8=======>

2022-04-13 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2093
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
96.3%
in alpha space · 99.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-28.96%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum6.56456.4533-1.69%5.5584-15.33%0.0528✗0.594.5M2022-05-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.148840.14593-1.96%0.06424-56.84%0.5469✓0.8020k2022-05-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.051070.04992-2.25%0.02399-53.03%0.3753✓1.05574k2022-05-13
ORCAOrcaSolana1.911.866-2.30%0.89-53.40%0.4954✓0.72265k2022-05-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.71165.5681-2.51%5.0899-10.88%0.0730✗0.48177k2022-05-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.58107.8009-2.51%67.78-38.71%0.1149✓1.0224.7M2022-05-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.322.2563-2.75%1.39-40.09%0.1349✓1.02165k2022-05-13
XTZTezosTezos3.17563.0783-3.06%1.7661-44.39%0.1958✓1.051.1M2022-05-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0914.9329-3.10%2.79-45.20%0.2364✓0.9881k2022-05-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.037080.035897-3.19%0.01598-56.90%0.5943✓0.63942k2022-05-13
ETHEthereumEthereum3,119.003,016.76-3.28%2,005.48-35.70%0.0473✓1.06551.3M2022-05-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.48120.465333-3.30%0.1897-60.58%0.8221✓0.227,9472022-05-13
KCSKuCoinnative19.75819.0631-3.52%12.511-36.68%0.1250✓0.875.6M2022-05-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.19920.191966-3.63%0.0714-64.16%0.2090✓2.28623k2022-05-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7653.6255-3.71%1.324-64.83%0.7813✓0.663.1M2022-05-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,146.6839,618.73-3.71%29,232.18-28.96%0.0378✗1.00593.1M2022-05-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,343.1039,716.57-3.93%29,332.50-29.05%0.0242✓0.9630k2022-05-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.68130.654085-3.99%0.3159-53.63%0.3742✓1.039.4M2022-05-13
TRXTRONTron0.0614890.059007-4.04%0.0742+20.67%0.4530✗0.66285k2022-05-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0148870.01428-4.08%0.009457-36.47%0.0994✓0.9149k2022-05-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.29840.285859-4.20%0.1491-50.03%0.2504✓1.17618k2022-05-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044710.042826-4.21%0.02379-46.79%0.2837✓0.8947k2022-05-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001920.000001839-4.24%0.00000112-41.67%0.2482✓0.729.8M2022-05-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.41.3399-4.29%0.487-65.21%0.5691✓1.303.8M2022-05-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53190.509039-4.30%0.2208-58.49%0.5676✓0.78482k2022-05-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2972.1967-4.36%1.312-42.88%0.0491✓1.368.8M2022-05-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2961.2393-4.37%0.814-37.19%0.0902✓0.973.6M2022-05-13
CBKCobakEthereum2.3322.2299-4.38%1.056-54.72%0.4730✓0.8025k2022-05-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14210.135805-4.43%0.0872-38.63%0.0931✓1.02227k2022-05-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.213.5708-4.43%7.13-49.79%0.2521✓1.1526.1M2022-05-13
RADRadworksEthereum4.744.5297-4.44%1.78-62.45%0.6089✓0.95741k2022-05-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1398660.133626-4.46%0.088244-36.91%0.1141✓0.884.5M2022-05-13
XEMNEMnative0.10260.097997-4.49%0.058-43.47%0.2093✓0.9255k2022-05-13
GITCOINGITCOIN6.1975.9188-4.49%2.3-62.89%0.4413✓1.4718k2022-05-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25010.238773-4.53%0.112-55.22%0.4614✓0.862.0M2022-05-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097660.093197-4.57%0.05005-48.75%0.3266✓0.8630k2022-05-13
XVSVenusEthereum10.249.7717-4.57%4.24-58.59%0.4418✓1.154.8M2022-05-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.023340.022271-4.58%0.0135-42.16%0.2262✓0.804.9M2022-05-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7810.745102-4.60%0.344-55.95%0.4675✓0.892.9M2022-05-13
