8=======>

2022-04-07 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2347
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.42%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
90.1%
in alpha space · 96.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.40%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum6.79696.6603-2.01%6.3071-7.21%0.0667✗0.604.6M2022-05-07
TRXTRONTron0.0644290.063088-2.08%0.083354+29.37%0.4080✗0.64331k2022-05-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin114.17111.6178-2.24%94.27-17.43%0.0398✗1.0326.1M2022-05-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.052610.051262-2.56%0.0396-24.73%0.0468✓1.04576k2022-05-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.038220.03713-2.85%0.02472-35.32%0.2675✓0.69942k2022-05-07
ETHEthereumEthereum3,227.563,134.09-2.90%2,634.80-18.37%0.0433✗1.07497.3M2022-05-07
PROPropyEthereum1.481.437-2.90%1.68+13.51%0.3607✗1.01166k2022-05-07
XYMSymbolnative0.1330.129113-2.92%0.0841-36.77%0.2880✓0.69744k2022-05-07
KCSKuCoinnative20.10319.5047-2.98%16.731-16.77%0.0233✓0.875.4M2022-05-07
BTTCBTTC0.000002020.000001959-3.04%0.00000162-19.80%0.0525✓0.6810.9M2022-05-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012540.012154-3.07%0.0071-43.38%0.4049✓0.6528k2022-05-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.2084.0742-3.18%2.721-35.34%0.2764✓0.633.5M2022-05-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.5045.3252-3.25%4.061-26.22%0.0671✓1.0084k2022-05-07
XVSVenusEthereum11.9611.5687-3.27%7.43-37.88%0.2210✓1.094.6M2022-05-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.226.0163-3.27%4.48-27.97%0.1478✓0.721.8M2022-05-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.048230.046623-3.33%0.03622-24.90%0.0848✓0.8237k2022-05-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash336.09324.8868-3.33%267.87-20.30%0.0014✓0.968.6M2022-05-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.53930.520849-3.42%0.3281-39.16%0.4367✓0.136,2412022-05-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86485.6627-3.45%5.2733-10.09%0.0223✓0.46165k2022-05-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,452.1841,940.66-3.48%35,458.00-18.40%0.0354✓1.00629.7M2022-05-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.366.1369-3.51%4.08-35.85%0.2466✓0.802.0M2022-05-07
DIADIAEthereum0.990.953801-3.66%0.69-30.30%0.2366✓0.43186k2022-05-07
CBKCobakEthereum2.4262.3365-3.69%1.658-31.66%0.1870✓0.7721k2022-05-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.2918.5693-3.74%12.05-37.53%0.2212✓1.0418.7M2022-05-07
UOSUltraEthereum1.17421.13-3.76%0.63066-46.29%0.3170✓1.311.5M2022-05-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1460520.140562-3.76%0.127339-12.81%0.0754✗0.863.5M2022-05-07
RADRadworksEthereum5.084.8856-3.83%3.44-32.28%0.1566✓0.96585k2022-05-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.24880.239096-3.90%0.1419-42.97%0.0460✓2.341.0M2022-05-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.810.778331-3.91%0.577-28.77%0.1170✓0.902.1M2022-05-07
ORCAOrcaSolana2.081.9963-4.03%1.53-26.44%0.1238✓0.70268k2022-05-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.156560.150245-4.03%0.11027-29.57%0.1445✓0.8118k2022-05-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.582.4755-4.05%1.87-27.52%0.0770✓1.00154k2022-05-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.54610.523816-4.08%0.3883-28.90%0.1508✓0.73399k2022-05-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0153830.014755-4.08%0.012543-18.46%0.0126✓0.8627k2022-05-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012860.01233-4.12%0.0078-39.35%0.2202✓1.174.3M2022-05-07
XMRMoneroMonero227.15217.6129-4.20%204.44-10.00%0.1195✗0.891.6M2022-05-07
ADACardanoCardano1.08941.0437-4.20%0.7598-30.26%0.1136✓1.0065.6M2022-05-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26380.252684-4.21%0.1913-27.48%0.1022✓0.871.9M2022-05-07
