8=======>

2022-03-21 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1770
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.02%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.4%
in alpha space · 54.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.88%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.053580.052437-2.13%0.04767-11.03%0.1045✓1.05474k2022-04-20
AAVEAaveEthereum153.89150.3873-2.28%186.29+21.05%0.2028✗1.298.5M2022-04-20
XYMSymbolnative0.13710.133586-2.56%0.1203-12.25%0.1117✓0.79298k2022-04-20
PROPropyEthereum1.591.5479-2.65%1.83+15.09%0.1585✗1.02242k2022-04-20
TRXTRONTron0.061790.060126-2.69%0.062638+1.37%0.0353✗0.64259k2022-04-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6570.638453-2.82%0.743+13.09%0.1437✗0.911.9M2022-04-20
ETHEthereumEthereum2,891.082,803.77-3.02%3,077.06+6.43%0.0838✗1.05492.6M2022-04-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.372.2968-3.09%2.28-3.80%0.0159✓0.98142k2022-04-20
XVSVenusEthereum9.379.0694-3.21%10.78+15.05%0.1637✗1.043.0M2022-04-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51050.493668-3.30%0.5123+0.35%0.0306✓0.74399k2022-04-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.74430.7191-3.39%0.6777-8.95%0.0673✓0.927.2M2022-04-20
KCSKuCoinnative18.0917.4678-3.44%20.915+15.62%0.1722✗0.906.2M2022-04-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039030.037684-3.45%0.03471-11.07%0.0880✓0.66963k2022-04-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.226.0045-3.47%5.71-8.20%0.0566✓0.721.3M2022-04-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.850.819404-3.60%0.877+3.18%0.0563✗1.332.1M2022-04-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8513.712-3.61%3.585-6.91%0.0403✓0.63683k2022-04-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin116.13111.7932-3.73%111.86-3.68%0.0082✓1.0125.9M2022-04-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.7632.6573-3.83%4.076+47.52%0.4177✗1.15514k2022-04-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1030.098985-3.90%0.216+109.71%0.7756✗0.5429k2022-04-20
DIADIAEthereum0.940.903267-3.91%0.92-2.13%0.0152✓0.36248k2022-04-20
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.000001757-3.99%0.0000019+3.83%0.0728✗0.6212.1M2022-04-20
SCSiacoinnative0.009560.009176-4.01%0.01086+13.60%0.1588✗1.10441k2022-04-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25060.240448-4.05%0.2497-0.36%0.0306✓0.821.9M2022-04-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.46.1399-4.06%5.17-19.22%0.1784✓0.741.6M2022-04-20
SUSHISushiEthereum3.313.174-4.11%3.51+6.04%0.0905✗1.166.4M2022-04-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.7518.9381-4.11%21.27+7.70%0.1045✗1.33246k2022-04-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3133.1758-4.14%3.54+6.85%0.1022✗0.731.2M2022-04-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash334.93321.0574-4.14%330.55-1.31%0.0209✓0.947.0M2022-04-20
GTGateEthereum6.36916.1052-4.14%6.5262+2.47%0.0611✗0.643.6M2022-04-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1191840.114216-4.17%0.140583+17.95%0.2006✗0.822.6M2022-04-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.08970.085861-4.28%0.119+32.66%0.3156✗1.23504k2022-04-20
RADRadworksEthereum4.744.5371-4.28%4.72-0.42%0.0319✓0.87626k2022-04-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9834.7657-4.36%5.929+18.98%0.2127✗0.66716k2022-04-20
XEMNEMnative0.10710.10239-4.40%0.1006-6.07%0.0250✓0.8540k2022-04-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.16541.1139-4.42%1.0291-11.69%0.0904✓1.291.7M2022-04-20
MINAMina Protocolnative2.091.9962-4.49%2.42+15.79%0.1834✗1.04354k2022-04-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.2112.1106-4.54%2.315+4.70%0.0856✗0.7921k2022-04-20
XVGVergenative0.00990.009448-4.56%0.01074+8.48%0.1181✗1.151.7M2022-04-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012620.012044-4.56%0.0114-9.67%0.0611✓0.709,3002022-04-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8515.1227-4.59%14.63-7.70%0.0446✓1.312.6M2022-04-20