STXStacksnative1.211.1541-4.62%0.52-57.02%0.4539✓1.00510k2022-05-13
UOSUltraEthereum1.08481.0329-4.78%0.35077-67.66%0.6371✓1.301.5M2022-05-13
QNTQuantEthereum115.58110.0415-4.79%68.58-40.66%0.1545✓0.934.1M2022-05-13
XYMSymbolnative0.12160.11569-4.86%0.0699-42.52%0.2660✓0.70840k2022-05-13
DIADIAEthereum0.90.856046-4.88%0.37682-58.13%0.6609✓0.47186k2022-05-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.6923.4732-4.93%10.3-58.28%0.4398✓1.1232.2M2022-05-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011920.01133-4.95%0.00377-68.37%0.8835✓0.6334k2022-05-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.075.7687-4.96%3.27-46.13%0.3191✓0.731.1M2022-05-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.9716.1237-4.99%9.27-45.37%0.1994✓1.0418.5M2022-05-13
XMRMoneroMonero237.09225.2177-5.01%143.73-39.38%0.1307✓0.931.6M2022-05-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1917.2685-5.07%10.44-42.61%0.1364✓1.0720.9M2022-05-13
HIVEHivenative0.94180.894081-5.07%0.4549-51.70%0.3058✓1.082.1M2022-05-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004230.004016-5.07%0.00132-68.79%0.6834✓1.269.7M2022-05-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.955.6481-5.07%2.39-59.83%0.6140✓0.721.5M2022-05-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010990.010431-5.08%0.00429-60.96%0.4854✓1.184.3M2022-05-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV86.7882.3602-5.09%51.89-40.21%0.1880✓0.803.5M2022-05-13
AVTAventusEthereum2.552.4188-5.14%0.83-67.45%0.8904✓0.52546k2022-05-13
ADACardanoCardano0.97480.924649-5.14%0.5281-45.82%0.2159✓1.0168.9M2022-05-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.591.5081-5.15%0.672-57.74%0.3550✓1.33555k2022-05-13
UNIUniswapEthereum9.669.1622-5.15%5.13-46.89%0.2142✓1.078.8M2022-05-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.60490.573628-5.17%0.2519-58.36%0.3914✓1.26938k2022-05-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.3723.1062-5.19%14.73-39.56%0.0013✓1.32833k2022-05-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash341.13323.3217-5.22%201.94-40.80%0.1308✓0.998.6M2022-05-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1965280.186243-5.23%0.132063-32.80%0.0047✓0.9918.8M2022-05-13
ZENHorizenBase40.2138.089-5.27%20.24-49.66%0.1757✓1.34467k2022-05-13
FTTFTXEthereum42.8640.5962-5.28%30.83-28.07%0.0781✗1.0314.2M2022-05-13
MANADecentralandEthereum2.20792.0913-5.28%1.022-53.71%0.3259✓1.141.6M2022-05-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.68.1412-5.33%3.09-64.07%0.7205✓0.732.0M2022-05-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.10733.8872-5.36%1.6119-60.76%0.6481✓0.685.7M2022-05-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,412.3218,360.01-5.42%9,926.05-48.87%0.2315✓1.126.0M2022-05-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.1210.114398-5.46%0.0573-52.64%0.2954✓1.16952k2022-05-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7943.5856-5.49%1.446-61.89%0.6466✓0.772.5M2022-05-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.775.4524-5.50%2.32-59.79%0.5992✓0.751.8M2022-05-13
ZECZcashZcash152.73144.2234-5.57%93.81-38.58%0.0851✓1.0110.6M2022-05-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.061.9438-5.64%0.82-60.19%0.4055✓1.341.4M2022-05-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2770.261311-5.66%0.1223-55.85%0.4637✓0.8643k2022-05-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.39195.083-5.73%1.4675-72.78%1.0566✓0.545.9M2022-05-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche80.275.5756-5.77%32.17-59.89%0.4202✓1.27103.7M2022-05-13
UMAUMAEthereum6.5596.1804-5.77%2.913-55.59%0.2526✓1.463.1M2022-05-13
NANOnanopayBase2.27422.1427-5.78%1.0764-52.67%0.3086✓1.11291k2022-05-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.25540.240544-5.82%0.1102-56.85%0.3271✓1.333.5M2022-05-13
