8=======>

2022-05-05 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 164 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0354
164 of 164 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.70%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
64.0%
in alpha space · 38.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.47%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (164 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.06753.0891+0.70%3.0275-1.30%0.0058✓0.9710.2M2022-05-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.007210.007257+0.65%0.00707-1.94%0.0170✗0.6127k2022-05-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.11813.137+0.61%3.1873+2.22%0.0252✓0.635.4M2022-05-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.798.8367+0.53%8.64-1.71%0.0153✗0.491.4M2022-05-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.22430.225423+0.50%0.2157-3.83%0.0181✗1.751.2M2022-05-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.658.6921+0.49%8.23-4.86%0.0473✗0.492.5M2022-05-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9080.912314+0.48%0.913+0.55%0.0201✓1.311.1M2022-05-06
MANADecentralandEthereum1.46831.4753+0.47%1.449-1.32%0.0002✓1.22886k2022-05-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.96552.9794+0.47%2.9935+0.94%0.0146✓0.663.2M2022-05-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0235240.023632+0.46%0.022419-4.70%0.0383✗0.974.3M2022-05-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.194.2091+0.46%4.1-2.15%0.0149✗0.76690k2022-05-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.67220.674954+0.41%0.6455-3.97%0.0263✗1.23105k2022-05-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.2290.229935+0.41%0.2263-1.18%0.0059✓1.476.7M2022-05-06
AAVEAaveEthereum141.32141.89+0.40%138.23-2.19%0.0062✗1.349.8M2022-05-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.11520.115635+0.38%0.11235-2.47%0.0178✗0.7417k2022-05-06
FIDABonfidaSolana1.0171.0208+0.38%0.978-3.83%0.0264✗1.1150k2022-05-06
DODODODOEthereum0.2840.285057+0.37%0.288+1.41%0.0296✓1.305.1M2022-05-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.2361.2405+0.36%1.241+0.40%0.0178✓1.1751k2022-05-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.974.9876+0.35%4.88-1.81%0.0110✗0.731.0M2022-05-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.710320.71281+0.35%0.66744-6.04%0.0460✗1.331.3M2022-05-06
GTGateEthereum6.33616.3578+0.34%6.3496+0.21%0.0053✓0.454.5M2022-05-06
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9991.0024+0.34%0.988-1.10%0.0019✓1.103.6M2022-05-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14020.140671+0.34%0.1378-1.71%0.0088✓1.98266k2022-05-06
STXStacksnative0.890.892899+0.33%0.86-3.37%0.0227✗1.00274k2022-05-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.026210.02629+0.30%0.02463-6.03%0.0584✗0.46416k2022-05-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5710.572625+0.28%0.57-0.18%0.0071✓0.791.4M2022-05-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum28.9629.0421+0.28%28.51-1.55%0.0023✓1.404.0M2022-05-06
API3Api3Ethereum3.2583.2671+0.28%3.284+0.80%0.0213✓1.083.0M2022-05-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.39430.39539+0.28%0.3622-8.14%0.0711✗1.12487k2022-05-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.13990.140281+0.27%0.1438+2.79%0.0445✓1.33180k2022-05-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5183.5271+0.26%3.467-1.45%0.0118✗0.362.4M2022-05-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.410.411036+0.25%0.39-4.88%0.0313✗1.43284k2022-05-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.49820.4994+0.24%0.4936-0.92%0.0050✓1.128.1M2022-05-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.016760.0168+0.24%0.01629-2.80%0.0183✗0.85238k2022-05-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum11.0811.1062+0.24%10.95-1.17%0.0013✓1.04963k2022-05-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.481.4835+0.24%1.49+0.68%0.0247✓1.37951k2022-05-06
