8=======>

2022-05-02 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0896
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.11%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.7%
in alpha space · 46.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.05%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.22080.222097+0.59%0.2186-1.00%0.0198✓1.721.4M2022-05-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.30793.3269+0.57%3.2092-2.98%0.0245✗0.555.8M2022-05-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.64230.645442+0.49%0.6963+8.41%0.1014✓1.23121k2022-05-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00760.007635+0.46%0.00751-1.18%0.0037✓0.6228k2022-05-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.579.6081+0.40%9.16-4.28%0.0392✗0.411.7M2022-05-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9520.955743+0.39%0.925-2.84%0.0109✗1.051.2M2022-05-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.344.356+0.37%4.26-1.84%0.0071✗0.73798k2022-05-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0240350.024116+0.34%0.023305-3.04%0.0128✗1.034.3M2022-05-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.2270.227735+0.32%0.225-0.88%0.0179✓1.447.1M2022-05-03
AAVEAaveEthereum144.21144.6765+0.32%141.02-2.21%0.0005✓1.2610.3M2022-05-03
MANADecentralandEthereum1.50391.5084+0.29%1.4756-1.88%0.0010✓1.111.1M2022-05-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.17963.1888+0.29%3.0843-3.00%0.0207✗0.614.1M2022-05-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.025850.025924+0.29%0.0316+22.24%0.2102✓0.59416k2022-05-03
GTGateEthereum6.24096.2587+0.28%6.3042+1.01%0.0165✓0.454.6M2022-05-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.255.2648+0.28%5.07-3.43%0.0238✗0.671.1M2022-05-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.124250.124592+0.28%0.12171-2.04%0.0085✗0.7218k2022-05-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum30.2130.2864+0.25%29.08-3.74%0.0145✗1.264.2M2022-05-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0491.0515+0.24%1.031-1.72%0.0026✓1.073.6M2022-05-03
DODODODOEthereum0.2910.291683+0.23%0.285-2.06%0.0008✓1.156.2M2022-05-03
STXStacksnative0.940.942083+0.22%0.92-2.13%0.0039✗0.96338k2022-05-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14790.148208+0.21%0.1437-2.84%0.0138✓2.15276k2022-05-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.727010.72851+0.21%0.71298-1.93%0.0042✓1.241.4M2022-05-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.40310.403909+0.20%0.3925-2.63%0.0061✗1.09512k2022-05-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.3921.3946+0.18%1.351-2.95%0.0096✗1.0770k2022-05-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.587140.588191+0.18%0.57993-1.23%0.0073✓1.03133k2022-05-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum11.311.3202+0.18%11.39+0.80%0.0275✓1.03985k2022-05-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.008240.008254+0.17%0.00855+3.76%0.0587✓1.132.7M2022-05-03
FIDABonfidaSolana1.0941.0958+0.17%1.056-3.47%0.0173✗0.9554k2022-05-03
API3Api3Ethereum3.2173.2218+0.15%3.401+5.72%0.0749✓1.003.1M2022-05-03
GITCOINGITCOIN4.6414.6479+0.15%4.698+1.23%0.0410✓1.4619k2022-05-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.078980.079095+0.15%0.07951+0.67%0.0217✓0.7930k2022-05-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03690.036954+0.15%0.0348-5.69%0.0273✗1.5824.3M2022-05-03
HIVEHivenative0.80160.802697+0.14%0.7743-3.41%0.0156✗0.981.5M2022-05-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12810.128273+0.14%0.1266-1.17%0.0061✓0.92163k2022-05-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.53290.533618+0.13%0.502-5.80%0.0407✗0.987.9M2022-05-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.17870.178939+0.13%0.178-0.39%0.0184✓1.141.8M2022-05-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9852.9887+0.12%2.942-1.44%0.0031✗0.611.5M2022-05-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.017360.017381+0.12%0.01708-1.61%0.0033✓1.00288k2022-05-