8=======>

2022-05-12 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.4879
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+42.37%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
93.4%
in alpha space · 96.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.00%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AVTAventusEthereum0.730.740744+1.47%0.83+13.70%0.1064✓0.74221k2022-05-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.05571.0705+1.40%1.6119+52.69%0.3989✓1.052.5M2022-05-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.29541.3133+1.38%1.5516+19.78%0.1548✓1.199.8M2022-05-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5481.5691+1.36%1.758+13.57%0.0941✓1.961.0M2022-05-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001210.001226+1.31%0.00132+9.09%0.0592✓1.483.9M2022-05-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.3810.385932+1.29%0.487+27.82%0.2179✓1.481.7M2022-05-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.094.1426+1.29%4.86+18.83%0.1513✓0.842.8M2022-05-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4050.410167+1.28%0.499+23.21%0.1817✓1.44869k2022-05-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06480.065622+1.27%0.0714+10.19%0.0656✓1.88194k2022-05-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.42711.4449+1.25%2.8848+102.14%0.6758✓1.567.0M2022-05-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.634.6875+1.24%4.76+2.81%0.0020✓1.34666k2022-05-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003590.003634+1.23%0.00377+5.01%0.0273✓0.9420k2022-05-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.0571.07+1.23%1.4675+38.84%0.3055✓1.044.2M2022-05-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.2641.2795+1.22%1.446+14.40%0.1122✓1.01724k2022-05-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.289990.293478+1.20%0.34+17.25%0.1311✓1.61365k2022-05-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.1754+1.18%2.31+7.44%0.0427✓1.73357k2022-05-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1331.1463+1.18%1.194+5.38%0.0240✓1.68582k2022-05-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.34290.346921+1.17%0.375+9.36%0.0651✓1.2794k2022-05-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19110.193325+1.16%0.2208+15.54%0.1209✓1.21305k2022-05-13
XECeCashnative0.000031730.000032094+1.15%0.00004212+32.75%0.2584✓1.356.7M2022-05-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.294.3392+1.15%4.87+13.52%0.1075✓0.791.2M2022-05-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5830.589684+1.15%0.67+14.92%0.1132✓1.4624k2022-05-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03890.039346+1.15%0.0463+19.02%0.1513✓1.141.7M2022-05-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.720.728189+1.14%0.82+13.89%0.1036✓1.52842k2022-05-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.288640.291917+1.14%0.34417+19.24%0.1492✓1.5539k2022-05-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008890.008991+1.13%0.00989+11.25%0.0789✓1.6444.1M2022-05-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L20.8960.90613+1.13%1.004+12.05%0.0893✓1.3316.1M2022-05-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1842.2086+1.13%2.496+14.29%0.1073✓1.50206k2022-05-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13370.135202+1.12%0.1483+10.92%0.0777✓1.487.3M2022-05-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.131.1427+1.12%1.39+23.01%0.1813✓1.464.1M2022-05-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07850.079378+1.12%0.1018+29.68%0.2307✓1.81734k2022-05-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.231.2437+1.11%1.324+7.64%0.0534✓0.92826k2022-05-13
