8=======>

2022-04-24 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0060
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.88%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.9%
in alpha space · 51.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.47%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1655.1836+0.36%4.946-4.24%0.0601✗0.541.6M2022-04-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.85.8202+0.35%5.68-2.07%0.0397✗0.631.3M2022-04-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.84.8162+0.34%4.66-2.92%0.0497✗0.691.2M2022-04-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana11.911.9343+0.29%11.43-3.95%0.0519✗0.361.9M2022-04-25
GTGateEthereum6.42366.4413+0.28%6.3181-1.64%0.0309✗0.484.6M2022-04-25
AAVEAaveEthereum166.31166.7637+0.27%168.93+1.58%0.0175✗1.2512.2M2022-04-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.32650.327355+0.26%0.3147-3.61%0.0804✗1.682.2M2022-04-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.136510.136787+0.20%0.13844+1.41%0.0060✗0.7415k2022-04-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0851.0868+0.16%1.072-1.20%0.0394✗1.051.3M2022-04-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.3344.3399+0.14%4.336+0.05%0.0427✗1.712.0M2022-04-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana13.0713.0878+0.14%12.53-4.13%0.0543✗0.442.7M2022-04-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.35534.3611+0.13%3.9802-8.61%0.1038✗0.515.4M2022-04-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.032350.032393+0.13%0.0311-3.86%0.0552✗0.59555k2022-04-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13330.133415+0.09%0.1335+0.15%0.0235✗0.99203k2022-04-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.86920.86993+0.08%0.8823+1.51%0.0163✗1.25212k2022-04-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.7212.7303+0.08%12.84+0.94%0.0167✗1.04985k2022-04-25
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1981.1987+0.06%1.169-2.42%0.0502✗1.033.8M2022-04-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.17780.1779+0.06%0.1848+3.94%0.0165✗2.24398k2022-04-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.09150.091547+0.05%0.09068-0.90%0.0285✗0.7836k2022-04-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009890.009895+0.05%0.00962-2.73%0.0566✗1.173.0M2022-04-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2013.2022+0.04%3.116-2.66%0.0432✗0.651.6M2022-04-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.82843.8298+0.04%3.6616-4.36%0.0585✗0.564.6M2022-04-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.333.3311+0.03%3.291-1.17%0.0259✗0.571.9M2022-04-25
IMXImmutableEthereum1.731.7306+0.03%1.799+3.99%0.0152✓0.977.8M2022-04-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.31150.311597+0.03%0.308-1.12%0.0454✗1.388.8M2022-04-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin104.59104.6168+0.03%104.56-0.03%0.0253✗1.0119.2M2022-04-25
ETHEthereumEthereum2,921.962,922.47+0.02%3,007.22+2.92%0.0044✓0.99429.7M2022-04-25
STXStacksnative1.121.1202+0.01%1.11-0.89%0.0319✗0.93422k2022-04-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,464.5639,469.35+0.01%40,439.22+2.47%0.0001✓1.00519.1M2022-04-25
HIVEHivenative0.91810.918163+0.01%0.9046-1.47%0.0381✗0.951.9M2022-04-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.887540.887595+0.01%0.95958+8.12%0.0483✓1.221.6M2022-04-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0315770.031579+0.00%0.03048-3.47%0.0597✗0.994.5M2022-04-25
GITCOINGITCOIN5.885.8801+0.00%5.753-2.16%0.0572✗1.4518k2022-04-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.85225.8518-0.01%5.9519+1.70%0.0049✗0.50201k2022-04-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum65.9995-0.01%6.16+2.67%0.0126✗0.561.0M2022-04-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.2813.2785-0.01%13.44+1.20%0.0144✓1.0925.8M2022-04-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.255.2492-0.02%5.19-1.14%0.0265✓0.62894k2022-04-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.70080.700647-0.02%0.7031+0.33%0.0186✓0.9012.2M2022-04-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.6610.660852-0.02%0.6499-1.68%0.0401✓0.968.4M2022-04-25
