8=======>

2022-04-18 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2342
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.77%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
95.1%
in alpha space · 99.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-29.73%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BFCBifrostEthereum0.141430.139539-1.34%0.07027-50.31%0.4082✓0.7918k2022-05-18
ORCAOrcaSolana1.871.8256-2.38%0.84-55.08%0.5259✓0.71214k2022-05-18
GTGateEthereum6.57546.4064-2.57%5.4955-16.42%0.0538✗0.594.6M2022-05-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048940.047609-2.72%0.02797-42.85%0.1749✓1.01526k2022-05-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.97395.7865-3.14%4.9753-16.72%0.0156✓0.47186k2022-05-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.32.2161-3.65%1.34-41.74%0.1449✓1.02163k2022-05-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.24107.131-3.69%65.87-40.79%0.1221✓1.0321.8M2022-05-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034940.033644-3.71%0.02137-38.84%0.2213✓0.66942k2022-05-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,056.192,941.64-3.75%1,911.98-37.44%0.0606✓1.05482.4M2022-05-18
GITCOINGITCOIN5.9825.7564-3.77%2.221-62.87%0.4217✓1.5018k2022-05-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5513.4116-3.93%1.748-50.77%0.4356✓0.662.2M2022-05-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0144170.01385-3.93%0.008488-41.12%0.1678✓0.9147k2022-05-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.20110.192937-4.06%0.0702-65.09%0.2144✓2.26576k2022-05-18
KCSKuCoinnative20.2619.4316-4.09%14.375-29.05%0.0022✓0.865.4M2022-05-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.093910.089723-4.46%0.05016-46.59%0.2754✓0.8735k2022-05-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.48250.460821-4.49%0.1857-61.51%0.8311✓0.225,8622022-05-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,850.2038,986.15-4.56%28,786.00-29.53%0.0307✓0.9526k2022-05-18
XTZTezosTezos3.17433.0283-4.60%1.676-47.20%0.2220✓1.051.0M2022-05-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.271.2106-4.68%0.747-41.18%0.1429✓0.963.5M2022-05-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.76.3866-4.68%4.01-40.15%0.2028✓0.741.8M2022-05-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0684.8277-4.74%2.84-43.96%0.1859✓0.9872k2022-05-18
BTTCBTTC0.000001910.000001818-4.81%0.00000109-42.93%0.2595✓0.7110.2M2022-05-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044460.042318-4.82%0.02554-42.56%0.1936✓0.8867k2022-05-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13720.130538-4.86%0.0885-35.50%0.0296✓1.02224k2022-05-18
XEMNEMnative0.09790.093085-4.92%0.0537-45.15%0.2259✓0.9267k2022-05-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,803.5838,771.56-4.98%28,672.94-29.73%0.0511✓1.00544.9M2022-05-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.825.5235-5.09%3.54-39.18%0.1885✓0.731.1M2022-05-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1403550.133051-5.20%0.082984-40.88%0.1696✓0.865.0M2022-05-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.66520.630507-5.22%0.3344-49.73%0.2646✓1.059.8M2022-05-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.4613.6951-5.29%9.72-32.78%0.1992✓0.412.0M2022-05-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.95963.7493-5.31%2.0873-47.29%0.3513✓0.664.7M2022-05-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.034420.03259-5.32%0.015-56.42%0.3860✓1.114.5M2022-05-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.2422.122-5.35%1.082-51.74%0.3915✓0.8026k2022-05-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.5452.4087-5.35%1.6365-35.70%0.1149✓0.7712k2022-05-18