KSMKusamaHydration160.8151.4456-5.82%73.84-54.08%0.3516✓1.071.2M2022-05-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.078220.073633-5.86%0.03518-55.02%0.3781✓1.05121k2022-05-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5713.7141-5.87%9.76-33.01%0.1120✗1.322.8M2022-05-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.418.2547-5.90%8.73-55.00%0.3562✓1.1210.5M2022-05-13
AAVEAaveEthereum178.19167.5858-5.95%82.28-53.82%0.2587✓1.3217.5M2022-05-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.9913.1552-5.97%4.87-65.19%0.8548✓0.412.0M2022-05-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.2325.5911-6.02%12.71-53.32%0.3896✓0.91651k2022-05-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8591.7471-6.02%0.832-55.24%0.3743✓1.087.7M2022-05-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8820.828373-6.08%0.283-67.91%0.6066✓1.372.7M2022-05-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.2842.1447-6.10%0.67-70.67%0.8285✓0.98100k2022-05-13
FIDABonfidaSolana1.5031.4107-6.14%0.609-59.48%0.5042✓0.9862k2022-05-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.5336.1564-6.16%20.47-46.87%0.1915✓1.1016.0M2022-05-13
LSKLiskEthereum2.17162.0375-6.18%1.1379-47.60%0.2837✓0.87106k2022-05-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.54032.3822-6.22%1.7254-32.08%0.0568✓0.7811k2022-05-13
LUNATerraTerra 287.882.3131-6.25%0.00012-100.00%12.9995✓1.288.7M2022-05-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.5296.1206-6.26%2.496-61.77%0.5119✓1.13393k2022-05-13
SOLSolanaSolana104.9598.3816-6.26%48.89-53.42%0.2699✓1.26147.4M2022-05-13
DODODODOEthereum0.3980.373007-6.28%0.152-61.81%0.4921✓1.196.8M2022-05-13
XECeCashnative0.00009480.000088839-6.29%0.00004212-55.57%0.4037✓1.009.8M2022-05-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.5612.7054-6.30%4.76-64.90%0.5779✓1.181.4M2022-05-13
STORJStorjEthereum1.12321.0514-6.40%0.49964-55.52%0.3516✓1.15150k2022-05-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.91760.858461-6.44%0.4631-49.53%0.1485✓1.37870k2022-05-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36280.339325-6.47%0.1399-61.44%0.3784✓1.4810.9M2022-05-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.1219.7507-6.48%9.39-55.54%0.2790✓1.36240k2022-05-13
PROPropyEthereum1.791.6734-6.52%1.19-33.52%0.0224✓1.06160k2022-05-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0991.0267-6.57%0.6653-39.46%0.0050✓1.2815.0M2022-05-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.85673.6023-6.60%1.5516-59.77%0.5721✓0.793.7M2022-05-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.3414.3256-6.61%4.86-68.32%0.9132✓0.493.7M2022-05-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.761680.711185-6.63%0.366416-51.89%0.2814✓1.122.6M2022-05-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74640.696558-6.68%0.4426-40.70%0.1302✓0.9518.7M2022-05-13
DASHDashDash105.2798.2288-6.69%57.98-44.92%0.1731✓1.042.4M2022-05-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.078830.073556-6.69%0.04297-45.49%0.2541✓0.8350k2022-05-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018380.017135-6.77%0.00953-48.15%0.2451✓1.002.1M2022-05-13
XVGVergenative0.010550.009833-6.79%0.00472-55.26%0.3304✓1.181.8M2022-05-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.9044.5685-6.84%1.83-62.68%0.7876✓0.375.7M2022-05-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.742640.691643-6.87%0.38322-48.40%0.2326✓1.05226k2022-05-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06940.06457-6.96%0.0329-52.59%0.2652✓1.20555k2022-05-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.038190.035528-6.97%0.014586-61.81%0.5061✓1.124.4M2022-05-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.650.60428-7.03%0.19584-69.87%0.6135✓1.50539k2022-05-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0282730.026284-7.03%0.01331-52.92%0.4424✓0.70187k2022-05-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum48.4445.0258-7.05%20.45-57.78%0.3518✓1.288.8M2022-05-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.111.0314-7.08%0.34-69.37%0.7077✓1.18798k2022-05-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.24280.225556-7.10%0.111-54.28%0.3015✓1.193.2M2022-05-13