ZENHorizenBase43.5941.5605-4.66%37.73-13.44%0.1081✓1.31309k2022-04-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.94680.90236-4.69%1.2813+35.33%0.3401✗1.214.7M2022-04-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.9880.9858-4.70%85.34+0.42%0.0458✓0.751.1M2022-04-20
HIVEHivenative0.91430.870823-4.76%0.9124-0.21%0.0369✓1.122.1M2022-04-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.10491.0523-4.76%1.1896+7.66%0.1127✗1.13128k2022-04-20
COMPCompoundEthereum113.52108.0622-4.81%146.98+29.47%0.2974✗1.1748k2022-04-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,017.7139,023.65-4.86%41,377.61+0.88%0.0498✓1.00680.6M2022-04-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.025750.024494-4.88%0.0229-11.07%0.0767✓1.08211k2022-04-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.5990.569732-4.89%0.4818-19.57%0.1764✓1.004,8802022-04-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.9716.134-4.93%17.1+0.77%0.0494✓1.0014.5M2022-04-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041260.039214-4.96%0.04465+8.22%0.1225✗0.8423k2022-04-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2281.1671-4.96%1.215-1.06%0.0316✓0.992.8M2022-04-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,105.8039,048.31-5.01%41,418.20+0.76%0.0505✓0.9652k2022-04-20
AVTAventusEthereum2.272.1559-5.03%2.5+10.13%0.1447✗0.39309k2022-04-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.5728.0777-5.05%26.49-10.42%0.0661✓0.91767k2022-04-20
ZECZcashZcash181.56172.2963-5.10%156.61-13.74%0.1040✓0.9813.8M2022-04-20
KSMKusamaHydration154.99147.0643-5.11%180.41+16.40%0.1945✗1.13685k2022-04-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1962.0828-5.16%2.331+6.15%0.1011✗1.319.5M2022-04-20
LSKLiskEthereum2.15442.0425-5.20%2.2075+2.46%0.0709✗0.79126k2022-04-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.026170.024797-5.25%0.02266-13.41%0.0967✓0.752.7M2022-04-20
QTUMQtumQtum6.82366.4653-5.25%6.7512-1.06%0.0335✓1.1297k2022-04-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07520.071237-5.27%0.1132+50.53%0.4549✗0.94146k2022-04-20
XMRMoneroMonero191.87181.705-5.30%266.68+38.99%0.3754✗0.951.7M2022-04-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0345.7138-5.31%5.831-3.36%0.0120✓0.9582k2022-04-20
XLMStellarStellar0.2036920.192748-5.37%0.20034-1.65%0.0300✓0.9917.0M2022-04-20
MANADecentralandEthereum2.40892.2794-5.38%2.1077-12.51%0.0886✓1.181.3M2022-04-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.2681.6049-5.40%78.24-9.30%0.0535✓1.30118.0M2022-04-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.19695.8618-5.41%5.9614-3.80%0.0132✓0.42179k2022-04-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5311.4475-5.45%1.543+0.78%0.0550✓1.02644k2022-04-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum1514.1787-5.48%14.03-6.47%0.0199✓1.0733.1M2022-04-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.22070.208559-5.50%0.1973-10.60%0.0642✓1.001.7M2022-04-20
ADACardanoCardano0.91790.867272-5.52%0.9367+2.05%0.0682✗1.0160.9M2022-04-20
DASHDashDash123.68116.8273-5.54%107.03-13.46%0.0961✓0.981.7M2022-04-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41180.388798-5.59%0.363-11.85%0.0788✓1.169.3M2022-04-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.79690.751963-5.64%0.652-18.18%0.1456✓0.34620k2022-04-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.7723.554-5.78%5.2876+40.18%0.3919✗0.623.9M2022-04-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0128140.012073-5.78%0.01453+13.39%0.1773✗0.9111k2022-04-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011780.011098-5.79%0.0108-8.32%0.0379✓1.223.2M2022-04-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.48130.453437-5.79%0.4393-8.73%0.0404✓1.001.3M2022-04-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.3475.9765-5.84%6.841+7.78%0.1264✗1.00475k2022-04-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