PROPropyEthereum0.880.889772+1.11%1.19+35.23%0.2840✓0.67528k2022-05-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.0520.052574+1.10%0.0573+10.19%0.0749✓1.11416k2022-05-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.671.6883+1.10%1.78+6.59%0.0428✓1.00392k2022-05-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003590.003629+1.09%0.00429+19.50%0.1556✓1.171.7M2022-05-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.9490.959324+1.09%1.056+11.28%0.0864✓0.9625k2022-05-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.007945+1.09%0.00953+21.25%0.1710✓1.081.0M2022-05-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.4211.4364+1.09%1.83+28.78%0.2352✓0.691.8M2022-05-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.172360.17423+1.09%0.19584+13.62%0.1009✓1.61250k2022-05-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3343760.338002+1.08%0.366416+9.58%0.0677✓1.306.1M2022-05-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3090.312345+1.08%0.344+11.33%0.0865✓1.001.1M2022-05-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4862.5128+1.08%2.607+4.87%0.0202✓1.677.7M2022-05-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.4571.4726+1.07%1.62+11.19%0.0814✓1.402.6M2022-05-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.6772.7057+1.07%3.487+30.26%0.2437✓1.001.4M2022-05-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01630.016473+1.06%0.0164+0.61%0.0268✗2.2425.3M2022-05-13
AAVEAaveEthereum76.7577.5598+1.06%82.28+7.21%0.0443✓1.488.6M2022-05-13
XVGVergenative0.004130.004173+1.04%0.00472+14.29%0.1099✓1.33885k2022-05-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.329720.333148+1.04%0.35077+6.38%0.0367✓1.491.4M2022-05-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.06820.068906+1.03%0.0917+34.46%0.2693✓1.65204k2022-05-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1350.136388+1.03%0.152+12.59%0.0940✓1.444.7M2022-05-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.591.6063+1.03%1.66+4.40%0.0161✓1.68399k2022-05-13
DIADIAEthereum0.321210.324498+1.02%0.37682+17.31%0.1420✓0.7570k2022-05-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.1722.1938+1.00%2.3+5.89%0.0303✓1.7023k2022-05-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1890.190898+1.00%0.206+8.99%0.0616✓1.464.1M2022-05-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0650.065649+1.00%0.071+9.23%0.0681✓1.03115k2022-05-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0107130.01082+1.00%0.01331+24.24%0.1997✓0.75198k2022-05-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.100692+0.99%0.1102+10.53%0.0747✓1.561.8M2022-05-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021760.021976+0.99%0.02379+9.33%0.0695✓0.9830k2022-05-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5370.542293+0.99%0.609+13.41%0.1042✓1.1846k2022-05-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.4832.5075+0.99%2.913+17.32%0.1334✓1.652.4M2022-05-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2430.245371+0.98%0.283+16.46%0.1256✓1.711.7M2022-05-13
XVSVenusEthereum3.623.6549+0.96%4.24+17.13%0.1344✓1.422.9M2022-05-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana2.62.625+0.96%3.09+18.85%0.1539✓0.92817k2022-05-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.950.95912+0.96%1.041+9.58%0.0682✓1.37755k2022-05-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7750.782361+0.95%0.832+7.35%0.0463✓1.528.2M2022-05-13
SOLSolanaSolana44.6545.0726+0.95%48.89+9.50%0.0676✓1.3887.4M2022-05-13
STXStacksnative0.50.504727+0.95%0.52+4.00%0.0190✓1.09260k2022-05-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche30.1930.4749+0.94%32.17+6.56%0.0398✓1.4345.0M2022-05-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.820.82771+0.94%0.89+8.54%0.0634✓0.92142k2022-05-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1080.109006+0.93%0.1223+13.24%0.1060✓0.9119k2022-05-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.63e-74.68e-7+0.93%6.19e-7+33.52%0.2747✓0.521.4M2022-05-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.20850.210387+0.90%0.2334+11.94%0.0904✓1.35184k2022-05-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39390.397446+0.90%0.4631+17.57%0.1383✓1.46299k2022-05-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13020.131367+0.90%0.1491+14.52%0.1130✓1.37372k2022-05-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.162.1793+0.90%2.32+7.41%0.0522✓1.04553k2022-05-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06530.06588+0.89%0.0704+7.81%0.0564✓1.004.0M2022-05-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21350.215375+0.88%0.2519+17.99%0.1444✓1.23486k2022-05-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10080.101683+0.88%0.112+11.11%0.0857✓1.101.1M2022-05-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.058910.059425+0