8=======>

2022-04-25 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1908
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+19.08%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
93.8%
in alpha space · 98.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-27.04%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BFCBifrostEthereum0.138440.136135-1.67%0.0708-48.86%0.4217✓0.7417k2022-05-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.030480.02976-2.36%0.021686-28.85%0.0080✓0.984.4M2022-05-25
GTGateEthereum6.31816.1379-2.85%5.5974-11.41%0.0557✗0.474.7M2022-05-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.045150.043817-2.95%0.02834-37.23%0.1801✓0.81381k2022-05-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.95195.7733-3.00%4.9103-17.50%0.0053✓0.50208k2022-05-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.03110.030018-3.48%0.02708-12.93%0.0822✗0.59536k2022-05-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin104.56100.6922-3.70%68.16-34.81%0.0715✓1.0119.7M2022-05-25
ETHEthereumEthereum3,007.222,893.16-3.79%1,940.83-35.46%0.0860✓0.99438.2M2022-05-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.18480.177356-4.03%0.106-42.64%0.1873✗2.23398k2022-05-25
GITCOINGITCOIN5.7535.5212-4.03%2.581-55.14%0.3086✓1.4318k2022-05-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2913.1574-4.06%2.628-20.15%0.0070✓0.561.8M2022-05-25
KCSKuCoinnative19.75918.9352-4.17%16.114-18.45%0.0808✗0.775.8M2022-05-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana11.4310.9482-4.22%8.16-28.61%0.1847✓0.352.0M2022-05-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.090680.086823-4.25%0.05634-37.87%0.1884✓0.7736k2022-05-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.222.124-4.32%1.34-39.64%0.1506✓0.98128k2022-05-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.98023.8075-4.34%2.5249-36.56%0.2580✓0.485.6M2022-05-25
ORCAOrcaSolana1.971.8832-4.41%0.85-56.85%0.5723✓0.71230k2022-05-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0140930.013472-4.41%0.009336-33.75%0.0977✓0.8553k2022-05-25
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1691.1173-4.42%0.793-32.16%0.0233✓1.013.9M2022-05-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.959580.914484-4.70%0.37157-61.28%0.5164✓1.221.7M2022-05-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.685.4048-4.84%4.65-18.13%0.0442✓0.621.3M2022-05-25
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.000001739-5.00%0.00000113-38.25%0.2080✓0.719.3M2022-05-25
XTZTezosTezos2.95422.806-5.02%2.1289-27.94%0.0426✓1.01893k2022-05-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,523.2038,465.30-5.08%29,838.20-26.37%0.0364✓0.9225k2022-05-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.66163.4755-5.08%2.5703-29.80%0.1306✓0.544.6M2022-05-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.64990.616361-5.16%0.3344-48.55%0.3128✓0.959.2M2022-05-25
DIADIAEthereum0.840.796559-5.17%0.45862-45.40%0.4034✓0.4788k2022-05-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.41642.2906-5.21%1.6245-32.77%0.1435✓0.6311k2022-05-25
XYMSymbolnative0.1070.101355-5.28%0.0602-43.74%0.3176✓0.65823k2022-05-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,439.2238,274.47-5.35%29,503.49-27.04%0.0550✓1.00544.9M2022-05-25
XEMNEMnative0.09540.090257-5.39%0.0519-45.60%0.2681✓0.9072k2022-05-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.44820.423642-5.48%0.1942-56.67%0.6983✓0.265,5292022-05-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04330.040879-5.59%0.02754-36.40%0.1428✓0.8067k2022-05-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.165.8117-5.65%3.31-46.27%0.3838✓0.571.0M2022-05-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.1184.8281-5.66%2.82-44.90%0.2423✓0.9464k2022-05-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3811.3026-5.68%0.683-50.54%0.2608✓1.22496k2022-05-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23530.221522-5.86%0.1281-45.56%0.2958✓0.801.6M2022-05-25
