8=======>

2022-04-20 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1980
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.00%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
64.8%
in alpha space · 86.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.416.4191+0.14%6.19-3.43%0.0201✗0.741.6M2022-04-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.175.1694-0.01%5-3.29%0.0170✓0.741.2M2022-04-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.047670.047627-0.09%0.04626-2.96%0.0071✓1.00466k2022-04-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.6520.651349-0.10%0.6734+3.28%0.0422✗0.41814k2022-04-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.19730.19709-0.11%0.192-2.69%0.0234✗2.26568k2022-04-21
GTGateEthereum6.52626.5191-0.11%6.4547-1.10%0.0030✗0.594.7M2022-04-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.148280.148102-0.12%0.13921-6.12%0.0447✓0.7918k2022-04-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.86111.7026-0.14%106.69-4.62%0.0234✓1.0320.5M2022-04-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034710.03466-0.15%0.03402-1.99%0.0050✓0.62733k2022-04-21
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2151.2132-0.15%1.153-5.10%0.0298✓0.963.6M2022-04-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5853.5795-0.15%3.492-2.59%0.0104✓0.662.0M2022-04-21
ETHEthereumEthereum3,077.063,072.00-0.16%2,983.94-3.03%0.0061✓1.05482.4M2022-04-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13770.137472-0.17%0.1372-0.36%0.0203✗1.02215k2022-04-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.60610.605056-0.17%0.5613-7.39%0.0479✓1.24914k2022-04-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.96145.951-0.18%6.006+0.75%0.0195✗0.47192k2022-04-21
CBKCobakEthereum2.3152.3106-0.19%2.311-0.17%0.0178✗0.8026k2022-04-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.1190.118773-0.19%0.1152-3.19%0.0058✓1.13988k2022-04-21
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001896-0.19%0.00000189-0.53%0.0123✗0.729.8M2022-04-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.7824.7726-0.20%4.545-4.96%0.0113✓1.722.4M2022-04-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.117.0634-0.21%16.47-3.68%0.0131✓1.0218.4M2022-04-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.543.5323-0.22%3.476-1.81%0.0002✓0.742.2M2022-04-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51230.511176-0.22%0.518+1.11%0.0308✗0.80461k2022-04-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.38350.382655-0.22%0.3653-4.75%0.0073✓1.792.3M2022-04-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum46.246.0977-0.22%44.91-2.79%0.0019✓1.288.8M2022-04-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.22580.225296-0.22%0.2182-3.37%0.0062✓1.183.2M2022-04-21
UMAUMAEthereum6.3376.3227-0.23%6.16-2.79%0.0059✗1.462.7M2022-04-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.2747-0.23%2.22-2.63%0.0023✓1.01163k2022-04-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.619.5546-0.23%18.85-3.83%0.0124✓1.1110.8M2022-04-21
XECeCashnative0.000091190.000090973-0.24%0.00009025-1.03%0.0140✗1.009.5M2022-04-21
XTZTezosTezos3.14433.1368-0.24%3.0332-3.53%0.0108✓1.04989k2022-04-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.095550.095321-0.24%0.09345-2.20%0.0010✓0.8636k2022-04-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.811670.809716-0.24%0.80691-0.59%0.0184✗1.00153k2022-04-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.1052.0998-0.25%1.964-6.70%0.0456✓0.9794k2022-04-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.5436.4503-0.25%34.95-4.35%0.0183✓1.0813.7M2022-04-21
ZENHorizenBase37.7337.6371-0.25%36.2-4.06%0.0094✓1.35375k2022-04-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7430.741167-0.25%0.717-3.50%0.0139✓0.882.9M2022-04-21
ADACardanoCardano0.93670.934331-0.25%0.9102-2.83%0.0037✓1.0268.9M2022-04-21