.87%0.06424+9.05%0.0677✓1.0219k2022-05-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.09680.097645+0.87%0.111+14.67%0.1148✓1.341.2M2022-05-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.192.209+0.87%2.39+9.13%0.0693✓0.95429k2022-05-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010810.000010903+0.86%0.00001281+18.50%0.1481✓1.311.3M2022-05-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7291.7439+0.86%1.948+12.67%0.0943✓1.6587k2022-05-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004250.004287+0.86%0.00466+9.65%0.0693✓1.43403k2022-05-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.227.282+0.86%9.27+28.39%0.2274✓1.408.0M2022-05-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07730.077962+0.86%0.0821+6.21%0.0366✓1.523.7M2022-05-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.688.7527+0.84%10.44+20.28%0.1637✓1.2611.8M2022-05-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1070.107895+0.84%0.1227+14.67%0.1126✓1.60109k2022-05-13
BANDBandEthereum1.5141.5267+0.84%1.72+13.61%0.1050✓1.43537k2022-05-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.629.7004+0.84%10.3+7.07%0.0468✓1.3220.1M2022-05-13
KSMKusamaHydration68.7469.3126+0.83%73.84+7.42%0.0511✓1.221.1M2022-05-13
HIVEHivenative0.40370.407049+0.83%0.4549+12.68%0.0990✓1.211.5M2022-05-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043480.043838+0.82%0.05005+15.11%0.1229✓0.9726k2022-05-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.443160.446798+0.82%0.49964+12.74%0.0978✓1.4093k2022-05-13
STEEMSteemnative0.17710.178553+0.82%0.2185+23.38%0.1919✓1.002.1M2022-05-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.708950.714595+0.80%1.022+44.15%0.3435✓1.43886k2022-05-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.18.1635+0.78%8.73+7.78%0.0546✓1.257.4M2022-05-13
MOVRMoonriverBase21.312321.4792+0.78%22.6376+6.22%0.0380✓1.45195k2022-05-13
UNIUniswapEthereum4.654.6863+0.78%5.13+10.32%0.0786✓1.194.1M2022-05-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021330.021496+0.78%0.02399+12.47%0.0993✓1.04222k2022-05-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3041.3142+0.78%1.312+0.61%0.0159✗1.425.3M2022-05-13
NANOnanopayBase0.9974941.0053+0.78%1.0764+7.91%0.0560✓1.24161k2022-05-13
XMRMoneroMonero137.43138.4936+0.77%143.73+4.58%0.0270✓1.023.0M2022-05-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13450.135539+0.77%0.1399+4.01%0.0160✓1.576.2M2022-05-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.5811.669+0.77%12.71+9.76%0.0765✓0.90520k2022-05-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031690.031933+0.77%0.03518+11.01%0.0835✓1.3394k2022-05-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29480.297031+0.76%0.3159+7.16%0.0493✓1.238.5M2022-05-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03020.030426+0.75%0.0329+8.94%0.0649✓1.33179k2022-05-13
LSKLiskEthereum0.9893910.99675+0.74%1.1379+15.01%0.1221✓1.0396k2022-05-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.015020.015131+0.74%0.014586-2.89%0.0477✗1.104.4M2022-05-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum8.258.3108+0.74%9.39+13.82%0.1076✓1.45134k2022-05-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.566.6084+0.74%7.13+8.69%0.0630✓1.3019.6M2022-05-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.38632.4037+0.73%2.4783+3.86%0.0183✓1.23188k2022-05-13
DASHDashDash53.7554.1375+0.72%57.98+7.87%0.0569✓1.171.1M2022-05-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6832.7023+0.72%2.79+3.99%0.0217✓1.0386k2022-05-13
COMPCompoundEthereum60.8861.3099+0.71%68.45+12.43%0.0967✓1.3531k2022-05-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.3119.446+0.70%20.45+5.90%0.0363✓1.413.8M2022-05-13
GMTGMTEthereum1.1611.1691+0.70%1.493+28.60%0.2346✓1.009.5M2022-05-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.598.6488+0.68%9.76+13.62%0.1054✓1.565.8M2022-05-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5790.582936+0.68%0.672+16.06%0.1277✓1.45344k2022-05-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,878.009,944.47+0.67%9,926.05+0.49%0.0135✗1.162.6M2022-05-13
APEApeCoinEthereum7.7857.8367+0.66%8.53+9.57%0.0585✓2.6483.4M2022-05-13