SGBSongbirdnative0.05410.054087-0.02%0.0513-5.18%0.0657✓0.53193k2022-04-25
QNTQuantEthereum110.44110.4109-0.03%107.81-2.38%0.0435✓0.813.4M2022-04-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0480.047986-0.03%0.0478-0.42%0.0436✓1.6332.1M2022-04-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.021690.021683-0.03%0.02167-0.09%0.0186✓0.744.2M2022-04-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.182.1793-0.03%2.22+1.83%0.0055✓0.98128k2022-04-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.43440.434248-0.03%0.4482+3.18%0.0256✗0.255,3242022-04-25
UMAUMAEthereum6.0746.0718-0.04%5.94-2.21%0.0576✓1.462.6M2022-04-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.574.5681-0.04%4.365-4.49%0.0515✓0.252.8M2022-04-25
SOLSolanaSolana99.2599.2093-0.04%100.99+1.75%0.0118✓1.21127.9M2022-04-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.21170.21161-0.04%0.2127+0.47%0.0219✓1.112.8M2022-04-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.1225.1078-0.05%27.72+10.35%0.0773✗0.89458k2022-04-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,699.3039,675.75-0.06%40,523.20+2.08%0.0013✓0.9225k2022-04-25
DODODODOEthereum0.3890.388763-0.06%0.384-1.29%0.0389✓1.098.0M2022-04-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1896270.189511-0.06%0.192216+1.37%0.0092✓0.9618.1M2022-04-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4181.4171-0.06%1.419+0.07%0.0231✓1.00650k2022-04-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.60040.600031-0.06%0.5265-12.31%0.1381✓0.30796k2022-04-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash307.63307.4315-0.06%314.56+2.25%0.0004✓0.966.0M2022-04-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023940.000023924-0.06%0.00002437+1.80%0.0071✓1.052.0M2022-04-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos22.322.2855-0.06%22.12-0.81%0.0327✓1.0323.3M2022-04-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.72220.721717-0.07%0.72357+0.19%0.0219✓1.00145k2022-04-25
DASHDashDash10099.9319-0.07%99.41-0.59%0.0297✓1.001.6M2022-04-25
ORCAOrcaSolana1.951.9485-0.07%1.97+1.03%0.0063✓0.71250k2022-04-25
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.000001829-0.08%0.00000183+0.00%0.0166✓0.719.3M2022-04-25
LSKLiskEthereum2.12752.1258-0.08%2.0973-1.42%0.0339✓0.84100k2022-04-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.91.8984-0.08%1.91+0.53%0.0253✓1.291.6M2022-04-25
FIDABonfidaSolana1.3581.3569-0.08%1.299-4.34%0.0676✓0.9959k2022-04-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011290.01128-0.09%0.0114+0.97%0.0031✓0.5636k2022-04-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.41710.416731-0.09%0.4121-1.20%0.0450✓1.39308k2022-04-25
MINAMina Protocolnative2.192.188-0.09%2.25+2.74%0.0031✗1.021.2M2022-04-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV79.8979.8171-0.09%80.68+0.99%0.0085✓0.793.4M2022-04-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51060.510106-0.10%0.5006-1.96%0.0397✓0.86511k2022-04-25
CBKCobakEthereum2.2192.2169-0.10%2.166-2.39%0.0403✓0.7025k2022-04-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.024.0161-0.10%4.12+2.49%0.0069✓1.33436k2022-04-25
ZENHorizenBase36.0636.0201-0.11%36.39+0.92%0.0211✓1.28292k2022-04-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2315.2252-0.11%5.118-2.16%0.0439✓0.9564k2022-04-25
FTTFTXEthereum40.7940.7437-0.11%41.83+2.55%0.0046✗0.8919.0M2022-04-25
DIADIAEthereum0.880.878977-0.12%0.84-4.55%0.0572✓0.4899k2022-04-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06610.06602-0.12%0.0651-1.51%0.0409✓1.10309k2022-04-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.5474.5415-0.12%4.5227-0.53%0.0274✓0.95266k2022-04-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.044850.044794-0.13%0.04515+0.67%0.0119✓0.81381k2022-04-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.30230.301921-0.13%0.2922-3.34%0.0594✓1.09518k2022-04-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.043970.043915-0.13%0.0433-1.52%0.0338✓0.8167k2022-04-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.2216.1993-0.13%16.14-0.49%0.0296✓1.0613.0M2022-04-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.35740.356943-0.13%0.3604+0.84%0.0193✓1.199.2M2022-04-25
