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2022-05-10 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.3732
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-26.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
1.2%
in alpha space · 0.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.55%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 217.4117.739+1.89%1.06-93.91%2.6976✗1.777.5M2022-05-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.98922.0234+1.72%1.4486-27.18%0.2627✗1.0610.0M2022-05-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.01562.0458+1.50%1.177-41.61%0.4992✗0.794.6M2022-05-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.473230.479125+1.25%0.37834-20.05%0.1385✗1.441.4M2022-05-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.005360.005426+1.24%0.00367-31.53%0.3399✗0.7620k2022-05-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.10912.1352+1.24%1.1829-43.91%0.5375✗0.782.5M2022-05-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.011250.011385+1.20%0.00973-13.51%0.1056✗0.76238k2022-05-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.3682.3961+1.19%1.637-30.87%0.2962✗1.252.6M2022-05-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8340.843714+1.16%0.54-35.25%0.3618✗1.2531k2022-05-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.49890.504483+1.12%0.3939-21.05%0.1649✗1.2297k2022-05-11
AAVEAaveEthereum105.24106.4077+1.11%82.28-21.82%0.1613✗1.418.6M2022-05-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.726.7944+1.11%4.61-31.40%0.3455✗0.631.2M2022-05-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16740.169222+1.09%0.1257-24.91%0.1961✗1.496.2M2022-05-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2793.3136+1.05%2.497-23.85%0.1749✗1.597.4M2022-05-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3811.3954+1.04%1.001-27.52%0.2502✗1.2117.4M2022-05-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2960.298976+1.01%0.197-33.45%0.3296✗1.294.1M2022-05-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.7760.783789+1.00%0.574-26.03%0.2371✗1.1050k2022-05-11
MANADecentralandEthereum1.11341.1245+1.00%0.76561-31.23%0.2969✗1.29805k2022-05-11
GMTGMTEthereum1.81.8178+0.99%1.317-26.83%0.2546✗1.009.5M2022-05-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.1770.17875+0.99%0.1056-40.34%0.4161✗1.63902k2022-05-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4552.4789+0.97%1.587-35.36%0.4124✗0.491.9M2022-05-11
STXStacksnative0.680.686581+0.97%0.58-14.71%0.0970✗1.06260k2022-05-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.5992.6234+0.94%1.653-36.40%0.3485✗1.671.1M2022-05-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.421750.425702+0.94%0.30717-27.17%0.2373✗1.3244k2022-05-11
APEApeCoinEthereum9.039.1133+0.92%5.715-36.71%0.3127✗2.2777.0M2022-05-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.520.524762+0.92%0.31-40.38%0.4319✗1.40383k2022-05-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.355.3989+0.91%3.68-31.21%0.2970✗1.272.9M2022-05-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.7211.7366+0.91%1.223-28.94%0.2444✗1.57582k2022-05-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.876.9319+0.90%4.27-37.85%0.4426✗0.622.8M2022-05-11
DODODODOEthereum0.2380.240134+0.90%0.166-30.25%0.2803✗1.314.7M2022-05-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0191160.019283+0.88%0.014156-25.95%0.2412✗1.004.3M2022-05-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002280.002299+0.85%0.00125-45.18%0.5264✗1.233.9M2022-05-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.897.957+0.85%4.83-38.78%0.4227✗1.13666k2022-05-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.30330.305836+0.84%0.2258-25.55%0.2268✗1.13486k2022-05-11
XMRMoneroMonero163.04164.4004+0.83%140.01-14.13%0.0942✗0.983.0M2022-05-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06220.062715+0.83%0.0412-33.76%0.3547✗0.971.9M2022-05-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.463.4886+0.83%2.28-34.10%0.3673✗0.86557k2022-05-11
DIADIAEthereum0.510.514204+0.82%0.35-31.37%0.3447✗0.5970k2022-05-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.413.4379+0.82%2.35-31.09%0.2716✗1.61357k2022-05-11
