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2022-05-10 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.4589
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-33.23%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
8.4%
in alpha space · 9.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.55%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0770550.076515-0.70%0.074146-3.78%0.0249✗0.83463k2022-05-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.414.346-0.37%9.91-31.18%0.2805✓1.32134k2022-05-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.18e-78.16e-7-0.20%5.80e-7-29.06%0.3180✓0.351.1M2022-05-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0431.0414-0.15%1.001-4.03%0.0369✗1.13574k2022-05-11
QTUMQtumQtum4.75214.7451-0.15%4.0098-15.62%0.0901✓1.16134k2022-05-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.58480.583942-0.15%0.4525-22.62%0.1807✓1.1012.6M2022-05-11
NEXONEXOEthereum1.7381.7355-0.14%1.406-19.10%0.1428✓1.005.2M2022-05-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9771.975-0.10%1.502-24.03%0.1822✓1.355.3M2022-05-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0109120.010901-0.10%0.009172-15.95%0.1069✓0.9738k2022-05-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1314.1214-0.06%9.48-32.91%0.3025✓1.423.5M2022-05-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.42455.4216-0.05%5.25-3.22%0.0134✓0.28284k2022-05-11
ETHEthereumEthereum2,340.512,339.33-0.05%2,075.93-11.30%0.0510✓1.01464.2M2022-05-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1483970.148327-0.05%0.125737-15.27%0.0965✓1.0113.8M2022-05-11
XYMSymbolnative0.08130.081268-0.04%0.0681-16.24%0.1311✓0.67619k2022-05-11
FTTFTXEthereum33.0833.0686-0.03%29.94-9.49%0.0354✓0.9412.7M2022-05-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum13,692.5513,693.38+0.01%11,348.99-17.12%0.1120✗1.122.6M2022-05-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.621.6201+0.01%1.41-12.96%0.0677✗1.05134k2022-05-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.280.280022+0.01%0.1885-32.68%0.3414✗0.802,9402022-05-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05330.053304+0.01%0.04295-19.42%0.1570✗0.879,7632022-05-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum17.6817.6842+0.02%14.26-19.34%0.1305✗1.25695k2022-05-11
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.909301+0.03%0.8-11.99%0.0545✗1.093.3M2022-05-11
GTGateEthereum5.83485.8368+0.03%4.9785-14.68%0.1270✗0.474.7M2022-05-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.93751.9382+0.03%1.7025-12.13%0.0892✗0.6015k2022-05-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.097640.097678+0.04%0.06818-30.17%0.2991✗0.8918k2022-05-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.467240.467426+0.04%0.37334-20.10%0.1443✗1.19144k2022-05-11
KCSKuCoinnative13.91913.9258+0.05%11.39-18.17%0.1436✗0.854.1M2022-05-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.10220.10225+0.05%0.0924-9.59%0.0451✗0.83169k2022-05-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001450.000001451+0.07%0.00000121-16.55%0.1324✗0.737.7M2022-05-11
ZENHorizenBase25.4125.4292+0.08%19.64-22.71%0.1601✗1.45173k2022-05-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.76030.760982+0.09%0.5963-21.57%0.1545✗1.326.1M2022-05-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.31281.314+0.09%1.0189-22.39%0.1905✗0.9489k2022-05-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1079150.108021+0.10%0.084774-21.44%0.1732✗1.027.1M2022-05-11
ADACardanoCardano0.62830.62894+0.10%0.5161-17.86%0.1150✗1.2242.0M2022-05-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.12810.128232+0.10%0.078-39.11%0.4294✗1.004.0M2022-05-11
COMPCompoundEthereum88.8188.903+0.10%70.97-20.09%0.1375✗1.3037k2022-05-11
XEMNEMnative0.06080.060871+0.12%0.049-19.41%0.1396✗1.1469k2022-05-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.623.6245+0.12%2.25-37.85%0.4268✗0.74429k2022-05-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.8923.9208+0.13%19.91-16.66%0.1026✗1.204.4M2022-05-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.2663.3453+0.13%52.8-16.53%0.1212✗0.902.0M2022-05-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021370.021401+0.14%0.01772-17.08%0.1485✗0.59405k2022-05-11