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7991.6924-5.93%0.934-48.08%0.2885✓0.978.6M2022-05-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1922160.18082-5.93%0.132074-31.29%0.0121✓0.9618.9M2022-05-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.4412.6311-6.02%6.95-48.29%0.2557✓1.0826.0M2022-05-25
RADRadworksEthereum4.424.1534-6.03%3.37-23.76%0.0562✓0.84741k2022-05-25
CBKCobakEthereum2.1662.0353-6.03%1.245-42.52%0.2735✓0.6925k2022-05-25
XMRMoneroMonero254.06238.687-6.05%204.07-19.68%0.1253✗0.893.1M2022-05-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash314.56295.2509-6.14%190.03-39.59%0.1388✓0.966.0M2022-05-25
MANADecentralandEthereum1.98011.8581-6.16%1.0553-46.70%0.2320✓1.061.2M2022-05-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024370.000022867-6.17%0.0000116-52.40%0.3484✓1.052.1M2022-05-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.2555.8675-6.20%2.862-54.24%0.3697✓1.10216k2022-05-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06510.061049-6.22%0.0346-46.85%0.2239✓1.09296k2022-05-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18291.1081-6.32%0.6487-45.16%0.1519✓1.2210.2M2022-05-25
TRXTRONTron0.0653240.061182-6.34%0.084706+29.67%0.5148✗0.60304k2022-05-25
API3Api3Ethereum4.223.9498-6.40%1.67-60.43%0.5703✓0.923.1M2022-05-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13350.124935-6.42%0.0878-34.23%0.0399✓0.99203k2022-05-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.194.8561-6.43%4.06-21.77%0.0155✓0.62865k2022-05-25
PROPropyEthereum1.61.4971-6.43%1.06-33.75%0.2061✓0.44247k2022-05-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1750.163712-6.45%0.067-61.71%0.7660✓0.40190k2022-05-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos22.1220.6921-6.46%10.73-51.49%0.3327✓1.0323.3M2022-05-25
QNTQuantEthereum107.81100.8372-6.47%67.06-37.80%0.1571✓0.803.4M2022-05-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50060.467818-6.55%0.2692-46.22%0.2847✓0.85511k2022-05-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.29220.272817-6.63%0.1738-40.52%0.1107✓1.08492k2022-05-25
ZECZcashZcash165.73154.6998-6.66%95.54-42.35%0.1727✓0.987.2M2022-05-25
COMPCompoundEthereum132.68123.815-6.68%66.82-49.64%0.2668✓1.1165k2022-05-25
STXStacksnative1.111.0349-6.77%0.59-46.85%0.2694✓0.93422k2022-05-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1579870.147249-6.80%0.082855-47.56%0.2994✓0.875.1M2022-05-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01140.010623-6.82%0.00442-61.23%0.7008✓0.5632k2022-05-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2710.252507-6.82%0.1355-50.00%0.4158✓0.6636k2022-05-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.570.530944-6.85%0.21127-62.94%0.4733✓1.42395k2022-05-25
DODODODOEthereum0.3840.357686-6.85%0.171-55.47%0.3981✓1.088.0M2022-05-25
AVTAventusEthereum2.452.2815-6.88%1.14-53.47%0.5364✓0.50322k2022-05-25
UMAUMAEthereum5.945.5311-6.88%3.37-43.27%0.0392✓1.452.5M2022-05-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.5311.6569-6.97%5.92-52.75%0.5423✓0.432.8M2022-05-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.51750.481409-6.97%0.2923-43.52%0.1597✓1.08719k2022-05-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.911.7766-6.99%0.87-54.45%0.3094✓1.281.6M2022-05-25
HIVEHivenative0.90460.840514-7.08%0.4895-45.89%0.2425✓0.951.9M2022-05-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.11340.105353-7.10%0.0612-46.03%0.2588✓0.90791k2022-05-25
FTTFTXEthereum41.8338.8447-7.14%29-30.67%0.0124✓0.8919.0M2022-05-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.3724.4721-7.20%13.32-49.49%0.2235✓1.22685k2022-05-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1162.8907-7.23%2.531-18.77%0.0698✓0.641.5M2022-05-25
LSKLiskEthereum2.09731.9455-7.24%1.277-39.11%0.1610✓0.82100k2022-05-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10320.095599-7.37%0.0529-48.74%0.3045✓0.912.5M2022-05-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.6531.1426-7.45%23.79-29.30%0.0655✓1.068.8M2022-05-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.723570.669092-7.53%0.38953-46.17%0.2275✓0.99152k2022-05-25
