8=======>

2022-04-10 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2515
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+21.46%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
90.7%
in alpha space · 99.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-26.48%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ASTRAstarEthereum0.3070.26934-12.27%0.107-65.15%0.7468✓0.5737k2022-05-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.97e-78.00e-7-10.84%8.18e-7-8.84%0.1091✓-0.43680k2022-05-10
API3Api3Ethereum4.5334.0979-9.60%2.368-47.76%0.3683✓0.593.6M2022-05-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.325.7294-9.35%3.41-46.04%0.0621✓1.49665k2022-05-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.9964.5338-9.25%2.733-45.30%0.1858✓1.04104k2022-05-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13670.124301-9.07%0.0622-54.50%0.3592✓1.08273k2022-05-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5560.507383-8.74%0.296-46.76%0.1878✓1.148.0M2022-05-10
BANDBandEthereum3.9543.6089-8.73%2.243-43.27%0.1002✓1.22733k2022-05-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.21460.195911-8.71%0.1079-49.72%0.2623✓1.09276k2022-05-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.025130.02302-8.39%0.01471-41.46%0.0051✓1.4757.1M2022-05-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07030.064419-8.37%0.041-41.68%0.0820✓1.20471k2022-05-10
CELLCellframeEthereum1.11111.0189-8.30%0.4989-55.10%0.2781✓1.42224k2022-05-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.15385.6527-8.14%3.3422-45.69%0.1849✓1.1118.9M2022-05-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6821.5491-7.90%1.381-17.90%0.1891✗0.993.4M2022-05-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0290.026742-7.79%0.01125-61.21%0.5113✓1.15326k2022-05-10
MOVRMoonriverBase64.6159.5923-7.77%28.3525-56.12%0.2944✓1.46192k2022-05-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.86070.794013-7.75%0.3361-60.95%0.7052✓0.50690k2022-05-10
SUSHISushiEthereum3.43.138-7.71%1.79-47.35%0.1798✓1.247.2M2022-05-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.11523.7995-7.67%1.9892-51.66%0.3976✓0.813.6M2022-05-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05650.052186-7.64%0.027-52.21%0.1392✓1.6940.5M2022-05-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.690.637348-7.63%0.3-56.52%0.2812✓1.54510k2022-05-10
MINAMina Protocolnative2.972.7434-7.63%1.43-51.85%0.3247✓1.061.2M2022-05-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.464.1215-7.59%2.84-36.32%0.0657✓1.42824k2022-05-10
APEApeCoinEthereum12.05811.1777-7.30%9.03-25.11%0.0942✗1.0056.9M2022-05-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.740720.687144-7.23%0.46724-36.92%0.0589✓1.06244k2022-05-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5861.4729-7.13%1.043-34.24%0.0376✓1.001.3M2022-05-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.70394.3691-7.12%3.0969-34.16%0.0500✓0.96261k2022-05-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24380.226543-7.08%0.155-36.42%0.0103✓1.27368k2022-05-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018570.01727-7.00%0.01152-37.96%0.0974✓1.002.1M2022-05-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43990.409297-6.96%0.177-59.76%0.2653✓1.862.3M2022-05-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19420.18082-6.89%0.114-41.30%0.0910✓1.206.2M2022-05-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.211.1269-6.87%0.52-57.02%0.4248✓1.13738k2022-05-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.3595.9224-6.87%4.129-35.07%0.1539✓0.672.1M2022-05-10
DODODODOEthereum0.4020.374431-6.86%0.238-40.80%0.0805✓1.216.6M2022-05-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.64182.4608-6.85%1.9375-26.66%0.0127✓0.7411k2022-05-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3060.285166-6.81%0.192-37.25%0.1347✓0.8540k2022-05-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.865830.807213-6.77%0.42175-51.29%0.3416✓1.00266k2022-05-10