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020660.000020685+0.12%0.00002035-1.50%0.0058✓1.061.4M2022-05-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos17.817.8213+0.12%17.56-1.35%0.0073✓1.0619.8M2022-05-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.9214.9377+0.12%14.57-2.35%0.0033✓1.36148k2022-05-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.740.740864+0.12%0.75+1.35%0.0350✓1.09463k2022-05-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum11.1711.183+0.12%11.12-0.45%0.0176✓1.1218.9M2022-05-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6010.601688+0.11%0.584-2.83%0.0139✗0.771.7M2022-05-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.521.5217+0.11%1.48-2.63%0.0005✓1.311.1M2022-05-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.018560.018581+0.11%0.01808-2.59%0.0125✗0.713.7M2022-05-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4972.4997+0.11%2.449-1.92%0.0119✓1.56722k2022-05-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.13580.135939+0.10%0.1359+0.07%0.0252✓1.23192k2022-05-03
QNTQuantEthereum95.2395.3267+0.10%93.03-2.31%0.0076✗0.813.4M2022-05-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.35050.350853+0.10%0.3424-2.31%0.0028✓1.31195k2022-05-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0530.053053+0.10%0.057+7.55%0.0956✓1.15179k2022-05-03
MINAMina Protocolnative1.821.8217+0.09%1.77-2.75%0.0062✗1.091.1M2022-05-03
DIADIAEthereum0.770.770717+0.09%0.76-1.30%0.0044✗0.4673k2022-05-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.684.6843+0.09%4.72+0.85%0.0215✓0.67648k2022-05-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.61610.616638+0.09%0.6707+8.86%0.1039✓0.9510.9M2022-05-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8582.8605+0.09%2.804-1.89%0.0055✗0.701.1M2022-05-03
UNIUniswapEthereum6.936.936+0.09%6.85-1.15%0.0093✓1.054.4M2022-05-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.36270.363008+0.08%0.3351-7.61%0.0713✗0.423,8542022-05-03
ZECZcashZcash124.63124.7336+0.08%119.63-4.01%0.0194✗1.086.3M2022-05-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,510.8938,540.44+0.08%37,719.59-2.05%0.0008✓1.00542.5M2022-05-03
CBKCobakEthereum1.8431.8444+0.08%1.826-0.92%0.0053✓0.7424k2022-05-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.888190.888853+0.07%0.8645-2.67%0.0038✗1.1599k2022-05-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.430.430316+0.07%0.41-4.65%0.0179✗1.47311k2022-05-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.9711.9788+0.07%11.89-0.67%0.0023✓0.472.7M2022-05-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.77151.7727+0.07%1.7373-1.93%0.0022✗0.8689k2022-05-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.42860.428886+0.07%0.419-2.24%0.0051✗0.88343k2022-05-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.1761.1768+0.07%1.172-0.34%0.0173✓1.03501k2022-05-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.4413.4433+0.07%3.394-1.37%0.0130✓1.3279k2022-05-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003070.003072+0.06%0.003-2.28%0.0013✗1.084.5M2022-05-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.27460.274772+0.06%0.2716-1.09%0.0156✓1.31800k2022-05-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,566.4038,590.11+0.06%37,647.20-2.38%0.0055✗0.9225k2022-05-03
ETHEthereumEthereum2,856.212,857.96+0.06%2,780.34-2.66%0.0068✗1.00438.2M2022-05-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.991.9912+0.06%1.97-1.01%0.0100✓0.99135k2022-05-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0191940.019205+0.06%0.019229+0.18%0.0113✓0.48193k2022-05-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.4227.4356+0.06%26.82-2.19%0.0003✓1.115.0M2022-05-03
SOLSolanaSolana87.4587.4996+0.06%85.85-1.83%0.0060✓1.2187.4M2022-05-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.30770.307871+0.06%0.3191+3.70%0.0608✓1.206.8M2022-05-03
XYMSymbolnative0.09330.093351+0.06%0.0911-2.36%0.0106✗0.66770k2022-05-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.071.0706+0.05%1.063-0.65%0.0187✓1.24366k2022-05-03
