8=======>

2022-04-20 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2050
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+15.69%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
93.8%
in alpha space · 98.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-29.54%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BFCBifrostEthereum0.148280.145747-1.71%0.06984-52.90%0.4604✓0.7918k2022-05-20
GTGateEthereum6.52626.3569-2.59%5.6554-13.34%0.0891✗0.594.7M2022-05-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.047670.046387-2.69%0.02613-45.19%0.2226✓1.00466k2022-05-20
ORCAOrcaSolana1.991.9296-3.04%0.86-56.78%0.5587✓0.71261k2022-05-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.96145.7752-3.12%4.9926-16.25%0.0193✓0.47192k2022-05-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034710.033465-3.59%0.03292-5.16%0.2007✗0.62733k2022-05-20
ETHEthereumEthereum3,077.062,960.54-3.79%1,956.58-36.41%0.0474✓1.05482.4M2022-05-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.1919-3.86%1.35-40.79%0.1317✓1.01163k2022-05-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.014530.013957-3.94%0.00877-39.64%0.1464✓0.9151k2022-05-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.86107.2576-4.11%68.48-38.78%0.0893✓1.0320.5M2022-05-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5853.436-4.16%1.971-45.02%0.3259✓0.662.0M2022-05-20
KCSKuCoinnative20.91520.0425-4.17%15.424-26.25%0.0395✓0.865.8M2022-05-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.19730.188953-4.23%0.1188-39.79%0.3284✗2.26568k2022-05-20
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2385.9687-4.32%2.414-61.30%0.3847✓1.4918k2022-05-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.48180.46022-4.48%0.2023-58.01%0.7418✓0.235,8622022-05-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2151.1604-4.49%0.792-34.81%0.0450✓0.963.6M2022-05-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.095550.091176-4.58%0.04991-47.77%0.3016✓0.8636k2022-05-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,418.2039,491.82-4.65%29,101.40-29.74%0.0272✓0.9525k2022-05-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0340710.032464-4.72%0.016125-52.67%0.3108✓1.114.5M2022-05-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.48992.3694-4.84%1.6507-33.70%0.0953✓0.7611k2022-05-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.913.2265-4.85%9.42-32.23%0.1943✓0.412.0M2022-05-20
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001804-5.04%0.0000011-42.11%0.2444✓0.729.8M2022-05-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.416.0817-5.12%4.29-33.07%0.0900✓0.741.6M2022-05-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum65.6906-5.16%3.62-39.67%0.2015✓0.721.0M2022-05-20
XEMNEMnative0.10060.095402-5.17%0.0531-47.22%0.2634✓0.9267k2022-05-20
XTZTezosTezos3.14432.9803-5.21%1.742-44.60%0.1731✓1.04989k2022-05-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.28765.002-5.40%2.4468-53.73%0.5388✓0.505.6M2022-05-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1405830.132976-5.41%0.083757-40.42%0.1634✓0.855.1M2022-05-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.02910.97318-5.43%0.35573-65.43%0.5421✓1.331.7M2022-05-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044650.042223-5.44%0.02615-41.43%0.1715✓0.8867k2022-05-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13770.130127-5.50%0.0885-35.73%0.0296✓1.02215k2022-05-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,377.6139,074.94-5.57%29,155.75-29.54%0.0573✗1.00565.5M2022-05-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.03913.8115-5.63%2.5587-36.65%0.1663✓0.664.6M2022-05-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01140.01075-5.70%0.00431-62.19%0.7009✓0.6136k2022-05-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.67770.638782-5.74%0.3196-52.84%0.3261✓1.059.4M2022-05-20
TRXTRONTron0.0626380.058975-5.85%0.071236+13.73%0.4240✗0.67262k2022-05-20
