8=======>

2022-04-15 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1855
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.82%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.0%
in alpha space · 56.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.41%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PROPropyEthereum2.041.9882-2.54%2.05+0.49%0.0343✗0.88168k2022-04-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.59394.5376-1.23%4.4723-2.65%0.0114✓0.753.7M2022-04-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.021.9984-1.07%1.953-3.32%0.0187✓1.053.7M2022-04-16
API3Api3Ethereum4.7354.6942-0.86%4.52-4.54%0.0351✓0.653.6M2022-04-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2430.241294-0.70%0.243+0.00%0.0098✗0.66100k2022-04-16
COMPCompoundEthereum147.99147.0018-0.67%144.04-2.67%0.0153✓1.2271k2022-04-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0290470.028892-0.53%0.027847-4.13%0.0340✓0.69187k2022-04-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.1414.0711-0.49%13.65-3.47%0.0257✓1.141.5M2022-04-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11730.116737-0.48%0.1136-3.15%0.0229✓1.06823k2022-04-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.0424.0233-0.46%4.238+4.85%0.0579✗1.43720k2022-04-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.48992.4785-0.46%2.517+1.09%0.0186✗0.7711k2022-04-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24230.241201-0.45%0.2429+0.25%0.0127✗1.38383k2022-04-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.64194.6227-0.41%4.7844+3.07%0.0384✗0.98275k2022-04-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5170.514878-0.41%0.544+5.22%0.0597✗1.136.5M2022-04-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.40595.384-0.41%5.5774+3.17%0.0375✗0.535.6M2022-04-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0367690.036623-0.40%0.035963-2.19%0.0136✓1.124.5M2022-04-16
XMRMoneroMonero239.47238.5267-0.39%236.58-1.21%0.0043✓0.941.6M2022-04-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025920.000025819-0.39%0.00002562-1.16%0.0030✓1.142.8M2022-04-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.637532-0.39%0.66+3.12%0.0408✗1.50510k2022-04-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5251.5193-0.38%1.508-1.11%0.0020✓1.32555k2022-04-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.4166.392-0.37%6.766+5.46%0.0615✗1.12349k2022-04-16
DODODODOEthereum0.4120.410469-0.37%0.41-0.49%0.0037✓1.177.4M2022-04-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.7134.6962-0.36%4.731+0.38%0.0116✗1.03119k2022-04-16
APEApeCoinEthereum12.22912.1855-0.36%11.666-4.60%0.0394✓1.0049.7M2022-04-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1459210.145406-0.35%0.143644-1.56%0.0086✓0.865.0M2022-04-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.7926.6963-0.35%26.85+0.22%0.0095✗0.90636k2022-04-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.092.083-0.33%2.06-1.44%0.0057✓1.321.6M2022-04-16
XLMStellarStellar0.2042670.203592-0.33%0.205349+0.53%0.0127✗1.0018.8M2022-04-16
MANADecentralandEthereum2.1442.137-0.33%2.1507+0.31%0.0111✗1.141.6M2022-04-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.722810.720461-0.33%0.77427+7.12%0.0763✗1.04192k2022-04-16
RADRadworksEthereum4.854.8343-0.32%4.8-1.03%0.0032✓0.96785k2022-04-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.4214.3737-0.32%14.87+3.12%0.0356✗0.411.9M2022-04-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.70e-78.68e-7-0.32%9.58e-7+10.07%0.0979✗-0.32600k2022-04-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0149670.01492-0.32%0.014732-1.57%0.0089✓0.9051k2022-04-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.07580.075561-0.32%0.07608+0.37%0.0112✗1.05121k2022-04-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.875.8522-0.30%5.82-0.85%0.0026✓0.721.4M2022-04-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.270.269212-0.29%0.267-1.11%0.0047✓0.8639k2022-04-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.077120.076895-0.29%0.07699-0.17%0.0046✗0.8250k2022-04-16