NANOnanopayBase2.12032.1149-0.25%2.0516-3.24%0.0062✓1.11231k2022-04-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02290.022842-0.25%0.02244-2.01%0.0071✗1.14423k2022-04-21
QNTQuantEthereum110.63110.3461-0.26%107.82-2.54%0.0030✓0.923.8M2022-04-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.67770.675943-0.26%0.6632-2.14%0.0039✗1.059.4M2022-04-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.0313.9936-0.26%13.58-3.21%0.0053✓1.1326.2M2022-04-21
HIVEHivenative0.91240.910012-0.26%0.9434+3.40%0.0593✗1.061.9M2022-04-21
TRXTRONTron0.0626380.062474-0.26%0.0709+13.19%0.1412✗0.67262k2022-04-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.48180.480529-0.26%0.4437-7.91%0.0747✓0.235,8622022-04-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche78.2478.0311-0.27%75.03-4.10%0.0116✓1.2690.8M2022-04-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044650.044531-0.27%0.04393-1.61%0.0057✗0.8867k2022-04-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.913.8626-0.27%13.46-3.17%0.0204✓0.412.0M2022-04-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0340710.033977-0.28%0.033102-2.84%0.0017✓1.114.5M2022-04-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8770.874567-0.28%0.827-5.70%0.0262✓1.362.4M2022-04-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,161.3619,107.88-0.28%18,773.40-2.02%0.0067✗1.115.0M2022-04-21
DASHDashDash107.03106.7258-0.28%102.15-4.56%0.0212✓1.032.1M2022-04-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,377.6141,260.00-0.28%40,480.81-2.17%0.0028✗1.00565.5M2022-04-21
UNIUniswapEthereum9.329.2934-0.29%8.86-4.94%0.0247✓1.058.8M2022-04-21
AVTAventusEthereum2.52.4929-0.29%2.47-1.20%0.0015✓0.49421k2022-04-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01140.011367-0.29%0.011-3.51%0.0195✓0.6136k2022-04-21
STXStacksnative1.181.1765-0.30%1.15-2.54%0.0005✓1.02440k2022-04-21
ORCAOrcaSolana1.991.984-0.30%2.02+1.51%0.0336✗0.71261k2022-04-21
DIADIAEthereum0.920.917233-0.30%0.87-5.43%0.0424✓0.48154k2022-04-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum65.9818-0.30%6.1+1.67%0.0353✗0.721.0M2022-04-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.119.0419-0.30%18.18-4.82%0.0232✓1.0519.0M2022-04-21
UOSUltraEthereum1.02911.0259-0.31%0.97907-4.86%0.0177✓1.331.7M2022-04-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07060.070384-0.31%0.066-6.52%0.0384✓1.18471k2022-04-21
KCSKuCoinnative20.91520.8506-0.31%20.612-1.45%0.0074✗0.865.8M2022-04-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.2724.194-0.31%23.32-3.91%0.0122✓1.1231.7M2022-04-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash330.55329.5053-0.32%315.62-4.52%0.0214✓0.996.7M2022-04-21
RADRadworksEthereum4.724.7049-0.32%4.49-4.87%0.0258✓0.96820k2022-04-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024830.000024749-0.32%0.00002434-1.97%0.0082✗1.132.6M2022-04-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.014530.014482-0.33%0.015473+6.49%0.0861✗0.9151k2022-04-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.715.6911-0.33%5.68-0.53%0.0137✗0.711.1M2022-04-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV85.3485.0553-0.33%81.75-4.21%0.0222✓0.803.5M2022-04-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.43930.437829-0.33%0.4332-1.39%0.0207✗1.43360k2022-04-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01080.010764-0.34%0.01035-4.17%0.0140✓1.153.0M2022-04-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95190.948654-0.34%0.9632+1.19%0.0461✗1.41231k2022-04-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.4123.3287-0.35%25.74+9.95%0.1269✗1.30669k2022-04-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.2450.244146-0.35%0.2314-5.55%0.0240✓1.353.3M2022-04-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.03914.025-0.35%3.998-1.02%0.0078✗0.664.6M2022-04-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.8514.798-0.35%14.38-3.16%0.0180✓0.482.8M2022-04-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.076050.075783-0.35%0.0759-0.20%0.0195✗0.8244k2022-04-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00420.004185-0.35%0.00402-4.29%0.0131✓1.248.6M2022-04-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.630.627764-0.35%0.61-3.17%0.0039✗1.49435k2022-04-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.30260.301523-0.36%0.303+0.13%0.0303✗1.16495k2022-04-21
