8=======>

2022-04-22 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1396
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.02%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
95.1%
in alpha space · 99.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-23.80%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BFCBifrostEthereum0.137490.135674-1.32%0.0719-47.71%0.4331✓0.7417k2022-05-22
GTGateEthereum6.48136.2874-2.99%5.7432-11.39%0.0442✗0.504.7M2022-05-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.046640.045222-3.04%0.02798-40.01%0.2541✓0.83430k2022-05-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0321160.031112-3.13%0.017576-45.27%0.2982✓1.004.7M2022-05-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.85875.6729-3.17%4.9129-16.14%0.0124✓0.48201k2022-05-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin105.34101.6245-3.53%71.61-32.02%0.0748✓1.0119.8M2022-05-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,963.052,857.22-3.57%2,040.92-31.12%0.0667✓0.99448.2M2022-05-22
ORCAOrcaSolana1.921.851-3.59%0.86-55.21%0.5737✓0.71261k2022-05-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.032930.031704-3.72%0.02747-16.58%0.0041✓0.54603k2022-05-22
GITCOINGITCOIN5.9725.7487-3.74%2.804-53.05%0.3273✓1.4418k2022-05-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.18970.182397-3.85%0.107-43.60%0.0727✗2.23422k2022-05-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.483.3457-3.86%1.946-44.08%0.3888✓0.562.0M2022-05-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.232.141-3.99%1.41-36.77%0.1514✓0.98137k2022-05-22
KCSKuCoinnative20.23419.3862-4.19%16.926-16.35%0.0748✗0.775.8M2022-05-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.093370.089357-4.30%0.06501-30.37%0.1033✓0.7939k2022-05-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,516.0037,775.62-4.40%30,400.00-23.07%0.0340✓0.9225k2022-05-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0149990.014338-4.41%0.00925-38.33%0.2080✓0.8553k2022-05-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.4490.428953-4.46%0.2052-54.30%0.6691✓0.255,8622022-05-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.165.8696-4.71%4-35.06%0.2134✓0.631.4M2022-05-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.941390.895783-4.84%0.37996-59.64%0.5225✓1.231.7M2022-05-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.45782.3369-4.92%1.6696-32.07%0.1603✓0.6511k2022-05-22
BTTCBTTC0.000001890.000001797-4.93%0.00000114-39.68%0.2622✓0.719.6M2022-05-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1861.1274-4.94%0.838-29.34%0.0194✓1.023.8M2022-05-22
XTZTezosTezos3.09022.9374-4.95%1.975-36.09%0.1220✓1.01928k2022-05-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,712.2537,739.46-4.97%30,260.87-23.80%0.0510✗1.00565.5M2022-05-22
XEMNEMnative0.09630.091348-5.14%0.0602-37.49%0.1712✓0.9072k2022-05-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.67360.638648-5.19%0.3493-48.14%0.3426✓0.969.4M2022-05-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.09194.8235-5.27%2.1772-57.24%0.6601✓0.505.6M2022-05-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.8513.1162-5.30%8.28-40.22%0.3642✓0.351.9M2022-05-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.25.8694-5.33%3.58-42.26%0.3384✓0.571.0M2022-05-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044220.041812-5.45%0.02844-35.69%0.1649✓0.8171k2022-05-22
DIADIAEthereum0.880.831317-5.53%0.53881-38.77%0.3017✓0.49154k2022-05-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.94263.724-5.55%2.3257-41.01%0.3186✓0.564.6M2022-05-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1370.129326-5.60%0.0891-34.96%0.1030✓0.99215k2022-05-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23560.22233-5.63%0.1333-43.42%0.2933✓0.801.6M2022-05-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1363930.128665-5.67%0.085931-37.00%0.1740✓0.845.1M2022-05-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4421.3587-5.77%0.717-50.28%0.3052✓1.23594k2022-05-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1954030.184018-5.83%0.135282-30.77%0.0468✓0.9619.4M2022-05-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.5912.7977-5.83%7.32-46.14%0.2644✓1.0826.2M2022-05-22