AVTAventusEthereum2.52.3528-5.89%1.2-52.00%0.5018✓0.49421k2022-05-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5161.4264-5.91%0.664-56.20%0.3033✓1.32555k2022-05-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.715.3681-5.99%3.87-32.22%0.0773✓0.711.1M2022-05-20
DIADIAEthereum0.920.864745-6.01%0.52752-42.66%0.3262✓0.48154k2022-05-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.3152.1757-6.02%1.096-52.66%0.4045✓0.8026k2022-05-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24970.234569-6.06%0.1265-49.34%0.3232✓0.841.6M2022-05-20
RADRadworksEthereum4.724.4289-6.17%1.94-58.90%0.4904✓0.96820k2022-05-20
XMRMoneroMonero266.68250.1755-6.19%173.53-34.93%0.0427✓0.921.9M2022-05-20
XLMStellarStellar0.200340.187821-6.25%0.126231-36.99%0.0497✓0.9919.5M2022-05-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.0313.1328-6.39%6.86-51.10%0.2550✓1.1326.2M2022-05-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51230.479367-6.43%0.2478-51.63%0.3803✓0.80461k2022-05-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07060.06605-6.45%0.0326-53.82%0.2920✓1.18471k2022-05-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.30260.282802-6.54%0.1808-40.25%0.0405✓1.16495k2022-05-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.4121.857-6.63%15.54-33.62%0.1149✗1.30669k2022-05-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024830.000023183-6.63%0.0000116-53.28%0.2956✓1.132.6M2022-05-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash330.55308.5543-6.65%189.86-42.56%0.1395✓0.996.7M2022-05-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.630.588031-6.66%0.19007-69.83%0.6085✓1.49435k2022-05-20
MANADecentralandEthereum2.10771.9673-6.66%1.0623-49.60%0.2198✓1.131.6M2022-05-20
QNTQuantEthereum110.63103.1248-6.78%66.22-40.14%0.1216✓0.923.8M2022-05-20
STXStacksnative1.181.0992-6.84%0.5-57.63%0.4324✓1.02440k2022-05-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.2722.6081-6.85%11.19-53.89%0.3107✓1.1231.7M2022-05-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.4924.6648-6.89%12.75-51.87%0.3479✓0.89517k2022-05-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.60610.563874-6.97%0.3103-48.80%0.1637✓1.24914k2022-05-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7430.690998-7.00%0.36-51.55%0.3446✓0.882.9M2022-05-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.022660.021074-7.00%0.01308-42.28%0.2023✓0.784.7M2022-05-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.1190.110621-7.04%0.0611-48.66%0.1988✓1.13988k2022-05-20
IMXImmutableEthereum2.011.8682-7.05%0.857-57.36%0.4061✓1.077.8M2022-05-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.543.2896-7.07%2.144-39.44%0.1681✓0.742.2M2022-05-20
PROPropyEthereum1.831.7001-7.10%1.05-42.62%0.1678✓0.90179k2022-05-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2850.26443-7.22%0.125-56.14%0.4587✓0.8336k2022-05-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.8416.3427-7.28%2.85-58.34%0.4089✓1.12306k2022-05-20
HIVEHivenative0.91240.845782-7.30%0.4773-47.69%0.2001✓1.061.9M2022-05-20
XYMSymbolnative0.12030.111495-7.32%0.0658-45.30%0.2854✓0.69864k2022-05-20
ZECZcashZcash156.61145.1055-7.35%106.98-31.69%0.0584✓1.048.2M2022-05-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.28131.187-7.36%0.6439-49.75%0.1784✓1.2411.9M2022-05-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.8315.4013-7.37%2.787-52.20%0.3152✓0.9972k2022-05-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2160.200012-7.40%0.0573-73.47%1.0332✓0.62132k2022-05-20
LSKLiskEthereum2.20752.0439-7.41%1.1374-48.48%0.2856✓0.8699k2022-05-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.041.8885-7.43%0.89-56.37%0.2878✓1.331.6M2022-05-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11320.104701-7.51%0.0541-52.21%0.2932✓1.051.9M2022-05-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV85.3478.8791-7.57%49.12-42.44%0.1944✓0.803.5M2022-05-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.5433.7668-7.59%20.11-44.96%0.1396✓1.0813.7M2022-05-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.6520.601523-7.74%0.2182-66.53%0.8711✓0.41814k2022-05-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.3854.0451-7.75%2.6465-39.65%0.1550✓0.776.1M2022-05-20
