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2022-05-11 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0386
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+32.09%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
12.0%
in alpha space · 11.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 21.060.844779-20.30%0.0087-99.18%4.5724✓3.187.5M2022-05-12
TRXTRONTron0.0741460.073735-0.55%0.066988-9.65%0.0951✓0.82553k2022-05-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.255.2496-0.01%5.13-2.29%0.0228✓0.27284k2022-05-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0011.0019+0.09%0.807-19.38%0.2151✗1.10574k2022-05-12
NEXONEXOEthereum1.4061.4078+0.13%1.231-12.45%0.1332✗1.005.3M2022-05-12
ETHEthereumEthereum2,075.932,081.09+0.25%1,954.39-5.85%0.0617✗1.03464.2M2022-05-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.411.4139+0.28%1.35-4.26%0.0451✗1.08134k2022-05-12
QTUMQtumQtum4.00984.0212+0.28%3.628-9.52%0.1016✗1.21134k2022-05-12
FTTFTXEthereum29.9430.0263+0.29%29.67-0.90%0.0109✗0.9612.7M2022-05-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.80.802888+0.36%0.8+0.00%0.0024✓1.113.3M2022-05-12
XYMSymbolnative0.06810.06835+0.37%0.0664-2.50%0.0282✗0.74619k2022-05-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1257370.126217+0.38%0.120434-4.22%0.0458✗1.0613.8M2022-05-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09240.092757+0.39%0.0863-6.60%0.0713✗0.85169k2022-05-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.042950.043122+0.40%0.03867-9.97%0.1080✗0.959,2282022-05-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum28,313.9028,427.87+0.40%29,197.00+3.12%0.0277✓0.9840k2022-05-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0091720.009209+0.40%0.007887-14.01%0.1539✗1.0336k2022-05-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.70251.7095+0.41%1.6077-5.57%0.0608✗0.6316k2022-05-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.30650.307793+0.42%0.2835-7.50%0.0817✗0.48514k2022-05-12
KCSKuCoinnative11.3911.439+0.43%10.951-3.85%0.0426✗0.924.1M2022-05-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.2614.3263+0.47%14.06-1.40%0.0174✗1.32766k2022-05-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,972.3429,110.70+0.48%28,941.95-0.10%0.0048✗1.00634.5M2022-05-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.373340.375131+0.48%0.36057-3.42%0.0383✗1.26151k2022-05-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017720.017805+0.48%0.01505-15.07%0.1674✗0.67400k2022-05-12
BTTCBTTC0.000001210.000001216+0.48%0.00000104-14.05%0.1554✗0.797.7M2022-05-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.9120.0061+0.48%18.89-5.12%0.0561✗1.254.4M2022-05-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,348.9911,405.96+0.50%9,878.00-12.96%0.1426✗1.172.6M2022-05-12
GTGateEthereum4.97855.0038+0.51%5.3674+7.81%0.0707✓0.544.7M2022-05-12
XEMNEMnative0.0490.049253+0.52%0.0411-16.12%0.1797✗1.2184k2022-05-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59630.599445+0.53%0.5935-0.47%0.0085✗1.406.1M2022-05-12
ZENHorizenBase19.6419.7438+0.53%19.04-3.05%0.0347✗1.53173k2022-05-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.919.9626+0.53%8.25-16.75%0.1871✗1.46134k2022-05-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin66.3166.6659+0.54%64.26-3.09%0.0355✗1.1517.5M2022-05-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.45250.454963+0.54%0.4222-6.70%0.0735✗1.1912.6M2022-05-12
QNTQuantEthereum64.164.4536+0.55%73.37+14.46%0.1307✓1.043.5M2022-05-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.463.4793+0.56%3.26-5.78%0.0643✗0.72788k2022-05-12
ZECZcashZcash83.0983.5547+0.56%86.4+3.98%0.0348✓1.245.1M2022-05-12
COMPCompoundEthereum70.9771.3671+0.56%60.88-14.22%0.1575✗1.3638k2022-05-12
ADACardanoCardano0.51610.51904+0.57%0.4724-8.47%0.0928✗1.2842.0M2022-05-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.853.1012+0.57%49.62-6.02%0.0668✗0.962.0M2022-05-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.8513.9314+0.59%11.58-16.39%0.1839✗0.90483k2022-05-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.18850.189622+0.60%0.1765-6.37%0.0706✗1.022,9402022-05-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash193.96195.1204+0.60%193.69-0.14%0.0062✗1.135.2M2022-05-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0847740.085284+0.60%0.082269-2.96%0.0348✗1.117.1M2022-05-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.5021.5112+0.61%1.304-13.18%0.1459✗1.445.3M2022-05-12
