8=======>

2022-03-20 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2005
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+20.46%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.8%
in alpha space · 47.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.52%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049680.048803-1.76%0.04893-1.51%0.0031✓1.09459k2022-04-19
AAVEAaveEthereum152.83149.4114-2.24%183+19.74%0.1961✗1.288.0M2022-04-19
XYMSymbolnative0.13580.132725-2.26%0.1098-19.15%0.1937✓0.78296k2022-04-19
TRXTRONTron0.0615510.059889-2.70%0.063223+2.72%0.0508✗0.64259k2022-04-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.640.622709-2.70%0.751+17.34%0.1826✗0.912.0M2022-04-19
ETHEthereumEthereum2,862.442,776.75-2.99%3,102.26+8.38%0.1054✗1.04492.6M2022-04-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.352.2796-3.00%2.3-2.13%0.0038✓0.98142k2022-04-19
XVSVenusEthereum8.968.6905-3.01%10.76+20.09%0.2082✗1.043.0M2022-04-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.145.935-3.34%5.76-6.19%0.0337✓0.711.3M2022-04-19
KCSKuCoinnative18.20517.5824-3.42%20.958+15.12%0.1709✗0.906.2M2022-04-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.682.5871-3.47%4.212+57.16%0.4814✗1.16514k2022-04-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51580.497743-3.50%0.5231+1.42%0.0458✗0.75399k2022-04-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75170.725131-3.53%0.6867-8.65%0.0596✓0.987.2M2022-04-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8470.816402-3.61%0.882+4.13%0.0703✗1.332.0M2022-04-19
SCSiacoinnative0.009180.008844-3.66%0.01087+18.41%0.2004✗1.11441k2022-04-19
DIADIAEthereum0.940.904799-3.74%0.93-1.06%0.0256✓0.37258k2022-04-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24720.237816-3.80%0.2438-1.38%0.0205✓0.832.1M2022-04-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin114.88110.5106-3.80%113.81-0.93%0.0242✓1.0025.9M2022-04-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.316.0672-3.85%5.33-15.53%0.1333✓0.721.6M2022-04-19
XEMNEMnative0.09950.095638-3.88%0.1013+1.81%0.0531✗0.8540k2022-04-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.4615.2481-3.90%5.752+5.33%0.0868✗0.9479k2022-04-19
SUSHISushiEthereum3.243.1125-3.94%3.36+3.70%0.0704✗1.176.0M2022-04-19
GTGateEthereum6.44756.1863-4.05%6.5237+1.18%0.0498✗0.643.4M2022-04-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash327.61314.278-4.07%340.62+3.97%0.0756✗0.936.7M2022-04-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.09110.08732-4.15%0.1165+27.88%0.2819✗1.22522k2022-04-19
BTTCBTTC0.000001820.000001744-4.19%0.00000193+6.04%0.0982✗0.6212.1M2022-04-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.6218.7979-4.19%21.36+8.87%0.1208✗1.33246k2022-04-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1060.101558-4.19%0.22+107.55%0.7702✗0.5432k2022-04-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9654.7566-4.20%6.045+21.75%0.2363✗0.65629k2022-04-19
UOSUltraEthereum1.1191.0719-4.20%1.061-5.18%0.0170✓1.301.9M2022-04-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3013.1607-4.25%3.583+8.54%0.1216✗0.72894k2022-04-19
XVGVergenative0.009320.008921-4.28%0.01091+17.06%0.1953✗1.151.6M2022-04-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44720.428008-4.29%0.5999+34.15%0.3309✗1.28440k2022-04-19
CBKCobakEthereum2.2272.1305-4.33%2.379+6.83%0.1062✗0.7820k2022-04-19
PROPropyEthereum1.721.6454-4.33%1.88+9.30%0.1279✗1.02228k2022-04-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1191240.113952-4.34%0.142753+19.84%0.2211✗0.822.7M2022-04-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01250.011957-4.34%0.01153-7.76%0.0401✓0.709,3002022-04-19
ZENHorizenBase41.0239.2337-4.35%38.77-5.49%0.0187✓1.31267k2022-04-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV85.0381.3099-4.38%86.17+1.34%0.0541✗0.751.0M2022-04-19
HIVEHivenative0.90640.865656-4.50%0.93+2.60%0.0658✗1.122.1M2022-04-19
STORJStorjEthereum1.08041.0318-4.50%1.2566+16.31%0.1911✗1.16128k2022-04-19
RADRadworksEthereum4.854.6299-4.54%4.76-1.86%0.0232✓0.87567k2022-04-19
