8=======>

2022-05-09 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0535
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.78%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.2%
in alpha space · 78.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.07%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 230.3530.9571+2.00%17.41-42.64%0.6346✗1.957.1M2022-05-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.05532.092+1.78%1.9892-3.22%0.0830✗1.0810.0M2022-05-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.05322.0858+1.59%2.0156-1.83%0.0589✗0.814.8M2022-05-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.4420.448932+1.57%0.47323+7.07%0.0093✓1.431.3M2022-05-10
AAVEAaveEthereum99.45100.8144+1.37%105.24+5.82%0.0002✓1.418.3M2022-05-10
API3Api3Ethereum2.312.3417+1.37%2.368+2.51%0.0269✗1.262.6M2022-05-10
APEApeCoinEthereum8.0088.1163+1.35%9.03+12.76%0.0387✓2.2576.4M2022-05-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.005430.005503+1.35%0.00536-1.29%0.0495✗0.7720k2022-05-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.152.1785+1.32%2.1091-1.90%0.0568✗0.812.5M2022-05-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.50360.510012+1.27%0.4989-0.93%0.0594✗1.2395k2022-05-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2720.275462+1.27%0.296+8.82%0.0329✓1.294.2M2022-05-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16340.165475+1.27%0.1674+2.45%0.0339✗1.506.0M2022-05-10
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06011.0735+1.27%1.1134+5.03%0.0024✓1.28760k2022-05-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2393.2797+1.26%3.279+1.23%0.0489✗1.617.1M2022-05-10
STXStacksnative0.650.658085+1.24%0.68+4.62%0.0009✓1.05260k2022-05-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3441.3605+1.23%1.381+2.75%0.0218✗1.2117.4M2022-05-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.17020.172289+1.23%0.177+4.00%0.0222✗1.621.1M2022-05-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.686.7611+1.21%6.72+0.60%0.0253✗0.631.2M2022-05-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.870.880527+1.21%0.834-4.14%0.0927✗1.2732k2022-05-10
GMTGMTEthereum1.7691.7903+1.21%1.8+1.75%0.0249✗1.008.8M2022-05-10
DODODODOEthereum0.2250.227648+1.18%0.238+5.78%0.0048✓1.314.7M2022-05-10
XVSVenusEthereum5.155.2105+1.18%5.35+3.88%0.0122✗1.282.8M2022-05-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.50.505796+1.16%0.52+4.00%0.0144✗1.39398k2022-05-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.414340.419043+1.14%0.42175+1.79%0.0337✗1.3347k2022-05-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.7740.782786+1.14%0.776+0.26%0.0434✗1.1546k2022-05-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.71.7189+1.11%1.721+1.24%0.0465✗1.58582k2022-05-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013950.000014102+1.09%0.00001614+15.70%0.0993✓1.181.2M2022-05-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.816.8826+1.07%6.87+0.88%0.0208✗0.632.8M2022-05-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0182420.018434+1.05%0.019116+4.79%0.0057✓1.014.2M2022-05-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.5972.6241+1.04%2.599+0.08%0.0610✗1.701.2M2022-05-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.29680.299888+1.04%0.3033+2.19%0.0230✗1.13486k2022-05-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.11.1113+1.03%1.15+4.55%0.0081✓1.40842k2022-05-10
MOVRMoonriverBase27.460527.7396+1.02%28.3525+3.25%0.0201✗1.39188k2022-05-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.624220.630541+1.01%0.65439+4.83%0.0028✓1.3288k2022-05-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.280.282835+1.01%0.3+7.14%0.0157✓1.43250k2022-05-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.333.3636+1.01%3.41+2.40%0.0353✗1.62339k2022-05-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1431.1544+1.00%1.192+4.29%0.0109✗1.428.2M2022-05-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.33.3329+1.00%3.46+4.85%0.0116✓0.86565k2022-05-10
