8=======>

2022-05-13 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1795
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.62%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.8%
in alpha space · 84.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.77%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000120.000094864-20.95%0.00046+283.33%1.5088✗2.567.8M2022-05-14
TRXTRONTron0.07420.074003-0.27%0.07236-2.48%0.0449✓0.821.1M2022-05-14
XEMNEMnative0.0580.057931-0.12%0.0568-2.07%0.0537✓1.24127k2022-05-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08995.0944+0.09%5.06-0.59%0.0142✗0.27284k2022-05-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.88482.8874+0.09%2.7326-5.28%0.1001✗1.657.0M2022-05-14
FTTFTXEthereum30.8330.8684+0.12%31.53+2.27%0.0050✗0.9615.2M2022-05-14
KCSKuCoinnative12.51112.5268+0.13%12.968+3.65%0.0092✓0.934.1M2022-05-14
MANADecentralandEthereum1.0221.0233+0.13%1.3318+30.32%0.2232✓1.47970k2022-05-14
ZECZcashZcash93.8193.9353+0.13%105.67+12.64%0.0837✓1.245.1M2022-05-14
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3031.3049+0.15%1.357+4.14%0.0118✓1.005.3M2022-05-14
GTGateEthereum5.55845.5679+0.17%5.5551-0.06%0.0171✗0.544.9M2022-05-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1320630.132292+0.17%0.138111+4.58%0.0139✓1.0713.8M2022-05-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0094570.009475+0.19%0.009315-1.50%0.0454✗1.0428k2022-05-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.391.3929+0.21%1.42+2.16%0.0103✗1.08140k2022-05-14
ETHEthereumEthereum2,005.482,009.64+0.21%2,053.33+2.39%0.0067✗1.03494.1M2022-05-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.72541.7294+0.23%1.6744-2.96%0.0500✗0.6516k2022-05-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8140.815916+0.24%0.818+0.49%0.0276✗1.103.3M2022-05-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66530.666871+0.24%0.6401-3.79%0.0795✗1.416.1M2022-05-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9140.916317+0.25%0.938+2.63%0.0069✗1.11729k2022-05-14
XYMSymbolnative0.06990.070079+0.26%0.0697-0.29%0.0257✗0.74568k2022-05-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.01350.013535+0.26%0.01376+1.93%0.0125✗1.063.4M2022-05-14
QNTQuantEthereum68.5868.768+0.27%72.11+5.15%0.0194✓1.033.5M2022-05-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.042970.043091+0.28%0.0461+7.28%0.0414✓0.958,5302022-05-14
QTUMQtumQtum3.86813.8798+0.30%4.1078+6.20%0.0243✓1.20135k2022-05-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.7314.7746+0.30%14.92+1.29%0.0260✗1.31822k2022-05-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative20.4720.5388+0.34%21.05+2.83%0.0098✗1.264.4M2022-05-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.279.3019+0.34%8.53-7.98%0.1256✗1.438.0M2022-05-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.09170.092018+0.35%0.0994+8.40%0.0310✓1.69215k2022-05-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.383220.384555+0.35%0.41758+8.97%0.0481✓1.26188k2022-05-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,332.5029,435.11+0.35%29,968.50+2.17%0.0087✗0.9858k2022-05-14
ZENHorizenBase20.2420.3116+0.35%21.21+4.79%0.0017✓1.52173k2022-05-14
ADACardanoCardano0.52810.529989+0.36%0.5371+1.70%0.0218✗1.2843.7M2022-05-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,232.1829,338.12+0.36%30,041.88+2.77%0.0036✓1.00672.6M2022-05-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08720.08752+0.37%0.0879+0.80%0.0188✗0.85169k2022-05-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin67.7868.031+0.37%68.81+1.52%0.0200✗1.1517.8M2022-05-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash201.94202.6953+0.37%208.47+3.23%0.0027✓1.135.3M2022-05-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.4410.4795+0.38%11.28+8.05%0.0385✓1.2911.9M2022-05-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28280.28387+0.38%0.2864+1.27%0.0041✗0.48458k2022-05-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0882440.088596+0.40%0.089358+1.26%0.0218✗1.117.1M2022-05-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.18970.190462+0.40%0.2008+5.85%0.0247✓1.032,9402022-05-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.13791.1427+0.42%1.1958+5.09%0.0169✓1.0598k2022-05-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6720.674846+0.42%0.743+10.57%0.0561✓1.47344k2022-05-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.44260.444512+0.43%0.463+4.61%0.0084✓1.1812.8M2022-05-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18070.181484+0.43%0.2008+11.12%0.0616✓1.45640k2022-05-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.769.8027+0.44%9.62-1.43%0.0617✗1.575.9M2022-05-14