AVTAventusEthereum2.352.2129-5.83%1.23-47.66%0.4523✓0.50336k2022-05-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash321.06302.0876-5.91%197.72-38.42%0.1651✓0.956.4M2022-05-22
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8351.7261-5.94%0.99-46.05%0.2971✓0.957.5M2022-05-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06650.062476-6.05%0.0348-47.67%0.2850✓1.10429k2022-05-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.2515-6.06%3.45-38.28%0.2516✓0.621.1M2022-05-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.5175.1826-6.06%3.019-45.28%0.2813✓0.9566k2022-05-22
XYMSymbolnative0.11280.105933-6.09%0.0678-39.89%0.2641✓0.67840k2022-05-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.03941.9121-6.24%1.1009-46.02%0.2629✓1.061.4M2022-05-22
RADRadworksEthereum4.414.1346-6.25%2.07-53.06%0.4638✓0.84785k2022-05-22
QNTQuantEthereum107.94101.1559-6.29%69.49-35.62%0.1517✓0.823.6M2022-05-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.1121.6423-6.35%11.4-50.67%0.3465✓1.0826.8M2022-05-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.3022.1557-6.36%1.235-46.35%0.3651✓0.7127k2022-05-22
XMRMoneroMonero268.49251.4181-6.36%187.32-30.23%0.0534✓0.892.8M2022-05-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.4856.0724-6.36%3.068-52.69%0.3785✓1.12268k2022-05-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024330.000022778-6.38%0.00001191-51.05%0.3606✓1.062.3M2022-05-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.590.552071-6.43%0.20936-64.52%0.5825✓1.42395k2022-05-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.010920.010212-6.48%0.00468-57.14%0.6319✓0.5538k2022-05-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.20061.1216-6.58%0.6744-43.83%0.1799✓1.2111.3M2022-05-22
ZECZcashZcash157.18146.7702-6.62%106.66-32.14%0.0560✓0.978.1M2022-05-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2690.251177-6.63%0.1314-51.15%0.4584✓0.7036k2022-05-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.56080.523616-6.63%0.325-42.05%0.1830✓1.08816k2022-05-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.924.17-6.68%13.3-48.65%0.3581✓0.88578k2022-05-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.30610.285643-6.68%0.1921-37.24%0.1013✓1.09495k2022-05-22
STXStacksnative1.141.0636-6.70%0.56-50.88%0.3891✓0.93426k2022-05-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51330.478874-6.71%0.271-47.20%0.3413✓0.84490k2022-05-22
PROPropyEthereum1.711.5948-6.73%1.09-36.26%0.2273✓0.56191k2022-05-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2060.191984-6.80%0.059-71.36%1.0729✓0.39175k2022-05-22
TRXTRONTron0.0665430.061995-6.83%0.078108+17.38%0.3940✗0.60285k2022-05-22
COMPCompoundEthereum134.93125.6761-6.86%71.06-47.34%0.2670✓1.1284k2022-05-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.4753.2357-6.89%2.398-30.99%0.1211✓0.662.1M2022-05-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.991.8522-6.93%0.94-52.76%0.3312✓1.281.6M2022-05-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.11620.10809-6.98%0.0642-44.75%0.2501✓1.00988k2022-05-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7140.664006-7.00%0.379-46.92%0.3582✓0.752.8M2022-05-22
FTTFTXEthereum41.3238.4084-7.05%30.74-25.61%0.0218✓0.9020.1M2022-05-22
ADACardanoCardano0.90640.842188-7.08%0.5413-40.28%0.1649✓1.0258.4M2022-05-22
UMAUMAEthereum6.0355.6017-7.18%3.516-41.74%0.0713✓1.452.6M2022-05-22
DODODODOEthereum0.4070.377724-7.19%0.145-64.37%0.6645✓1.088.0M2022-05-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.5232.9621-7.20%21.06-40.71%0.1599✓1.0612.0M2022-05-22
API3Api3Ethereum4.424.1017-7.20%1.923-56.49%0.5212✓0.873.3M2022-05-22
KSMKusamaHydration164.55152.6962-7.20%80.44-51.12%0.3596✓1.041.1M2022-05-22
