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2022-05-08 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 167 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0547
167 of 167 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.99%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
18.0%
in alpha space · 6.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.61%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (167 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.41082.4459+1.45%2.0553-14.75%0.0462✗1.0410.0M2022-05-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.64212.6644+0.85%2.0532-22.29%0.1822✗0.635.0M2022-05-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.006740.006792+0.77%0.00543-19.44%0.1467✗0.6220k2022-05-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.575020.579431+0.77%0.442-23.13%0.1060✗1.341.3M2022-05-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.178.2265+0.69%6.68-18.24%0.1466✗0.501.2M2022-05-09
MANADecentralandEthereum1.331.3391+0.68%1.0601-20.29%0.0837✗1.22734k2022-05-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.68322.7014+0.68%2.15-19.87%0.1467✗0.662.7M2022-05-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.21090.212262+0.65%0.1634-22.52%0.0865✗1.426.1M2022-05-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0220680.02221+0.64%0.018242-17.34%0.0793✗0.954.0M2022-05-09
STXStacksnative0.780.784974+0.64%0.65-16.67%0.0656✗1.00260k2022-05-09
AAVEAaveEthereum126.06126.8578+0.63%99.45-21.11%0.0784✗1.348.2M2022-05-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.013960.014047+0.62%0.01328-4.87%0.0520✓0.88199k2022-05-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.20840.209672+0.61%0.1702-18.33%0.0042✓1.661.1M2022-05-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.61960.623281+0.59%0.5036-18.72%0.0675✗1.1895k2022-05-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.9220.927435+0.59%0.774-16.05%0.0440✗1.1143k2022-05-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.33960.341558+0.58%0.2968-12.60%0.0005✓1.14486k2022-05-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.963.9822+0.56%3.3-16.67%0.0934✗0.77585k2022-05-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.8550.859713+0.55%0.748-12.51%0.0233✓1.32954k2022-05-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.18.1442+0.55%6.81-15.93%0.1157✗0.512.7M2022-05-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.370.371911+0.52%0.3347-9.54%0.0526✗0.43540k2022-05-09
DODODODOEthereum0.2750.276411+0.51%0.225-18.18%0.0495✗1.274.7M2022-05-09
MOVRMoonriverBase32.383332.5461+0.50%27.4605-15.20%0.0028✓1.40173k2022-05-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.350.35176+0.50%0.28-20.00%0.0566✗1.39250k2022-05-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.104570.105089+0.50%0.08463-19.07%0.1252✗0.7418k2022-05-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.1082.1185+0.50%1.7-19.35%0.0280✗1.56582k2022-05-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6451.6531+0.49%1.344-18.30%0.0657✗1.1517.4M2022-05-09
GTGateEthereum6.13326.1629+0.48%5.6814-7.37%0.0265✗0.444.2M2022-05-09
API3Api3Ethereum3.1793.1941+0.48%2.31-27.34%0.1929✗1.062.6M2022-05-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.341.3464+0.48%1.1-17.91%0.0333✗1.37842k2022-05-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.12980.130406+0.47%0.1163-10.40%0.1284✓1.97245k2022-05-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0163380.016414+0.46%0.014004-14.29%0.0846✗0.60193k2022-05-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02390.024009+0.46%0.02041-14.60%0.1022✗0.49400k2022-05-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.1161.1211+0.46%0.87-22.04%0.1111✗1.1534k2022-05-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5420.544442+0.45%0.469-13.47%0.0530✗0.781.2M2022-05-09
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9480.952251+0.45%0.855-9.81%0.0293✓1.113.2M2022-05-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.015560.015629+0.44%0.0145-6.81%0.1251✓1.6246.7M2022-05-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.46590.467924+0.43%0.3894-16.42%0.0467✗1.117.9M2022-05-09