HIVEHivenative0.76730.769108+0.24%0.7703+0.39%0.0173✓1.061.5M2022-05-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.720.721695+0.24%0.7-2.78%0.0117✗1.27426k2022-05-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.32820.328971+0.23%0.3397+3.50%0.0417✓0.654,4692022-05-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00830.008319+0.23%0.00847+2.05%0.0354✓1.182.3M2022-05-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.4340.434941+0.22%0.4072-6.18%0.0596✗0.42572k2022-05-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.077340.077503+0.21%0.07601-1.72%0.0065✗0.8732k2022-05-06
GITCOINGITCOIN4.5544.5635+0.21%4.697+3.14%0.0513✓1.5119k2022-05-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.2414.2694+0.21%14.23-0.07%0.0186✓1.44145k2022-05-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4452.45+0.20%2.327-4.83%0.0284✗1.56713k2022-05-06
QNTQuantEthereum91.8892.0662+0.20%90.26-1.76%0.0050✗1.003.4M2022-05-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8872.8928+0.20%2.825-2.15%0.0140✗0.651.2M2022-05-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020290.00002033+0.20%0.00002004-1.23%0.0021✓1.111.4M2022-05-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03710.037173+0.20%0.037-0.27%0.0226✓1.8423.0M2022-05-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.17580.17613+0.19%0.1731-1.54%0.0005✓1.201.4M2022-05-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum10.9210.9404+0.19%10.79-1.19%0.0038✓1.1918.3M2022-05-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos17.8317.8632+0.19%17.66-0.95%0.0057✓1.1519.4M2022-05-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.018610.018644+0.18%0.0182-2.20%0.0156✗0.57195k2022-05-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.017840.017873+0.18%0.01796+0.67%0.0161✓0.763.5M2022-05-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin36,537.2236,602.46+0.18%35,999.10-1.47%0.0018✓1.00553.2M2022-05-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4070.407716+0.18%0.3985-2.09%0.0088✗0.95305k2022-05-06
DIADIAEthereum0.740.741286+0.17%0.71-4.05%0.0362✗0.4670k2022-05-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.587720.588741+0.17%0.57987-1.34%0.0013✓1.11130k2022-05-06
BANDBandEthereum2.9392.944+0.17%2.926-0.44%0.0132✓1.30537k2022-05-06
ZECZcashZcash125.68125.8935+0.17%123.65-1.62%0.0005✓1.185.5M2022-05-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.884.8883+0.17%4.85-0.61%0.0012✓0.61869k2022-05-06
NANOnanopayBase1.63051.6332+0.16%1.6805+3.07%0.0455✓1.14149k2022-05-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.2923.2974+0.16%3.473+5.50%0.0738✓1.4779k2022-05-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.19290.193215+0.16%0.1913-0.83%0.0108✓1.402.1M2022-05-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.6433.6488+0.16%3.599-1.21%0.0116✓1.711.4M2022-05-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.624.6273+0.16%4.54-1.73%0.0089✗0.68575k2022-05-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.69721.6999+0.16%1.6868-0.62%0.0059✓0.9284k2022-05-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12350.123693+0.16%0.1216-1.54%0.0047✗0.83156k2022-05-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2034.2096+0.16%4.094-2.59%0.0125✗1.0373k2022-05-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.855340.856652+0.15%0.85045-0.57%0.0112✓1.2588k2022-05-06
MOVRMoonriverBase38.470338.5293+0.15%37.037-3.73%0.0181✗1.44182k2022-05-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5741.5764+0.15%1.507-4.26%0.0242✗1.408.3M2022-05-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.30120.30163+0.14%0.2952-1.99%0.0028✗1.266.8M2022-05-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.13425.1414+0.14%5.3767+4.72%0.0495✓0.32262k2022-05-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.26920.269563+0.13%0.2681-0.41%0.0145✓1.34735k2022-05-06
SOLSolanaSolana84.5284.6334+0.13%81.66-3.38%0.0175✗1.2385.8M2022-05-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.071.0714+0.13%1.048-2.06%0.0026✗1.31358k2022-05-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.63440.635243+0.13%0.6979+10.01%0.1091✓1.0110.9M2022-05-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.7112.7267+0.13%12.47-1.89%0.0018✗1.258.7M2022-05-06