ADACardanoCardano0.89750.829643-7.56%0.5139-42.74%0.1572✓1.0253.5M2022-05-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0260330.024063-7.57%0.01699-34.74%0.1800✓0.53197k2022-05-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.680.62852-7.57%0.394-42.06%0.2337✓0.742.8M2022-05-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3654.0315-7.64%4.696+7.58%0.2253✗0.232.7M2022-05-25
KSMKusamaHydration164.32151.7534-7.65%79.21-51.80%0.3169✓1.061.1M2022-05-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009620.008879-7.70%0.00435-54.78%0.3504✓1.153.0M2022-05-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.021670.019997-7.72%0.01278-41.02%0.2178✓0.734.5M2022-05-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche72.9167.2215-7.80%27.21-62.68%0.5334✓1.1862.8M2022-05-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.52650.485421-7.80%0.2104-60.04%0.7537✓0.26777k2022-05-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.6317.1729-7.82%8.17-56.15%0.4254✓1.0110.7M2022-05-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7778150.716601-7.87%0.419069-46.12%0.2006✓1.074.6M2022-05-25
FIDABonfidaSolana1.2991.1967-7.87%0.53-59.20%0.5086✓0.9762k2022-05-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.21270.195859-7.92%0.1199-43.63%0.1430✓1.102.6M2022-05-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.0916.6536-7.94%9.87-45.44%0.2094✓1.0014.6M2022-05-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.7225.5172-7.95%12.51-54.87%0.4268✓0.91517k2022-05-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.3080.283351-8.00%0.1393-54.77%0.2754✓1.388.8M2022-05-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.4843.2045-8.02%1.299-62.72%0.4323✓1.49896k2022-05-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.664.2862-8.02%4.36-6.44%0.2297✗0.671.2M2022-05-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum5.07784.6661-8.11%2.1481-57.70%0.5340✓0.778.0M2022-05-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV80.6873.9938-8.29%53.342-33.88%0.0787✓0.793.4M2022-05-25
SCSiacoinnative0.010140.009297-8.32%0.00535-47.24%0.1955✓1.13476k2022-05-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.82735.3397-8.37%3.5129-39.72%0.0612✓1.1311.2M2022-05-25
STORJStorjEthereum1.05740.968686-8.39%0.56044-47.00%0.2012✓1.10156k2022-05-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.31470.288303-8.39%0.1164-63.01%0.3821✓1.662.2M2022-05-25
ZENHorizenBase36.3933.325-8.42%20.29-44.24%0.0939✓1.28275k2022-05-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.88230.807122-8.52%0.3875-56.08%0.3424✓1.24208k2022-05-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.8411.7434-8.54%6.35-50.55%0.2894✓1.031.1M2022-05-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8440.77136-8.61%0.396-53.08%0.2461✓1.331.9M2022-05-25
MOVRMoonriverBase50.540646.1879-8.61%24.0075-52.50%0.2161✓1.39223k2022-05-25
NANOnanopayBase2.1191.9362-8.63%1.0864-48.73%0.2703✓0.98188k2022-05-25
XVSVenusEthereum109.1327-8.67%4.6-54.00%0.3666✓1.014.5M2022-05-25
BANDBandEthereum3.6163.302-8.68%1.687-53.35%0.2969✓1.19715k2022-05-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.1414.7372-8.69%7.75-51.98%0.3088✓1.0613.0M2022-05-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7314.3574-8.73%12.26-22.06%0.2376✗1.252.2M2022-05-25
QTUMQtumQtum6.46725.9025-8.73%4.0707-37.06%0.0184✓1.12170k2022-05-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003910.003567-8.78%0.00137-64.96%0.6300✓1.047.1M2022-05-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.41210.375663-8.84%0.2576-37.49%0.0490✓1.35282k2022-05-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24370.222083-8.87%0.1473-39.56%0.0154✓1.25236k2022-05-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.2210.201351-8.89%0.1203-45.57%0.1164✓1.263.3M2022-05-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04780.043549-8.89%0.0239-50.00%0.0916✓1.6132.1M2022-05-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.778920.709495-8.91%0.45588-41.47%0.1081✓1.06140k2022-05-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023040.020981-8.94%0.00903-60.81%0.5235✓1.01383k2022-05-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.91e-79.03e-7-8.95%6.44e-7-35.03%0.4014✓-0.20596k2022-05-25
