8=======>

2022-04-20 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3523
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.6%
in alpha space · 81.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.416.4306+0.32%6.19-3.43%0.0219✗0.741.6M2022-04-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.175.1838+0.27%5-3.29%0.0198✗0.741.2M2022-04-21
GTGateEthereum6.52626.542+0.24%6.4547-1.10%0.0005✓0.594.7M2022-04-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.148280.148493+0.14%0.13921-6.12%0.0473✗0.7918k2022-04-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.913.9154+0.11%13.46-3.17%0.0242✗0.412.0M2022-04-21
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2151.2155+0.04%1.153-5.10%0.0317✗0.963.6M2022-04-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13770.137737+0.03%0.1372-0.36%0.0184✓1.02215k2022-04-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.38350.383544+0.01%0.3653-4.75%0.0096✗1.792.3M2022-04-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.9295.9296+0.01%5.894-0.59%0.0084✓0.662.0M2022-04-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034710.034712+0.01%0.03402-1.99%0.0065✗0.62733k2022-04-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.96145.9608-0.01%6.006+0.75%0.0179✗0.47192k2022-04-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.86111.8423-0.02%106.69-4.62%0.0247✓1.0320.5M2022-04-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,418.2041,407.45-0.03%40,499.20-2.22%0.0014✓0.9525k2022-04-21
ETHEthereumEthereum3,077.063,075.78-0.04%2,983.94-3.03%0.0074✓1.05482.4M2022-04-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.03914.0369-0.05%3.998-1.02%0.0048✗0.664.6M2022-04-21
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2386.2338-0.07%5.977-4.18%0.0095✓1.4918k2022-04-21
HIVEHivenative0.91240.91173-0.07%0.9434+3.40%0.0574✗1.061.9M2022-04-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum65.9956-0.07%6.1+1.67%0.0330✗0.721.0M2022-04-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.2783-0.08%2.22-2.63%0.0038✓1.01163k2022-04-21
QNTQuantEthereum110.63110.5421-0.08%107.82-2.54%0.0048✓0.923.8M2022-04-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01140.011391-0.08%0.011-3.51%0.0216✓0.6136k2022-04-21
TRXTRONTron0.0626380.062588-0.08%0.0709+13.19%0.1394✗0.67262k2022-04-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.48180.481388-0.09%0.4437-7.91%0.0765✓0.235,8622022-04-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.0314.017-0.09%13.58-3.21%0.0070✓1.1326.2M2022-04-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.095550.095461-0.09%0.09345-2.20%0.0025✓0.8636k2022-04-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.19730.1971-0.10%0.192-2.69%0.0234✗2.26568k2022-04-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.9513.9357-0.10%13.75-1.43%0.0112✗1.131.4M2022-04-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.48992.4872-0.11%2.4399-2.01%0.0025✓0.7611k2022-04-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024830.000024801-0.12%0.00002434-1.97%0.0061✗1.132.6M2022-04-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,377.6141,328.67-0.12%40,480.81-2.17%0.0012✗1.00565.5M2022-04-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5853.5806-0.12%3.492-2.59%0.0107✓0.662.0M2022-04-21
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001898-0.13%0.00000189-0.53%0.0117✗0.729.8M2022-04-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.4926.4562-0.13%26.48-0.04%0.0204✗0.89517k2022-04-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01080.010786-0.13%0.01035-4.17%0.0160✓1.153.0M2022-04-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.022660.022628-0.14%0.02445+7.90%0.0946✗0.784.7M2022-04-21
STXStacksnative1.181.1783-0.15%1.15-2.54%0.0020✓1.02440k2022-04-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash330.55330.0587-0.15%315.62-4.52%0.0231✓0.996.7M2022-04-21