XMRMoneroMonero206.75207.0181+0.13%218.44+5.65%0.0675✓0.933.3M2022-05-06
UMAUMAEthereum5.1485.1547+0.13%5.467+6.20%0.0804✓1.461.6M2022-05-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8922.8956+0.12%2.757-4.67%0.0383✗0.73915k2022-05-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.25510.255409+0.12%0.2472-3.10%0.0149✗1.20391k2022-05-06
ETHEthereumEthereum2,747.432,750.72+0.12%2,691.72-2.03%0.0068✗1.00438.2M2022-05-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.574.5753+0.12%4.7+2.84%0.0499✓1.55339k2022-05-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.931.9322+0.11%1.93+0.00%0.0143✓1.04128k2022-05-06
XVSVenusEthereum7.577.5784+0.11%7.55-0.26%0.0132✓1.142.9M2022-05-06
XVGVergenative0.008030.008039+0.11%0.00805+0.25%0.0184✓1.15943k2022-05-06
DASHDashDash87.4787.5653+0.11%87.63+0.18%0.0167✓1.081.2M2022-05-06
MINAMina Protocolnative1.791.7919+0.11%1.84+2.79%0.0439✓1.17987k2022-05-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05330.053357+0.11%0.0524-1.69%0.0002✓1.20179k2022-05-06
FTTFTXEthereum36.2136.2483+0.11%35.89-0.88%0.0037✓0.9211.7M2022-05-06
KSMKusamaHydration127.39127.5085+0.09%126.34-0.82%0.0074✓1.121.0M2022-05-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,624.3036,655.77+0.09%36,069.70-1.51%0.0018✗0.9625k2022-05-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin96.8496.923+0.09%96.69-0.15%0.0130✓1.0417.5M2022-05-06
XEMNEMnative0.08360.083671+0.08%0.0831-0.60%0.0077✓0.9869k2022-05-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.03780.037831+0.08%0.03694-2.28%0.0110✗0.8634k2022-05-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.3122.3278+0.08%20.33-8.87%0.0826✗0.75412k2022-05-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1710620.171198+0.08%0.171484+0.25%0.0167✓1.0113.8M2022-05-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.8714.8749+0.08%4.894+0.47%0.0218✓1.21184k2022-05-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0119260.011935+0.08%0.012984+8.87%0.0977✓0.9142k2022-05-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003120.003122+0.07%0.00314+0.64%0.0229✓1.164.1M2022-05-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.74233.7451+0.07%3.6721-1.88%0.0033✗1.10177k2022-05-06
SCSiacoinnative0.008040.008046+0.07%0.0079-1.74%0.0000✓1.23382k2022-05-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017220.017232+0.07%0.0172-0.12%0.0221✓1.6149.4M2022-05-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.014150.01416+0.07%0.01413-0.14%0.0112✓0.901.1M2022-05-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19950.199638+0.07%0.1977-0.90%0.0106✓1.37114k2022-05-06
ADACardanoCardano0.78840.788936+0.07%0.7831-0.67%0.0099✓1.1641.1M2022-05-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0351.0357+0.07%1.041+0.58%0.0234✓1.232.2M2022-05-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash277.17277.3498+0.06%274.77-0.87%0.0057✓1.015.2M2022-05-06
XYMSymbolnative0.08930.089355+0.06%0.0867-2.91%0.0200✗0.69675k2022-05-06
XECeCashnative0.000072070.000072113+0.06%0.00007154-0.74%0.0073✓1.037.7M2022-05-06
UNIUniswapEthereum7.347.3441+0.06%7.59+3.41%0.0497✓1.134.3M2022-05-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96530.965814+0.05%0.9191-4.79%0.0302✗1.316.6M2022-05-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV73.7973.8274+0.05%72.44-1.83%0.0063✗0.852.1M2022-05-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.5354.5373+0.05%4.596+1.35%0.0354✓1.527.5M2022-05-06
CBKCobakEthereum1.7881.7889+0.05%1.737-2.85%0.0176✗0.8024k2022-05-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.76974.772+0.05%4.6987-1.49%0.0012✓1.128.6M2022-05-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.1010.101048+0.05%0.1044+3.37%0.0455✓0.86425k2022-05-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.220.220103+0.05%0.218-0.91%0.0011✓0.7223k2022-05-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche59.0259.0454+0.04%57-3.42%0.0172✗1.2144.2M2022-05-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.12810.128146+0.04%0.127716-0.30%0.0107✓0.957.1M2022-05-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.19410.194161+0.03%0.1955+0.72%0.0198✓0.871.2M2022-05-06