TRXTRONTron0.06160.058298-5.36%0.070977+15.22%0.4320✗0.67254k2022-05-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.41935.1274-5.39%1.893-65.07%0.8167✓0.515.7M2022-05-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.08551.0252-5.55%0.35851-66.97%0.5790✓1.341.6M2022-05-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011490.010851-5.56%0.00411-64.23%0.7535✓0.6235k2022-05-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.75.3802-5.61%3.62-36.49%0.1434✓0.721.2M2022-05-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50150.473314-5.62%0.2464-50.87%0.3734✓0.79490k2022-05-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24040.22672-5.69%0.1273-47.05%0.2765✓0.851.6M2022-05-18
DIADIAEthereum0.870.820298-5.71%0.74-14.94%0.0627✗0.47154k2022-05-18
RADRadworksEthereum4.624.3549-5.74%1.89-59.09%0.4969✓0.96820k2022-05-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4411.3581-5.76%0.643-55.38%0.2835✓1.32555k2022-05-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2650.24974-5.76%0.1186-55.25%0.4457✓0.8536k2022-05-18
XYMSymbolnative0.11020.103849-5.76%0.0658-40.29%0.2112✓0.69823k2022-05-18
AVTAventusEthereum2.512.3633-5.85%1.12-55.38%0.5742✓0.49546k2022-05-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.29110.274008-5.87%0.1653-43.22%0.0927✓1.17495k2022-05-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.021620.020339-5.93%0.01331-38.44%0.1446✓0.794.7M2022-05-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06720.0632-5.95%0.0313-53.42%0.2833✓1.19471k2022-05-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.0613.2154-6.01%6.79-51.71%0.2639✓1.1426.2M2022-05-18
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7511.6448-6.06%0.801-54.25%0.3461✓1.067.8M2022-05-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.0822.5924-6.18%10.1-58.06%0.4158✓1.1031.7M2022-05-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash340.48319.4057-6.19%186.73-45.16%0.1861✓0.998.3M2022-05-18
XLMStellarStellar0.2051140.192406-6.20%0.127544-37.82%0.0565✓1.0119.4M2022-05-18
QNTQuantEthereum111.58104.5994-6.26%64.77-41.95%0.1534✓0.923.8M2022-05-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.55050.515775-6.31%0.3258-40.82%0.0232✓1.24967k2022-05-18
STXStacksnative1.211.1336-6.32%0.51-57.85%0.4407✓1.01440k2022-05-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.421.906-6.38%13.77-41.15%0.0015✓1.31720k2022-05-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.5233.2952-6.47%1.843-47.69%0.3191✓0.742.2M2022-05-18
MANADecentralandEthereum2.08661.9514-6.48%1.0317-50.55%0.2375✓1.131.6M2022-05-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7370.688829-6.54%0.34-53.87%0.3952✓0.882.9M2022-05-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1852.0411-6.59%1.228-43.80%0.0366✓1.347.3M2022-05-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.597812-6.59%0.18425-71.21%0.6495✓1.49435k2022-05-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.5416.1052-6.66%2.946-54.96%0.3360✓1.11331k2022-05-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.11610.108364-6.66%0.0578-50.22%0.2252✓1.14988k2022-05-18
HIVEHivenative0.89220.832629-6.68%0.472-47.10%0.1893✓1.071.9M2022-05-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.991.8539-6.84%0.82-58.79%0.3472✓1.331.6M2022-05-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.6778.8688-6.85%50.06-40.88%0.1728✓0.803.5M2022-05-18
XMRMoneroMonero265.87247.5221-6.90%155.14-41.65%0.1340✓0.941.7M2022-05-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.2624.4431-6.92%12.73-51.52%0.3360✓0.90609k2022-05-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025270.000023518-6.93%0.00001147-54.61%0.3171✓1.142.7M2022-05-18
NANOnanopayBase2.14271.9928-7.00%1.0587-50.59%0.2415✓1.11231k2022-05-18
ZECZcashZcash156.2145.2559-7.01%99.46-36.33%0.0083✓1.058.5M2022-05-18
PROPropyEthereum1.861.7296-7.01%1.17-37.10%0.0646✓0.92179k2022-05-18
LSKLiskEthereum2.12011.9714-7.01%1.1344-46.49%0.2465✓0.8799k2022-05-18
FIDABonfidaSolana1.461.3572-7.04%0.565-61.30%0.5276✓0.9963k2022-05-18
COMPCompoundEthereum139.03129.2093-7.06%63.7-54.18%0.2909✓1.1876k2022-05-18
DODODODOEthereum0.390.362447-7.06%0.147-62.31%0.4880✓1.177.7M2022-05-18
KSMKusamaHydration167.23155.3385-7.11%75.92-54.60%0.3473✓1.041.2M2022-05-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004040.003751-7.15%0.00127-68.56%0.6504✓1.239.6M2022-05-18