XLMStellarStellar0.200340.199625-0.36%0.196519-1.91%0.0061✗0.9919.5M2022-04-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.022660.022578-0.36%0.02445+7.90%0.0968✗0.784.7M2022-04-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.444.4235-0.37%4.16-6.31%0.0306✓1.41642k2022-04-21
SOLSolanaSolana105.59105.1941-0.37%101.78-3.61%0.0057✓1.24147.4M2022-04-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.28765.2673-0.38%5.3424+1.04%0.0252✗0.505.6M2022-04-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3312.322-0.39%2.198-5.71%0.0257✓1.336.9M2022-04-21
MOVRMoonriverBase58.961358.7325-0.39%56.9838-3.35%0.0021✓1.48223k2022-04-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24970.24873-0.39%0.2419-3.12%0.0094✓0.841.6M2022-04-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5431.537-0.39%1.491-3.37%0.0081✓1.01753k2022-04-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.9295.9058-0.39%5.894-0.59%0.0124✗0.662.0M2022-04-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74210.73918-0.39%0.7187-3.15%0.0077✓0.9316.6M2022-04-21
FIDABonfidaSolana1.461.4542-0.40%1.413-3.22%0.0072✓0.9862k2022-04-21
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2386.2133-0.40%5.977-4.18%0.0062✓1.4918k2022-04-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35180.350405-0.40%0.329-6.48%0.0314✓1.449.2M2022-04-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.4926.3821-0.41%26.48-0.04%0.0232✗0.89517k2022-04-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24220.241208-0.41%0.2524+4.21%0.0752✗1.36290k2022-04-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,418.2041,248.45-0.41%40,499.20-2.22%0.0025✓0.9525k2022-04-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.19610.195296-0.41%0.1893-3.47%0.0061✓1.14262k2022-04-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3530.35155-0.41%0.3492-1.08%0.0220✗1.311.4M2022-04-21
LSKLiskEthereum2.20752.1983-0.42%2.178-1.34%0.0095✗0.8699k2022-04-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017750.017674-0.43%0.01814+2.20%0.0479✗1.001.8M2022-04-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6314.5671-0.43%14.53-0.68%0.0261✗1.312.3M2022-04-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.48992.4791-0.43%2.4399-2.01%0.0007✓0.7611k2022-04-21
MANADecentralandEthereum2.10772.0984-0.44%2.0258-3.89%0.0104✓1.131.6M2022-04-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.11.0952-0.44%1.06-3.64%0.0069✓1.17761k2022-04-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2721.1749-0.45%19.83-6.77%0.0361✓1.35220k2022-04-21
BANDBandEthereum3.9463.9281-0.45%3.662-7.20%0.0429✓1.25745k2022-04-21
XVGVergenative0.010740.010691-0.45%0.01033-3.82%0.0090✓1.161.5M2022-04-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1405830.139937-0.46%0.136348-3.01%0.0073✓0.855.1M2022-04-21
ZECZcashZcash156.61155.8785-0.47%159.6+1.91%0.0463✗1.048.2M2022-04-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0265190.026394-0.47%0.026267-0.95%0.0099✗0.67195k2022-04-21
QTUMQtumQtum6.75126.7191-0.48%6.5452-3.05%0.0009✓1.16206k2022-04-21
AAVEAaveEthereum186.29185.399-0.48%173.62-6.80%0.0372✓1.3012.5M2022-04-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.042.0301-0.49%1.96-3.92%0.0061✓1.331.6M2022-04-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5161.5086-0.49%1.439-5.08%0.0183✓1.32555k2022-04-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2160.214907-0.51%0.211-2.31%0.0048✓0.62132k2022-04-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.760660.756804-0.51%0.7515-1.20%0.0158✗1.04201k2022-04-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.9513.8781-0.52%13.75-1.43%0.0154✗1.131.4M2022-04-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1990.197965-0.52%0.1873-5.88%0.0287✓1.229.4M2022-04-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.3630.361098-0.52%0.354-2.48%0.0059✗1.1810.5M2022-04-21