LSKLiskEthereum2.20752.2041-0.16%2.178-1.34%0.0069✗0.8699k2022-04-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.715.7011-0.16%5.68-0.53%0.0119✗0.711.1M2022-04-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.67770.676631-0.16%0.6632-2.14%0.0029✗1.059.4M2022-04-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.047670.047594-0.16%0.04626-2.96%0.0064✓1.00466k2022-04-21
UMAUMAEthereum6.3376.3269-0.16%6.16-2.79%0.0053✗1.462.7M2022-04-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.22580.225432-0.16%0.2182-3.37%0.0068✓1.183.2M2022-04-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51230.511448-0.17%0.518+1.11%0.0302✗0.80461k2022-04-21
XLMStellarStellar0.200340.200003-0.17%0.196519-1.91%0.0042✗0.9919.5M2022-04-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0340710.034013-0.17%0.033102-2.84%0.0028✓1.114.5M2022-04-21
XMRMoneroMonero266.68266.2138-0.17%278.56+4.45%0.0656✗0.921.9M2022-04-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.8514.8238-0.18%14.38-3.16%0.0198✓0.482.8M2022-04-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.2724.2263-0.18%23.32-3.91%0.0136✓1.1231.7M2022-04-21
ORCAOrcaSolana1.991.9864-0.18%2.02+1.51%0.0324✗0.71261k2022-04-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.760660.759263-0.18%0.7515-1.20%0.0126✗1.04201k2022-04-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74210.740709-0.19%0.7187-3.15%0.0097✓0.9316.6M2022-04-21
CBKCobakEthereum2.3152.3106-0.19%2.311-0.17%0.0178✗0.8026k2022-04-21
DIADIAEthereum0.920.918235-0.19%0.87-5.43%0.0434✓0.48154k2022-04-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.75374.7445-0.19%4.5914-3.42%0.0115✓0.97280k2022-04-21
SOLSolanaSolana105.59105.3747-0.20%101.78-3.61%0.0074✓1.24147.4M2022-04-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.042.0358-0.20%1.96-3.92%0.0089✓1.331.6M2022-04-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.543.5327-0.21%3.476-1.81%0.0001✓0.742.2M2022-04-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05320.05309-0.21%0.0493-7.33%0.0373✓1.6839.8M2022-04-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.014530.014499-0.21%0.015473+6.49%0.0849✗0.9151k2022-04-21
AAVEAaveEthereum186.29185.8937-0.21%173.62-6.80%0.0399✓1.3012.5M2022-04-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV85.3485.1572-0.21%81.75-4.21%0.0234✓0.803.5M2022-04-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.30260.301939-0.22%0.303+0.13%0.0290✗1.16495k2022-04-21
ZECZcashZcash156.61156.2652-0.22%159.6+1.91%0.0438✗1.048.2M2022-04-21
SGBSongbirdnative0.05910.058969-0.22%0.0589-0.34%0.0102✗0.52158k2022-04-21
ZENHorizenBase37.7337.6457-0.22%36.2-4.06%0.0097✓1.35375k2022-04-21
UOSUltraEthereum1.02911.0268-0.23%0.97907-4.86%0.0185✓1.331.7M2022-04-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.6520.650517-0.23%0.6734+3.28%0.0435✗0.41814k2022-04-21
KCSKuCoinnative20.91520.8673-0.23%20.612-1.45%0.0066✗0.865.8M2022-04-21
FIDABonfidaSolana1.461.4567-0.23%1.413-3.22%0.0089✓0.9862k2022-04-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.81535.802-0.23%7.2187+24.13%0.2446✗1.1910.7M2022-04-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.4123.3546-0.24%25.74+9.95%0.1258✗1.30669k2022-04-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.117.0579-0.25%16.47-3.68%0.0127✓1.0218.4M2022-04-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.28765.2746-0.25%5.3424+1.04%0.0238✗0.505.6M2022-04-21
DASHDashDash107.03106.7653-0.25%102.15-4.56%0.0216✓1.032.1M2022-04-21
XTZTezosTezos3.14433.1365-0.25%3.0332-3.53%0.0107✓1.04989k2022-04-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07060.070423-0.25%0.066-6.52%0.0389✓1.18471k2022-04-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche78.2478.0409-0.25%75.03-4.10%0.0117✓1.2690.8M2022-04-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95190.949445-0.26%0.9632+1.19%0.0453✗1.41231k2022-04-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0265190.02645-0.26%0.026267-0.95%0.0078✗0.67195k2022-04-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044650.044533-0.26%0.04393-1.61%0.0056✗0.8867k2022-04-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8764.8628-0.27%4.993+2.40%0.0340✗0.353.3M2022-04-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24970.248998-0.28%0.2419-3.12%0.0105✓0.841.6M2022-04-21