SCSiacoinnative0.010710.009944-7.15%0.00466-56.49%0.3490✓1.20565k2022-05-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.9473.6629-7.20%1.194-69.75%0.6292✓1.44720k2022-05-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.37020.343395-7.24%0.1807-51.19%0.1948✓1.311.7M2022-05-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12380.114783-7.28%0.0463-62.60%0.5453✓1.06378k2022-05-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.84210.780447-7.32%0.34417-59.13%0.4769✓1.00183k2022-05-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20.185159-7.42%0.0821-58.95%0.3947✓1.228.8M2022-05-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.7790.720696-7.48%0.2828-63.70%0.7736✓0.47777k2022-05-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.44610.412698-7.49%0.2334-47.68%0.0614✓1.49567k2022-05-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.38380.354921-7.52%0.1483-61.36%0.4693✓1.1812.5M2022-05-13
QTUMQtumQtum6.74386.2355-7.54%3.8681-42.64%0.0772✓1.17206k2022-05-13
APEApeCoinEthereum13.25812.2458-7.63%8.53-35.66%0.0197✓1.0054.6M2022-05-13
CELLCellframeEthereum1.06910.987364-7.65%0.375-64.92%0.4841✓1.42231k2022-05-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05420.050048-7.66%0.0164-69.74%0.5309✓1.7140.5M2022-05-13
COMPCompoundEthereum150.02138.4757-7.70%68.45-54.37%0.2898✓1.2171k2022-05-13
MINAMina Protocolnative2.532.3352-7.70%1.041-58.85%0.4403✓1.081.4M2022-05-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44790.413294-7.73%0.1018-77.27%0.7786✓1.822.3M2022-05-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000026950.000024845-7.81%0.00001281-52.47%0.2720✓1.142.8M2022-05-13
MOVRMoonriverBase59.572254.903-7.84%22.6376-62.00%0.3822✓1.47216k2022-05-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.634.266-7.86%1.758-62.03%0.2958✓1.732.5M2022-05-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.64314.2734-7.96%2.4783-46.62%0.2100✓0.98268k2022-05-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.25.7041-8.00%2.31-62.74%0.3968✓1.48665k2022-05-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2571.1562-8.02%0.499-60.30%0.4856✓1.041.6M2022-05-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.028120.025857-8.05%0.00985-64.97%0.5716✓1.15348k2022-05-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020140.018513-8.08%0.00989-50.89%0.1215✓1.4859.1M2022-05-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5511.425-8.12%0.914-41.07%0.0924✓1.031.3M2022-05-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.0895.5906-8.18%3.487-42.73%0.2414✓0.671.7M2022-05-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.1554.7316-8.21%2.607-49.43%0.1449✓1.327.1M2022-05-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24880.228328-8.23%0.1227-50.68%0.1403✓1.41368k2022-05-13
API3Api3Ethereum4.1943.8455-8.31%1.62-61.37%0.6482✓0.633.5M2022-05-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.98345.4853-8.32%2.8848-51.79%0.2308✓1.2016.8M2022-05-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4850.444618-8.33%0.206-57.53%0.3678✓1.177.0M2022-05-13
BANDBandEthereum3.9253.5931-8.46%1.72-56.18%0.3128✓1.24749k2022-05-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.834.4209-8.47%1.948-59.67%0.4694✓1.02108k2022-05-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.343.9576-8.81%1.66-61.75%0.3865✓1.41824k2022-05-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2640.239837-9.15%0.071-73.11%0.9954✓0.6565k2022-05-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.20750.188286-9.26%0.0917-55.81%0.3324✓1.13304k2022-05-13
SUSHISushiEthereum3.343.0267-9.38%1.39-58.38%0.3501✓1.257.2M2022-05-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.51e-77.69e-7-9.70%6.19e-7-27.34%0.3285✓-0.33622k2022-05-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3032.0251-12.06%1.004-56.40%0.3471✓1.043.6M2022-05-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.