HIVEHivenative0.92560.858715-7.23%0.5206-43.76%0.2390✓0.962.0M2022-05-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.61370.568893-7.30%0.2394-60.99%0.7940✓0.26814k2022-05-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010110.00937-7.31%0.00484-52.13%0.3447✓1.163.2M2022-05-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche74.0168.587-7.33%31.68-57.19%0.4485✓1.1977.5M2022-05-22
FIDABonfidaSolana1.3851.2834-7.34%0.582-57.98%0.5230✓0.9962k2022-05-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.022620.020951-7.38%0.01329-41.25%0.2615✓0.714.8M2022-05-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11050.102319-7.40%0.0554-49.86%0.3603✓0.932.2M2022-05-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.2917.8567-7.43%8.44-56.25%0.4764✓1.0010.7M2022-05-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.2716.8947-7.53%10.14-44.50%0.2393✓1.0017.7M2022-05-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.220.203355-7.57%0.1233-43.95%0.2008✓1.103.2M2022-05-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.3513.2627-7.58%5.97-58.40%0.6787✓0.442.7M2022-05-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.8423.8544-7.68%15.37-40.52%0.1092✓1.22669k2022-05-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.054.6616-7.69%3.03-40.00%0.2439✓0.691.2M2022-05-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33010.304584-7.73%0.1432-56.62%0.3742✓1.409.0M2022-05-22
NANOnanopayBase2.05761.8982-7.75%1.1635-43.46%0.2198✓0.99226k2022-05-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.7373.4451-7.81%1.237-66.90%0.6186✓1.49826k2022-05-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV79.4873.2692-7.81%50.645-36.28%0.1535✓0.793.4M2022-05-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.022340.020589-7.84%0.00992-55.60%0.4560✓1.01423k2022-05-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.2113.0958-7.84%12.61-11.26%0.3041✗1.262.2M2022-05-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.737790.678927-7.98%0.40856-44.62%0.2333✓1.01175k2022-05-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.22650.208331-8.02%0.1177-48.04%0.2314✓1.253.3M2022-05-22
ZENHorizenBase36.7733.7995-8.08%21.01-42.86%0.1315✓1.27334k2022-05-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.2612.1807-8.14%6.36-52.04%0.3687✓1.031.2M2022-05-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.075920.069713-8.18%0.0488-35.72%0.1516✓0.7539k2022-05-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0279720.025685-8.18%0.019309-30.97%0.1367✓0.55195k2022-05-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.70534.32-8.19%2.6053-44.63%0.3021✓0.757.1M2022-05-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.5915.2279-8.21%8.22-50.45%0.3283✓1.0617.1M2022-05-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7314.3421-8.22%4.722-0.19%0.1506✗0.253.2M2022-05-22
SCSiacoinnative0.010580.009697-8.34%0.00546-48.39%0.2661✓1.13517k2022-05-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.97160.890524-8.34%0.4009-58.74%0.4502✓1.28231k2022-05-22
BORABORAKlay Token0.803380.73616-8.37%0.45172-43.77%0.2166✓1.00149k2022-05-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8410.770594-8.37%0.376-55.29%0.3569✓1.332.3M2022-05-22
QTUMQtumQtum6.6026.0471-8.41%4.1221-37.56%0.0802✓1.11191k2022-05-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.09140.999363-8.43%0.59235-45.73%0.2239✓1.10156k2022-05-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.35960.329163-8.46%0.1342-62.68%0.4383✓1.692.3M2022-05-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.43320.396531-8.46%0.2686-38.00%0.0098✓1.40346k2022-05-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4832.2711-8.54%1.273-48.73%0.2418✓1.247.0M2022-05-22
APEApeCoinEthereum15.34714.035-8.55%8.019-47.75%0.0301✓2.1745.4M2022-05-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8622030.788312-8.57%0.449496-47.87%0.2699✓1.074.0M2022-05-22
MOVRMoonriverBase55.55950.7974-8.57%24.623-55.68%0.3493✓1.38220k2022-05-22
BANDBandEthereum3.7683.4428-8.63%1.86-50.64%0.2941✓1.18785k2022-05-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.7190.656574-8.68%0.442-38.53%0.1513✓0.9014.2M2022-05-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04970.045384-8.68%0.0294-40.85%0.0019✓1.6036.6M2022-05-22