HIVEHivenative0.57750.583251+1.00%0.5969+3.36%0.0115✗1.141.5M2022-05-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.1330.134315+0.99%0.1421+6.84%0.0185✓1.251.2M2022-05-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.013280.013411+0.99%0.01125-15.29%0.2003✗0.81222k2022-05-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084630.085466+0.99%0.09764+15.37%0.1072✓0.8618k2022-05-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4690.473622+0.99%0.476+1.49%0.0202✗0.831.1M2022-05-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6392.6647+0.97%2.455-6.97%0.0980✗0.532.2M2022-05-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.29460.297453+0.97%0.3042+3.26%0.0100✗1.07305k2022-05-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.14420.145592+0.97%0.1558+8.04%0.0240✓1.451.8M2022-05-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7650.772371+0.96%0.815+6.54%0.0123✓1.37327k2022-05-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002340.002362+0.96%0.00228-2.56%0.0733✗1.253.9M2022-05-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.38940.393121+0.96%0.3911+0.44%0.0400✗1.158.1M2022-05-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02530.025542+0.96%0.027+6.72%0.0047✓1.9922.0M2022-05-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.013330.013457+0.95%0.01344+0.83%0.0296✗0.942.9M2022-05-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.4912.6069+0.94%13.57+8.65%0.0357✓1.2519.4M2022-05-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0140040.014135+0.93%0.014768+5.46%0.0231✓0.69195k2022-05-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.938.0036+0.93%7.89-0.50%0.0488✗1.14666k2022-05-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19260.194363+0.92%0.2054+6.65%0.0123✓1.42634k2022-05-10
XEMNEMnative0.0580.058531+0.92%0.0608+4.83%0.0035✓1.1469k2022-05-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.12130.122392+0.90%0.1281+5.61%0.0153✓1.003.9M2022-05-10
KSMKusamaHydration94.2695.1071+0.90%93.03-1.30%0.0571✗1.161.1M2022-05-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.42883.4592+0.89%3.3422-2.53%0.0731✗1.287.7M2022-05-10
DIADIAEthereum0.530.534689+0.88%0.51-3.77%0.0656✗0.6170k2022-05-10
ZECZcashZcash92.6893.4989+0.88%93.08+0.43%0.0416✗1.235.1M2022-05-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.1030.103908+0.88%0.1079+4.76%0.0046✓1.40192k2022-05-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche41.2141.5721+0.88%44.54+8.08%0.0299✓1.2944.2M2022-05-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14360.144855+0.87%0.155+7.94%0.0238✓1.45108k2022-05-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.773.8029+0.87%3.96+5.04%0.0205✓0.66804k2022-05-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.26470.267004+0.87%0.2734+3.29%0.0126✗1.20186k2022-05-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.33470.337606+0.87%0.3361+0.42%0.0184✗0.46514k2022-05-10
XVGVergenative0.006110.006163+0.87%0.0063+3.11%0.0140✗1.19885k2022-05-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.020410.020586+0.86%0.02137+4.70%0.0197✓0.58405k2022-05-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.18.17+0.86%8.58+5.93%0.0113✓1.2518.3M2022-05-10
SOLSolanaSolana62.1362.6665+0.86%66.86+7.61%0.0258✓1.2985.8M2022-05-10
COMPCompoundEthereum80.6481.3351+0.86%88.81+10.13%0.0493✓1.2831k2022-05-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.038528+0.86%0.041+7.33%0.0252✓1.22179k2022-05-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.7480.754407+0.86%0.757+1.20%0.0356✗1.29954k2022-05-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.18810.189711+0.86%0.1882+0.05%0.0471✗1.29372k2022-05-10
GITCOINGITCOIN3.3483.3767+0.86%3.4+1.55%0.0410✗1.5819k2022-05-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.3571.3686+0.86%1.3128-3.26%0.0710✗0.9784k2022-05-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.47e-76.53e-7+0.85%8.18e-7+26.30%0.2165✓0.28855k2022-05-10
SCSiacoinnative0.005930.00598+0.85%0.00617+4.05%0.0082✓1.30373k2022-05-10
BANDBandEthereum2.2032.2216+0.85%2.243+1.82%0.0315✗1.36504k2022-05-10
XMRMoneroMonero173.09174.5428+0.84%163.04-5.81%0.0988✗1.013.0M2022-05-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72360.729635+0.83%0.7603+5.07%0.0013✓1.326.1M2022-05-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.772.793+0.83%2.84+2.53%0.0287✗1.50355k2022-05-10