HIVEHivenative0.59690.601749+0.81%0.4772-20.05%0.1544✗1.141.5M2022-05-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.39110.394265+0.81%0.2974-23.96%0.2048✗1.148.5M2022-05-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.151.1593+0.81%0.82-28.70%0.2516✗1.40892k2022-05-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4760.479808+0.80%0.318-33.19%0.3553✗0.831.1M2022-05-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.34223.3687+0.79%1.8219-45.49%0.5294✗1.267.7M2022-05-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11150.11238+0.79%0.0782-29.87%0.2481✗1.69232k2022-05-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.013440.013546+0.79%0.01058-21.28%0.1838✗0.933.2M2022-05-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.7570.762915+0.78%0.471-37.78%0.3966✗1.26869k2022-05-11
KSMKusamaHydration93.0393.7541+0.78%72.92-21.62%0.1738✗1.141.1M2022-05-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1921.2011+0.77%0.856-28.19%0.2425✗1.428.3M2022-05-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.30.302291+0.76%0.19-36.67%0.3672✗1.44250k2022-05-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.654390.659363+0.76%0.49716-24.03%0.1929✗1.3293k2022-05-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.1342.1502+0.76%1.365-36.04%0.3995✗0.81748k2022-05-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.30420.306505+0.76%0.2219-27.05%0.2504✗1.07316k2022-05-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.31281.3227+0.76%1.0189-22.39%0.1971✗0.9489k2022-05-11
ZECZcashZcash93.0893.7845+0.76%83.09-10.73%0.0382✗1.225.1M2022-05-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.006020.006065+0.75%0.00457-24.09%0.2092✗1.091.7M2022-05-11
MOVRMoonriverBase28.352528.5625+0.74%21.4392-24.38%0.1934✗1.38195k2022-05-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.18820.189567+0.73%0.143-24.02%0.1952✗1.28372k2022-05-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.43.4247+0.73%2.339-31.21%0.2750✗1.5720k2022-05-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0147680.014875+0.72%0.012056-18.36%0.1635✗0.69198k2022-05-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0270.027194+0.72%0.014-48.15%0.5295✗1.9923.0M2022-05-11
BANDBandEthereum2.2432.2588+0.71%1.809-19.35%0.1309✗1.35537k2022-05-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.33610.338465+0.70%0.3065-8.81%0.0680✗0.46514k2022-05-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.10790.108646+0.69%0.065-39.76%0.4188✗1.40204k2022-05-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021370.021517+0.69%0.01772-17.08%0.1540✗0.59405k2022-05-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.732.7487+0.69%1.84-32.60%0.3445✗0.84443k2022-05-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016140.000016251+0.69%0.00001195-25.96%0.2257✗1.211.2M2022-05-11
XVGVergenative0.00630.006343+0.68%0.00436-30.79%0.2947✗1.18885k2022-05-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.27340.275243+0.67%0.2133-21.98%0.1739✗1.20186k2022-05-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.064.0872+0.67%2.86-29.56%0.3043✗0.78829k2022-05-11
GTGateEthereum5.83485.8739+0.67%4.9785-14.68%0.1334✗0.474.7M2022-05-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.8150.820379+0.66%0.62-23.93%0.1870✗1.37344k2022-05-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.963.9859+0.66%3.46-12.63%0.0964✗0.67804k2022-05-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.14210.143024+0.65%0.107-24.70%0.2054✗1.251.2M2022-05-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062880.063288+0.65%0.04918-21.79%0.1926✗0.8826k2022-05-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.842.8584+0.65%1.74-38.73%0.3954✗1.49371k2022-05-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20540.206728+0.65%0.175-14.80%0.0700✗1.43634k2022-05-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.7332.7506+0.64%1.785-34.69%0.3319✗1.4884k2022-05-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.15580.1568+0.64%0.1138-26.96%0.2221✗1.451.8M2022-05-11
QNTQuantEthereum72.3972.853+0.64%64.1-11.45%0.0587✗1.023.5M2022-05-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0410.041261+0.64%0.0314-23.41%0.1894✗1.24179k2022-05-11