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6471.5366-6.71%0.776-52.88%0.3911✓0.9561k2022-05-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2991.2122-6.68%0.757-41.72%0.1712✓0.971.6M2022-05-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.0013.7338-6.68%1.721-56.99%0.4016✓1.21464k2022-05-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.324.9652-6.67%2.455-53.85%0.5854✓0.396.7M2022-05-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.6614.6175-6.66%6.87-56.13%0.6046✓0.493.8M2022-05-10
LUNATerraTerra 291.9485.82-6.66%17.41-81.06%1.1975✓1.299.3M2022-05-10
QTUMQtumQtum6.80966.3565-6.65%4.7521-30.21%0.0661✓1.16206k2022-05-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0380040.035482-6.64%0.019116-49.70%0.2937✓1.064.1M2022-05-10
SOLSolanaSolana111.07103.7831-6.56%66.86-39.80%0.0542✓1.25112.7M2022-05-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0269770.025215-6.53%0.014768-45.26%0.3218✓0.69194k2022-05-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.0345.8403-6.51%24.28-50.48%0.2344✓1.308.6M2022-05-10
IMXImmutableEthereum2.0441.9112-6.50%1.192-41.68%0.1598✓1.027.0M2022-05-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.95920.897695-6.41%0.5668-40.91%0.0369✓1.38870k2022-05-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.23530.220286-6.38%0.1421-39.61%0.0714✓1.193.2M2022-05-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0313.1375-6.36%7.89-43.76%0.1446✓1.191.4M2022-05-10
NANOnanopayBase2.46222.3056-6.36%1.3852-43.74%0.1653✓1.12275k2022-05-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024420.000022868-6.35%0.00001614-33.91%0.0041✓1.152.6M2022-05-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7495790.7022-6.32%0.506855-32.38%0.0108✓1.102.2M2022-05-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.12731.0563-6.30%0.7603-32.56%0.0651✗1.2815.0M2022-05-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.4113.5068-6.27%6.72-53.37%0.5745✓0.402.4M2022-05-10
SCSiacoinnative0.010880.010199-6.26%0.00617-43.29%0.1428✓1.17540k2022-05-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0780.073118-6.26%0.0533-31.67%0.0635✓0.8250k2022-05-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.566.1495-6.26%3.791-42.21%0.1361✓1.13435k2022-05-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.38420.360179-6.25%0.2458-36.02%0.0217✓1.1712.7M2022-05-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36940.346452-6.21%0.2054-44.40%0.1179✓1.321.9M2022-05-10
XECeCashnative0.000100250.000094078-6.16%0.00005842-41.73%0.1782✓0.979.4M2022-05-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0844.7714-6.15%3.279-35.50%0.0259✓1.306.1M2022-05-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.44790.420694-6.07%0.2734-38.96%0.0025✓1.39727k2022-05-10
COMPCompoundEthereum134.87126.68-6.07%88.81-34.15%0.0040✓1.1462k2022-05-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.28040.263383-6.07%0.1558-44.44%0.1202✓1.322.8M2022-05-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.75110.705839-6.03%0.5848-22.14%0.1076✗0.9618.6M2022-05-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.3237.9424-5.90%23.89-40.75%0.1234✓1.1016.0M2022-05-10
LSKLiskEthereum2.1652.0373-5.90%1.3128-39.36%0.1755✓0.86111k2022-05-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004660.004386-5.89%0.00228-51.07%0.2628✓1.279.6M2022-05-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.73695.4002-5.87%2.0156-64.87%0.8073✓0.586.6M2022-05-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.0119.8093-5.72%11.36-45.93%0.2173✓1.108.8M2022-05-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.55484.2954-5.69%2.1091-53.70%0.5189✓0.637.9M2022-05-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34760.327831-5.69%0.1674-51.84%0.2197✓1.479.4M2022-05-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.4272.2894-5.67%0.834-65.64%0.7209✓0.94114k2022-05-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9173.6955-5.66%2.134-45.52%0.3070✓0.792.8M2022-05-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.69730.657887-5.65%0.3033-56.50%0.3902✓1.25797k2022-05-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.8326.2632-5.63%15.88-42.94%0.2255✓0.90651k2022-05-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.0784.7927-5.62%2.599-48.82%0.0864✓1.712.5M2022-05-10