XTZTezosTezos1.77761.7887+0.63%1.6845-5.24%0.0587✗1.24866k2022-05-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1750.176116+0.64%0.1695-3.14%0.0368✗1.45634k2022-05-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.489.541+0.64%8.59-9.39%0.1034✗1.574.5M2022-05-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.8972.9161+0.66%2.683-7.39%0.0822✗1.0481k2022-05-12
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.8211+0.67%1.514-16.31%0.1832✗1.41537k2022-05-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.51452.5313+0.67%2.3863-5.10%0.0577✗1.24188k2022-05-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.620.624173+0.67%0.579-6.61%0.0736✗1.46344k2022-05-12
HIVEHivenative0.47720.480419+0.67%0.4037-15.40%0.1727✗1.221.5M2022-05-12
DASHDashDash58.0658.4561+0.68%53.75-7.42%0.0827✗1.181.0M2022-05-12
GMTGMTEthereum1.3171.3261+0.69%1.161-11.85%0.1319✗1.009.7M2022-05-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049180.04953+0.71%0.04348-11.59%0.1292✗0.9726k2022-05-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.80e-75.84e-7+0.73%4.63e-7-20.13%0.2314✗0.531.4M2022-05-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.936.9808+0.73%6.56-5.34%0.0608✗1.3119.6M2022-05-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.01891.0265+0.75%0.989391-2.89%0.0358✗1.0496k2022-05-12
NANOnanopayBase1.08021.0884+0.75%0.997494-7.66%0.0859✗1.25161k2022-05-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03140.031639+0.76%0.0302-3.82%0.0451✗1.36179k2022-05-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7510.8322+0.77%9.62-10.51%0.1173✗1.3419.8M2022-05-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.497160.500977+0.77%0.44316-10.86%0.1211✗1.4193k2022-05-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11570.116591+0.77%0.1008-12.88%0.1444✗1.111.1M2022-05-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033190.033449+0.78%0.03169-4.52%0.0526✗1.3494k2022-05-12
UNIUniswapEthereum4.894.9282+0.78%4.65-4.91%0.0569✗1.204.1M2022-05-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.219.3505+0.78%19.31+0.57%0.0006✓1.413.8M2022-05-12
STEEMSteemnative0.19560.197146+0.79%0.1771-9.46%0.1062✗1.002.4M2022-05-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068180.06872+0.79%0.05891-13.60%0.1529✗1.0418k2022-05-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.588.6481+0.79%8.1-5.59%0.0642✗1.267.4M2022-05-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11880.119745+0.80%0.107-9.93%0.1108✗1.61108k2022-05-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.765610.771745+0.80%0.70895-7.40%0.0834✗1.44805k2022-05-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29740.299829+0.82%0.2948-0.87%0.0156✗1.238.5M2022-05-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000012048+0.82%0.00001081-9.54%0.1071✗1.311.3M2022-05-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009730.009811+0.83%0.0108+11.00%0.0969✓0.81238k2022-05-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.1070.107887+0.83%0.0968-9.53%0.1070✗1.351.2M2022-05-12
STXStacksnative0.580.584814+0.83%0.5-13.79%0.1555✗1.10260k2022-05-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08330.083994+0.83%0.0773-7.20%0.0815✗1.513.7M2022-05-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.059.1262+0.84%8.68-4.09%0.0488✗1.2711.8M2022-05-12
XMRMoneroMonero140.01141.1985+0.85%137.43-1.84%0.0260✗1.033.0M2022-05-12
KSMKusamaHydration72.9273.5393+0.85%68.74-5.73%0.0662✗1.231.1M2022-05-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.010580.01067+0.85%0.012+13.42%0.1185✓1.023.2M2022-05-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0780.07867+0.86%0.0653-16.28%0.1852✗1.004.2M2022-05-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.14423+0.86%0.1302-8.95%0.1009✗1.38372k2022-05-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02090.02108+0.86%0.02133+2.06%0.0129✓1.04227k2022-05-12