MANADecentralandEthereum2.41392.3119-4.22%1.3704-43.23%0.2928✓1.131.5M2022-05-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0030.960595-4.23%0.613-38.88%0.1776✓1.343.0M2022-05-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.46890.448996-4.24%0.3316-29.28%0.0998✓1.00794k2022-05-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV89.8185.9857-4.26%70.33-21.69%0.0413✓0.793.1M2022-05-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,248.7041,403.84-4.27%35,568.50-17.76%0.0423✓0.9630k2022-05-07
UMAUMAEthereum7.4127.0924-4.31%5.274-28.85%0.0046✓1.434.6M2022-05-07
AAVEAaveEthereum202.16193.364-4.35%132.21-34.60%0.1195✓1.2817.5M2022-05-07
ZENHorizenBase42.8340.9577-4.37%35.38-17.39%0.1240✗1.33508k2022-05-07
HIVEHivenative0.97490.932072-4.39%0.7423-23.86%0.0083✓1.082.1M2022-05-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.1327.8466-4.41%20.21-30.62%0.1374✓0.90683k2022-05-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.7515.0561-4.41%10.21-35.17%0.1596✓1.1326.1M2022-05-07
XEMNEMnative0.10710.10233-4.45%0.0806-24.74%0.0579✓0.8955k2022-05-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8673.6942-4.47%2.72-29.66%0.1467✓0.782.9M2022-05-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.76660.731625-4.56%0.4765-37.84%0.2215✓1.028.3M2022-05-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08170.077926-4.62%0.061-25.34%0.0797✓0.8146k2022-05-07
UNIUniswapEthereum10.459.9636-4.65%7.17-31.39%0.1155✓1.058.6M2022-05-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche87.5883.477-4.68%55.03-37.17%0.1560✓1.28112.4M2022-05-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4311.3633-4.73%0.948-33.75%0.1734✓0.933.4M2022-05-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.476.163-4.75%4.45-31.22%0.1791✓0.721.1M2022-05-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.828.4003-4.76%4.87-44.78%0.3964✓0.732.5M2022-05-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5382.4168-4.77%2.227-12.25%0.1897✗1.349.2M2022-05-07
XTZTezosTezos3.3863.2238-4.79%2.5117-25.82%0.0330✓1.071.1M2022-05-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.6191.5413-4.80%0.964-40.46%0.2135✓1.263.7M2022-05-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081530.077595-4.83%0.05611-31.18%0.1146✓1.03121k2022-05-07
FTTFTXEthereum45.5543.3509-4.83%35.09-22.96%0.0025✓1.0314.2M2022-05-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.6726.327-4.85%16.43-40.62%0.2444✓1.1235.7M2022-05-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.5815.7696-4.89%18.3+10.37%0.4181✗1.322.9M2022-05-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.103320.098211-4.94%0.07366-28.71%0.1160✓0.8429k2022-05-07
XLMStellarStellar0.2126440.202096-4.96%0.167511-21.22%0.0160✓1.0019.7M2022-05-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.6062.4755-5.01%1.133-56.52%0.5930✓0.93109k2022-05-07
ZECZcashZcash172.67163.9801-5.03%112.65-34.76%0.1825✓0.9513.8M2022-05-07
QNTQuantEthereum127.48121.0387-5.05%87.09-31.68%0.1397✓0.934.2M2022-05-07
DASHDashDash116.82110.8905-5.08%83.41-28.60%0.0837✓0.992.9M2022-05-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0394840.037465-5.11%0.022481-43.06%0.2973✓1.053.9M2022-05-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15610.148066-5.15%0.1203-22.93%0.0007✓1.02228k2022-05-07
QTUMQtumQtum7.25266.8754-5.20%5.228-27.92%0.0406✓1.15220k2022-05-07
KSMKusamaHydration181.6172.1237-5.22%117.99-35.03%0.1632✓1.051.0M2022-05-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.4615.1759-5.22%3.456-36.71%0.0541✓1.722.5M2022-05-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.025350.024025-5.23%0.01781-29.74%0.1400✓0.784.7M2022-05-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.12430.117796-5.23%0.1011-18.66%0.0879✗1.18989k2022-05-07
LSKLiskEthereum2.29422.1738-5.25%1.6319-28.87%0.1152✓0.84138k2022-05-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.7990.756994-5.26%0.7484-6.33%0.1817✗0.9519.0M2022-05-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.32610.308943-5.26%0.2355-27.78%0.0406✓1.14457k2022-05-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.27524.9968-5.28%2.7656-47.57%0.4731✓0.586.6M2022-05-07