XVGVergenative0.010920.010312-5.57%0.0063-42.31%0.1342✓1.171.9M2022-05-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.4520.2586-5.55%14.4-32.87%0.0764✗1.36266k2022-05-10
DASHDashDash111.11104.9665-5.53%73.33-34.00%0.0528✓0.992.5M2022-05-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.961.8521-5.51%1.15-41.33%0.0645✓1.341.2M2022-05-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.12850.121427-5.50%0.0823-35.95%0.0323✓1.16989k2022-05-10
STORJStorjEthereum1.09891.0384-5.50%0.65439-40.45%0.1147✓1.13150k2022-05-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.024570.02322-5.49%0.01344-45.30%0.3045✓0.794.7M2022-05-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,158.8119,056.66-5.47%13,692.55-32.08%0.0159✓1.135.9M2022-05-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.1222.8127-5.42%17.68-26.70%0.1629✗1.36833k2022-05-10
AVTAventusEthereum3.022.8566-5.41%1.54-49.01%0.4830✓0.44592k2022-05-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche80.9976.6507-5.36%44.54-45.01%0.1476✓1.29103.7M2022-05-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15150.14339-5.35%0.1022-32.54%0.0242✓1.02227k2022-05-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.661.5714-5.34%0.815-50.90%0.2430✓1.34479k2022-05-10
KSMKusamaHydration169.11160.16-5.29%93.03-44.99%0.2151✓1.071.1M2022-05-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.728.2606-5.27%4.06-53.44%0.4844✓0.732.4M2022-05-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.2318.2205-5.25%11.35-40.98%0.1428✓1.0720.9M2022-05-10
FTTFTXEthereum44.9842.6364-5.21%33.08-26.46%0.0615✗1.0314.0M2022-05-10
GITCOINGITCOIN6.3065.9808-5.16%3.4-46.08%0.1110✓1.4819k2022-05-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.5125.1458-5.15%13.57-48.81%0.2722✓1.1231.7M2022-05-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.185.8621-5.14%3.96-35.92%0.1697✓0.721.1M2022-05-10
ZECZcashZcash161.12152.9553-5.07%93.08-42.23%0.2021✓0.9612.4M2022-05-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012740.012096-5.06%0.00536-57.93%0.6138✓0.6532k2022-05-10
XLMStellarStellar0.2003670.190245-5.05%0.148397-25.94%0.0614✗1.0118.8M2022-05-10
UMAUMAEthereum6.9896.6374-5.03%4.194-39.99%0.0152✓1.443.5M2022-05-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.456.1264-5.02%3.46-46.36%0.3298✓0.791.9M2022-05-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1414.3813-5.01%14.13-6.67%0.3949✗1.342.8M2022-05-10
STXStacksnative1.231.1687-4.98%0.68-44.72%0.2379✓0.99601k2022-05-10
QNTQuantEthereum120.96115.0113-4.92%72.39-40.15%0.1753✓0.943.9M2022-05-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.844487-4.90%0.505-43.13%0.0944✓1.372.7M2022-05-10
MANADecentralandEthereum2.26062.1503-4.88%1.1134-50.75%0.3066✓1.141.5M2022-05-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.075780.072166-4.77%0.04628-38.93%0.1231✓1.04116k2022-05-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0167430.015948-4.75%0.010912-34.83%0.1131✓0.8738k2022-05-10
ADACardanoCardano1.02740.978804-4.73%0.6283-38.85%0.1319✓1.0163.0M2022-05-10
XMRMoneroMonero235.44224.3149-4.73%163.04-30.75%0.0389✓0.911.6M2022-05-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.2414.5328-4.64%8.58-43.70%0.1815✓1.1225.7M2022-05-10
XEMNEMnative0.10340.098623-4.62%0.0608-41.20%0.2063✓0.9061k2022-05-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.100340.095709-4.62%0.06288-37.33%0.1595✓0.8528k2022-05-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.245.9531-4.60%3.62-41.99%0.2765✓0.721.7M2022-05-10
UOSUltraEthereum1.12021.069-4.57%0.47323-57.76%0.4120✓1.311.4M2022-05-10
