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2022-05-11 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 167 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0088
167 of 167 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+27.64%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
11.4%
in alpha space · 10.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (167 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.1771.2045+2.34%1.057-10.20%0.1296✗1.044.3M2022-05-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.18291.2087+2.18%1.0557-10.75%0.1342✗1.052.5M2022-05-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.44861.4791+2.11%1.2954-10.58%0.1314✗1.1810.0M2022-05-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001250.001276+2.09%0.00121-3.20%0.0517✗1.493.9M2022-05-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003670.003744+2.03%0.00359-2.18%0.0412✗0.9320k2022-05-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6531.6865+2.03%1.548-6.35%0.0836✗1.961.0M2022-05-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.540.550793+2.00%0.583+7.96%0.0584✓1.4528k2022-05-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.310.316185+2.00%0.28999-6.45%0.0848✗1.61383k2022-05-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.5871.6187+1.99%1.421-10.46%0.1295✗0.701.9M2022-05-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.6371.6695+1.98%1.457-11.00%0.1346✗1.422.6M2022-05-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.82191.8578+1.97%1.4271-21.67%0.2621✗1.578.0M2022-05-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1970.200808+1.93%0.189-4.06%0.0591✗1.474.1M2022-05-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04120.041988+1.91%0.0389-5.58%0.0752✗1.151.9M2022-05-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.741.7733+1.91%1.59-8.62%0.1073✗1.69371k2022-05-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.834.9222+1.91%4.63-4.14%0.0598✗1.35666k2022-05-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10560.107601+1.89%0.0785-25.66%0.3134✗1.82787k2022-05-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.765610.779758+1.85%0.70895-7.40%0.0937✗1.44805k2022-05-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0570.058044+1.83%0.065+14.04%0.1143✓1.03115k2022-05-12
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7155.8184+1.81%7.785+36.22%0.2939✓2.6179.5M2022-05-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.614.693+1.80%4.29-6.94%0.0889✗0.801.2M2022-05-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.352.3919+1.78%2.15-8.51%0.1048✗1.74357k2022-05-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.3651.3893+1.78%1.264-7.40%0.0935✗1.02748k2022-05-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0140.014248+1.77%0.0163+16.43%0.1369✓2.2523.0M2022-05-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.282.32+1.76%2.16-5.26%0.0704✗1.04557k2022-05-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.0011.0184+1.74%0.896-10.49%0.1266✗1.3317.4M2022-05-12
AAVEAaveEthereum82.2883.7044+1.73%76.75-6.72%0.0852✗1.498.6M2022-05-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3180.323504+1.73%0.309-2.83%0.0448✗1.011.1M2022-05-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.0650.066125+1.73%0.0682+4.92%0.0326✓1.65204k2022-05-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2990.304166+1.73%0.243-18.73%0.2227✗1.721.7M2022-05-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.378340.384843+1.72%0.32972-12.85%0.1530✗1.501.4M2022-05-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.479023+1.70%0.405-14.01%0.1663✗1.45869k2022-05-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009480.009641+1.70%0.00889-6.22%0.0794✗1.6545.0M2022-05-12
DODODODOEthereum0.1660.168815+1.70%0.135-18.67%0.2220✗1.454.7M2022-05-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.274.3424+1.70%4.09-4.22%0.0590✗0.852.8M2022-05-12
XVSVenusEthereum3.683.7421+1.69%3.62-1.63%0.0317✗1.422.9M2022-05-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.190.193195+1.68%0.17236-9.28%0.1124✗1.61250k2022-05-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15170.154238+1.67%0.1337-11.87%0.1413✗1.506.8M2022-05-12