ADACardanoCardano0.93670.869181-7.21%0.5053-46.06%0.1756✓1.0468.9M2022-05-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1616.8483-7.22%9.47-47.85%0.2031✓1.0619.0M2022-05-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7121570.66031-7.28%0.371298-47.86%0.1830✓1.113.2M2022-05-18
APEApeCoinEthereum11.87411.0082-7.29%7.969-32.89%0.4154✗2.0945.4M2022-05-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.934.2086-7.29%19.81-46.31%0.1609✓1.0914.9M2022-05-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.22541.1352-7.36%0.6487-47.06%0.1186✓1.2511.9M2022-05-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.6218.1756-7.36%7.59-61.31%0.4820✓1.1110.8M2022-05-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07570.070089-7.41%0.04358-42.43%0.1816✓0.8350k2022-05-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.24190.223879-7.45%0.1059-56.22%0.2721✓1.353.3M2022-05-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011010.01019-7.45%0.00461-58.13%0.3782✓1.183.2M2022-05-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.68540.634198-7.47%0.2258-67.06%0.8785✓0.44814k2022-05-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.4212.4134-7.50%5.93-55.81%0.3412✓1.131.5M2022-05-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.29843.9757-7.51%2.23-48.12%0.3107✓0.764.5M2022-05-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.214.8182-7.52%2.97-42.99%0.2214✓0.741.5M2022-05-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0263320.024343-7.55%0.017393-33.95%0.0983✓0.67199k2022-05-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.7371.8398-7.58%29.57-61.96%0.4421✓1.2692.9M2022-05-18
XVSVenusEthereum10.179.3959-7.61%4.32-57.52%0.3680✓1.164.6M2022-05-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.7213.5883-7.69%6.45-56.18%0.5736✓0.492.9M2022-05-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.35624.9436-7.70%3.0646-42.78%0.0555✓1.2011.3M2022-05-18
UMAUMAEthereum6.3185.831-7.71%3.049-51.74%0.1341✓1.462.8M2022-05-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11740.108315-7.74%0.0531-54.77%0.3419✓1.051.3M2022-05-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5994.2425-7.75%4.449-3.26%0.1760✗0.363.7M2022-05-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.22970.211828-7.78%0.1183-48.50%0.1628✓1.193.2M2022-05-18
ZENHorizenBase37.8934.9411-7.78%18.99-49.88%0.1332✓1.35397k2022-05-18
FTTFTXEthereum43.3739.9759-7.83%29.64-31.66%0.0511✓0.9917.2M2022-05-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.9715.6398-7.84%7.49-55.86%0.3710✓1.0418.4M2022-05-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.0751.912-7.86%0.537-74.12%0.9260✓0.9794k2022-05-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3161.2124-7.87%0.674-48.78%0.1378✓1.273.3M2022-05-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33850.311767-7.90%0.1246-63.19%0.4018✓1.469.2M2022-05-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.022550.020767-7.91%0.00898-60.18%0.4364✓1.14398k2022-05-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2280.209911-7.93%0.06-73.68%1.0152✓0.67122k2022-05-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.2713.1308-7.98%10.48-26.56%0.2363✗1.312.3M2022-05-18
API3Api3Ethereum4.2853.9409-8.03%1.694-60.47%0.6225✓0.633.3M2022-05-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.815140.749385-8.07%0.33637-58.73%0.4482✓1.00166k2022-05-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.060.974302-8.08%0.53494-49.53%0.1946✓1.15143k2022-05-18
XECeCashnative0.000090560.000083227-8.10%0.00004439-50.98%0.2752✓1.009.5M2022-05-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.763580.701713-8.10%0.37232-51.24%0.2625✓1.05201k2022-05-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.99390.913281-8.11%0.3371-66.08%0.4985✓1.41231k2022-05-18
UNIUniswapEthereum9.398.6128-8.28%4.88-48.03%0.1941✓1.068.8M2022-05-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8550.784123-8.29%0.296-65.38%0.4935✓1.362.5M2022-05-18