DASHDashDash73.3373.4415+0.15%58.06-20.82%0.1607✗1.101.0M2022-05-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1920.192311+0.16%0.119-38.02%0.4347✗0.6719k2022-05-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin80.1280.2545+0.17%66.31-17.24%0.1167✗1.0917.5M2022-05-11
HIVEHivenative0.59690.597983+0.18%0.4772-20.05%0.1481✗1.141.5M2022-05-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,002.3931,061.12+0.19%28,972.34-6.55%0.0019✓1.00634.5M2022-05-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.842.8454+0.19%1.74-38.73%0.3908✗1.49371k2022-05-11
STEEMSteemnative0.29290.293462+0.19%0.1956-33.22%0.3380✗1.002.7M2022-05-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,038.9031,098.63+0.19%28,313.90-8.78%0.0287✗0.9640k2022-05-11
UMAUMAEthereum4.1944.2021+0.19%2.847-32.12%0.2870✗1.512.2M2022-05-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.24580.246309+0.21%0.1517-38.28%0.3971✗1.296.8M2022-05-11
GMTGMTEthereum1.81.8039+0.22%1.317-26.83%0.2469✗1.009.5M2022-05-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.463.4676+0.22%2.28-34.10%0.3613✗0.86557k2022-05-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.5063.5141+0.23%2.897-17.37%0.1269✗0.9881k2022-05-11
PROPropyEthereum1.411.4133+0.23%1.07-24.11%0.2401✗0.56528k2022-05-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.963.9693+0.23%3.46-12.63%0.0922✗0.67804k2022-05-11
QNTQuantEthereum72.3972.5598+0.23%64.1-11.45%0.0547✗1.023.5M2022-05-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.14210.142437+0.24%0.107-24.70%0.2013✗1.251.2M2022-05-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash231.66232.2159+0.24%193.96-16.27%0.1074✗1.075.2M2022-05-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.33610.336929+0.25%0.3065-8.81%0.0635✗0.46514k2022-05-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.8150.817031+0.25%0.62-23.93%0.1829✗1.37344k2022-05-11
NANOnanopayBase1.38521.3886+0.25%1.0802-22.01%0.1727✗1.16161k2022-05-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1140.114288+0.25%0.0833-26.93%0.2224✗1.393.7M2022-05-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016140.000016181+0.25%0.00001195-25.96%0.2214✗1.211.2M2022-05-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062880.063039+0.25%0.04918-21.79%0.1887✗0.8826k2022-05-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.15580.156195+0.25%0.1138-26.96%0.2183✗1.451.8M2022-05-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.588.6018+0.25%6.93-19.23%0.1313✗1.2519.6M2022-05-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.15340.153798+0.26%0.1157-24.58%0.2168✗1.001.1M2022-05-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.7332.7401+0.26%1.785-34.69%0.3280✗1.4884k2022-05-11
XTZTezosTezos2.11412.1196+0.26%1.7776-15.92%0.0946✗1.20866k2022-05-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046280.046401+0.26%0.03319-28.28%0.2531✗1.2187k2022-05-11
BANDBandEthereum2.2432.2489+0.26%1.809-19.35%0.1265✗1.35537k2022-05-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.09693.1054+0.27%2.5145-18.81%0.1316✗1.17188k2022-05-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1921.1953+0.28%0.856-28.19%0.2377✗1.428.3M2022-05-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum10.5710.5997+0.28%7.42-29.80%0.2705✗1.278.0M2022-05-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.5713.6082+0.28%10.75-20.78%0.1501✗1.2619.8M2022-05-11
SCSiacoinnative0.006170.006188+0.29%0.00435-29.50%0.2643✗1.30382k2022-05-11
ZECZcashZcash93.0893.3501+0.29%83.09-10.73%0.0335✗1.225.1M2022-05-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.8815.927+0.30%13.85-12.78%0.0818✗0.86473k2022-05-11
MANADecentralandEthereum1.11341.1167+0.30%0.76561-31.23%0.2899✗1.29805k2022-05-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.10790.108226+0.30%0.065-39.76%0.4149✗1.40204k2022-05-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1294.1416+0.31%2.623-36.47%0.4029✗0.801.4M2022-05-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.5050.506568+0.31%0.299-40.79%0.4258✗1.501.7M2022-05-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.654390.656429+0.31%0.49716-24.03%0.1884✗1.3293k2022-05-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014710.014756+0.31%0.00948-35.55%0.3426✗1.4745.0M2022-05-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.7570.759416+0.32%0.471-37.78%0.3920✗1.26869k2022-05-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin11.3611.3966+0.32%8.58-24.47%0.2056✗1.167.4M2022-05-11