AAVEAaveEthereum168.93153.6759-9.03%101.87-39.70%0.0185✓1.2512.2M2022-05-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5750.523047-9.04%0.223-61.22%0.5490✓0.964.9M2022-05-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2361.1243-9.04%0.649-47.49%0.1937✓1.132.6M2022-05-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.7432.4937-9.09%1.233-55.05%0.3154✓1.238.4M2022-05-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07860.071443-9.11%0.04828-38.58%0.1511✓0.7631k2022-05-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.52274.1101-9.12%2.5303-44.05%0.1867✓0.95275k2022-05-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.70310.638949-9.12%0.4053-42.36%0.1713✓0.9012.2M2022-05-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.17840.162117-9.13%0.0827-53.64%0.3130✓1.148.8M2022-05-25
LUNATerraTerra 296.8588.0058-9.13%0.00019-100.00%12.6453✓1.2710.3M2022-05-25
SOLSolanaSolana100.9991.6739-9.22%47.94-52.53%0.2668✓1.21127.9M2022-05-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9464.4894-9.23%3.812-22.93%0.0026✓0.531.6M2022-05-25
DASHDashDash99.4190.2136-9.25%62.12-37.51%0.0588✓1.001.6M2022-05-25
XECeCashnative0.000086730.000078693-9.27%0.00004919-43.28%0.1840✓0.919.8M2022-05-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072990.06617-9.34%0.03816-47.72%0.2388✓0.99124k2022-05-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5064.0796-9.46%2.078-53.88%0.2763✓1.26121k2022-05-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.89180.807403-9.46%0.6112-31.46%0.0993✓1.20487k2022-05-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01680.015203-9.51%0.00979-41.73%0.1635✓0.881.5M2022-05-25
UNIUniswapEthereum8.747.8924-9.70%5.62-35.70%0.0216✓1.016.3M2022-05-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0720.965437-9.94%0.592-44.78%0.1604✓1.041.3M2022-05-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.85.2152-10.08%2.61-55.00%0.2331✓1.46461k2022-05-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.8916.9297-10.38%9.44-50.03%0.1662✓1.33190k2022-05-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,700.5016,744.37-10.46%8,462.79-54.75%0.3719✓0.984.0M2022-05-25
APEApeCoinEthereum19.35717.3296-10.47%7.33-62.13%0.1571✓2.2345.4M2022-05-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.8321.6361-10.70%0.684-62.66%0.5707✓0.9678k2022-05-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.3363.8665-10.83%2.13-50.88%0.0654✓1.681.8M2022-05-25
XVGVergenative0.009960.008868-10.97%0.00508-49.00%0.2241✓1.061.4M2022-05-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum42.8938.1358-11.08%20.88-51.32%0.2308✓1.186.3M2022-05-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36040.320407-11.10%0.1511-58.07%0.3801✓1.189.2M2022-05-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4191.2603-11.18%0.967-31.85%0.0493✓1.00593k2022-05-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.18260.162169-11.19%0.08-56.19%0.3546✓1.12220k2022-05-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.123.6545-11.30%1.91-53.64%0.2307✓1.33416k2022-05-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.022950.020207-11.95%0.01238-46.06%0.0339✓1.4549.4M2022-05-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.6282.3111-12.06%1.391-47.07%0.2019✓0.979.9M2022-05-25
SUSHISushiEthereum3.282.8831-12.10%1.65-49.70%0.1862✓1.184.4M2022-05-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.32790.288086-12.14%0.1867-43.06%0.0315✓1.281.3M2022-05-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.030.8998-12.64%0.78513-23.77%0.1895✗1.03595k2022-05-25
MINAMina Protocolnative2.251.9552-13.10%0.976-56.62%0.3737✓1.021.3M2022-05-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.165.3059-13.87%2.551-58.59%0.3120✓1.338.3M2022-05-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.