COMPCompoundEthereum116.01110.6916-4.58%142.4+22.75%0.2458✗1.1648k2022-04-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.044860.042803-4.59%0.03461-22.85%0.2159✓0.65963k2022-04-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8415.1131-4.59%14.91-5.87%0.0203✓1.302.4M2022-04-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.025430.024245-4.66%0.02344-7.83%0.0394✓1.09248k2022-04-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041130.039194-4.71%0.04512+9.70%0.1364✗0.8424k2022-04-19
MINAMina Protocolnative2.122.0199-4.72%2.45+15.57%0.1876✗1.04343k2022-04-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.0927.6904-4.81%26.84-7.73%0.0359✓0.91767k2022-04-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.92660.881869-4.83%1.2147+31.09%0.3138✗1.224.7M2022-04-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.60040.57112-4.88%0.4965-17.31%0.1452✓1.005,0372022-04-19
ZECZcashZcash174.15165.6291-4.89%158.67-8.89%0.0480✓0.9813.0M2022-04-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1941.1355-4.90%1.288+7.87%0.1208✗1.002.8M2022-04-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,287.2439,261.14-4.91%41,503.85+0.52%0.0503✓1.00680.6M2022-04-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.152.0438-4.94%2.311+7.49%0.1159✗1.349.5M2022-04-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.7715.9335-4.99%17.43+3.94%0.0845✗1.0114.0M2022-04-19
KSMKusamaHydration152.19144.5476-5.02%176.41+15.91%0.1933✗1.12671k2022-04-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1033.8959-5.05%3.62-11.77%0.0767✓0.62656k2022-04-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,609.4039,507.79-5.05%41,490.50-0.29%0.0439✓0.9646k2022-04-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche84.8580.4853-5.14%80.32-5.34%0.0089✓1.31116.0M2022-04-19
LSKLiskEthereum2.14352.0327-5.17%2.2396+4.48%0.0927✗0.80130k2022-04-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07480.070932-5.17%0.1168+56.15%0.4938✗0.94146k2022-04-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.22750.215685-5.19%0.2086-8.31%0.0386✓1.001.8M2022-04-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.025520.024189-5.21%0.0222-13.01%0.0898✓0.762.7M2022-04-19
DASHDashDash115.63109.5848-5.23%109.73-5.10%0.0038✓0.981.7M2022-04-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.39050.369768-5.31%0.3612-7.50%0.0297✓1.208.9M2022-04-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.4651.3872-5.31%1.368-6.62%0.0206✓1.293.6M2022-04-19
XMRMoneroMonero194.71184.3493-5.32%254.39+30.65%0.3171✗0.931.7M2022-04-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.06385.741-5.32%5.8627-3.32%0.0188✓0.41179k2022-04-19
MANADecentralandEthereum2.39922.2696-5.40%2.1654-9.74%0.0531✓1.171.3M2022-04-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1973290.186659-5.41%0.203903+3.33%0.0832✗0.9918.0M2022-04-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.5613.7651-5.46%14.25-2.13%0.0291✓1.0633.9M2022-04-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.78090.73714-5.60%0.678-13.18%0.0854✓0.34626k2022-04-19
ADACardanoCardano0.8790.829612-5.62%0.9524+8.35%0.1328✗1.0162.5M2022-04-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011720.011055-5.68%0.01096-6.48%0.0150✓1.223.2M2022-04-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5551.4663-5.71%1.541-0.90%0.0444✓1.01639k2022-04-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.49560.467287-5.71%0.4338-12.47%0.0796✓1.001.4M2022-04-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.2185.8625-5.72%6.787+9.15%0.1412✗1.00462k2022-04-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.80113.5798-5.82%5.3111+39.73%0.3913✗0.613.9M2022-04-19
AVTAventusEthereum2.432.2883-5.83%2.53+4.12%0.0984✗0.38309k2022-04-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.6617.5596-5.90%18.88+1.18%0.0669✗1.0824.4M2022-04-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74180.69783-5.93%0.7593+2.36%0.0791✗1.0116.6M2022-04-19
QTUMQtumQtum6.97876.5645-5.94%6.8299-2.13%0.0338✓1.1197k2022-04-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.23220.218252-6.01%0.2435+4.87%0.1042✗1.00387k2022-04-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018610.017483-6.06%0.01792-3.71%0.0193✓1.041.4M2022-04-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07490.07034-6.09%0.0768+2.54%0.0837✗0.799,2172022-04-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.6925.3423-6.14%4.862-14.58%0.0994✓1.00464k2022-04-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0248050.023276-6.16%0.026467+6.70%0.1246✗0.75202k2022-04-19