IMXImmutableEthereum1.3631.3688+0.42%1.143-16.14%0.0048✗1.428.2M2022-05-09
HIVEHivenative0.70880.71181+0.42%0.5775-18.52%0.0775✗1.071.4M2022-05-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.754.7701+0.42%4.07-14.32%0.0692✗0.73855k2022-05-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2233.2364+0.42%2.639-18.12%0.1594✗0.362.4M2022-05-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.070390.070679+0.41%0.06253-11.17%0.0139✗0.8827k2022-05-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.506480.508538+0.41%0.41434-18.19%0.0537✗1.2347k2022-05-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.1573.1698+0.41%2.597-17.74%0.0139✓1.731.2M2022-05-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.24.217+0.40%3.77-10.24%0.0341✗0.63825k2022-05-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000018360.000018434+0.40%0.00001395-24.02%0.1524✗1.021.2M2022-05-09
XYMSymbolnative0.07790.078207+0.39%0.0746-4.24%0.0398✓0.70657k2022-05-09
KSMKusamaHydration111.73112.1678+0.39%94.26-15.64%0.0350✗1.131.0M2022-05-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.660.662551+0.39%0.5-24.24%0.1245✗1.27398k2022-05-09
DIADIAEthereum0.640.642375+0.37%0.53-17.19%0.1336✗0.4870k2022-05-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.13090.131385+0.37%0.103-21.31%0.0816✗1.31180k2022-05-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.9580.961537+0.37%0.765-20.15%0.0674✗1.31327k2022-05-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.36740.368747+0.37%0.2946-19.81%0.1054✗0.97292k2022-05-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.0110.0466+0.37%7.93-20.78%0.1093✗1.03666k2022-05-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.715.757+0.36%12.49-20.45%0.0887✗1.1618.8M2022-05-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.2164.2313+0.36%3.239-23.17%0.0790✗1.536.6M2022-05-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.781250.784013+0.35%0.62422-20.10%0.0744✗1.2474k2022-05-09
QNTQuantEthereum83.2283.5135+0.35%69.81-16.11%0.0604✗0.963.4M2022-05-09
ZECZcashZcash114114.4004+0.35%92.68-18.70%0.0673✗1.165.1M2022-05-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.31440.315503+0.35%0.2647-15.81%0.0341✗1.15186k2022-05-09
LUNATerraTerra 264.264.422+0.35%30.35-52.73%0.5879✗1.346.9M2022-05-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.16290.163459+0.34%0.133-18.35%0.0596✗1.191.2M2022-05-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.542750.544596+0.34%0.44085-18.77%0.0748✗1.11136k2022-05-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.5971.6023+0.34%1.357-15.02%0.0535✗0.9180k2022-05-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.84110.843922+0.34%0.7236-13.97%0.0090✓1.326.1M2022-05-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04840.048561+0.33%0.0382-21.07%0.1016✗1.12173k2022-05-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.9910.0233+0.33%8.1-18.92%0.0673✗1.1817.5M2022-05-09
BANDBandEthereum2.7312.7401+0.33%2.203-19.33%0.0579✗1.30499k2022-05-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.32180.322868+0.33%0.264-17.96%0.1227✗0.642,9402022-05-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.18090.181499+0.33%0.1442-20.29%0.0591✗1.391.8M2022-05-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.360.361189+0.33%0.272-24.44%0.1434✗1.144.3M2022-05-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin34,027.9134,138.18+0.32%30,078.27-11.61%0.0032✓1.00553.2M2022-05-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum13.4413.4834+0.32%12.6-6.25%0.1060✓1.41134k2022-05-09
SOLSolanaSolana75.3475.5831+0.32%62.13-17.53%0.0425✗1.2482.2M2022-05-09
XVSVenusEthereum6.916.9323+0.32%5.15-25.47%0.1602✗1.112.6M2022-05-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.007860.007885+0.32%0.00652-17.05%0.0588✗1.061.7M2022-05-09
XVGVergenative0.00740.007423+0.32%0.00611-17.43%0.0545✗1.14885k2022-05-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.632.6383+0.31%2.203-16.24%0.0891✗0.74775k2022-05-09
GITCOINGITCOIN4.434.4437+0.31%3.348-24.42%0.1000✗1.4818k2022-05-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03490.035008+0.31%0.0253-27.51%0.0912✗1.8921.9M2022-05-09