UMAUMAEthereum5.3195.3215+0.05%5.339+0.38%0.0327✓1.421.8M2022-05-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.140.140057+0.04%0.151+7.86%0.0844✓0.44132k2022-05-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.9512.9549+0.04%12.8-1.16%0.0106✓1.098.9M2022-05-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.664.6617+0.04%4.75+1.93%0.0495✓1.48339k2022-05-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin100.65100.6837+0.03%99.35-1.29%0.0077✓1.0117.5M2022-05-03
XECeCashnative0.000072020.000072042+0.03%0.00007188-0.19%0.0179✓0.978.1M2022-05-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.735.7317+0.03%5.37-6.28%0.0538✗0.55889k2022-05-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.9314.9324+0.03%4.92-0.22%0.0222✓1.19190k2022-05-03
KSMKusamaHydration130.9130.9348+0.03%127.65-2.48%0.0031✗1.08954k2022-05-03
XMRMoneroMonero199.47199.5211+0.03%206.93+3.74%0.0554✓0.913.3M2022-05-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.19270.192741+0.02%0.2042+5.97%0.0753✓0.851.2M2022-05-03
XVGVergenative0.008160.008162+0.02%0.00812-0.49%0.0172✓1.081.0M2022-05-03
BANDBandEthereum3.0413.0416+0.02%2.975-2.17%0.0035✓1.23572k2022-05-03
ZENHorizenBase30.3530.355+0.02%30.26-0.30%0.0242✓1.32189k2022-05-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1734930.173521+0.02%0.171962-0.88%0.0111✓0.9713.8M2022-05-03
NANOnanopayBase1.73821.7384+0.01%1.6862-2.99%0.0088✗1.04161k2022-05-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5421.5422+0.01%1.578+2.33%0.0445✓1.037.5M2022-05-03
ADACardanoCardano0.78060.780658+0.01%0.7711-1.22%0.0094✓1.0542.0M2022-05-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.4454.4453+0.01%4.346-2.23%0.0030✗0.9567k2022-05-03
DASHDashDash89.289.2042+0.00%88.09-1.24%0.0086✓1.021.2M2022-05-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV74.0574.0487-0.00%72.68-1.85%0.0020✓0.802.1M2022-05-03
FTTFTXEthereum39.1139.1091-0.00%37.79-3.38%0.0160✓0.8813.5M2022-05-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20380.203795-0.00%0.2002-1.77%0.0102✗1.35119k2022-05-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.19460.194595-0.00%0.1921-1.28%0.0140✗1.302.2M2022-05-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.8353.8348-0.00%3.778-1.49%0.0214✗1.751.6M2022-05-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash285.01284.9965-0.00%279.33-1.99%0.0001✗0.975.4M2022-05-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8063.8058-0.00%3.65-4.10%0.0351✓0.322.4M2022-05-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum23.4423.4384-0.01%22.8-2.73%0.0089✓0.90468k2022-05-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.85013.8498-0.01%3.7386-2.90%0.0090✓0.98188k2022-05-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0461.0459-0.01%1.036-0.96%0.0144✗1.152.2M2022-05-03
XVSVenusEthereum7.857.8488-0.01%7.78-0.89%0.0128✗1.043.3M2022-05-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.77245.7713-0.02%5.6044-2.91%0.0196✓0.47249k2022-05-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0119910.011987-0.03%0.012073+0.68%0.0247✗0.8546k2022-05-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.93444.9325-0.04%4.799-2.74%0.0035✓1.158.6M2022-05-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.26550.265396-0.04%0.2587-2.56%0.0031✓1.08398k2022-05-03
SCSiacoinnative0.008350.008347-0.04%0.00822-1.56%0.0088✗1.16403k2022-05-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.230.229907-0.04%0.227-1.30%0.0015✗0.6825k2022-05-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.0222.0106-0.04%21.82-0.91%0.0172✗1.25586k2022-05-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.014760.014753-0.05%0.01436-2.71%0.0085✓0.891.3M2022-05-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche60.3460.3112-0.05%59.63-1.18%0.0130✗1.1745.0M2022-05-03
BTTCBTTC0.000001710.000001709-0.05%0.00000171+0.00%0.0152✗0.717.7M2022-05-03