LUNATerraTerra 293.5685.4309-8.69%0.0002-100.00%12.6205✓1.279.9M2022-05-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004180.003816-8.70%0.00148-64.59%0.6609✓1.057.4M2022-05-22
SOLSolanaSolana100.5591.7575-8.74%52.44-47.85%0.2310✓1.21147.6M2022-05-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18910.172427-8.82%0.0845-55.31%0.4060✓1.139.4M2022-05-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.25660.23376-8.90%0.1556-39.36%0.0561✓1.29236k2022-05-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.321.2023-8.92%0.694-47.42%0.2391✓1.142.7M2022-05-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5750.523674-8.93%0.243-57.74%0.5008✓0.985.2M2022-05-22
XVSVenusEthereum11.0610.0707-8.95%4.95-55.24%0.4291✓1.034.8M2022-05-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.00045.4561-9.07%3.427-42.89%0.1501✓1.1610.7M2022-05-22
AAVEAaveEthereum176.98160.899-9.09%94.18-46.78%0.1953✓1.2513.1M2022-05-22
DASHDashDash103.7494.2828-9.12%61.53-40.69%0.1582✓0.991.7M2022-05-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.65014.224-9.16%2.6-44.09%0.2272✓0.95280k2022-05-22
XECeCashnative0.000089030.000080835-9.20%0.00004786-46.24%0.2711✓0.939.8M2022-05-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017420.015814-9.22%0.00945-45.75%0.2669✓0.911.7M2022-05-22
UNIUniswapEthereum8.98.0758-9.26%5.49-38.31%0.1134✓1.007.0M2022-05-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.985.4229-9.32%2.78-53.51%0.2713✓1.46503k2022-05-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.45872.2295-9.32%1.2967-47.26%0.3211✓0.81100k2022-05-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.9991.8113-9.39%0.781-60.93%0.5774✓0.9790k2022-05-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010069.12e-7-9.42%7.11e-7-29.32%0.3014✓-0.20621k2022-05-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.6944.2441-9.59%2.175-53.66%0.3332✓1.23140k2022-05-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.07640.068952-9.75%0.04097-46.37%0.2518✓0.99140k2022-05-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.2518.2574-9.84%11.2-44.69%0.1275✓1.33207k2022-05-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,673.6216,829.99-9.87%9,473.13-49.27%0.3030✓1.004.6M2022-05-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.95960.8626-10.11%0.5155-46.28%0.1745✓1.25747k2022-05-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum45.941.1596-10.33%21.67-52.79%0.3155✓1.208.2M2022-05-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.9145.2918-10.52%4.312-27.09%0.0578✓0.541.6M2022-05-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.19230.172026-10.54%0.0847-55.95%0.4008✓1.13242k2022-05-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.5114.0342-10.57%2.144-52.47%0.1662✓1.712.2M2022-05-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.35360.316145-10.59%0.1629-53.93%0.3459✓1.1710.3M2022-05-22
XVGVergenative0.010320.009219-10.67%0.00531-48.55%0.2644✓1.061.4M2022-05-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.161.0357-10.71%0.596-48.62%0.2776✓1.011.3M2022-05-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.223.7561-10.99%2.16-48.82%0.1944✓1.32584k2022-05-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4751.3104-11.16%0.999-32.27%0.0002✓1.00725k2022-05-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.050.927068-11.71%0.96336-8.25%0.3353✗1.09684k2022-05-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.4322.1441-11.84%1.509-37.95%0.0858✓0.985.7M2022-05-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.02360.020772-11.99%0.01274-46.02%0.0905✓1.4748.3M2022-05-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34990.307434-12.14%0.1936-44.67%0.1152✓1.281.3M2022-05-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.4794.797-12.45%2.723-50.30%0.2026✓1.347.7M2022-05-22
MINAMina Protocolnative2.312.0181-12.64%1.015-56.06%0.4121✓1.011.3M2022-05-22
SUSHISushiEthereum3.533.0765-12.85%1.45-58.92%0.4288✓1.196.4M2022-05-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.