FTTFTXEthereum42.7742.6486-0.28%42.13-1.50%0.0096✗1.0019.5M2022-04-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.630.628211-0.28%0.61-3.17%0.0032✗1.49435k2022-04-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5431.5386-0.29%1.491-3.37%0.0092✓1.01753k2022-04-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.43930.438037-0.29%0.4332-1.39%0.0202✗1.43360k2022-04-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5161.5115-0.30%1.439-5.08%0.0202✓1.32555k2022-04-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,161.3619,103.10-0.30%18,773.40-2.02%0.0070✗1.115.0M2022-04-21
RADRadworksEthereum4.724.7056-0.31%4.49-4.87%0.0259✓0.96820k2022-04-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3312.3238-0.31%2.198-5.71%0.0265✓1.336.9M2022-04-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6314.5842-0.31%14.53-0.68%0.0249✗1.312.3M2022-04-21
NANOnanopayBase2.12032.1135-0.32%2.0516-3.24%0.0055✓1.11231k2022-04-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02290.022826-0.32%0.02244-2.01%0.0078✗1.14423k2022-04-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35180.350664-0.32%0.329-6.48%0.0321✓1.449.2M2022-04-21
ADACardanoCardano0.93670.933651-0.33%0.9102-2.83%0.0030✓1.0268.9M2022-04-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24220.241393-0.33%0.2524+4.21%0.0744✗1.36290k2022-04-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.3630.361781-0.34%0.354-2.48%0.0040✗1.1810.5M2022-04-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.119.0341-0.34%18.18-4.82%0.0228✓1.0519.0M2022-04-21
MANADecentralandEthereum2.10772.1004-0.35%2.0258-3.89%0.0113✓1.131.6M2022-04-21
QTUMQtumQtum6.75126.7277-0.35%6.5452-3.05%0.0022✓1.16206k2022-04-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2850.284005-0.35%0.273-4.21%0.0213✓0.8336k2022-04-21
IMXImmutableEthereum2.012.0029-0.35%1.882-6.37%0.0389✓1.077.8M2022-04-21
AVTAventusEthereum2.52.491-0.36%2.47-1.20%0.0023✓0.49421k2022-04-21
KSMKusamaHydration180.41179.7579-0.36%168.86-6.40%0.0395✓1.051.1M2022-04-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7430.740306-0.36%0.717-3.50%0.0127✓0.882.9M2022-04-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.619.5281-0.37%18.85-3.83%0.0111✓1.1110.8M2022-04-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.8464.8282-0.37%4.545-6.21%0.0371✓1.07140k2022-04-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.811670.80868-0.37%0.80691-0.59%0.0197✗1.00153k2022-04-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3530.351698-0.37%0.3492-1.08%0.0216✗1.311.4M2022-04-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.19610.195372-0.37%0.1893-3.47%0.0065✓1.14262k2022-04-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.8315.8091-0.38%5.74-1.56%0.0097✗0.9972k2022-04-21
XECeCashnative0.000091190.000090842-0.38%0.00009025-1.03%0.0154✗1.009.5M2022-04-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2721.1882-0.38%19.83-6.77%0.0368✓1.35220k2022-04-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.1190.118542-0.38%0.1152-3.19%0.0039✓1.13988k2022-04-21
UNIUniswapEthereum9.329.2838-0.39%8.86-4.94%0.0236✓1.058.8M2022-04-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1405830.14003-0.39%0.136348-3.01%0.0079✓0.855.1M2022-04-21
XEMNEMnative0.10060.100203-0.39%0.0986-1.99%0.0041✗0.9267k2022-04-21
BANDBandEthereum3.9463.9302-0.40%3.662-7.20%0.0434✓1.25745k2022-04-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017750.017679-0.40%0.01814+2.20%0.0476✗1.001.8M2022-04-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.11.0955-0.41%1.06-3.64%0.0072✓1.17761k2022-04-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.8416.8132-0.41%6.528-4.58%0.0183✓1.12306k2022-04-21
