+0.17%0.009284-0.33%0.0469✗1.0327k2022-05-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.09940.099569+0.17%0.1001+0.70%0.0639✗1.70215k2022-05-15
XYMSymbolnative0.06970.069826+0.18%0.0717+2.87%0.0035✗0.74568k2022-05-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.2811.3006+0.18%11.79+4.52%0.0104✗1.3012.2M2022-05-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.73262.7377+0.19%2.8557+4.50%0.0238✗1.628.0M2022-05-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.533.5367+0.19%3.83+8.50%0.0496✓0.74777k2022-05-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.18290.183248+0.19%0.1868+2.13%0.0389✗1.43375k2022-05-15
ZENHorizenBase21.2121.2504+0.19%22.1+4.20%0.0228✗1.52167k2022-05-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64010.641358+0.20%0.7169+12.00%0.0549✓1.396.1M2022-05-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.9214.9499+0.20%15.77+5.70%0.0003✓1.31822k2022-05-15
STEEMSteemnative0.25420.254737+0.21%0.2689+5.78%0.0134✓1.002.1M2022-05-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7430.744602+0.22%0.773+4.04%0.0230✗1.48357k2022-05-15
COMPCompoundEthereum71.4571.6139+0.23%74.83+4.73%0.0117✗1.3730k2022-05-15
ADACardanoCardano0.53710.538353+0.23%0.598+11.34%0.0529✓1.2846.3M2022-05-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.4630.464086+0.23%0.4902+5.87%0.0064✓1.1914.3M2022-05-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,968.5030,040.22+0.24%31,292.30+4.42%0.0012✓0.9768k2022-05-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash208.47208.9757+0.24%214.55+2.92%0.0195✗1.135.3M2022-05-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28640.287099+0.24%0.24-16.20%0.1987✗0.48458k2022-05-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.0521.1014+0.24%22.11+5.04%0.0045✗1.264.2M2022-05-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,041.8830,115.98+0.25%31,290.05+4.15%0.0025✓1.00672.6M2022-05-15
HIVEHivenative0.50930.510606+0.26%0.5339+4.83%0.0062✗1.251.5M2022-05-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.8169.0016+0.28%71.5+3.91%0.0111✗1.1518.2M2022-05-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0893580.089611+0.28%0.092987+4.06%0.0081✗1.116.3M2022-05-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.20080.201373+0.29%0.2124+5.78%0.0110✓1.042,6012022-05-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.19581.1993+0.29%1.2834+7.32%0.0249✓1.0598k2022-05-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.7313.7419+0.29%3.65-2.17%0.0674✗1.041.5M2022-05-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.630.631889+0.30%0.704+11.75%0.0444✓1.571.7M2022-05-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13750.137925+0.31%0.1461+6.25%0.0099✗1.66109k2022-05-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum22.422.471+0.32%24.12+7.68%0.0126✓1.433.5M2022-05-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.9754.1419+0.32%54.96+1.83%0.0243✗0.971.8M2022-05-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08790.088182+0.32%0.0907+3.19%0.0061✗0.84169k2022-05-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.629.6511+0.32%10.37+7.80%0.0086✓1.555.9M2022-05-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.25734+0.33%0.2757+7.49%0.0119✓1.40180k2022-05-15
APEApeCoinEthereum8.6468.6748+0.33%9.131+5.61%0.0550✗2.6194.8M2022-05-15
NANOnanopayBase1.15951.1634+0.34%1.1867+2.34%0.0314✗1.26161k2022-05-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053370.053549+0.34%0.05678+6.39%0.0182✓0.9925k2022-05-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34930.350489+0.34%0.3745+7.21%0.0153✓1.258.5M2022-05-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0193.0294+0.35%3.06+1.36%0.0325✗1.0596k2022-05-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.19240.193067+0.35%0.1995+3.69%0.0304✗1.558.6M2022-05-15
DASHDashDash60.8661.0709+0.35%63.03+3.57%0.0166✗1.181.1M2022-05-15
GMTGMTEthereum1.5331.5384+0.35%1.618+5.54%0.0097✓1.008.1M2022-05-15
BTTCBTTC0.000001110.000001114+0.36%0.00000115+3.60%0.0003✓0.797.9M2022-05-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038980.039124+0.37%0.04022+3.18%0.0279✗1.3694k2022-05-15
XMRMoneroMonero153.49154.0722+0.38%171.74+11.89%0.0666✓1.033.2M2022-05-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.547610.549688+0.38%0.59535+8.72%0.0216✓1.4393k2022-05-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.538.563+0.39%9.22+8.09%0.0171✓1.408.0M2022-05-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015660.015721+0.39%0.01781+13.73%0.0967✓0.69400k2022-05-15
XTZTezosTezos1.83041.8376+0.39%1.915+4.62%0.0102✗1.26878k2022-05-15