CBKCobakEthereum1.571.5746+0.30%1.347-14.20%0.0562✗0.8124k2022-05-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.6462.6536+0.29%2.24-15.34%0.0888✗0.651.0M2022-05-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.09070.090956+0.28%0.077-15.10%0.0565✗0.89416k2022-05-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.953.961+0.28%3.515-11.01%0.0035✓1.0067k2022-05-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17830.178794+0.28%0.1436-19.46%0.0498✗1.37108k2022-05-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.11420.114512+0.27%0.1029-9.89%0.0029✗0.84136k2022-05-09
XEMNEMnative0.07570.075904+0.27%0.058-23.38%0.1465✗0.9951k2022-05-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.034650.034742+0.27%0.03042-12.21%0.0256✗0.8731k2022-05-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1250.125333+0.27%0.101-19.20%0.1463✗0.56130k2022-05-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.24920.24985+0.26%0.1926-22.71%0.0966✗1.33634k2022-05-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.434.4413+0.26%3.33-24.83%0.1007✗1.52335k2022-05-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche51.5751.7004+0.25%41.21-20.09%0.0763✗1.2243.7M2022-05-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.344.3508+0.25%3.71-14.52%0.0749✗0.68497k2022-05-09
FTTFTXEthereum33.8333.9141+0.25%30.15-10.88%0.0033✗0.9311.0M2022-05-09
RADRadworksEthereum3.333.3382+0.25%2.95-11.41%0.0177✗0.86509k2022-05-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.9150.917255+0.25%0.726-20.66%0.0803✗1.241.7M2022-05-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum11.9111.9393+0.25%9.91-16.79%0.0345✗1.238.0M2022-05-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.871.8746+0.25%1.69-9.63%0.0337✗0.57254k2022-05-09
DASHDashDash82.9383.1319+0.24%69.89-15.72%0.0442✗1.051.0M2022-05-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002960.002967+0.24%0.00234-20.95%0.0942✗1.163.9M2022-05-09
MINAMina Protocolnative1.651.654+0.24%1.35-18.18%0.0586✗1.17775k2022-05-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.0819.1257+0.24%16-16.14%0.0815✗0.79458k2022-05-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.017830.017873+0.24%0.01333-25.24%0.2032✗0.732.7M2022-05-09
SCSiacoinnative0.007390.007407+0.24%0.00593-19.76%0.0706✗1.23367k2022-05-09
ORCAOrcaSolana1.41.4033+0.23%1.21-13.57%0.0573✗0.74142k2022-05-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.23930.239845+0.23%0.1881-21.40%0.0961✗1.19372k2022-05-09
COMPCompoundEthereum99.6799.8953+0.23%80.64-19.09%0.0645✗1.2130k2022-05-09
ETHEthereumEthereum2,519.102,524.50+0.21%2,228.50-11.54%0.0001✓1.01428.7M2022-05-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.81.8038+0.21%1.56-13.33%0.0175✗1.03134k2022-05-09
UNIUniswapEthereum7.17.1147+0.21%5.95-16.20%0.0432✗1.104.1M2022-05-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.5014.5103+0.21%3.549-21.15%0.0927✗1.19184k2022-05-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1616290.16196+0.20%0.140612-13.00%0.0192✗0.9913.4M2022-05-09
XMRMoneroMonero217.35217.7873+0.20%173.09-20.36%0.1212✗0.883.0M2022-05-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.65940.660722+0.20%0.545-17.35%0.0288✗1.33260k2022-05-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.013120.013146+0.20%0.01058-19.36%0.1057✗0.90961k2022-05-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1241950.124432+0.19%0.101773-18.05%0.0874✗0.926.1M2022-05-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.5126.5605+0.19%22.75-14.18%0.0085✗1.194.4M2022-05-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.054020.054122+0.19%0.04346-19.55%0.0817✗1.1255k2022-05-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot13.2613.2846+0.19%10.64-19.76%0.0852✗1.1111.6M2022-05-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.54283.5494+0.18%2.8995-18.16%0.0669✗1.10173k2022-05-09
SGBSongbirdnative0.05330.053398+0.18%0.049-8.07%0.0377✗0.39137k2022-05-09
NANOnanopayBase1.63471.6375+0.18%1.3687-16.27%0.0404✗1.13145k2022-05-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.29930.299827+0.18%0.2389-20.18%0.0771✗1.226.3M2022-05-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin13.1213.143+0.18%10.99-16.23%0.0410✗1.125.8M2022-05-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.210.210362+0.17%0.197-6.19%0.0218✓0.7121k2022-05-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.48564.4932+0.17%3.4288-23.56%0.1315✗1.138.6M2022-05-09