XTZTezosTezos2.49422.4929-0.05%2.4872-0.28%0.0190✗1.02873k2022-05-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot14.9514.9421-0.05%14.73-1.47%0.0070✗1.0211.7M2022-05-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6580.657611-0.06%0.657-0.15%0.0282✗1.401.7M2022-05-03
AVTAventusEthereum2.032.0288-0.06%2-1.48%0.0025✓0.57279k2022-05-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin14.6114.6011-0.06%14.62+0.07%0.0233✗1.068.5M2022-05-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039020.038996-0.06%0.0381-2.36%0.0062✓0.8243k2022-05-03
MOVRMoonriverBase41.004340.9777-0.06%39.5666-3.51%0.0052✓1.44195k2022-05-03
SUSHISushiEthereum2.362.3585-0.07%2.32-1.69%0.0095✗1.254.1M2022-05-03
ORCAOrcaSolana1.811.8085-0.08%1.82+0.55%0.0213✗0.72171k2022-05-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14460.14448-0.08%0.1406-2.77%0.0014✓1.255.8M2022-05-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.628450.627928-0.08%0.62172-1.07%0.0134✗1.1394k2022-05-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.040430.040396-0.08%0.03846-4.87%0.0328✓0.79249k2022-05-03
QTUMQtumQtum5.52445.5197-0.08%5.3906-2.42%0.0001✓1.14120k2022-05-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96720.966348-0.09%0.9651-0.22%0.0246✗1.257.6M2022-05-03
COMPCompoundEthereum105.5105.4069-0.09%102.6-2.75%0.0033✓1.1439k2022-05-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.10410.104001-0.10%0.1073+3.07%0.0501✗0.91426k2022-05-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018040.018023-0.10%0.01782-1.22%0.0186✗1.4447.4M2022-05-03
KCSKuCoinnative18.01817.9988-0.11%17.812-1.14%0.0058✗0.784.8M2022-05-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1012.0987-0.11%2.154+2.52%0.0530✗1.305.1M2022-05-03
LUNATerraTerra 284.3584.2572-0.11%82.57-2.11%0.0066✗1.297.8M2022-05-03
XEMNEMnative0.0920.091894-0.12%0.0878-4.57%0.0265✓0.9252k2022-05-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum17,128.8117,107.08-0.13%17,468.60+1.98%0.0414✗0.992.8M2022-05-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.763.7549-0.13%3.71-1.33%0.0167✗1.39385k2022-05-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1307860.130601-0.14%0.129503-0.98%0.0109✗0.937.2M2022-05-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.062680.062587-0.15%0.06107-2.57%0.0026✓1.06100k2022-05-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06770.067599-0.15%0.0656-3.10%0.0140✓0.7719k2022-05-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.50182.4978-0.16%2.3791-4.90%0.0358✓0.6215k2022-05-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.734.722-0.17%4.642-1.86%0.0121✗1.407.7M2022-05-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.74420.742831-0.18%0.7228-2.88%0.0009✓1.28328k2022-05-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.7165.7041-0.21%5.398-5.56%0.0428✓0.591.6M2022-05-03
RADRadworksEthereum3.923.9115-0.22%3.81-2.81%0.0088✓0.84600k2022-05-03
TRXTRONTron0.0689430.068779-0.24%0.072682+5.42%0.0682✗0.62273k2022-05-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.01e-78.98e-7-0.29%9.43e-7+4.71%0.0478✗-0.06580k2022-05-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7190980.716616-0.35%0.694683-3.40%0.0108✓0.985.3M2022-05-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.45610.454514-0.35%0.4012-12.04%0.1195✓0.26605k2022-05-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.09584.0805-0.37%3.4808-15.02%0.1436✓0.7410.0M2022-05-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4470.445262-0.39%0.441-1.34%0.0116✗1.024.3M2022-05-03
STEEMSteemnative0.38760.38601-0.41%0.3565-8.02%0.0588✓1.0010.2M2022-05-03
PROPropyEthereum1.591.5823-0.48%1.57-1.26%0.0042✓0.58459k2022-05-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.072.0582-0.57%1.92-7.25%0.0487✓1.0016.1M2022-05-03
APEApeCoinEthereum15.05714.9567-0.67%14.152-6.01%0.0129✓2.0449.4M2022-05-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10040.099718-0.68%0.0942-6.18%0.0398✓0.833.1M2022-05-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum26.0425.6708-1.42%21.96-15.67%0.1291✓1.302.2M2022-05-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.