RADRadworksEthereum1.841.8708+1.67%1.67-9.24%0.1125✗1.01392k2022-05-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12570.127794+1.67%0.1345+7.00%0.0528✓1.586.2M2022-05-12
DIADIAEthereum0.350.35583+1.67%0.32121-8.23%0.1016✗0.7670k2022-05-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39390.400433+1.66%0.3429-12.95%0.1538✗1.2997k2022-05-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5740.583478+1.65%0.537-6.45%0.0817✗1.2050k2022-05-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4972.5381+1.65%2.486-0.44%0.0190✗1.677.7M2022-05-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.4281.4511+1.62%1.23-13.87%0.1644✗0.93858k2022-05-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2231.2427+1.61%1.133-7.36%0.0907✗1.69582k2022-05-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0780.079247+1.60%0.0653-16.28%0.1925✗1.004.2M2022-05-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.6232.6646+1.59%2.677+2.06%0.0057✓1.001.4M2022-05-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8560.869586+1.59%0.775-9.46%0.1135✗1.548.3M2022-05-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.307170.312002+1.57%0.28864-6.03%0.0762✗1.5642k2022-05-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7851.8131+1.57%1.729-3.14%0.0457✗1.6584k2022-05-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07820.079428+1.57%0.0648-17.14%0.2016✗1.89216k2022-05-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.252.2853+1.57%2.19-2.67%0.0416✗0.96429k2022-05-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4860.49361+1.57%0.381-21.60%0.2574✗1.491.7M2022-05-12
XECeCashnative0.00003640.000036965+1.55%0.00003173-12.83%0.1513✗1.366.7M2022-05-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.3392.3753+1.55%2.172-7.14%0.0877✗1.7022k2022-05-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.0560.056851+1.52%0.052-7.14%0.0880✗1.12416k2022-05-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009730.009878+1.52%0.0108+11.00%0.0901✓0.81238k2022-05-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.820.832414+1.51%0.72-12.20%0.1435✗1.52892k2022-05-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22580.229213+1.51%0.2135-5.45%0.0697✗1.24486k2022-05-12
GMTGMTEthereum1.3171.3367+1.49%1.161-11.85%0.1399✗1.009.7M2022-05-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.051.0657+1.49%0.73-30.48%0.3775✗0.75221k2022-05-12
XVGVergenative0.004360.004425+1.49%0.00413-5.28%0.0676✗1.34885k2022-05-12
STEEMSteemnative0.19560.198503+1.48%0.1771-9.46%0.1130✗1.002.4M2022-05-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.991.0046+1.47%0.95-4.04%0.0544✗1.38755k2022-05-12
SCSiacoinnative0.004350.004414+1.46%0.00425-2.30%0.0363✗1.43403k2022-05-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.11380.11546+1.46%0.0997-12.39%0.1451✗1.561.8M2022-05-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.145078+1.45%0.1302-8.95%0.1068✗1.38372k2022-05-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22190.225124+1.45%0.1911-13.88%0.1626✗1.20316k2022-05-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4962.532+1.44%2.184-12.50%0.1463✗1.51197k2022-05-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.497160.504291+1.43%0.44316-10.86%0.1277✗1.4193k2022-05-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0141560.014356+1.41%0.01502+6.10%0.0464✓1.114.3M2022-05-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29740.301601+1.41%0.2948-0.87%0.0215✗1.238.5M2022-05-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana2.862.9001+1.40%2.6-9.09%0.1083✗0.93829k2022-05-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004570.004634+1.40%0.00359-21.44%0.2540✗1.181.7M2022-05-12
STXStacksnative0.580.588058+1.39%0.5-13.79%0.1611✗1.10260k2022-05-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.01891.033+1.39%0.989391-2.89%0.0421✗1.0496k2022-05-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033190.03365+1.39%0.03169-4.52%0.0586✗1.3494k2022-05-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.1070.108468+1.37%0.0968-9.53%0.1124✗1.351.2M2022-05-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.38620.391495+1.37%0.334376-13.42%0.1563✗1.326.1M2022-05-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000012113+1.36%0.00001081-9.54%0.1124✗1.311.3M2022-05-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068180.069107+1.36%0.05891-13.60%0.1586✗1.0418k2022-05-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche31.131.5215+1.36%30.19-2.93%0.0416✗1.4545.0M2022-05-12