SCSiacoinnative0.005120.00514+0.40%0.00572+11.72%0.0477✓1.45403k2022-05-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.27590.27702+0.41%0.319+15.62%0.0897✓1.26463k2022-05-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024960.025062+0.41%0.02694+7.93%0.0291✓1.06202k2022-05-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,210.4910,252.46+0.41%10,598.49+3.80%0.0141✗1.162.7M2022-05-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.257.2799+0.41%7.96+9.79%0.0360✓1.3118.3M2022-05-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.4131.4189+0.42%1.507+6.65%0.0018✓1.436.6M2022-05-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11980.120314+0.43%0.1299+8.43%0.0310✓1.121.1M2022-05-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03380.033947+0.43%0.0357+5.62%0.0042✓1.34179k2022-05-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7112.7653+0.43%13.65+7.40%0.0303✓0.90555k2022-05-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.572.5813+0.44%2.74+6.61%0.0199✓0.98453k2022-05-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7710.8176+0.44%12.37+14.86%0.0798✓1.3320.1M2022-05-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.11710.11762+0.44%0.1258+7.43%0.0119✓1.361.2M2022-05-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47580.477913+0.44%0.5152+8.28%0.0152✓1.47307k2022-05-15
UNIUniswapEthereum5.175.1931+0.45%5.45+5.42%0.0005✓1.203.6M2022-05-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012570.000012627+0.46%0.00001304+3.74%0.0213✗1.311.3M2022-05-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.58832.6002+0.46%2.6617+2.83%0.0269✗1.23173k2022-05-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.88.8409+0.46%9.16+4.09%0.0154✗1.257.4M2022-05-15
BANDBandEthereum1.7441.7521+0.47%1.808+3.67%0.0270✗1.43500k2022-05-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026460.026586+0.48%0.02804+5.97%0.0121✓1.0126k2022-05-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.010010.010058+0.48%0.01045+4.40%0.0059✓0.80269k2022-05-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.58e-75.60e-7+0.48%6.30e-7+12.98%0.0962✓0.521.4M2022-05-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14290.143594+0.49%0.1516+6.09%0.0095✗1.576.2M2022-05-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08660.08703+0.50%0.0914+5.54%0.0132✗1.533.6M2022-05-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos22.0099+0.50%2.072+3.60%0.0370✗1.6687k2022-05-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.399530.401542+0.50%0.40992+2.60%0.0478✗1.6832k2022-05-15
MOVRMoonriverBase22.493222.6073+0.51%25.575+13.70%0.0644✓1.45195k2022-05-15
KSMKusamaHydration74.374.677+0.51%80.53+8.38%0.0259✓1.221.2M2022-05-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004710.004734+0.51%0.0057+21.02%0.1366✓1.211.8M2022-05-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009440.009489+0.51%0.01019+7.94%0.0266✓1.101.1M2022-05-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.183.1965+0.52%3.26+2.52%0.0185✗0.94798k2022-05-15
SOLSolanaSolana52.3752.6446+0.52%58.82+12.32%0.0542✓1.3987.4M2022-05-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0152870.015368+0.53%0.017163+12.27%0.0654✓1.114.3M2022-05-15
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0921.0978+0.53%1.16+6.23%0.0013✓1.39760k2022-05-15
PROPropyEthereum1.111.116+0.54%1.2+8.11%0.0447✓0.68470k2022-05-15
STXStacksnative0.560.563007+0.54%0.62+10.71%0.0515✓1.10296k2022-05-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6210.624341+0.54%0.641+3.22%0.0224✗1.2040k2022-05-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.42.4131+0.54%2.54+5.83%0.0086✓1.05548k2022-05-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24970.251072+0.55%0.2616+4.77%0.0097✗1.25292k2022-05-15
UMAUMAEthereum2.9923.0085+0.55%3.132+4.68%0.0276✗1.672.4M2022-05-15
XECeCashnative0.000042570.000042813+0.57%0.00004308+1.20%0.0497✗1.376.5M2022-05-15
XVSVenusEthereum4.64.6264+0.57%5.01+8.91%0.0208✓1.452.8M2022-05-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068470.068865+0.58%0.07163+4.62%0.0031✓1.0419k2022-05-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.06340.063772+0.59%0.0705+11.20%0.0537✓1.14415k2022-05-15
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8570.862117+0.60%0.954+11.32%0.0391✓1.537.6M2022-05-15