APEApeCoinEthereum8.538.5679+0.44%8.646+1.36%0.0633✗2.6594.8M2022-05-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.19e-76.21e-7+0.45%5.58e-7-9.87%0.1235✗0.551.4M2022-05-14
BTTCBTTC0.000001120.000001125+0.45%0.00000111-0.89%0.0352✗0.797.9M2022-05-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015980.016054+0.47%0.01566-2.00%0.0439✗0.70400k2022-05-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.399.434+0.47%10.64+13.31%0.0802✓1.47134k2022-05-14
COMPCompoundEthereum68.4568.7729+0.47%71.45+4.38%0.0009✓1.3630k2022-05-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.8952.1412+0.48%53.97+4.01%0.0082✓0.961.9M2022-05-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.273.286+0.49%3.53+7.95%0.0519✓0.72770k2022-05-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012810.000012873+0.49%0.00001257-1.87%0.0600✗1.331.3M2022-05-14
PROPropyEthereum1.191.196+0.50%1.11-6.72%0.0939✗0.71495k2022-05-14
GMTGMTEthereum1.4931.5006+0.51%1.533+2.68%0.0060✗1.008.8M2022-05-14
DASHDashDash57.9858.2812+0.52%60.86+4.97%0.0111✓1.181.1M2022-05-14
XTZTezosTezos1.76611.7754+0.53%1.8304+3.64%0.0040✓1.26878k2022-05-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.4520.5584+0.53%22.4+9.54%0.0471✓1.423.8M2022-05-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.137.1678+0.53%7.25+1.68%0.0245✗1.3119.6M2022-05-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4873.5056+0.53%3.731+7.00%0.0341✓1.031.5M2022-05-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050050.050322+0.54%0.05337+6.63%0.0320✓0.9825k2022-05-14
STEEMSteemnative0.21850.21969+0.54%0.2542+16.34%0.1186✓1.002.1M2022-05-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7112.78+0.55%12.71+0.00%0.0303✗0.91555k2022-05-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03290.033081+0.55%0.0338+2.74%0.0151✗1.34189k2022-05-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.46310.465656+0.55%0.4758+2.74%0.0187✗1.47307k2022-05-14
NANOnanopayBase1.07641.0823+0.55%1.1595+7.73%0.0349✓1.25161k2022-05-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023990.024123+0.56%0.02496+4.04%0.0052✓1.06214k2022-05-14
HIVEHivenative0.45490.457446+0.56%0.5093+11.96%0.0739✓1.231.5M2022-05-14
UNIUniswapEthereum5.135.1587+0.56%5.17+0.78%0.0307✗1.203.9M2022-05-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.013310.013385+0.56%0.011992-9.90%0.1310✗0.77200k2022-05-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,926.059,982.63+0.57%10,210.49+2.87%0.0092✗1.162.6M2022-05-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.738.7804+0.58%8.8+0.80%0.0321✗1.257.5M2022-05-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31590.317743+0.58%0.3493+10.57%0.0610✓1.238.5M2022-05-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.792.8063+0.58%3.019+8.21%0.0449✓1.0390k2022-05-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035180.035386+0.59%0.03898+10.80%0.0600✓1.3594k2022-05-14
BANDBandEthereum1.721.7301+0.59%1.744+1.40%0.0313✗1.44537k2022-05-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12270.123426+0.59%0.1375+12.06%0.0635✓1.63109k2022-05-14
XMRMoneroMonero143.73144.5914+0.60%153.49+6.79%0.0318✓1.023.2M2022-05-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9481.9598+0.61%2+2.67%0.0250✗1.6699k2022-05-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25190.253435+0.61%0.2759+9.53%0.0509✓1.25480k2022-05-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.499640.502693+0.61%0.54761+9.60%0.0469✓1.4291k2022-05-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.1110.111682+0.61%0.1171+5.50%0.0104✓1.351.2M2022-05-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.47832.4936+0.62%2.5883+4.44%0.0037✓1.23177k2022-05-14