,359.4019,157.66-5.90%19,161.36-5.88%0.0095✓1.115.7M2022-04-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.7517.6393-5.92%19.1+1.87%0.0701✗1.0824.4M2022-04-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.456.0606-6.04%6-6.98%0.0165✓0.74822k2022-04-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.424.1508-6.09%4.44+0.45%0.0550✓1.41375k2022-04-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.074440.069893-6.11%0.07605+2.16%0.0775✗0.799,2172022-04-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.230.215896-6.13%0.2422+5.30%0.1062✗1.00372k2022-04-20
FTTFTXEthereum44.6741.9288-6.14%42.77-4.25%0.0108✓1.0414.3M2022-04-20
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.9675.6-6.15%4.782-19.86%0.1667✓1.00498k2022-04-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018960.01778-6.22%0.01775-6.38%0.0107✓1.031.4M2022-04-20
UMAUMAEthereum7.5757.1006-6.26%6.337-16.34%0.1252✓1.306.0M2022-04-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0403440.037813-6.27%0.034071-15.55%0.1125✓0.954.1M2022-04-20
XTZTezosTezos3.24073.0371-6.28%3.1443-2.97%0.0252✓1.091.1M2022-04-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.6081.5069-6.29%1.455-9.51%0.0460✓1.253.7M2022-04-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.7525.0603-6.32%23.41-12.49%0.0793✓1.28735k2022-04-20
NANOnanopayBase2.2122.0719-6.33%2.1203-4.15%0.0131✓1.15139k2022-04-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.20320.190298-6.35%0.2258+11.12%0.1610✗1.162.3M2022-04-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4331.3415-6.38%1.516+5.79%0.1104✗1.36466k2022-04-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.8280.774499-6.46%0.7421-10.37%0.0515✓1.0016.8M2022-04-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.816550.763503-6.50%0.76066-6.84%0.0135✓1.12118k2022-04-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256440.023968-6.54%0.026519+3.41%0.0946✗0.75198k2022-04-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.12323.8523-6.57%4.0391-2.04%0.0416✓0.654.7M2022-04-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.8216.6428-6.61%19.6+9.99%0.1550✗0.985.1M2022-04-20
SOLSolanaSolana88.6282.7516-6.62%105.59+19.15%0.2327✗1.2692.6M2022-04-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.2120.197904-6.65%0.245+15.57%0.2022✗1.291.8M2022-04-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4135.853-6.66%36.54-4.87%0.0104✓0.983.9M2022-04-20
UNIUniswapEthereum9.358.727-6.66%9.32-0.32%0.0568✓1.036.1M2022-04-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.094860.088486-6.72%0.09555+0.73%0.0691✓0.8828k2022-04-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.9326.0466-6.74%24.27-13.10%0.0804✓1.1140.2M2022-04-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.891.7613-6.81%2.04+7.94%0.1357✗1.281.0M2022-04-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5501760.512342-6.88%1.0951+99.05%0.7505✗1.041.6M2022-04-20
QNTQuantEthereum119.55111.2869-6.91%110.63-7.46%0.0139✓0.914.2M2022-04-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.29330.272309-7.16%0.3026+3.17%0.0956✗1.13192k2022-04-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.5992.4127-7.17%2.105-19.01%0.1452✓1.0052k2022-04-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.097.5048-7.23%6.41-20.77%0.1639✓0.712.6M2022-04-20
STXStacksnative1.31.2057-7.25%1.18-9.23%0.0298✓0.94481k2022-04-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.82754.4772-7.26%4.7537-1.53%0.0518✓0.93208k2022-04-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022940.000021275-7.26%0.00002483+8.24%0.1443✗1.172.3M2022-04-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.23580.218339-7.41%0.1961-16.84%0.1162✓1.00173k2022-04-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34390.31833-7.44%0.3518+2.30%0.0875✗1.439.4M2022-04-20