XEMNEMnative0.06080.061186+0.64%0.049-19.41%0.1447✗1.1469k2022-05-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.2824.433+0.63%19.2-20.92%0.1499✗1.353.8M2022-05-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014710.014803+0.63%0.00948-35.55%0.3458✗1.4745.0M2022-05-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.8815.9788+0.62%13.85-12.78%0.0851✗0.86473k2022-05-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.5713.6544+0.62%10.75-20.78%0.1535✗1.2619.8M2022-05-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.76030.765028+0.62%0.5963-21.57%0.1598✗1.326.1M2022-05-11
SCSiacoinnative0.006170.006208+0.62%0.00435-29.50%0.2676✗1.30382k2022-05-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7490.753637+0.62%0.486-35.11%0.3495✗1.321.7M2022-05-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.467240.470099+0.61%0.37334-20.10%0.1500✗1.19144k2022-05-11
MINAMina Protocolnative1.431.4387+0.61%0.99-30.77%0.2900✗1.24755k2022-05-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.588.6315+0.60%6.93-19.23%0.1348✗1.2519.6M2022-05-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.2182.2313+0.60%1.428-35.62%0.3968✗0.73903k2022-05-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.5492+0.60%1.05-31.82%0.3505✗0.57221k2022-05-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1550.155916+0.59%0.1188-23.35%0.1725✗1.47108k2022-05-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1079150.108548+0.59%0.084774-21.44%0.1780✗1.027.1M2022-05-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.097640.098209+0.58%0.06818-30.17%0.3045✗0.8918k2022-05-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.031090.03127+0.58%0.02413-22.39%0.1989✗0.8930k2022-05-11
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.914225+0.57%0.8-11.99%0.0599✗1.093.3M2022-05-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1294.1526+0.57%2.623-36.47%0.4055✗0.801.4M2022-05-11
STEEMSteemnative0.29290.294546+0.56%0.1956-33.22%0.3416✗1.002.7M2022-05-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.280.281572+0.56%0.1885-32.68%0.3470✗0.802,9402022-05-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.3911.3988+0.56%1.068-23.22%0.2112✗0.8725k2022-05-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,002.3931,173.25+0.55%28,972.34-6.55%0.0055✓1.00634.5M2022-05-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.24580.247152+0.55%0.1517-38.28%0.4005✗1.296.8M2022-05-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.08230.08275+0.55%0.056-31.96%0.3255✗0.96416k2022-05-11
SOLSolanaSolana66.8667.2255+0.55%50.82-23.99%0.1919✗1.3087.4M2022-05-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046280.046531+0.54%0.03319-28.28%0.2559✗1.2187k2022-05-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.7913.8115+0.54%2.496-34.16%0.3349✗1.31190k2022-05-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche44.5444.7774+0.53%31.1-30.18%0.2764✗1.3045.0M2022-05-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.12810.128781+0.53%0.078-39.11%0.4337✗1.004.0M2022-05-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.5050.507648+0.52%0.299-40.79%0.4279✗1.501.7M2022-05-11
NANOnanopayBase1.38521.3924+0.52%1.0802-22.01%0.1754✗1.16161k2022-05-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.3511.4092+0.52%9.05-20.26%0.1502✗1.2011.8M2022-05-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.623.6389+0.52%2.25-37.85%0.4308✗0.74429k2022-05-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.791.7993+0.52%1.32-26.26%0.2169✗1.374.0M2022-05-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5068550.509478+0.52%0.3862-23.80%0.1945✗1.225.7M2022-05-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.076.1013+0.52%4.89-19.44%0.1444✗1.144.1M2022-05-11
DASHDashDash73.3373.7059+0.51%58.06-20.82%0.1643✗1.101.0M2022-05-11
COMPCompoundEthereum88.8189.265+0.51%70.97-20.09%0.1415✗1.3037k2022-05-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.271.2763+0.50%0.91-28.35%0.2845✗0.80142k2022-05-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011520.011577+0.50%0.00936-18.75%0.1436✗1.021.0M2022-05-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin11.3611.4163+0.50%8.58-24.47%0.2073✗1.167.4M2022-05-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.56680.569598+0.49%0.415-26.78%0.2247✗1.36299k2022-05-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1070.107523+0.49%0.057-46.73%0.5854✗0.73117k2022-05-11