ZENHorizenBase30.9830.9897+0.03%36.39+17.46%0.1808✓1.36173k2022-05-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1420.142042+0.03%0.141-0.70%0.0007✓0.54132k2022-05-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin13.9813.9838+0.03%13.87-0.79%0.0089✓1.157.5M2022-05-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot14.5914.5938+0.03%14.32-1.85%0.0026✗1.1011.7M2022-05-06
RADRadworksEthereum3.743.7409+0.02%3.58-4.28%0.0311✗0.87564k2022-05-06
SUSHISushiEthereum2.282.2804+0.02%2.25-1.32%0.0066✓1.353.6M2022-05-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6390.639116+0.02%0.641+0.31%0.0245✓1.451.7M2022-05-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.521.5035+0.02%21.79+1.35%0.0321✓1.27532k2022-05-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.605130.605229+0.02%0.58446-3.42%0.0172✗1.1960k2022-05-06
COMPCompoundEthereum104.67104.683+0.01%103.5-1.12%0.0069✓1.2333k2022-05-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.3228.3222+0.01%27.95-1.31%0.0047✓1.214.9M2022-05-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum16,867.4516,866.24-0.01%16,718.32-0.88%0.0061✗1.012.6M2022-05-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.37430.374261-0.01%0.3521-5.93%0.0444✓1.12188k2022-05-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06430.06429-0.02%0.06291-2.16%0.0092✓0.8412k2022-05-06
XTZTezosTezos2.48952.4891-0.02%2.5078+0.74%0.0242✗1.12855k2022-05-06
LUNATerraTerra 282.4282.4041-0.02%77.36-6.14%0.0438✓1.317.3M2022-05-06
BTTCBTTC0.000001680.00000168-0.02%0.00000167-0.60%0.0047✗0.717.7M2022-05-06
KCSKuCoinnative17.2717.2651-0.03%16.943-1.89%0.0073✓0.784.3M2022-05-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.3652.3641-0.04%2.1886-7.46%0.0675✓0.6515k2022-05-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.823.8185-0.04%3.71-2.88%0.0072✓1.46385k2022-05-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.039240.039225-0.04%0.03834-2.29%0.0104✓0.84227k2022-05-06
QTUMQtumQtum5.48595.4837-0.04%5.4476-0.70%0.0106✗1.1698k2022-05-06
ORCAOrcaSolana1.781.7792-0.04%1.71-3.93%0.0293✓0.70153k2022-05-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.060670.060641-0.05%0.05852-3.54%0.0191✓1.1177k2022-05-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.3365.3334-0.05%5.217-2.23%0.0125✓0.651.4M2022-05-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.74140.740996-0.05%0.7248-2.24%0.0020✓1.35311k2022-05-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1430.142912-0.06%0.1416-0.98%0.0103✗1.325.0M2022-05-06
AVTAventusEthereum2.112.1074-0.12%1.93-8.53%0.0798✓0.55272k2022-05-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0910.09087-0.14%0.0896-1.54%0.0015✓0.852.6M2022-05-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4210.420274-0.17%0.414-1.66%0.0016✓1.124.3M2022-05-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.16750.167167-0.20%0.1615-3.58%0.0197✓1.003.9M2022-05-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2871.2842-0.22%1.356+5.36%0.0696✗1.03462k2022-05-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4542.4486-0.22%2.295-6.48%0.0450✓1.335.1M2022-05-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.15e-79.12e-7-0.25%8.90e-7-2.64%0.0243✓-0.01713k2022-05-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7167120.714779-0.27%0.701997-2.05%0.0015✓1.125.5M2022-05-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.911.9046-0.28%1.838-3.77%0.0188✓1.1317.4M2022-05-06
TRXTRONTron0.0747070.074419-0.39%0.086482+15.76%0.1615✗0.76297k2022-05-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.9518.8649-0.45%18.4-2.90%0.0047✓1.372.2M2022-05-06
STEEMSteemnative0.40070.398782-0.48%0.3759-6.19%0.0443✓1.007.0M2022-05-06
PROPropyEthereum1.671.6617-0.50%1.75+4.79%0.0608✗0.61470k2022-05-06
APEApeCoinEthereum13.68813.6129-0.55%13.259-3.13%0.0029✓1.9775.7M2022-05-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.