XECeCashnative0.000068240.000068356+0.17%0.00005337-21.79%0.1215✗1.026.7M2022-05-09
ADACardanoCardano0.74030.74154+0.17%0.6018-18.71%0.0665✗1.1540.5M2022-05-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV70.1970.3067+0.17%60.22-14.20%0.0509✗0.842.0M2022-05-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash261.65262.0822+0.17%217.92-16.71%0.0609✗1.004.7M2022-05-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum20.320.332+0.16%17.45-14.04%0.0040✓1.27532k2022-05-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.058490.05858+0.15%0.0518-11.44%0.0177✗0.859,7632022-05-09
SUSHISushiEthereum2.112.1132+0.15%1.73-18.01%0.0349✗1.343.2M2022-05-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.523.5253+0.15%2.77-21.31%0.0645✗1.43349k2022-05-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.18050.18076+0.14%0.144-20.22%0.1189✗0.881.1M2022-05-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum33,986.5034,034.17+0.14%30,239.20-11.03%0.0009✓0.9726k2022-05-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum30.4630.5008+0.13%24.81-18.55%0.0431✗1.323.5M2022-05-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum15,574.1215,594.50+0.13%12,496.71-19.76%0.0977✗1.002.3M2022-05-09
APEApeCoinEthereum11.22711.2416+0.13%8.008-28.67%0.0897✗2.0275.7M2022-05-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6140.614696+0.11%0.479-21.99%0.0740✗1.421.6M2022-05-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.31835.3243+0.11%5.2364-1.54%0.0223✓0.32262k2022-05-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin93.8393.9269+0.10%76.19-18.80%0.0854✗1.0016.8M2022-05-09
UMAUMAEthereum5.325.3255+0.10%4.128-22.41%0.0772✗1.441.8M2022-05-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08270.082781+0.10%0.0649-21.52%0.1393✗0.842.2M2022-05-09
KCSKuCoinnative15.89615.9106+0.09%13.608-14.39%0.0588✗0.794.0M2022-05-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.06e-78.06e-7+0.08%6.47e-7-19.65%0.2148✗0.04777k2022-05-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12930.129405+0.08%0.1044-19.26%0.0519✗1.323.7M2022-05-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0345.0376+0.07%4.079-18.97%0.1287✗0.671.4M2022-05-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.13612.1376+0.07%2.0089-5.95%0.0166✓0.6415k2022-05-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.14960.149703+0.07%0.1213-18.92%0.0870✗1.003.8M2022-05-09
QTUMQtumQtum5.03875.0415+0.05%4.4247-12.19%0.0121✓1.16103k2022-05-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.036310.036326+0.04%0.03061-15.70%0.0669✗0.85227k2022-05-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0127550.012759+0.04%0.01048-17.84%0.0888✗0.8838k2022-05-09
ZENHorizenBase30.9930.9991+0.03%24.4-21.26%0.0693✗1.38173k2022-05-09
BTTCBTTC0.000001610.00000161+0.02%0.00000143-11.18%0.0329✗0.707.6M2022-05-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.72890.7289+0.00%0.5738-21.28%0.1189✗0.9811.5M2022-05-09
XTZTezosTezos2.56152.5615-0.00%2.0088-21.58%0.1084✓1.09855k2022-05-09
NEXONEXOEthereum1.8721.872-0.00%1.678-10.36%0.0140✗1.006.1M2022-05-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3011.3008-0.01%1.011-22.29%0.1290✓1.00547k2022-05-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6264750.626336-0.02%0.500649-20.08%0.0835✓1.145.6M2022-05-09
GMTGMTEthereum2.7192.7182-0.03%1.769-34.94%0.3062✓1.008.1M2022-05-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.8963.8916-0.11%2.834-27.26%0.1492✓1.3675k2022-05-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3462.3428-0.13%1.912-18.50%0.0419✓1.315.1M2022-05-09
STEEMSteemnative0.3830.382355-0.17%0.3015-21.28%0.1142✓1.003.1M2022-05-09
PROPropyEthereum1.631.6255-0.27%1.53-6.13%0.0157✗0.62507k2022-05-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.9916.9363-0.32%13.72-19.25%0.0412✓1.372.4M2022-05-09
TRXTRONTron0.0880130.087183-0.94%0.072587-17.53%0.0957✓0.71352k2022-05-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.