SOLSolanaSolana66.8667.0764+0.32%50.82-23.99%0.1897✗1.3087.4M2022-05-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.2182.2252+0.33%1.428-35.62%0.3941✗0.73903k2022-05-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0410.041137+0.33%0.0314-23.41%0.1864✗1.24179k2022-05-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.08230.082577+0.34%0.056-31.96%0.3234✗0.96416k2022-05-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011520.011559+0.34%0.00936-18.75%0.1420✗1.021.0M2022-05-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20540.2061+0.34%0.175-14.80%0.0670✗1.43634k2022-05-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.076.0908+0.34%4.89-19.44%0.1427✗1.144.1M2022-05-11
XECeCashnative0.000058420.00005862+0.34%0.0000364-37.69%0.3982✗1.166.7M2022-05-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.39110.392476+0.35%0.2974-23.96%0.2002✗1.148.5M2022-05-11
DODODODOEthereum0.2380.238855+0.36%0.166-30.25%0.2750✗1.314.7M2022-05-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1550.155557+0.36%0.1188-23.35%0.1702✗1.47108k2022-05-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029420.029527+0.36%0.0209-28.96%0.2849✗0.90227k2022-05-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.271.2746+0.37%0.91-28.35%0.2831✗0.80142k2022-05-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.064.075+0.37%2.86-29.56%0.3013✗0.78829k2022-05-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.18820.188898+0.37%0.143-24.02%0.1917✗1.28372k2022-05-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.56680.568919+0.37%0.415-26.78%0.2235✗1.36299k2022-05-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.3511.3928+0.38%9.05-20.26%0.1487✗1.2011.8M2022-05-11
MINAMina Protocolnative1.431.4354+0.38%0.99-30.77%0.2877✗1.24755k2022-05-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.006020.006043+0.38%0.00457-24.09%0.2056✗1.091.7M2022-05-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.031090.031208+0.38%0.02413-22.39%0.1969✗0.8930k2022-05-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.27340.274462+0.39%0.2133-21.98%0.1710✗1.20186k2022-05-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1070.107417+0.39%0.057-46.73%0.5844✗0.73117k2022-05-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.013440.013494+0.40%0.01058-21.28%0.1800✗0.933.2M2022-05-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.2824.3787+0.41%19.2-20.92%0.1476✗1.353.8M2022-05-11
MOVRMoonriverBase28.352528.4695+0.41%21.4392-24.38%0.1902✗1.38195k2022-05-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.7913.8068+0.42%2.496-34.16%0.3336✗1.31190k2022-05-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche44.5444.7297+0.43%31.1-30.18%0.2754✗1.3045.0M2022-05-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.30.301288+0.43%0.19-36.67%0.3638✗1.44250k2022-05-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.7760.779407+0.44%0.574-26.03%0.2315✗1.1050k2022-05-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4760.478119+0.45%0.318-33.19%0.3518✗0.831.1M2022-05-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.34223.3571+0.45%1.8219-45.49%0.5260✗1.267.7M2022-05-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.30420.305562+0.45%0.2219-27.05%0.2473✗1.07316k2022-05-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0191160.019203+0.45%0.014156-25.95%0.2370✗1.004.3M2022-05-11
XVGVergenative0.00630.006329+0.46%0.00436-30.79%0.2924✗1.18885k2022-05-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.5471+0.46%1.05-31.82%0.3492✗0.57221k2022-05-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.1770.177832+0.47%0.1056-40.34%0.4109✗1.63902k2022-05-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.791.7984+0.47%1.32-26.26%0.2165✗1.374.0M2022-05-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0147680.014838+0.47%0.012056-18.36%0.1611✗0.69198k2022-05-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.732.7429+0.47%1.84-32.60%0.3424✗0.84443k2022-05-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.43.4162+0.48%2.339-31.21%0.2726✗1.5720k2022-05-11