MINAMina Protocolnative1.351.3612+0.83%1.43+5.93%0.0122✓1.23755k2022-05-10
QNTQuantEthereum69.8170.3871+0.83%72.39+3.70%0.0029✓1.023.4M2022-05-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1017730.102611+0.82%0.107915+6.04%0.0198✓1.017.1M2022-05-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11630.117257+0.82%0.1115-4.13%0.1029✗1.74232k2022-05-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.440850.444475+0.82%0.46724+5.99%0.0142✓1.18141k2022-05-10
XECeCashnative0.000053370.000053808+0.82%0.00005842+9.46%0.0477✓1.146.7M2022-05-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01450.014619+0.82%0.01471+1.45%0.0387✗1.4845.5M2022-05-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.6410.7268+0.82%11.35+6.67%0.0203✓1.1911.7M2022-05-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.2032.2209+0.81%2.134-3.13%0.0650✗0.83763k2022-05-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.0770.077623+0.81%0.0823+6.88%0.0298✓0.95416k2022-05-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06490.065424+0.81%0.0622-4.16%0.0805✗0.992.0M2022-05-10
GTGateEthereum5.68145.727+0.80%5.8348+2.70%0.0044✓0.474.5M2022-05-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1010.10181+0.80%0.107+5.94%0.0279✓0.72124k2022-05-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010580.010665+0.80%0.01152+8.88%0.0466✓1.011.0M2022-05-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7260.731778+0.80%0.749+3.17%0.0166✗1.321.7M2022-05-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.5493.577+0.79%3.791+6.82%0.0189✓1.30186k2022-05-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.043460.043796+0.77%0.04628+6.49%0.0188✓1.2070k2022-05-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.4790.482698+0.77%0.505+5.43%0.0002✓1.501.6M2022-05-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062530.063012+0.77%0.06288+0.56%0.0291✗0.8926k2022-05-10
XYMSymbolnative0.07460.075172+0.77%0.0813+8.98%0.0586✓0.65619k2022-05-10
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8550.861533+0.76%0.909+6.32%0.0210✓1.083.2M2022-05-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.2640.266001+0.76%0.28+6.06%0.0275✓0.792,9402022-05-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.8124.9965+0.75%24.28-2.14%0.0704✗1.363.8M2022-05-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.074.1005+0.75%4.06-0.25%0.0338✗0.79835k2022-05-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0794.1095+0.75%4.129+1.23%0.0196✗0.801.5M2022-05-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,078.2730,302.76+0.75%31,002.39+3.07%0.0074✗1.00580.1M2022-05-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.731.7428+0.74%1.79+3.47%0.0149✗1.373.6M2022-05-10
DASHDashDash69.8970.4081+0.74%73.33+4.92%0.0076✓1.091.0M2022-05-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.23890.240661+0.74%0.2458+2.89%0.0181✗1.306.5M2022-05-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum1616.1179+0.74%15.88-0.75%0.0412✗0.87468k2022-05-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.919.9825+0.73%10.57+6.66%0.0190✓1.268.0M2022-05-10
ORCAOrcaSolana1.211.2188+0.73%1.27+4.96%0.0173✓0.79151k2022-05-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.030420.030642+0.73%0.03109+2.20%0.0126✗0.9031k2022-05-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.006520.006567+0.73%0.00602-7.67%0.1209✗1.121.7M2022-05-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.3471.3567+0.72%1.391+3.27%0.0012✓0.8624k2022-05-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.8342.8543+0.72%2.733-3.56%0.0893✗1.5179k2022-05-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin10.9911.0663+0.69%11.36+3.37%0.0087✗1.156.6M2022-05-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.5450.548726+0.68%0.5668+4.00%0.0087✗1.36296k2022-05-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1440.144978+0.68%0.1534+6.53%0.0263✓1.001.1M2022-05-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5006490.504034+0.68%0.506855+1.24%0.0316✗1.235.6M2022-05-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum12,496.7112,580.94+0.67%13,692.55+9.57%0.0513✓1.102.5M2022-05-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.89952.919+0.67%3.0969+6.81%0.0239✓1.17177k2022-05-10