NANOnanopayBase2.12031.9542-7.83%1.0935-48.43%0.1936✓1.11231k2022-05-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.076050.070089-7.84%0.04468-41.25%0.1628✓0.8244k2022-05-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3312.1477-7.86%1.125-51.74%0.1807✓1.336.9M2022-05-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.618.0539-7.89%7.92-59.59%0.4363✓1.1110.8M2022-05-20
COMPCompoundEthereum146.98135.3616-7.90%66.33-54.87%0.3032✓1.1776k2022-05-20
DODODODOEthereum0.4290.395058-7.91%0.139-67.60%0.6330✓1.187.9M2022-05-20
ADACardanoCardano0.93670.862503-7.92%0.5155-44.97%0.1562✓1.0268.9M2022-05-20
UMAUMAEthereum6.3375.8328-7.96%3.082-51.36%0.1267✓1.462.7M2022-05-20
FTTFTXEthereum42.7739.3628-7.97%29.72-30.51%0.0681✓1.0019.5M2022-05-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.760660.699743-8.01%0.37974-50.08%0.2461✓1.04201k2022-05-20
FIDABonfidaSolana1.461.343-8.01%0.562-61.51%0.5269✓0.9862k2022-05-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0265190.024387-8.04%0.020574-22.42%0.0645✓0.67195k2022-05-20
KSMKusamaHydration180.41165.896-8.05%75.45-58.18%0.4203✓1.051.1M2022-05-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.2450.225116-8.12%0.1073-56.20%0.2673✓1.353.3M2022-05-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.22580.207455-8.12%0.1175-47.96%0.1558✓1.183.2M2022-05-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01080.009921-8.14%0.00469-56.57%0.3460✓1.153.0M2022-05-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.8513.6246-8.25%7.81-47.41%0.3867✓0.482.8M2022-05-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche78.2471.7744-8.26%28.76-63.24%0.4732✓1.2690.8M2022-05-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.0763.7347-8.37%1.128-72.33%0.6816✓1.47741k2022-05-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02290.020971-8.43%0.00979-57.25%0.3641✓1.14423k2022-05-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.117.4858-8.45%9.66-49.42%0.2246✓1.0519.0M2022-05-20
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95190.870775-8.52%0.3469-63.56%0.4266✓1.41231k2022-05-20
ZENHorizenBase37.7334.5052-8.55%20.11-46.70%0.0687✓1.35375k2022-05-20
BORABORAKlay Token0.811670.741812-8.61%0.35985-55.67%0.3733✓1.00153k2022-05-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.174.724-8.63%3.4-34.24%0.0686✓0.741.2M2022-05-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.43930.401373-8.63%0.2512-42.82%0.0319✓1.43360k2022-05-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00420.003837-8.64%0.00133-68.33%0.6253✓1.248.6M2022-05-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6313.3586-8.69%13.03-10.94%0.4325✗1.312.3M2022-05-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.9512.7337-8.72%6.25-55.20%0.3178✓1.131.4M2022-05-20
XECeCashnative0.000091190.000083215-8.75%0.00004532-50.30%0.2573✓1.009.5M2022-05-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35180.320558-8.88%0.1282-63.56%0.4111✓1.449.2M2022-05-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.115.5788-8.90%7.77-54.56%0.3387✓1.0218.4M2022-05-20
QTUMQtumQtum6.75126.1492-8.92%3.8087-43.59%0.0739✓1.16206k2022-05-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.1051.9136-9.09%0.597-71.64%0.8252✓0.9794k2022-05-20
SCSiacoinnative0.010860.009871-9.10%0.005-53.96%0.2647✓1.19601k2022-05-20
XVSVenusEthereum10.789.795-9.14%4.91-54.45%0.2888✓1.154.7M2022-05-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24220.220067-9.14%0.1367-43.56%0.0004✓1.36290k2022-05-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.81535.2827-9.16%3.679-36.74%0.0559✓1.1910.7M2022-05-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8764.4286-9.17%5.591+14.66%0.3549✗0.353.3M2022-05-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8770.795834-9.25%0.326-62.83%0.4179✓1.362.4M2022-05-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74210.673121-9.30%0.4329-41.67%0.1151✓0.9316.6M2022-05-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1990.180478-9.31%0.0776-61.01%0.4171✓1.229.4M2022-05-20