SOLSolanaSolana50.8251.2595+0.86%44.65-12.14%0.1366✗1.3987.4M2022-05-12
MOVRMoonriverBase21.439221.6262+0.87%21.3123-0.59%0.0131✗1.46195k2022-05-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009360.009442+0.88%0.00786-16.03%0.1822✗1.091.0M2022-05-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0141560.01428+0.88%0.01502+6.10%0.0517✓1.114.3M2022-05-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.11380.114807+0.88%0.0997-12.39%0.1394✗1.561.8M2022-05-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004570.004611+0.89%0.00359-21.44%0.2490✗1.181.7M2022-05-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22580.22781+0.89%0.2135-5.45%0.0636✗1.24486k2022-05-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.282.3003+0.89%2.16-5.26%0.0618✗1.04557k2022-05-12
PROPropyEthereum1.071.0795+0.89%0.88-17.76%0.2036✗0.70528k2022-05-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.910.918141+0.89%0.82-9.89%0.1121✗0.93142k2022-05-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.8472.8726+0.90%2.483-12.79%0.1440✗1.662.2M2022-05-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.252.2702+0.90%2.19-2.67%0.0350✗0.96429k2022-05-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1190.120072+0.90%0.108-9.24%0.1050✗0.9019k2022-05-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8560.863726+0.90%0.775-9.46%0.1068✗1.548.3M2022-05-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0120560.012165+0.90%0.010713-11.14%0.1263✗0.76198k2022-05-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.024130.024349+0.91%0.02176-9.82%0.1114✗0.9930k2022-05-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2990.301712+0.91%0.243-18.73%0.2146✗1.721.7M2022-05-12
DODODODOEthereum0.1660.167508+0.91%0.135-18.67%0.2142✗1.454.7M2022-05-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.427.4874+0.91%7.22-2.70%0.0349✗1.418.0M2022-05-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12570.126856+0.92%0.1345+7.00%0.0602✓1.586.2M2022-05-12
SCSiacoinnative0.004350.00439+0.92%0.00425-2.30%0.0309✗1.43403k2022-05-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana2.862.8865+0.93%2.6-9.09%0.1035✗0.93829k2022-05-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7851.8015+0.93%1.729-3.14%0.0394✗1.6584k2022-05-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4150.418882+0.94%0.3939-5.08%0.0599✗1.47299k2022-05-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.21330.215323+0.95%0.2085-2.25%0.0308✗1.35184k2022-05-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5740.579613+0.98%0.537-6.45%0.0751✗1.2050k2022-05-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.378340.382055+0.98%0.32972-12.85%0.1457✗1.501.4M2022-05-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche31.131.407+0.99%30.19-2.93%0.0380✗1.4545.0M2022-05-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.38620.390039+0.99%0.334376-13.42%0.1526✗1.326.1M2022-05-12
CBKCobakEthereum1.0681.0787+1.01%0.949-11.14%0.1271✗0.9725k2022-05-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10560.106666+1.01%0.0785-25.66%0.3047✗1.82787k2022-05-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.3334+1.02%1.13-14.39%0.1640✗1.474.1M2022-05-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.4281.4426+1.02%1.23-13.87%0.1584✗0.93858k2022-05-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.741.7577+1.02%1.59-8.62%0.0985✗1.69371k2022-05-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.991.0001+1.02%0.95-4.04%0.0499✗1.38755k2022-05-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1970.199015+1.02%0.189-4.06%0.0501✗1.474.1M2022-05-12
XVSVenusEthereum3.683.7177+1.02%3.62-1.63%0.0251✗1.422.9M2022-05-12
DIADIAEthereum0.350.353583+1.02%0.32121-8.23%0.0952✗0.7670k2022-05-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.3392.363+1.02%2.172-7.14%0.0825✗1.7022k2022-05-12
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7155.774+1.03%7.785+36.22%0.3016✓2.6179.5M2022-05-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.6371.6542+1.05%1.457-11.00%0.1254✗1.422.6M2022-05-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.5871.6037+1.05%1.421-10.46%0.1202✗0.701.9M2022-05-12