UNIUniswapEthereum5.955.9899+0.67%6.07+2.02%0.0213✗1.144.1M2022-05-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.242.255+0.67%2.218-0.98%0.0390✗0.74975k2022-05-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.10440.105084+0.66%0.114+9.20%0.0397✓1.383.7M2022-05-10
ADACardanoCardano0.60180.605743+0.66%0.6283+4.40%0.0004✓1.2241.1M2022-05-10
NANOnanopayBase1.36871.3776+0.65%1.3852+1.20%0.0298✗1.17153k2022-05-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash217.92219.3311+0.65%231.66+6.31%0.0224✓1.074.9M2022-05-10
STEEMSteemnative0.30150.303439+0.64%0.2929-2.85%0.0656✗1.002.9M2022-05-10
FTTFTXEthereum30.1530.3408+0.63%33.08+9.72%0.0583✓0.9311.7M2022-05-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1406120.141498+0.63%0.148397+5.54%0.0172✓1.0113.6M2022-05-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.7522.8918+0.62%23.89+5.01%0.0065✓1.204.4M2022-05-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.2260.5942+0.62%63.26+5.05%0.0161✓0.892.0M2022-05-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.952.9683+0.62%2.73-7.46%0.1100✗0.87443k2022-05-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.57380.577347+0.62%0.5848+1.92%0.0205✗1.1012.4M2022-05-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum17.4517.5571+0.61%17.68+1.32%0.0314✗1.27608k2022-05-10
UMAUMAEthereum4.1284.153+0.61%4.194+1.60%0.0362✗1.521.8M2022-05-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.010480.010542+0.59%0.010912+4.12%0.0052✓0.9738k2022-05-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.561.569+0.57%1.62+3.85%0.0002✓1.05134k2022-05-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.5153.5352+0.57%3.506-0.26%0.0382✗0.9973k2022-05-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.713.7304+0.55%3.62-2.43%0.0529✗0.76470k2022-05-10
ZENHorizenBase24.424.534+0.55%25.41+4.14%0.0088✗1.45173k2022-05-10
ETHEthereumEthereum2,228.502,240.67+0.55%2,340.51+5.03%0.0130✓1.01437.0M2022-05-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.10290.103461+0.55%0.1022-0.68%0.0377✗0.84152k2022-05-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.612.6686+0.54%14.4+14.29%0.0891✓1.29134k2022-05-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.691.6991+0.54%1.54-8.88%0.1165✗0.60242k2022-05-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0111.0164+0.54%1.043+3.17%0.0085✗1.13547k2022-05-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin76.1976.5683+0.50%80.12+5.16%0.0123✓1.0917.3M2022-05-10
XTZTezosTezos2.00882.0185+0.48%2.1141+5.24%0.0100✓1.20855k2022-05-10
KCSKuCoinnative13.60813.6713+0.47%13.919+2.29%0.0078✗0.854.0M2022-05-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05180.052041+0.46%0.0533+2.90%0.0024✓0.8710k2022-05-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.030610.030746+0.44%0.02942-3.89%0.0718✗0.92227k2022-05-10
NEXONEXOEthereum1.6781.685+0.42%1.738+3.58%0.0007✓1.005.3M2022-05-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,239.2030,365.81+0.42%31,038.90+2.64%0.0073✗0.9738k2022-05-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.7748+0.40%14.13+2.99%0.0177✗1.432.8M2022-05-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9121.9196+0.40%1.977+3.40%0.0115✗1.365.1M2022-05-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1970.197702+0.36%0.192-2.54%0.0499✗0.6821k2022-05-10
QTUMQtumQtum4.42474.4393+0.33%4.7521+7.40%0.0334✓1.15120k2022-05-10
BTTCBTTC0.000001430.000001435+0.32%0.00000145+1.40%0.0114✗0.737.7M2022-05-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.00892.0152+0.32%1.9375-3.55%0.0580✗0.6216k2022-05-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.23645.2504+0.27%5.4245+3.59%0.0248✓0.26278k2022-05-10
PROPropyEthereum1.531.5304+0.03%1.41-7.84%0.1002✗0.60528k2022-05-10
TRXTRONTron0.0725870.072502-0.12%0.077055+6.16%0.0360✗0.82402k2022-05-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.