XVGVergenative0.004770.004799+0.61%0.0053+11.11%0.0447✓1.34885k2022-05-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4175280.420093+0.61%0.444265+6.40%0.0016✓1.346.1M2022-05-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.12070.121446+0.62%0.1323+9.61%0.0092✓1.88694k2022-05-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche33.8934.1009+0.62%36.54+7.82%0.0102✓1.4545.0M2022-05-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0119920.012067+0.62%0.012593+5.01%0.0125✓0.74198k2022-05-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1211.128+0.63%1.359+21.23%0.1310✓1.3614.9M2022-05-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3050.30694+0.64%0.328+7.54%0.0042✓1.731.8M2022-05-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.64381.6543+0.64%1.6876+2.66%0.0246✗1.092.5M2022-05-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.07290.073366+0.64%0.074+1.51%0.0338✗1.04115k2022-05-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.8417+0.64%1.86+1.64%0.0594✗1.70418k2022-05-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.1411.1484+0.64%1.212+6.22%0.0137✓0.9924k2022-05-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90.905803+0.64%1+11.11%0.0610✓0.93137k2022-05-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11710.117857+0.65%0.1359+16.05%0.1054✓0.9119k2022-05-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.377370.379817+0.65%0.39997+5.99%0.0096✗1.501.4M2022-05-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.111624+0.65%0.122+10.01%0.0254✓1.561.7M2022-05-15
DIADIAEthereum0.376460.378944+0.66%0.40967+8.82%0.0467✓0.7770k2022-05-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.22951+0.66%0.237+3.95%0.0282✗1.484.0M2022-05-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.5141.5241+0.67%1.587+4.82%0.0016✓0.95779k2022-05-15
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4472.4634+0.67%2.469+0.90%0.0672✗1.7123k2022-05-15
API3Api3Ethereum1.8391.8513+0.67%1.915+4.13%0.0246✗1.442.5M2022-05-15
AAVEAaveEthereum86.4487.0371+0.69%92.06+6.50%0.0046✓1.497.8M2022-05-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0740.074513+0.69%0.0861+16.35%0.1038✓1.003.8M2022-05-15
DODODODOEthereum0.1580.15913+0.72%0.169+6.96%0.0010✓1.454.4M2022-05-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7532.7727+0.72%3.057+11.04%0.0295✓1.677.4M2022-05-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.7811.7938+0.72%1.844+3.54%0.0014✓0.711.9M2022-05-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.196760.198182+0.72%0.21866+11.13%0.0326✓1.61262k2022-05-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4960.49959+0.72%0.528+6.45%0.0037✓1.45869k2022-05-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.880.886452+0.73%0.89+1.14%0.0588✗1.54801k2022-05-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.311.3196+0.73%1.39+6.11%0.0076✗1.463.6M2022-05-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5982.6175+0.75%2.887+11.12%0.0361✓1.52221k2022-05-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.582.5994+0.75%2.52-2.33%0.1026✗1.76378k2022-05-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04720.04756+0.76%0.0557+18.01%0.1107✓1.161.5M2022-05-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.335558+0.77%0.357+7.21%0.0212✓1.001.1M2022-05-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.48951.501+0.77%1.5127+1.56%0.0361✗1.084.3M2022-05-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.135.1697+0.77%4.99-2.73%0.0708✗0.872.7M2022-05-15
RADRadworksEthereum1.891.9048+0.78%2+5.82%0.0072✓1.02381k2022-05-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010130.01021+0.79%0.011+8.59%0.0073✓1.6543.3M2022-05-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.531.5421+0.79%1.57+2.61%0.0244✗1.04683k2022-05-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.085.1204+0.79%5.39+6.10%0.0181✓0.821.3M2022-05-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01710.017243+0.84%0.0173+1.17%0.0876✗2.2325.3M2022-05-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.635.6776+0.85%6.04+7.28%0.0058✓1.38572k2022-05-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.231.2404+0.85%1.412+14.80%0.0610✓1.69582k2022-05-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.351630.354713+0.88%0.41498+18.02%0.0905✓1.63331k2022-05-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36470.367974+0.90%0.3803+4.28%0.0186✗1.2793k2022-05-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003950.003986+0.92%0.00449+13.67%0.0802✓0.9519k2022-05-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6350.640885+0.93%0.697+9.76%0.0249✓1.4517k2022-05-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73291.749+0.93%1.8142+4.69%0.0135✗1.239.6M2022-05-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07140.07211+0.99%0.0751+5.18%0.0360✗1.88176k2022-05-15
AVTAventusEthereum0.950.959518+1.00%1.08+13.68%0.0862✓0.79201k2022-05-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8271.8457+1.02%2.084+14.07%0.0410✓1.98973k2022-05-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001340.001354+1.08%0.00141+5.22%0.0203✗1.493.8M2022-05-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.