QTUMQtumQtum6.63116.6124-0.28%6.944+4.72%0.0537✗1.17206k2022-04-16
BANDBandEthereum3.7353.7247-0.28%3.75+0.40%0.0119✗1.24772k2022-04-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13434.1231-0.27%4.1373+0.07%0.0062✗0.675.1M2022-04-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.16.0836-0.27%6.11+0.16%0.0105✗1.49665k2022-04-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.43760.436434-0.27%0.4295-1.85%0.0100✓1.46463k2022-04-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011810.01178-0.25%0.01185+0.34%0.0085✗0.6335k2022-04-16
FTTFTXEthereum42.742.593-0.25%41.82-2.06%0.0141✓1.0314.2M2022-04-16
FIDABonfidaSolana1.531.5262-0.25%1.493-2.42%0.0180✓0.9863k2022-04-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.2926.2766-0.25%6.234-0.92%0.0041✓0.661.8M2022-04-16
XEMNEMnative0.10080.100556-0.24%0.1011+0.30%0.0092✗0.9255k2022-04-16
SCSiacoinnative0.010690.010665-0.24%0.01067-0.19%0.0054✗1.19565k2022-04-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.20430.20382-0.24%0.2094+2.50%0.0364✗2.28623k2022-04-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.79230.790445-0.23%0.7546-4.76%0.0445✓0.46796k2022-04-16
BTTCBTTC0.000001980.000001975-0.23%0.00000196-1.01%0.0049✓0.719.8M2022-04-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.3423.2872-0.23%22.92-1.80%0.0105✓1.31833k2022-04-16
KCSKuCoinnative19.98419.9399-0.22%20.314+1.65%0.0221✗0.865.4M2022-04-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.95.8875-0.21%5.87-0.51%0.0000✓0.731.1M2022-04-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.3515.3178-0.21%15.16-1.24%0.0083✓0.493.7M2022-04-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash340.95340.2369-0.21%342.9+0.57%0.0119✗0.998.6M2022-04-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06830.068158-0.21%0.0682-0.15%0.0055✗1.19555k2022-04-16
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03091.0288-0.20%1.017-1.35%0.0057✓1.42231k2022-04-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7733.7654-0.20%3.761-0.32%0.0020✓0.762.3M2022-04-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5191.516-0.20%1.511-0.53%0.0009✓1.021.3M2022-04-16
DIADIAEthereum0.910.908181-0.20%0.9-1.10%0.0071✓0.47169k2022-04-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04590.04581-0.20%0.04535-1.20%0.0064✓0.8863k2022-04-16
XYMSymbolnative0.11740.11717-0.20%0.1164-0.85%0.0037✓0.70840k2022-04-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.35920.358496-0.20%0.3554-1.06%0.0033✓1.311.6M2022-04-16
AVTAventusEthereum2.422.4154-0.19%2.42+0.00%0.0041✗0.52491k2022-04-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.036890.036823-0.18%0.03601-2.39%0.0196✓0.67942k2022-04-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7379820.736645-0.18%0.727498-1.42%0.0079✓1.113.2M2022-04-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.826840.82535-0.18%0.82508-0.21%0.0038✗1.00182k2022-04-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.20160.201238-0.18%0.2033+0.84%0.0149✗1.14280k2022-04-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3141.3117-0.18%1.343+2.21%0.0276✗0.963.5M2022-04-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018090.018058-0.18%0.0178-1.60%0.0102✓1.002.1M2022-04-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.73940.738138-0.17%0.7433+0.53%0.0109✗0.9418.3M2022-04-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.025370.025327-0.17%0.02381-6.15%0.0570✓1.15344k2022-04-16
GITCOINGITCOIN6.0496.039-0.16%6.15+1.67%0.0243✗1.4818k2022-04-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80385.7944-0.16%5.8604+0.98%0.0133✗0.47186k2022-04-16