KSMKusamaHydration93.0393.4774+0.48%72.92-21.62%0.1708✗1.141.1M2022-05-11
DIADIAEthereum0.510.512497+0.49%0.35-31.37%0.3414✗0.5970k2022-05-11
STXStacksnative0.680.683333+0.49%0.58-14.71%0.0923✗1.06260k2022-05-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7490.752675+0.49%0.486-35.11%0.3482✗1.321.7M2022-05-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.897.93+0.51%4.83-38.78%0.4193✗1.13666k2022-05-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5068550.509437+0.51%0.3862-23.80%0.1945✗1.225.7M2022-05-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.30330.304846+0.51%0.2258-25.55%0.2236✗1.13486k2022-05-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.1342.1449+0.51%1.365-36.04%0.3970✗0.81748k2022-05-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.3911.3982+0.52%1.068-23.22%0.2108✗0.8725k2022-05-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4552.4678+0.52%1.587-35.36%0.4080✗0.491.9M2022-05-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06220.062527+0.53%0.0412-33.76%0.3516✗0.971.9M2022-05-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16740.168294+0.53%0.1257-24.91%0.1906✗1.496.2M2022-05-11
XMRMoneroMonero163.04163.913+0.54%140.01-14.13%0.0912✗0.983.0M2022-05-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.151.1562+0.54%0.82-28.70%0.2489✗1.40892k2022-05-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2960.297591+0.54%0.197-33.45%0.3250✗1.294.1M2022-05-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0270.027147+0.54%0.014-48.15%0.5277✗1.9923.0M2022-05-11
APEApeCoinEthereum9.039.0809+0.56%5.715-36.71%0.3091✗2.2777.0M2022-05-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11150.112137+0.57%0.0782-29.87%0.2459✗1.69232k2022-05-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.413.4298+0.58%2.35-31.09%0.2692✗1.61357k2022-05-11
AAVEAaveEthereum105.24105.8709+0.60%82.28-21.82%0.1563✗1.418.6M2022-05-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3811.3896+0.63%1.001-27.52%0.2461✗1.2117.4M2022-05-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.355.3836+0.63%3.68-31.21%0.2941✗1.272.9M2022-05-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.3682.3829+0.63%1.637-30.87%0.2907✗1.252.6M2022-05-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.5992.6161+0.66%1.653-36.40%0.3457✗1.671.1M2022-05-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.520.523466+0.67%0.31-40.38%0.4294✗1.40383k2022-05-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.473230.47641+0.67%0.37834-20.05%0.1329✗1.441.4M2022-05-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.726.7657+0.68%4.61-31.40%0.3412✗0.631.2M2022-05-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.876.9169+0.68%4.27-37.85%0.4404✗0.622.8M2022-05-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.011250.011327+0.69%0.00973-13.51%0.1005✗0.76238k2022-05-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.01562.0296+0.70%1.177-41.61%0.4913✗0.794.6M2022-05-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.10912.1239+0.70%1.1829-43.91%0.5321✗0.782.5M2022-05-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.005360.005398+0.70%0.00367-31.53%0.3346✗0.7620k2022-05-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.421750.424803+0.72%0.30717-27.17%0.2352✗1.3244k2022-05-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2793.3029+0.73%2.497-23.85%0.1717✗1.597.4M2022-05-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.49890.502588+0.74%0.3939-21.05%0.1612✗1.2297k2022-05-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002280.002297+0.75%0.00125-45.18%0.5253✗1.233.9M2022-05-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.7211.7343+0.77%1.223-28.94%0.2430✗1.57582k2022-05-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8340.841267+0.87%0.54-35.25%0.3589✗1.2531k2022-05-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.98922.0118+1.14%1.4486-27.18%0.2569✗1.0610.0M2022-05-11
LUNATerraTerra 217.4117.6217+1.22%1.06-93.91%2.6910✗1.777.5M2022-05-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.