HIVEHivenative0.47720.483631+1.35%0.4037-15.40%0.1794✗1.221.5M2022-05-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.010580.010722+1.35%0.012+13.42%0.1136✓1.023.2M2022-05-12
MOVRMoonriverBase21.439221.7273+1.34%21.3123-0.59%0.0178✗1.46195k2022-05-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1190.120597+1.34%0.108-9.24%0.1094✗0.9019k2022-05-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.8472.885+1.34%2.483-12.79%0.1483✗1.662.2M2022-05-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.18850.191016+1.33%0.1765-6.37%0.0780✗1.022,9402022-05-12
KSMKusamaHydration72.9273.8775+1.31%68.74-5.73%0.0708✗1.231.1M2022-05-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.620.627981+1.29%0.579-6.61%0.0797✗1.46344k2022-05-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.21330.216035+1.28%0.2085-2.25%0.0341✗1.35184k2022-05-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.489.6007+1.27%8.59-9.39%0.1096✗1.574.5M2022-05-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4150.420247+1.26%0.3939-5.08%0.0632✗1.47299k2022-05-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0847740.085845+1.26%0.082269-2.96%0.0414✗1.117.1M2022-05-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.910.921471+1.26%0.82-9.89%0.1157✗0.93142k2022-05-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.024130.024434+1.26%0.02176-9.82%0.1149✗0.9930k2022-05-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59630.603707+1.24%0.5935-0.47%0.0156✗1.406.1M2022-05-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.427.5119+1.24%7.22-2.70%0.0382✗1.418.0M2022-05-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.3363+1.23%1.13-14.39%0.1661✗1.474.1M2022-05-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0120560.012203+1.22%0.010713-11.14%0.1295✗0.76198k2022-05-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049180.04978+1.22%0.04348-11.59%0.1343✗0.9726k2022-05-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03140.031781+1.21%0.0302-3.82%0.0496✗1.36179k2022-05-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11880.120231+1.20%0.107-9.93%0.1149✗1.61108k2022-05-12
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.8303+1.18%1.514-16.31%0.1883✗1.41537k2022-05-12
SOLSolanaSolana50.8251.4105+1.16%44.65-12.14%0.1395✗1.3987.4M2022-05-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7510.874+1.15%9.62-10.51%0.1211✗1.3419.8M2022-05-12
XMRMoneroMonero140.01141.6219+1.15%137.43-1.84%0.0290✗1.033.0M2022-05-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.219.4206+1.15%19.31+0.57%0.0042✓1.413.8M2022-05-12
XEMNEMnative0.0490.049559+1.14%0.0411-16.12%0.1859✗1.2184k2022-05-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08330.084246+1.14%0.0773-7.20%0.0845✗1.513.7M2022-05-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02090.021136+1.13%0.02133+2.06%0.0102✓1.04227k2022-05-12
CBKCobakEthereum1.0681.08+1.13%0.949-11.14%0.1283✗0.9725k2022-05-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11570.116996+1.12%0.1008-12.88%0.1478✗1.111.1M2022-05-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.588.6761+1.12%8.1-5.59%0.0674✗1.267.4M2022-05-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.373340.377436+1.10%0.36057-3.42%0.0444✗1.26151k2022-05-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.45250.457445+1.09%0.4222-6.70%0.0789✗1.1912.6M2022-05-12
DASHDashDash58.0658.6942+1.09%53.75-7.42%0.0868✗1.181.0M2022-05-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017720.017913+1.09%0.01505-15.07%0.1735✗0.67400k2022-05-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.937.0052+1.08%6.56-5.34%0.0643✗1.3119.6M2022-05-12
COMPCompoundEthereum70.9771.7392+1.08%60.88-14.22%0.1627✗1.3638k2022-05-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.80e-75.86e-7+1.08%4.63e-7-20.13%0.2349✗0.531.4M2022-05-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009360.009461+1.08%0.00786-16.03%0.1842✗1.091.0M2022-05-12