UOSUltraEthereum1.03881.0371-0.16%0.97354-6.28%0.0579✓1.301.4M2022-04-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8960.894571-0.16%0.908+1.34%0.0206✗1.37870k2022-04-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19440.194094-0.16%0.1874-3.60%0.0301✓1.219.4M2022-04-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.60195.5933-0.15%5.5971-0.09%0.0057✗1.2113.7M2022-04-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.09851.0968-0.15%1.0961-0.22%0.0046✗1.2714.3M2022-04-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24940.249027-0.15%0.2476-0.72%0.0022✓0.861.8M2022-04-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.25370.253327-0.15%0.2495-1.66%0.0098✓1.323.5M2022-04-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.022520.022488-0.14%0.02259+0.31%0.0079✗0.804.9M2022-04-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.1124.0754-0.14%24.18+0.29%0.0089✗1.1131.7M2022-04-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.47080.470141-0.14%0.4873+3.50%0.0367✗0.216,4692022-04-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05340.053325-0.14%0.0524-1.87%0.0105✓1.7140.1M2022-04-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.23890.238574-0.14%0.2347-1.76%0.0115✓1.193.3M2022-04-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.2714.2509-0.13%14.3+0.21%0.0089✗1.322.7M2022-04-16
STORJStorjEthereum1.08251.0811-0.13%1.0904+0.72%0.0132✗1.15143k2022-04-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.096330.09621-0.12%0.09601-0.33%0.0015✗0.8735k2022-04-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2621.2336-0.12%20.95-1.46%0.0079✓1.35226k2022-04-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.29130.290941-0.12%0.2964+1.75%0.0234✗1.17618k2022-04-16
LSKLiskEthereum2.14892.1463-0.12%2.1349-0.65%0.0017✓0.8795k2022-04-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6573.6526-0.12%3.684+0.74%0.0113✗0.662.7M2022-04-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV85.7285.6176-0.12%87.28+1.82%0.0225✗0.803.5M2022-04-16
MINAMina Protocolnative2.342.3373-0.12%2.43+3.85%0.0434✗1.091.4M2022-04-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.292.2874-0.11%2.28-0.44%0.0010✓1.02163k2022-04-16
MOVRMoonriverBase56.998856.9366-0.11%62.2516+9.22%0.0953✗1.47220k2022-04-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36860.368205-0.11%0.3622-1.74%0.0116✓1.1811.9M2022-04-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.3637.3206-0.11%38.12+2.03%0.0257✗1.1016.0M2022-04-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.242.2379-0.09%2.2-1.79%0.0130✓0.99100k2022-04-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.144780.144644-0.09%0.14796+2.20%0.0259✗0.7820k2022-04-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.314.3061-0.09%4.27-0.93%0.0026✓1.41755k2022-04-16
ZENHorizenBase39.0439.0051-0.09%38.43-1.56%0.0093✓1.35461k2022-04-16
ORCAOrcaSolana1.861.8584-0.09%1.9+2.15%0.0251✗0.71214k2022-04-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51860.518173-0.08%0.5068-2.28%0.0189✓0.80500k2022-04-16
STXStacksnative1.181.1791-0.08%1.18+0.00%0.0049✗1.00447k2022-04-16
TRXTRONTron0.06190.061856-0.07%0.061862-0.06%0.0028✗0.66254k2022-04-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.1114.0999-0.07%14.15+0.28%0.0083✗1.1526.0M2022-04-16
XTZTezosTezos3.19393.1916-0.07%3.2816+2.75%0.0321✗1.051.1M2022-04-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2821.2811-0.07%1.248-2.65%0.0219✓1.031.6M2022-04-16
XECeCashnative0.00009340.000093338-0.07%0.00009277-0.67%0.0020✓1.009.6M2022-04-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.9974.9938-0.06%4.972-0.50%0.0004✓0.9779k2022-04-16
KSMKusamaHydration165.97165.8699-0.06%174.1+4.90%0.0528✗1.061.2M2022-04-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04960.04957-0.06%0.04981+0.42%0.0091✗1.03567k2022-04-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8364.8335-0.05%4.827-0.19%0.0002✓0.384.9M2022-04-16
NANOnanopayBase2.15442.1533-0.05%2.1411-0.62%0.0011✓1.11275k2022-04-16
QNTQuantEthereum112.54112.4858-0.05%113.05+0.45%0.0088✗0.934.0M2022-04-16
HIVEHivenative0.92060.920177-0.05%0.9196-0.11%0.0038✗1.082.0M2022-04-16