XECeCashnative0.000080420.000074433-7.44%0.00009119+13.39%0.1946✗0.964.8M2022-04-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15240.141015-7.47%0.1377-9.65%0.0329✓1.04215k2022-04-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.16352.9266-7.49%4.385+38.61%0.3972✗0.824.1M2022-04-20
GITCOINGITCOIN6.5296.0363-7.55%6.238-4.46%0.0209✓1.3724k2022-04-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.9714.5935-7.59%6.611+32.99%0.3529✗1.282.6M2022-04-20
DODODODOEthereum0.4190.387137-7.60%0.429+2.39%0.0931✗1.102.8M2022-04-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80750.745904-7.63%0.9538+18.12%0.2343✗1.32111k2022-04-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074220.06855-7.64%0.07671+3.35%0.1032✗1.0659k2022-04-20
ORCAOrcaSolana2.151.985-7.67%1.99-7.44%0.0034✓0.67176k2022-04-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.5215.2447-7.72%13.95-15.56%0.0993✓1.21510k2022-04-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6181.4926-7.75%2.83+74.91%0.6310✗0.992.3M2022-04-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2540.233819-7.95%0.285+12.20%0.1909✗0.8129k2022-04-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.62320.573286-8.01%0.6061-2.74%0.0447✓1.26447k2022-04-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13260.121758-8.18%0.199+50.08%0.4809✗1.192.1M2022-04-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34150.313272-8.27%0.353+3.37%0.1079✗1.32997k2022-04-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana13.712.5516-8.38%14.85+8.39%0.1638✗0.502.0M2022-04-20
LUNATerraTerra 295.8287.7758-8.40%94.77-1.10%0.0646✓1.389.1M2022-04-20
MOVRMoonriverBase62.259657.0073-8.44%58.9613-5.30%0.0220✓1.34154k2022-04-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.410.374283-8.71%0.3835-6.46%0.0076✓1.912.1M2022-04-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.8811.7539-8.74%13.9+7.92%0.1640✗0.433.0M2022-04-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.121.0213-8.81%1.1-1.79%0.0651✓1.04525k2022-04-20
BANDBandEthereum3.7493.414-8.94%3.946+5.25%0.1351✗1.11590k2022-04-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.5181.3744-9.46%1.439-5.20%0.0372✓1.001.6M2022-04-20
IMXImmutableEthereum2.1411.9352-9.61%2.01-6.12%0.0295✓0.964.0M2022-04-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum50.1745.2157-9.87%46.2-7.91%0.0106✓1.254.8M2022-04-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.1915.5762-9.93%4.876-21.24%0.1383✓0.485.9M2022-04-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.152260.136969-10.04%0.14828-2.61%0.0719✓0.8514k2022-04-20
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6871.5156-10.16%1.46-13.46%0.0444✓0.8150k2022-04-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.573677-10.36%0.63-1.56%0.0803✓1.52440k2022-04-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.555.8662-10.44%6.29-3.97%0.0576✓1.39447k2022-04-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.000001180.000001051-10.98%0.000001102-6.64%0.0513✓-0.421.7M2022-04-20
CELLCellframeEthereum1.4991.3306-11.24%0.9519-36.50%0.3469✓1.37204k2022-04-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07120.062849-11.73%0.0706-0.84%0.1059✓1.19337k2022-04-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06250.05483-12.27%0.0532-14.88%0.0452✓1.7243.9M2022-04-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6940.606887-12.55%0.622-10.37%0.0143✓1.182.1M2022-04-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.0064.3668-12.77%4.846-3.20%0.0958✓0.95102k2022-04-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004410.003837-12.98%0.0042-4.76%0.0788✓1.315.3M2022-04-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.035880.030622-14.66%0.0241-32.83%0.2530✓1.5413.3M2022-04-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.30431.9562-15.11%2.4899+8.05%0.2350✗0.7213k2022-04-20
API3Api3Ethereum4.9174.116-16.29%5.265+7.08%0.2407✗0.637.0M2022-04-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.95267.2539-18.97%5.8153-35.04%0.2298✓1.0047.9M2022-04-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.