NANOnanopayBase1.08021.0918+1.07%0.997494-7.66%0.0890✗1.25161k2022-05-12
ZECZcashZcash83.0983.9709+1.06%86.4+3.98%0.0298✓1.245.1M2022-05-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.059.145+1.05%8.68-4.09%0.0509✗1.2711.8M2022-05-12
GTGateEthereum4.97855.0306+1.05%5.3674+7.81%0.0654✓0.544.7M2022-05-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1750.176829+1.04%0.1695-3.14%0.0408✗1.45634k2022-05-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.463.4954+1.02%3.26-5.78%0.0690✗0.72788k2022-05-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.2614.405+1.02%14.06-1.40%0.0229✗1.32766k2022-05-12
UNIUniswapEthereum4.894.9397+1.02%4.65-4.91%0.0592✗1.204.1M2022-05-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.8513.9863+0.98%11.58-16.39%0.1879✗0.90483k2022-05-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.9110.0056+0.97%8.25-16.75%0.1914✗1.46134k2022-05-12
QNTQuantEthereum64.164.7182+0.96%73.37+14.46%0.1266✓1.043.5M2022-05-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.30650.309407+0.95%0.2835-7.50%0.0869✗0.48514k2022-05-12
ADACardanoCardano0.51610.5209+0.93%0.4724-8.47%0.0964✗1.2842.0M2022-05-12
ZENHorizenBase19.6419.822+0.93%19.04-3.05%0.0386✗1.53173k2022-05-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.51452.537+0.89%2.3863-5.10%0.0599✗1.24188k2022-05-12
XYMSymbolnative0.06810.068704+0.89%0.0664-2.50%0.0333✗0.74619k2022-05-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.8972.9222+0.87%2.683-7.39%0.0843✗1.0481k2022-05-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.5021.515+0.87%1.304-13.18%0.1485✗1.445.3M2022-05-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.853.2542+0.86%49.62-6.02%0.0697✗0.962.0M2022-05-12
PROPropyEthereum1.071.0792+0.86%0.88-17.76%0.2033✗0.70528k2022-05-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.80.806823+0.85%0.8+0.00%0.0073✓1.113.3M2022-05-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash193.96195.6068+0.85%193.69-0.14%0.0087✗1.135.2M2022-05-12
SGBSongbirdnative0.03920.039532+0.85%0.0294-25.00%0.2956✗0.53138k2022-05-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.9120.0786+0.85%18.89-5.12%0.0597✗1.254.4M2022-05-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.042950.043304+0.82%0.03867-9.97%0.1122✗0.959,2282022-05-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,348.9911,442.52+0.82%9,878.00-12.96%0.1458✗1.172.6M2022-05-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1257370.12676+0.81%0.120434-4.22%0.0501✗1.0613.8M2022-05-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0091720.009245+0.80%0.007887-14.01%0.1578✗1.0336k2022-05-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,972.3429,200.57+0.79%28,941.95-0.10%0.0078✗1.00634.5M2022-05-12
NEXONEXOEthereum1.4061.4168+0.77%1.231-12.45%0.1395✗1.005.3M2022-05-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.411.4206+0.75%1.35-4.26%0.0498✗1.08134k2022-05-12
KCSKuCoinnative11.3911.4749+0.75%10.951-3.85%0.0458✗0.924.1M2022-05-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin66.3166.7764+0.70%64.26-3.09%0.0372✗1.1517.5M2022-05-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.70251.7142+0.68%1.6077-5.57%0.0635✗0.6316k2022-05-12
XTZTezosTezos1.77761.7897+0.68%1.6845-5.24%0.0592✗1.24866k2022-05-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09240.093022+0.67%0.0863-6.60%0.0741✗0.85169k2022-05-12
ETHEthereumEthereum2,075.932,089.29+0.64%1,954.39-5.85%0.0657✗1.03464.2M2022-05-12
BTTCBTTC0.000001210.000001217+0.62%0.00000104-14.05%0.1567✗0.797.7M2022-05-12
FTTFTXEthereum29.9430.1195+0.60%29.67-0.90%0.0140✗0.9612.7M2022-05-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0011.0062+0.52%0.807-19.38%0.2195✗1.10574k2022-05-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum28,313.9028,458.79+0.51%29,197.00+3.12%0.0266✓0.9840k2022-05-12
QTUMQtumQtum4.00984.0292+0.48%3.628-9.52%0.1036✗1.21134k2022-05-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.255.2648+0.28%5.13-2.29%0.0257✗0.27284k2022-05-12
TRXTRONTron0.0741460.073963-0.25%0.066988-9.65%0.0982✓0.82553k2022-05-12
LUNATerraTerra 21.060.587479-44.58%0.0087-99.18%4.2092✓3.187.5M2022-05-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.