UMAUMAEthereum4.1944.2142+0.48%2.847-32.12%0.2899✗1.512.2M2022-05-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.5063.5227+0.48%2.897-17.37%0.1293✗0.9881k2022-05-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum17.6817.7638+0.47%14.26-19.34%0.1349✗1.25695k2022-05-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum10.5710.6194+0.47%7.42-29.80%0.2724✗1.278.0M2022-05-11
XECeCashnative0.000058420.00005869+0.46%0.0000364-37.69%0.3994✗1.166.7M2022-05-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.58480.587411+0.45%0.4525-22.62%0.1867✗1.1012.6M2022-05-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.10220.102656+0.45%0.0924-9.59%0.0491✗0.83169k2022-05-11
ADACardanoCardano0.62830.631103+0.45%0.5161-17.86%0.1184✗1.2242.0M2022-05-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.15340.154078+0.44%0.1157-24.58%0.2186✗1.001.1M2022-05-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.09693.1104+0.43%2.5145-18.81%0.1332✗1.17188k2022-05-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.621.6269+0.43%1.41-12.96%0.0719✗1.05134k2022-05-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.2663.5228+0.42%52.8-16.53%0.1240✗0.902.0M2022-05-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.8923.9887+0.41%19.91-16.66%0.1054✗1.204.4M2022-05-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029420.029541+0.41%0.0209-28.96%0.2853✗0.90227k2022-05-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1483970.149005+0.41%0.125737-15.27%0.1011✗1.0113.8M2022-05-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash231.66232.5877+0.40%193.96-16.27%0.1090✗1.075.2M2022-05-11
XYMSymbolnative0.08130.081605+0.38%0.0681-16.24%0.1352✗0.67619k2022-05-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1920.192718+0.37%0.119-38.02%0.4368✗0.6719k2022-05-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0431.0468+0.37%1.001-4.03%0.0317✓1.13574k2022-05-11
ETHEthereumEthereum2,340.512,348.65+0.35%2,075.93-11.30%0.0549✗1.01464.2M2022-05-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0109120.01095+0.35%0.009172-15.95%0.1114✗0.9738k2022-05-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum13,692.5513,739.67+0.34%11,348.99-17.12%0.1154✗1.122.6M2022-05-11
ZENHorizenBase25.4125.4967+0.34%19.64-22.71%0.1628✗1.45173k2022-05-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05330.05348+0.34%0.04295-19.42%0.1603✗0.879,7632022-05-11
FTTFTXEthereum33.0833.1872+0.32%29.94-9.49%0.0390✗0.9412.7M2022-05-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1140.114368+0.32%0.0833-26.93%0.2231✗1.393.7M2022-05-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.93751.9434+0.31%1.7025-12.13%0.0919✗0.6015k2022-05-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin80.1280.3633+0.30%66.31-17.24%0.1181✗1.0917.5M2022-05-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,038.9031,132.98+0.30%28,313.90-8.78%0.0298✗0.9640k2022-05-11
XTZTezosTezos2.11412.1203+0.29%1.7776-15.92%0.0949✗1.20866k2022-05-11
KCSKuCoinnative13.91913.9597+0.29%11.39-18.17%0.1460✗0.854.1M2022-05-11
NEXONEXOEthereum1.7381.7422+0.24%1.406-19.10%0.1467✗1.005.2M2022-05-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001450.000001453+0.21%0.00000121-16.55%0.1338✗0.737.7M2022-05-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9771.9811+0.21%1.502-24.03%0.1853✗1.355.3M2022-05-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.42455.4337+0.17%5.25-3.22%0.0156✗0.28284k2022-05-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.414.4243+0.17%9.91-31.18%0.2859✗1.32134k2022-05-11
PROPropyEthereum1.411.4118+0.12%1.07-24.11%0.2390✗0.56528k2022-05-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1314.1457+0.11%9.48-32.91%0.3042✗1.423.5M2022-05-11
QTUMQtumQtum4.75214.7572+0.11%4.0098-15.62%0.0926✗1.16134k2022-05-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.18e-78.18e-7+0.05%5.80e-7-29.06%0.3204✗0.351.1M2022-05-11
TRXTRONTron0.0770550.076747-0.40%0.074146-3.78%0.0219✗0.83463k2022-05-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.