TRXTRONTron0.0656880.065602-0.13%0.065324-0.55%0.0190✓0.61302k2022-04-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6960.695082-0.13%0.68-2.30%0.0402✓0.752.8M2022-04-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.570.569225-0.14%0.57+0.00%0.0335✓1.43387k2022-04-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0143360.014316-0.14%0.014093-1.70%0.0367✓0.8653k2022-04-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.2619.2328-0.14%18.89-1.92%0.0506✓1.34175k2022-04-25
BANDBandEthereum3.6073.6018-0.14%3.616+0.25%0.0253✓1.20715k2022-04-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche71.5471.4375-0.14%72.91+1.92%0.0085✓1.1857.0M2022-04-25
XYMSymbolnative0.10960.109435-0.15%0.107-2.37%0.0385✓0.65806k2022-04-25
XMRMoneroMonero252.68252.2915-0.15%254.06+0.55%0.0149✓0.903.0M2022-04-25
KSMKusamaHydration159.48159.2331-0.15%164.32+3.03%0.0057✗1.051.1M2022-04-25
ADACardanoCardano0.8860.884554-0.16%0.8975+1.30%0.0104✓1.0253.5M2022-04-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.58612.5819-0.16%2.4164-6.56%0.0822✓0.6511k2022-04-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.33510.334543-0.17%0.3279-2.15%0.0515✓1.291.2M2022-04-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.21330.212942-0.17%0.221+3.61%0.0064✗1.263.3M2022-04-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.041.0382-0.17%1.03-0.96%0.0331✓1.03620k2022-04-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.54420.543248-0.17%0.5175-4.91%0.0753✓1.10747k2022-04-25
KCSKuCoinnative19.56119.5267-0.18%19.759+1.01%0.0070✓0.775.8M2022-04-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02220.022161-0.18%0.02304+3.78%0.0143✗1.01398k2022-04-25
XVGVergenative0.009920.009902-0.18%0.00996+0.40%0.0201✓1.061.4M2022-04-25
NANOnanopayBase2.03482.031-0.19%2.119+4.14%0.0187✗0.97188k2022-04-25
XEMNEMnative0.09430.094124-0.19%0.0954+1.17%0.0086✓0.9167k2022-04-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.1870.18665-0.19%0.1826-2.35%0.0496✓1.13219k2022-04-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,270.3218,235.88-0.19%18,700.50+2.35%0.0011✓0.994.0M2022-04-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3891.3864-0.19%1.381-0.58%0.0339✓1.23496k2022-04-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.3736.3608-0.19%6.255-1.85%0.0441✓1.12216k2022-04-25
XTZTezosTezos2.96062.9548-0.19%2.9542-0.22%0.0250✓1.02893k2022-04-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2770.276454-0.20%0.271-2.17%0.0361✓0.6638k2022-04-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.15451.1522-0.20%1.1829+2.46%0.0035✓1.2210.2M2022-04-25
MOVRMoonriverBase51.60151.498-0.20%50.5406-2.05%0.0530✓1.40219k2022-04-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23830.237819-0.20%0.2353-1.26%0.0304✓0.811.6M2022-04-25
STORJStorjEthereum1.06521.0631-0.20%1.0574-0.74%0.0323✓1.10162k2022-04-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.544.5308-0.20%4.506-0.75%0.0365✓1.27121k2022-04-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.6733.6014-0.20%33.65-0.06%0.0246✓1.0710.0M2022-04-25
COMPCompoundEthereum130.05129.7842-0.20%132.68+2.02%0.0051✓1.1165k2022-04-25
UNIUniswapEthereum8.718.6922-0.20%8.74+0.34%0.0192✓1.016.8M2022-04-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24920.248686-0.21%0.2437-2.21%0.0517✓1.29236k2022-04-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1518.1123-0.21%18.09-0.33%0.0257✓1.0014.6M2022-04-25
QTUMQtumQtum6.32616.3125-0.22%6.4672+2.23%0.0032✓1.12147k2022-04-25
ZECZcashZcash160.92160.5705-0.22%165.73+2.99%0.0078✗0.987.7M2022-04-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2841.2811-0.22%1.236-3.74%0.0637✓1.142.6M2022-04-25