MOVRMoonriverBase58.961353.4555-9.34%21.9198-62.82%0.3746✓1.48223k2022-05-20
BANDBandEthereum3.9463.5759-9.38%1.673-57.60%0.3234✓1.25745k2022-05-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.38350.347266-9.45%0.1382-63.96%0.2958✓1.792.3M2022-05-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6220.562392-9.58%0.235-62.22%0.4922✓1.095.9M2022-05-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017750.016043-9.62%0.00923-48.00%0.2037✓1.001.8M2022-05-20
SOLSolanaSolana105.5995.4295-9.62%49.37-53.24%0.2232✓1.24147.4M2022-05-20
UNIUniswapEthereum9.328.407-9.80%5.1-45.28%0.1310✓1.058.8M2022-05-20
DASHDashDash107.0396.4821-9.86%57.22-46.54%0.1612✓1.032.1M2022-05-20
LUNATerraTerra 294.7785.3389-9.95%0.00013-100.00%12.9374✓1.319.0M2022-05-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.8464.3621-9.99%1.964-59.47%0.4243✓1.07140k2022-05-20
AAVEAaveEthereum186.29167.6538-10.00%90.03-51.67%0.1676✓1.3012.5M2022-05-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.75374.2776-10.01%2.4005-49.50%0.2375✓0.97280k2022-05-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.4551.3075-10.14%0.683-53.06%0.2077✓1.263.1M2022-05-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.95380.856431-10.21%0.4818-49.49%0.0951✓1.37824k2022-05-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.295.6476-10.21%2.5-60.25%0.2892✓1.50579k2022-05-20
APEApeCoinEthereum16.72615.0144-10.23%7.748-53.68%0.0804✓2.1245.4M2022-05-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076710.068855-10.24%0.03664-52.24%0.2637✓1.05132k2022-05-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2719.0601-10.39%10.05-52.75%0.1687✓1.35220k2022-05-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,161.3617,169.82-10.39%9,118.66-52.41%0.2431✓1.115.0M2022-05-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.18961.0636-10.59%0.53909-54.68%0.2722✓1.16156k2022-05-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05320.047499-10.72%0.0226-57.52%0.1551✓1.6839.8M2022-05-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum46.241.2488-10.72%20.69-55.22%0.2431✓1.288.8M2022-05-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5431.3739-10.96%0.915-40.70%0.0513✓1.01753k2022-05-20
API3Api3Ethereum5.2654.6841-11.03%1.773-66.32%0.7536✓0.623.3M2022-05-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011029.79e-7-11.12%7.56e-7-31.39%0.3386✓-0.23602k2022-05-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.9295.2612-11.26%5.761-2.83%0.3213✗0.662.0M2022-05-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.19610.173816-11.36%0.082-58.18%0.3508✓1.14262k2022-05-20
XVGVergenative0.010740.0095-11.55%0.00514-52.14%0.2093✓1.161.5M2022-05-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.3630.32097-11.58%0.1506-58.51%0.3450✓1.1810.5M2022-05-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.443.9197-11.72%1.87-57.88%0.2479✓1.41642k2022-05-20
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.7824.2173-11.81%2.124-55.58%0.0852✓1.722.4M2022-05-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3530.311274-11.82%0.1835-48.02%0.0702✓1.311.4M2022-05-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum1.09510.962167-12.14%0.446122-59.26%0.3856✓1.093.6M2022-05-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.10.960207-12.71%0.80478-26.84%0.2344✗1.17761k2022-05-20
MINAMina Protocolnative2.422.1082-12.88%0.984-59.34%0.3759✓1.101.3M2022-05-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.832.4644-12.92%1.367-51.70%0.2363✓1.014.4M2022-05-20
SUSHISushiEthereum3.513.0442-13.27%1.29-63.25%0.4222✓1.256.4M2022-05-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.4391.2439-13.56%0.515-64.21%0.5264✓1.021.3M2022-05-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.02410.020825-13.59%0.01123-53.40%0.0874✓1.5148.3M2022-05-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.6115.5635-15.85%2.524-61.82%0.3277✓1.327.5M2022-05-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.