STORJStorjEthereum1.15261.0911-5.34%0.80788-29.91%0.0717✓1.13161k2022-05-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.66470.629103-5.36%0.3654-45.03%0.2815✓1.29719k2022-05-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.43150.408339-5.37%0.2918-32.38%0.1017✓1.1512.7M2022-05-07
GITCOINGITCOIN6.8426.4738-5.38%4.491-34.36%0.0710✓1.4522k2022-05-07
CELLCellframeEthereum1.33141.2595-5.40%0.664-50.13%0.3597✓1.38230k2022-05-07
XVGVergenative0.011650.01102-5.40%0.00769-33.99%0.1233✓1.162.1M2022-05-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,290.0520,136.87-5.42%16,364.73-23.13%0.0212✓1.126.2M2022-05-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot20.4119.3038-5.42%13.75-32.63%0.1219✓1.0722.8M2022-05-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024810.000023458-5.45%0.00001928-22.29%0.0364✓1.142.6M2022-05-07
COMPCompoundEthereum138.62130.9968-5.50%99.06-28.54%0.0442✓1.1662k2022-05-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.4413.633-5.59%8.64-40.17%0.3750✓0.402.9M2022-05-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.31493.1275-5.65%2.6362-20.47%0.0080✓0.883.6M2022-05-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum23.5522.2124-5.68%13.4-43.10%0.2336✓1.34306k2022-05-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin22.4821.197-5.71%13.25-41.06%0.2476✓1.098.8M2022-05-07
SCSiacoinnative0.011650.010982-5.73%0.00757-35.02%0.1372✓1.16540k2022-05-07
AVTAventusEthereum3.263.0712-5.79%1.94-40.49%0.3713✓0.43472k2022-05-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative43.4740.9368-5.83%26.87-38.19%0.2000✓1.0916.0M2022-05-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.11.9773-5.84%1.37-34.76%0.0965✓1.331.2M2022-05-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum7.0436.6298-5.87%4.572-35.08%0.1485✓1.10448k2022-05-07
XECeCashnative0.000102570.000096543-5.88%0.00006986-31.89%0.1256✓0.979.4M2022-05-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.3523.838-5.96%21.79-14.04%0.1845✗1.35833k2022-05-07
BORABORAKlay Token0.911280.856732-5.99%0.54159-40.57%0.2553✓1.00385k2022-05-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6651.565-6.00%0.996-40.18%0.1800✓1.34479k2022-05-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.40640.38182-6.05%0.2094-48.47%0.3061✓1.4510.7M2022-05-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18951.117-6.10%0.8746-26.47%0.0113✓1.2614.9M2022-05-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.24070.22595-6.13%0.1674-30.45%0.0594✓1.183.2M2022-05-07
NANOnanopayBase2.50852.3546-6.14%1.7328-30.92%0.0784✓1.12275k2022-05-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0279720.026252-6.15%0.017334-38.03%0.2693✓0.72194k2022-05-07
SUSHISushiEthereum3.643.4161-6.15%2.14-41.21%0.2184✓1.237.6M2022-05-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.341.2572-6.18%0.904-32.54%0.1344✓0.961.5M2022-05-07
STXStacksnative1.31.2194-6.20%0.81-37.69%0.2109✓0.97613k2022-05-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.9714.0342-6.25%10.4-30.53%0.0603✓1.181.4M2022-05-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.073.8149-6.27%2.218-45.50%0.2981✓1.20434k2022-05-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.6795.3229-6.27%4.316-24.00%0.0510✓1.286.8M2022-05-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.2550.239001-6.27%0.1895-25.69%0.0255✓1.27473k2022-05-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2910.272521-6.35%0.217-25.43%0.0553✓0.8531k2022-05-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.7914.7798-6.40%8.88-43.76%0.4110✓0.483.8M2022-05-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.30440.284913-6.40%0.1819-40.24%0.1876✓1.282.2M2022-05-07