LUNATerraTerra 290.5490.3347-0.23%96.85+6.97%0.0389✗1.269.9M2022-04-25
API3Api3Ethereum4.2344.2241-0.23%4.22-0.33%0.0235✓0.923.1M2022-04-25
XECeCashnative0.000088480.000088269-0.24%0.00008673-1.98%0.0399✓0.929.8M2022-04-25
MANADecentralandEthereum2.00171.9968-0.24%1.9801-1.08%0.0345✓1.071.2M2022-04-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.131840.131522-0.24%0.157987+19.83%0.1629✗0.845.0M2022-04-25
SCSiacoinnative0.010160.010135-0.24%0.01014-0.20%0.0273✓1.14476k2022-04-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.875.8555-0.25%5.8-1.19%0.0454✓1.47433k2022-04-25
RADRadworksEthereum4.384.3688-0.26%4.42+0.91%0.0089✓0.84741k2022-04-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.10936.0935-0.26%5.8273-4.62%0.0730✓1.1610.7M2022-04-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017470.017424-0.27%0.0168-3.84%0.0582✓0.891.5M2022-04-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.9218.869-0.27%18.63-1.53%0.0375✓1.0110.7M2022-04-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0266140.026542-0.27%0.026033-2.18%0.0325✓0.54199k2022-04-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.850.847684-0.27%0.844-0.71%0.0372✓1.352.1M2022-04-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.790060.787857-0.28%0.77892-1.41%0.0388✓1.12140k2022-04-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004010.003999-0.28%0.00391-2.49%0.0480✓1.057.1M2022-04-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000019.98e-7-0.28%9.91e-7-0.91%0.0015✓-0.20596k2022-04-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.8851.8796-0.28%1.832-2.81%0.0494✓0.9778k2022-04-25
AVTAventusEthereum2.412.403-0.29%2.45+1.66%0.0072✗0.50320k2022-04-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.11930.11893-0.31%0.1134-4.95%0.0700✓0.92917k2022-04-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum44.3444.201-0.31%42.89-3.27%0.0592✓1.197.3M2022-04-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0750.074751-0.33%0.0786+4.80%0.0317✗0.7631k2022-04-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.2983.2869-0.34%3.484+5.64%0.0219✗1.49826k2022-04-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.17880.178192-0.34%0.1784-0.22%0.0269✓1.159.4M2022-04-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072590.07234-0.34%0.07299+0.55%0.0153✓0.99134k2022-04-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.1526.0589-0.35%26.37+0.84%0.0180✓1.23685k2022-04-25
XVSVenusEthereum10.3810.3426-0.36%10-3.66%0.0588✓1.034.5M2022-04-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.7032.693-0.37%2.743+1.48%0.0119✓1.248.3M2022-04-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.3315.2716-0.38%15.73+2.61%0.0010✓1.262.1M2022-04-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.89220.888752-0.39%0.8918-0.04%0.0263✓1.22514k2022-04-25
SUSHISushiEthereum3.363.346-0.42%3.28-2.38%0.0490✓1.194.7M2022-04-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8094940.806016-0.43%0.777815-3.91%0.0620✓1.084.2M2022-04-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.024940.02482-0.48%0.02295-7.98%0.1142✓1.4748.3M2022-04-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.875.8418-0.48%6.16+4.94%0.0206✗1.338.1M2022-04-25
PROPropyEthereum1.731.7199-0.59%1.6-7.51%0.0834✓0.46214k2022-04-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.74744.719-0.60%5.0778+6.96%0.0547✗0.767.7M2022-04-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1880.186822-0.63%0.175-6.91%0.0756✓0.42175k2022-04-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10660.105924-0.63%0.1032-3.19%0.0487✓0.932.4M2022-04-25
APEApeCoinEthereum16.81316.6912-0.72%19.357+15.13%0.0957✗2.1545.4M2022-04-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6060.601335-0.77%0.575-5.12%0.0688✓0.985.2M2022-04-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.5462.5241-0.86%2.628+3.22%0.0168✗0.979.9M2022-04-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.