FTTFTXEthereum42.7742.5428-0.53%42.13-1.50%0.0121✗1.0019.5M2022-04-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.75374.7279-0.54%4.5914-3.42%0.0080✓0.97280k2022-04-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8764.8479-0.58%4.993+2.40%0.0371✗0.353.3M2022-04-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.0764.0521-0.59%3.882-4.76%0.0106✓1.47741k2022-04-21
SCSiacoinnative0.010860.010796-0.59%0.01051-3.22%0.0009✓1.19601k2022-04-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.296.2522-0.60%5.83-7.31%0.0370✓1.50579k2022-04-21
KSMKusamaHydration180.41179.3135-0.61%168.86-6.40%0.0371✓1.051.1M2022-04-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11320.112511-0.61%0.1082-4.42%0.0161✓1.051.9M2022-04-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.8464.8163-0.61%4.545-6.21%0.0346✓1.07140k2022-04-21
MINAMina Protocolnative2.422.4049-0.62%2.32-4.13%0.0118✓1.101.3M2022-04-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.8416.7979-0.63%6.528-4.58%0.0160✓1.12306k2022-04-21
XVSVenusEthereum10.7810.7115-0.64%10.35-3.99%0.0092✓1.154.7M2022-04-21
DODODODOEthereum0.4290.426194-0.65%0.408-4.90%0.0179✓1.187.9M2022-04-21
SUSHISushiEthereum3.513.4863-0.67%3.45-1.71%0.0168✗1.256.4M2022-04-21
IMXImmutableEthereum2.011.9961-0.69%1.882-6.37%0.0355✓1.077.8M2022-04-21
XEMNEMnative0.10060.099903-0.69%0.0986-1.99%0.0071✗0.9267k2022-04-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05320.052827-0.70%0.0493-7.33%0.0323✓1.6839.8M2022-04-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.81535.7745-0.70%7.2187+24.13%0.2494✗1.1910.7M2022-04-21
XMRMoneroMonero266.68264.7501-0.72%278.56+4.45%0.0711✗0.921.9M2022-04-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2850.282922-0.73%0.273-4.21%0.0175✓0.8336k2022-04-21
COMPCompoundEthereum146.98145.8965-0.74%135.61-7.74%0.0474✓1.1776k2022-04-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.95380.946578-0.76%0.9224-3.29%0.0042✓1.37824k2022-04-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.3854.3514-0.77%4.6644+6.37%0.0863✗0.776.1M2022-04-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6220.617159-0.78%0.597-4.02%0.0094✓1.095.9M2022-04-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.28131.2711-0.79%1.2445-2.87%0.0059✓1.2411.9M2022-04-21
LUNATerraTerra 294.7793.9823-0.83%90.84-4.15%0.0054✓1.319.0M2022-04-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.4551.4429-0.83%1.345-7.56%0.0426✓1.263.1M2022-04-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076710.075949-0.99%0.07557-1.49%0.0180✗1.05132k2022-04-21
PROPropyEthereum1.831.8113-1.02%1.72-6.01%0.0320✓0.90179k2022-04-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011020.00000109-1.10%0.000001109+0.65%0.0125✗-0.23602k2022-04-21
API3Api3Ethereum5.2655.1966-1.30%4.516-14.23%0.1267✓0.623.3M2022-04-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.8315.7505-1.38%5.74-1.56%0.0199✗0.9972k2022-04-21
STORJStorjEthereum1.18961.1727-1.41%1.1033-7.25%0.0356✓1.16156k2022-04-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.4391.4185-1.42%1.202-16.47%0.1434✓1.021.3M2022-04-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.02410.023743-1.48%0.02305-4.36%0.0035✓1.5148.3M2022-04-21
XYMSymbolnative0.12030.118308-1.66%0.1135-5.65%0.0263✓0.69864k2022-04-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.6116.4951-1.75%5.868-11.24%0.0726✓1.327.5M2022-04-21
APEApeCoinEthereum16.72616.4095-1.89%14.295-14.53%0.0915✓2.1245.4M2022-04-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.832.7683-2.18%2.539-10.28%0.0644✓1.014.4M2022-04-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum1.09511.0586-3.33%0.946533-13.57%0.0880✓1.093.6M2022-04-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.