DIADIAEthereum0.940.897579-4.51%0.51-45.74%0.4296✓0.44172k2022-05-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV85.3381.5064-4.48%63.26-25.86%0.0102✓0.793.3M2022-05-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1480570.141549-4.40%0.107915-27.11%0.0092✓0.853.9M2022-05-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011810.011293-4.37%0.00602-49.03%0.2651✓1.184.3M2022-05-10
HIVEHivenative0.9190.87909-4.34%0.5969-35.05%0.0532✓1.092.0M2022-05-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.850.813246-4.32%0.476-44.00%0.2607✓0.892.8M2022-05-10
AAVEAaveEthereum176.37168.7494-4.32%105.24-40.33%0.0722✓1.3017.5M2022-05-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53020.507661-4.25%0.3042-42.63%0.2895✓0.72376k2022-05-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71310.6828-4.25%0.3911-45.15%0.2392✓1.037.9M2022-05-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4062.3053-4.18%1.977-17.83%0.2622✗1.358.8M2022-05-10
ZENHorizenBase41.439.6728-4.17%25.41-38.62%0.0338✓1.34467k2022-05-10
UNIUniswapEthereum9.899.4801-4.14%6.07-38.62%0.1198✓1.068.8M2022-05-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.23910.229199-4.14%0.1115-53.37%0.0182✓2.28774k2022-05-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.4981.4361-4.14%0.749-50.00%0.2614✓1.273.9M2022-05-10
XVSVenusEthereum10.710.2703-4.02%5.35-50.00%0.3120✓1.114.7M2022-05-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.3616.6646-4.01%10.57-39.11%0.1332✓1.0518.5M2022-05-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045570.043746-4.00%0.03109-31.78%0.0838✓0.8443k2022-05-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash319.95307.2372-3.97%231.66-27.59%0.0126✓0.968.3M2022-05-10
CBKCobakEthereum2.3212.229-3.96%1.391-40.07%0.2348✓0.7721k2022-05-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,359.4040,682.50-3.96%31,038.90-26.72%0.0227✓0.9530k2022-05-10
XTZTezosTezos3.11162.9894-3.93%2.1141-32.06%0.0158✓1.08989k2022-05-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,165.9640,540.47-3.85%31,002.39-26.48%0.0393✓1.00588.1M2022-05-10
RADRadworksEthereum4.994.799-3.83%2.73-45.29%0.2788✓0.93650k2022-05-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2751.2268-3.78%0.909-28.71%0.0047✓0.963.1M2022-05-10
XYMSymbolnative0.11940.114891-3.78%0.0813-31.91%0.1299✓0.70820k2022-05-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26610.256417-3.64%0.1534-42.35%0.2485✓0.862.1M2022-05-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.29050.280089-3.58%0.1882-35.22%0.0430✓1.15524k2022-05-10
BTTCBTTC0.000001960.00000189-3.58%0.00000145-26.02%0.0550✓0.6810.2M2022-05-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.492.4008-3.58%1.62-34.94%0.0850✓1.00161k2022-05-10
KCSKuCoinnative20.09819.4081-3.43%13.919-30.74%0.0636✓0.875.4M2022-05-10
ETHEthereumEthereum3,203.053,093.31-3.43%2,340.51-26.93%0.0480✗1.06483.3M2022-05-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9473.8125-3.41%2.218-43.81%0.3439✓0.643.5M2022-05-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.038640.037343-3.36%0.02137-44.69%0.3514✓0.67895k2022-05-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.50790.49127-3.27%0.28-44.87%0.5124✓0.166,2412022-05-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.9855.7918-3.23%5.4245-9.37%0.0738✗0.45156k2022-05-10
PROPropyEthereum1.411.3648-3.20%1.41+0.00%0.3426✗1.01150k2022-05-10
TRXTRONTron0.0625150.060573-3.11%0.077055+23.26%0.4384✗0.64312k2022-05-10
ORCAOrcaSolana2.041.9769-3.09%1.27-37.75%0.2271✓0.70268k2022-05-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151650.14755-2.70%0.09764-35.61%0.1676✓0.8018k2022-05-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.053740.052395-2.50%0.02942-45.25%0.2595✓1.03579k2022-05-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0864.968-2.32%3.506-31.07%0.0378✓1.0179k2022-05-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.26107.8707-2.17%80.12-27.34%0.0186✓1.0325.1M2022-05-10
GTGateEthereum6.68226.5666-1.73%5.8348-12.68%0.0648✗0.594.5M2022-05-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.