LRCLoopringEthereum1.01820.952508-6.45%0.6946-31.78%0.0382✓1.36870k2022-05-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7496980.700894-6.51%0.66758-10.95%0.1756✗1.102.1M2022-05-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.6591.5503-6.55%1.299-21.70%0.0236✓0.991.4M2022-05-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.789120.736863-6.62%0.55681-29.44%0.0671✓1.05255k2022-05-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.005150.004808-6.64%0.00307-40.39%0.1944✓1.259.4M2022-05-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.114.7696-6.66%2.7726-45.74%0.4204✓0.606.7M2022-05-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.7455.3619-6.67%3.376-41.24%0.3865✓0.377.3M2022-05-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.98414.6515-6.67%3.6337-27.09%0.0555✓0.94287k2022-05-07
APEApeCoinEthereum11.17510.4196-6.76%12.353+10.54%0.3735✗1.0062.0M2022-05-07
SOLSolanaSolana118.52110.4608-6.80%78.83-33.49%0.0845✓1.24109.4M2022-05-07
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7931.6705-6.83%0.957-46.63%0.3684✓0.9358k2022-05-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.030010.027953-6.85%0.0155-48.35%0.3568✓1.15326k2022-05-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.784.4482-6.94%3.52-26.36%0.0523✓1.41824k2022-05-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.22060.205241-6.96%0.1348-38.89%0.1803✓1.183.6M2022-05-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.22950.213504-6.97%0.1358-40.83%0.2390✓1.05276k2022-05-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.9060.842594-7.00%0.3705-59.11%0.7249✓0.48681k2022-05-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum54.7850.8823-7.12%28.65-47.70%0.3121✓1.297.8M2022-05-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.760.705894-7.12%0.37-51.32%0.3347✓1.53510k2022-05-07
DODODODOEthereum0.4360.404602-7.20%0.274-37.16%0.1462✓1.205.8M2022-05-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3980.369304-7.21%0.2565-35.55%0.1011✓1.301.9M2022-05-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7611.6338-7.23%1.732-1.65%0.2553✗0.973.5M2022-05-07
LUNATerraTerra 2103.5996.0229-7.30%68.02-34.34%0.0856✓1.289.9M2022-05-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.019650.018197-7.40%0.01392-29.16%0.0646✓1.002.1M2022-05-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.31.2036-7.42%0.7-46.15%0.3119✓1.13757k2022-05-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.9196.4005-7.49%5.315-23.18%0.0546✓0.652.1M2022-05-07
BANDBandEthereum4.4144.0815-7.53%2.784-36.93%0.1380✓1.20733k2022-05-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.66882.4666-7.58%2.2242-16.66%0.0492✓0.7512k2022-05-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08080.074597-7.68%0.0494-38.86%0.1723✓1.18452k2022-05-07
IMXImmutableEthereum2.1531.9875-7.69%1.422-33.95%0.1288✓1.018.2M2022-05-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.46980.432928-7.85%0.2165-53.92%0.3157✓1.862.3M2022-05-07
MOVRMoonriverBase70.100864.4281-8.09%34.6588-50.56%0.3248✓1.45191k2022-05-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5040.462483-8.24%0.39-22.62%0.0532✓1.107.0M2022-05-07
MINAMina Protocolnative3.473.1817-8.31%1.72-50.43%0.4023✓1.051.0M2022-05-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05850.053351-8.80%0.0345-41.03%0.0943✓1.6843.2M2022-05-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.56595.9814-8.90%4.8265-26.49%0.0074✓1.0928.7M2022-05-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2360.21481-8.98%0.133-43.64%0.3611✓0.5833k2022-05-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.030130.027401-9.06%0.01627-46.00%0.2280✓1.4457.1M2022-05-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14040.126563-9.86%0.0858-38.89%0.1728✓1.06205k2022-05-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.6565.0896-10.01%3.425-39.44%0.1899✓1.01102k2022-05-07
API3Api3Ethereum5.084.5628-10.18%3.122-38.54%0.2667✓0.553.7M2022-05-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.836.0876-10.87%4.52-33.82%0.0006✓1.47697k2022-05-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.60e-77.64e-7-11.20%8.69e-7+0.96%0.0408✓-0.43811k2022-05-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.