MOVRMoonriverBase22.637622.7774+0.62%22.4932-0.64%0.0524✗1.46195k2022-05-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13990.140769+0.62%0.1429+2.14%0.0279✗1.576.2M2022-05-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.23340.234862+0.63%0.2565+9.90%0.0507✓1.37180k2022-05-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009530.00959+0.63%0.00944-0.94%0.0460✗1.111.0M2022-05-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.310.3653+0.63%10.77+4.56%0.0019✓1.3320.9M2022-05-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.150046+0.63%0.1829+22.67%0.1602✓1.38372k2022-05-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009850.009913+0.64%0.01001+1.62%0.0119✗0.79246k2022-05-14
KSMKusamaHydration73.8474.3114+0.64%74.3+0.62%0.0336✗1.221.2M2022-05-14
SCSiacoinnative0.004660.00469+0.64%0.00512+9.87%0.0485✓1.44403k2022-05-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1120.112722+0.64%0.1198+6.96%0.0306✓1.111.1M2022-05-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.392.4056+0.65%2.57+7.53%0.0398✓0.96470k2022-05-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.093.1107+0.67%3.18+2.91%0.0036✓0.94817k2022-05-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3121.3208+0.67%1.413+7.70%0.0285✓1.425.8M2022-05-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0145860.014686+0.69%0.015287+4.81%0.0100✓1.104.4M2022-05-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08210.082669+0.69%0.0866+5.48%0.0048✓1.523.6M2022-05-14
XECeCashnative0.000042120.000042414+0.70%0.00004257+1.07%0.0340✗1.386.7M2022-05-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.9132.9335+0.70%2.992+2.71%0.0259✗1.672.4M2022-05-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12230.123163+0.71%0.1171-4.25%0.0758✗0.9319k2022-05-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6090.613301+0.71%0.621+1.97%0.0203✗1.2042k2022-05-14
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0411.0485+0.72%1.092+4.90%0.0029✓1.38755k2022-05-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.322.3367+0.72%2.4+3.45%0.0018✓1.05553k2022-05-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.064240.064704+0.72%0.06847+6.58%0.0284✓1.0319k2022-05-14
SOLSolanaSolana48.8949.2475+0.73%52.37+7.12%0.0236✓1.3987.4M2022-05-14
XVSVenusEthereum4.244.2713+0.74%4.6+8.49%0.0350✓1.432.9M2022-05-14
STXStacksnative0.520.523873+0.74%0.56+7.69%0.0369✓1.09274k2022-05-14
DIADIAEthereum0.376820.379686+0.76%0.37646-0.10%0.0296✗0.7770k2022-05-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.391.4006+0.76%1.31-5.76%0.1075✗1.494.1M2022-05-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.11020.111047+0.77%0.1109+0.64%0.0441✗1.571.8M2022-05-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8320.838394+0.77%0.857+3.00%0.0198✗1.537.9M2022-05-14
XVGVergenative0.004720.004756+0.77%0.00477+1.06%0.0339✗1.35885k2022-05-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.890.896879+0.77%0.9+1.12%0.0220✗0.93137k2022-05-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0710.071551+0.78%0.0729+2.68%0.0098✗1.04115k2022-05-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche32.1732.4216+0.78%33.89+5.35%0.0049✓1.4445.0M2022-05-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.023790.023977+0.78%0.02646+11.22%0.0715✓0.9927k2022-05-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004290.004324+0.78%0.00471+9.79%0.0531✓1.191.7M2022-05-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.831.8444+0.79%1.781-2.68%0.0547✗0.721.8M2022-05-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2830.285261+0.80%0.305+7.77%0.0198✓1.731.8M2022-05-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.61191.625+0.81%1.6438+1.98%0.0184✗1.102.5M2022-05-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3440.346835+0.82%0.333-3.20%0.0685✗1.021.1M2022-05-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.07040.07098+0.82%0.074+5.11%0.0143✓1.003.9M2022-05-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.195840.197492+0.84%0.19676+0.47%0.0480✗1.62250k2022-05-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32.3197+0.86%2.447+6.39%0.0070✓1.7023k2022-05-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.350770.35378+0.86%0.37737+7.58%0.0237✓1.491.4M2022-05-14