MOVRMoonriverBase58.961358.7117-0.42%56.9838-3.35%0.0025✓1.48223k2022-04-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.2450.243962-0.42%0.2314-5.55%0.0232✓1.353.3M2022-04-21
XVGVergenative0.010740.010694-0.43%0.01033-3.82%0.0093✓1.161.5M2022-04-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.7824.7611-0.44%4.545-4.96%0.0089✓1.722.4M2022-04-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.076050.075715-0.44%0.0759-0.20%0.0204✗0.8244k2022-04-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.60610.603396-0.45%0.5613-7.39%0.0452✓1.24914k2022-04-21
DODODODOEthereum0.4290.427034-0.46%0.408-4.90%0.0198✓1.187.9M2022-04-21
SCSiacoinnative0.010860.010809-0.47%0.01051-3.22%0.0020✓1.19601k2022-04-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.28131.2752-0.47%1.2445-2.87%0.0027✓1.2411.9M2022-04-21
COMPCompoundEthereum146.98146.2804-0.48%135.61-7.74%0.0501✓1.1776k2022-04-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8770.872803-0.48%0.827-5.70%0.0242✓1.362.4M2022-04-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum46.245.9774-0.48%44.91-2.79%0.0045✓1.288.8M2022-04-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.296.2595-0.48%5.83-7.31%0.0382✓1.50579k2022-04-21
LUNATerraTerra 294.7794.2925-0.50%90.84-4.15%0.0087✓1.319.0M2022-04-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00420.004179-0.51%0.00402-4.29%0.0115✓1.248.6M2022-04-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.444.417-0.52%4.16-6.31%0.0291✓1.41642k2022-04-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.5436.3469-0.53%34.95-4.35%0.0155✓1.0813.7M2022-04-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011020.000001096-0.57%0.000001109+0.65%0.0072✗-0.23602k2022-04-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.0764.0527-0.57%3.882-4.76%0.0108✓1.47741k2022-04-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076710.076267-0.58%0.07557-1.49%0.0138✗1.05132k2022-04-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.1052.0928-0.58%1.964-6.70%0.0423✓0.9794k2022-04-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1990.197772-0.62%0.1873-5.88%0.0277✓1.229.4M2022-04-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.3854.3573-0.63%4.6644+6.37%0.0850✗0.776.1M2022-04-21
XVSVenusEthereum10.7810.7115-0.64%10.35-3.99%0.0092✓1.154.7M2022-04-21
MINAMina Protocolnative2.422.4045-0.64%2.32-4.13%0.0116✓1.101.3M2022-04-21
STORJStorjEthereum1.18961.1814-0.68%1.1033-7.25%0.0429✓1.16156k2022-04-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.95380.946841-0.73%0.9224-3.29%0.0039✓1.37824k2022-04-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11320.112361-0.74%0.1082-4.42%0.0148✓1.051.9M2022-04-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.4551.4438-0.77%1.345-7.56%0.0432✓1.263.1M2022-04-21
SUSHISushiEthereum3.513.4827-0.78%3.45-1.71%0.0179✗1.256.4M2022-04-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2160.214283-0.79%0.211-2.31%0.0019✓0.62132k2022-04-21
API3Api3Ethereum5.2655.2221-0.82%4.516-14.23%0.1316✓0.623.3M2022-04-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.4391.4267-0.85%1.202-16.47%0.1491✓1.021.3M2022-04-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.02410.023892-0.86%0.02305-4.36%0.0027✓1.5148.3M2022-04-21
PROPropyEthereum1.831.8141-0.87%1.72-6.01%0.0336✓0.90179k2022-04-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6220.616433-0.89%0.597-4.02%0.0082✓1.095.9M2022-04-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.6116.5342-1.16%5.868-11.24%0.0786✓1.327.5M2022-04-21
XYMSymbolnative0.12030.118843-1.21%0.1135-5.65%0.0309✓0.69864k2022-04-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.832.7954-1.22%2.539-10.28%0.0741✓1.014.4M2022-04-21
APEApeCoinEthereum16.72616.5068-1.31%14.295-14.53%0.0974✓2.1245.4M2022-04-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum1.09511.0681-2.47%0.946533-13.57%0.0968✓1.093.6M2022-04-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.