DASHDashDash109.26109.2111-0.04%108.28-0.90%0.0043✓1.032.4M2022-04-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7750.774682-0.04%0.767-1.03%0.0063✓0.892.9M2022-04-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.3645.3619-0.04%5.214-2.80%0.0226✓1.317.5M2022-04-16
ETHEthereumEthereum3,040.193,039.05-0.04%3,060.35+0.66%0.0113✗1.05528.8M2022-04-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,577.8040,562.72-0.04%40,617.60+0.10%0.0053✗0.9626k2022-04-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.517.5073-0.04%7.43-1.07%0.0072✓0.762.0M2022-04-16
XVSVenusEthereum10.2410.2365-0.03%10.14-0.98%0.0047✓1.154.8M2022-04-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004150.004149-0.03%0.00416+0.24%0.0079✗1.269.7M2022-04-16
UMAUMAEthereum6.4136.4113-0.03%6.393-0.31%0.0032✗1.463.0M2022-04-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13750.137465-0.03%0.1379+0.29%0.0074✗1.02224k2022-04-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111110.9753-0.02%114.34+3.01%0.0341✗1.0223.4M2022-04-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.40430.404223-0.02%0.3996-1.16%0.0040✓1.822.3M2022-04-16
SUSHISushiEthereum3.33.2995-0.02%3.33+0.91%0.0144✗1.256.8M2022-04-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.67460.674497-0.02%0.6748+0.03%0.0047✗1.039.8M2022-04-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.11480.114797-0.00%0.1157+0.78%0.0126✗1.16952k2022-04-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2262.2259-0.00%2.235+0.40%0.0096✗1.358.4M2022-04-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34260.342602+0.00%0.3368-1.69%0.0110✗1.469.4M2022-04-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,554.5840,555.56+0.00%40,387.60-0.41%0.0000✗1.00582.5M2022-04-16
LUNATerraTerra 280.3780.3735+0.00%81+0.78%0.0131✓1.298.2M2022-04-16
ZECZcashZcash146.55146.56+0.01%143.85-1.84%0.0145✗1.029.9M2022-04-16
XVGVergenative0.010520.010521+0.01%0.01082+2.85%0.0328✓1.161.7M2022-04-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010450.010451+0.01%0.01056+1.05%0.0152✓1.174.3M2022-04-16
UNIUniswapEthereum9.779.7714+0.01%9.67-1.02%0.0060✗1.078.8M2022-04-16
ADACardanoCardano0.95530.955452+0.02%0.9514-0.41%0.0001✓1.0168.9M2022-04-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.9647.9696+0.02%47.41-1.15%0.0065✗1.288.8M2022-04-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.4477.4579+0.02%77.78+0.44%0.0094✓1.27103.0M2022-04-16
GTGateEthereum6.5676.5685+0.02%6.51-0.87%0.0065✗0.584.5M2022-04-16
CBKCobakEthereum2.2642.2649+0.04%2.24-1.06%0.0078✗0.8026k2022-04-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,114.4619,122.90+0.04%19,119.13+0.02%0.0044✓1.125.9M2022-04-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.11.1007+0.06%1.1+0.00%0.0042✓1.17798k2022-04-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.816.8111+0.07%17.57+4.58%0.0484✓1.0318.5M2022-04-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8660.86661+0.07%0.857-1.04%0.0055✗1.362.7M2022-04-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.3618.3734+0.07%18.62+1.42%0.0177✓1.0619.0M2022-04-16
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7871.7884+0.08%1.857+3.92%0.0421✓1.077.8M2022-04-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.0419.0548+0.08%21.65+13.71%0.1323✓1.1110.5M2022-04-16
SOLSolanaSolana101.39101.4856+0.09%102.08+0.68%0.0110✓1.26147.4M2022-04-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.56610.56684+0.13%0.5695+0.60%0.0099✓1.26938k2022-04-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.545.548+0.14%5.55+0.18%0.0035✓0.751.6M2022-04-16
AAVEAaveEthereum175.94176.2369+0.17%172.4-2.01%0.0166✗1.3215.7M2022-04-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3411.3438+0.21%1.35+0.67%0.0099✓1.293.6M2022-04-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.6184.6338+0.34%5.143+11.37%0.1113✓1.702.6M2022-04-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.0180.018093+0.52%0.01885+4.72%0.0471✓1.4750.4M2022-04-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.