CBKCobakEthereum1.0561.0651+0.86%1.141+8.05%0.0423✓0.9725k2022-05-14
DODODODOEthereum0.1520.15331+0.86%0.158+3.95%0.0096✗1.454.5M2022-05-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.344170.347147+0.86%0.39953+16.09%0.0966✓1.6135k2022-05-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2060.207786+0.87%0.228+10.68%0.0528✓1.474.1M2022-05-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.05730.057798+0.87%0.0634+10.65%0.0618✓1.13415k2022-05-14
AAVEAaveEthereum82.2882.9961+0.87%86.44+5.06%0.0000✓1.498.6M2022-05-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.661.6748+0.89%1.83+10.24%0.0426✓1.69399k2022-05-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04630.046714+0.89%0.0472+1.94%0.0214✗1.161.6M2022-05-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10180.102714+0.90%0.1207+18.57%0.1110✓1.84734k2022-05-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.222784+0.90%0.2497+13.09%0.0807✓1.22292k2022-05-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.621.6347+0.91%1.839+13.52%0.0792✓1.412.5M2022-05-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.46751.4809+0.91%1.4895+1.50%0.0237✗1.084.3M2022-05-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4962.5188+0.91%2.598+4.09%0.0105✗1.52216k2022-05-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3664160.369762+0.91%0.417528+13.95%0.0857✓1.316.1M2022-05-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.0041.0132+0.92%1.121+11.65%0.0645✓1.3414.9M2022-05-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4990.503579+0.92%0.496-0.60%0.0551✗1.46869k2022-05-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14830.149666+0.92%0.1924+29.74%0.2103✓1.498.1M2022-05-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6072.631+0.92%2.753+5.60%0.0004✓1.677.7M2022-05-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.820.827619+0.93%0.88+7.32%0.0195✓1.53815k2022-05-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009890.009983+0.94%0.01013+2.43%0.0306✗1.6644.1M2022-05-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.874.9159+0.94%5.08+4.31%0.0108✓0.811.3M2022-05-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.3241.3365+0.95%1.514+14.35%0.0994✓0.92826k2022-05-14
RADRadworksEthereum1.781.797+0.96%1.89+6.18%0.0228✓1.01381k2022-05-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.670.676487+0.97%0.635-5.22%0.1036✗1.4720k2022-05-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01640.01656+0.98%0.0171+4.27%0.0291✗2.2426.5M2022-05-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3750.3787+0.99%0.3647-2.75%0.0727✗1.2893k2022-05-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.4461.4603+0.99%1.53+5.81%0.0185✓1.03714k2022-05-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4870.491818+0.99%0.63+29.36%0.2064✓1.511.7M2022-05-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.864.9083+0.99%5.13+5.56%0.0207✓0.862.7M2022-05-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1941.206+1.00%1.23+3.02%0.0264✗1.69582k2022-05-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.340.343435+1.01%0.35163+3.42%0.0210✗1.63351k2022-05-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.312.3334+1.01%2.58+11.69%0.0529✓1.74378k2022-05-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07140.072182+1.10%0.0714+0.00%0.0628✗1.90177k2022-05-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003770.003811+1.10%0.00395+4.77%0.0100✓0.9420k2022-05-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.764.8152+1.16%5.63+18.28%0.1197✓1.34629k2022-05-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55161.5698+1.17%1.7329+11.68%0.0658✓1.219.8M2022-05-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.7581.7787+1.18%1.827+3.92%0.0273✗1.981.0M2022-05-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001320.001336+1.19%0.00134+1.52%0.0375✗1.493.8M2022-05-14
AVTAventusEthereum0.830.840656+1.28%0.95+14.46%0.1016✓0.76204k2022-05-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.