AAVEAaveEthereum169.22155.0316-8.38%81.76-51.68%0.1793✓1.3112.8M2022-05-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.1743.822-8.43%1.105-73.53%0.7282✓1.45741k2022-05-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.39220.358981-8.47%0.1104-71.85%0.5384✓1.822.3M2022-05-18
SCSiacoinnative0.010420.009533-8.52%0.00488-53.17%0.2499✓1.19565k2022-05-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.42060.384759-8.52%0.2581-38.64%0.1036✗1.43403k2022-05-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017290.015815-8.53%0.00913-47.19%0.1994✓0.992.0M2022-05-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18670.170768-8.53%0.0783-58.06%0.3529✓1.219.4M2022-05-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.73690.673858-8.56%0.4328-41.27%0.1097✓0.9418.3M2022-05-18
SOLSolanaSolana102.3993.6171-8.57%49.87-51.29%0.1899✓1.25147.4M2022-05-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074820.068357-8.64%0.03561-52.41%0.2802✓1.05124k2022-05-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.975.4527-8.67%2.25-62.31%0.3497✓1.52615k2022-05-18
QTUMQtumQtum6.69966.1186-8.67%3.8022-43.25%0.0644✓1.17216k2022-05-18
MOVRMoonriverBase57.977752.9293-8.71%21.8174-62.37%0.3687✓1.47223k2022-05-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5734.1721-8.77%2.081-54.49%0.3320✓1.03120k2022-05-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05020.045772-8.82%0.0145-71.12%0.5543✓1.6938.1M2022-05-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.23590.21507-8.83%0.1303-44.76%0.0225✓1.36356k2022-05-18
BANDBandEthereum3.7833.4473-8.87%1.566-58.60%0.3495✓1.25745k2022-05-18
DASHDashDash108.798.8971-9.02%55.59-48.86%0.2099✓1.042.4M2022-05-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.93020.845987-9.05%0.451-51.52%0.1426✓1.38824k2022-05-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,131.9717,388.08-9.12%9,070.74-52.59%0.2594✓1.115.0M2022-05-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.71514.2757-9.32%2.335-50.48%0.2574✓0.98275k2022-05-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum46.2241.9093-9.33%21.59-53.29%0.2132✓1.288.8M2022-05-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.4118.4884-9.41%9.63-52.82%0.1740✓1.36220k2022-05-18
LUNATerraTerra 290.9882.3738-9.46%0.00015-100.00%12.7569✓1.308.2M2022-05-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018210.016411-9.88%0.01163-36.13%0.1728✗1.4748.3M2022-05-18
XVGVergenative0.010430.009381-10.06%0.00481-53.88%0.2606✓1.151.6M2022-05-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36230.325505-10.16%0.1571-56.64%0.3119✓1.1810.3M2022-05-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4961.3415-10.33%0.904-39.57%0.0361✓1.02983k2022-05-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2131.0857-10.50%0.504-58.45%0.4032✓1.031.4M2022-05-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.1295.476-10.65%4.622-24.59%0.0651✓0.671.8M2022-05-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.7224.2128-10.78%1.913-59.49%0.1842✓1.722.5M2022-05-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6760.602995-10.80%0.216-68.05%0.6339✓1.115.9M2022-05-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.060.944946-10.85%0.32988-68.88%0.6349✓1.18761k2022-05-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.33.8327-10.87%1.62-62.33%0.3652✓1.41670k2022-05-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.19520.173925-10.90%0.0773-60.40%0.4085✓1.14262k2022-05-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.1764.6105-10.93%2.49-51.89%0.1572✓1.307.1M2022-05-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34950.311256-10.94%0.1813-48.13%0.0791✓1.311.6M2022-05-18
SUSHISushiEthereum3.292.9049-11.70%1.26-61.70%0.3951✓1.256.7M2022-05-18
MINAMina Protocolnative2.392.1077-11.81%0.977-59.12%0.3820✓1.101.2M2022-05-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011870.00000104-12.32%6.83e-7-42.43%0.5038✓-0.24596k2022-05-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.9752.5305-14.94%1.342-54.89%0.2784✓1.014.0M2022-05-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.