XTZTezosTezos1.68451.6956+0.66%1.7661+4.84%0.0282✓1.26866k2022-05-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001040.000001047+0.65%0.00000112+7.69%0.0598✓0.797.8M2022-05-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015050.015145+0.63%0.01598+6.18%0.0468✓0.69391k2022-05-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV49.6249.9337+0.63%51.89+4.57%0.0289✓0.962.0M2022-05-13
ADACardanoCardano0.47240.475383+0.63%0.5281+11.79%0.0925✓1.2742.0M2022-05-13
XEMNEMnative0.04110.041353+0.62%0.058+41.12%0.3263✓1.2097k2022-05-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16950.170525+0.60%0.1807+6.61%0.0436✓1.44634k2022-05-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.42220.424754+0.60%0.4426+4.83%0.0294✓1.1812.6M2022-05-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0078870.007934+0.59%0.009457+19.90%0.1654✓1.0232k2022-05-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0822690.082756+0.59%0.088244+7.26%0.0532✓1.117.1M2022-05-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.17650.177545+0.59%0.1897+7.48%0.0561✓1.022,9402022-05-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.263.279+0.58%3.27+0.31%0.0099✗0.72777k2022-05-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.0120.012068+0.57%0.0135+12.50%0.1016✓1.053.4M2022-05-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8070.811469+0.55%0.914+13.26%0.1081✓1.09643k2022-05-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.01080.010859+0.55%0.00985-8.80%0.1056✗0.80246k2022-05-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative18.8918.9891+0.52%20.47+8.36%0.0626✓1.254.4M2022-05-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin64.2664.5893+0.51%67.78+5.48%0.0368✓1.1417.8M2022-05-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08630.08674+0.51%0.0872+1.04%0.0031✓0.85169k2022-05-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038670.038861+0.49%0.04297+11.12%0.0911✓0.949,2282022-05-13
ZENHorizenBase19.0419.1336+0.49%20.24+6.30%0.0411✓1.52173k2022-05-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash193.69194.6356+0.49%201.94+4.26%0.0256✓1.125.3M2022-05-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.360570.362312+0.48%0.38322+6.28%0.0436✓1.25166k2022-05-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59350.59633+0.48%0.6653+12.10%0.0955✓1.406.1M2022-05-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.60771.6152+0.47%1.7254+7.32%0.0596✓0.6416k2022-05-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28350.284815+0.46%0.2828-0.25%0.0118✗0.48485k2022-05-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.0614.1245+0.46%14.73+4.77%0.0289✓1.31812k2022-05-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.6283.6445+0.45%3.8681+6.62%0.0476✓1.19135k2022-05-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,941.9529,063.40+0.42%29,232.18+1.00%0.0042✓1.00667.2M2022-05-13
KCSKuCoinnative10.95110.9963+0.41%12.511+14.25%0.1199✓0.924.1M2022-05-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1204340.120918+0.40%0.132063+9.66%0.0776✓1.0613.8M2022-05-13
XYMSymbolnative0.06640.066656+0.39%0.0699+5.27%0.0402✓0.74619k2022-05-13
ZECZcashZcash86.486.7303+0.38%93.81+8.58%0.0661✓1.245.1M2022-05-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.80.802462+0.31%0.814+1.75%0.0033✓1.103.3M2022-05-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.351.354+0.30%1.39+2.96%0.0155✓1.08134k2022-05-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,954.391,959.86+0.28%2,005.48+2.61%0.0127✓1.03464.2M2022-05-13
FTTFTXEthereum29.6729.7437+0.25%30.83+3.91%0.0263✓0.9613.8M2022-05-13
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2311.2341+0.25%1.303+5.85%0.0444✓1.005.7M2022-05-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,197.0029,269.36+0.25%29,332.50+0.46%0.0076✗0.9840k2022-05-13
GTGateEthereum5.36745.3797+0.23%5.5584+3.56%0.0273✓0.544.8M2022-05-13
QNTQuantEthereum73.3773.511+0.19%68.58-6.53%0.0798✗1.043.5M2022-05-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.135.1318+0.03%5.0899-0.78%0.0109✗0.27284k2022-05-13
TRXTRONTron0.0669880.066925-0.09%0.0742+10.77%0.0951✗0.81825k2022-05-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.00870.00691-20.58%0.00012-98.62%4.0837✓3.067.8M2022-05-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.