AAVEAaveEthereum82.2883.1465+1.05%76.75-6.72%0.0785✗1.498.6M2022-05-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22190.224252+1.06%0.1911-13.88%0.1587✗1.20316k2022-05-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.190.192018+1.06%0.17236-9.28%0.1063✗1.61250k2022-05-12
RADRadworksEthereum1.841.8597+1.07%1.67-9.24%0.1065✗1.01392k2022-05-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.820.828792+1.07%0.72-12.20%0.1391✗1.52892k2022-05-12
XVGVergenative0.004360.004407+1.07%0.00413-5.28%0.0635✗1.34885k2022-05-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15170.153335+1.08%0.1337-11.87%0.1355✗1.506.8M2022-05-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4962.5231+1.08%2.184-12.50%0.1427✗1.51197k2022-05-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.0011.0119+1.09%0.896-10.49%0.1202✗1.3317.4M2022-05-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.0560.056609+1.09%0.052-7.14%0.0837✗1.12416k2022-05-12
XECeCashnative0.00003640.000036799+1.10%0.00003173-12.83%0.1468✗1.366.7M2022-05-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39390.398243+1.10%0.3429-12.95%0.1483✗1.2997k2022-05-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009480.009585+1.11%0.00889-6.22%0.0736✗1.6545.0M2022-05-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04120.041667+1.13%0.0389-5.58%0.0675✗1.151.9M2022-05-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07820.079094+1.14%0.0648-17.14%0.1973✗1.89216k2022-05-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.307170.310683+1.14%0.28864-6.03%0.0720✗1.5642k2022-05-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4972.5256+1.15%2.486-0.44%0.0141✗1.677.7M2022-05-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.6232.6531+1.15%2.677+2.06%0.0100✓1.001.4M2022-05-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3180.321653+1.15%0.309-2.83%0.0391✗1.011.1M2022-05-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.051.0621+1.15%0.73-30.48%0.3742✗0.75221k2022-05-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4860.49162+1.16%0.381-21.60%0.2533✗1.491.7M2022-05-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.614.6634+1.16%4.29-6.94%0.0826✗0.801.2M2022-05-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0570.057661+1.16%0.065+14.04%0.1209✓1.03115k2022-05-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.82191.8431+1.16%1.4271-21.67%0.2541✗1.578.0M2022-05-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.352.3776+1.18%2.15-8.51%0.0988✗1.74357k2022-05-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.0650.065765+1.18%0.0682+4.92%0.0381✓1.65204k2022-05-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.476603+1.19%0.405-14.01%0.1613✗1.45869k2022-05-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2231.2377+1.20%1.133-7.36%0.0866✗1.69582k2022-05-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.3651.3815+1.21%1.264-7.40%0.0878✗1.02748k2022-05-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0140.01417+1.21%0.0163+16.43%0.1424✓2.2523.0M2022-05-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.310.313762+1.21%0.28999-6.45%0.0771✗1.61383k2022-05-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.1771.1914+1.23%1.057-10.20%0.1186✗1.044.3M2022-05-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.540.546683+1.24%0.583+7.96%0.0658✓1.4528k2022-05-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.834.8902+1.25%4.63-4.14%0.0533✗1.35666k2022-05-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003670.003717+1.28%0.00359-2.18%0.0337✗0.9320k2022-05-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.274.3262+1.32%4.09-4.22%0.0553✗0.852.8M2022-05-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001250.001267+1.35%0.00121-3.20%0.0443✗1.493.9M2022-05-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6531.6753+1.35%1.548-6.35%0.0770✗1.961.0M2022-05-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.44861.4684+1.37%1.2954-10.58%0.1241✗1.1810.0M2022-05-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.18291.1992+1.38%1.0557-10.75%0.1263✗1.052.5M2022-05-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.