FTTFTXEthereum44.0341.3148-6.17%43.48-1.25%0.0457✓1.0314.3M2022-04-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,923.1718,694.06-6.17%19,429.29-2.48%0.0330✓1.075.7M2022-04-19
UNIUniswapEthereum9.338.752-6.20%9.54+2.25%0.0808✗1.036.0M2022-04-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.2424.6042-6.23%24.1-8.16%0.0275✓1.29735k2022-04-19
NANOnanopayBase2.212.0717-6.26%2.1529-2.59%0.0325✓1.15139k2022-04-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4441.3529-6.31%1.518+5.12%0.1080✗1.36492k2022-04-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.6516.5368-6.31%20.41+15.64%0.2054✗0.975.7M2022-04-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.821070.768999-6.34%0.77569-5.53%0.0028✓1.12111k2022-04-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.20350.190408-6.43%0.2299+12.97%0.1824✗1.162.3M2022-04-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.454.1631-6.45%4.52+1.57%0.0749✗1.41375k2022-04-19
UMAUMAEthereum7.5747.0843-6.47%6.397-15.54%0.1088✓1.296.0M2022-04-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0400720.037457-6.53%0.034926-12.84%0.0750✓0.964.1M2022-04-19
SOLSolanaSolana88.6482.852-6.53%108.55+22.46%0.2636✗1.2692.6M2022-04-19
XTZTezosTezos3.33623.1181-6.54%3.2342-3.06%0.0309✓1.081.1M2022-04-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.716.2708-6.55%5.91-11.92%0.0631✓0.73822k2022-04-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.20560.192009-6.61%0.2531+23.10%0.2695✗1.291.8M2022-04-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2440.227789-6.64%0.27+10.66%0.1658✗0.8129k2022-04-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.6232.4475-6.69%2.069-21.12%0.1732✓1.0053k2022-04-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5494240.51234-6.75%0.730876+33.03%0.3498✗1.041.6M2022-04-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.20463.9198-6.77%3.9891-5.13%0.0141✓0.654.7M2022-04-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.095090.088633-6.79%0.09588+0.83%0.0740✗0.8828k2022-04-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.881.7519-6.82%2.07+10.11%0.1601✗1.291.1M2022-04-19
QNTQuantEthereum118.64110.3428-6.99%114.35-3.62%0.0308✓0.924.2M2022-04-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.29940.278363-7.03%0.3014+0.67%0.0736✗1.13183k2022-04-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.8325.8668-7.05%24.67-11.35%0.0533✓1.1340.2M2022-04-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15220.141398-7.10%0.1386-8.94%0.0254✓1.04205k2022-04-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.977.3978-7.18%6.71-15.81%0.1013✓0.702.6M2022-04-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.23320.216325-7.24%0.2-14.24%0.0837✓1.00176k2022-04-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023120.000021447-7.24%0.00002543+9.99%0.1642✗1.172.5M2022-04-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.014170.013143-7.25%0.014582+2.91%0.0992✗0.9011k2022-04-19
GITCOINGITCOIN6.4866.0066-7.39%6.219-4.12%0.0276✓1.3725k2022-04-19
XECeCashnative0.000079410.000073524-7.41%0.00009242+16.38%0.2237✗0.964.7M2022-04-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.075180.069565-7.47%0.07664+1.94%0.0913✗1.0657k2022-04-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.2135.3475-7.49%37.81-1.05%0.0622✓0.973.8M2022-04-19
DODODODOEthereum0.4190.387539-7.51%0.408-2.63%0.0457✓1.112.8M2022-04-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.24192.9984-7.51%4.3291+33.54%0.3630✗0.824.1M2022-04-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33940.313878-7.52%0.3525+3.86%0.1084✗1.469.9M2022-04-19
STXStacksnative1.261.1649-7.55%1.22-3.17%0.0413✓0.94444k2022-04-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.2211.2971-7.55%14.97+22.50%0.2789✗0.511.8M2022-04-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.86744.4978-7.59%4.8096-1.19%0.0621✓0.94208k2022-04-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.2194.8209-7.63%6.167+18.16%0.2396✗1.282.5M2022-04-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5661.4452-7.71%3.099+97.89%0.7576✗1.002.2M2022-04-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.82210.758119-7.78%0.9604+16.82%0.2294✗1.37106k2022-04-19
ORCAOrcaSolana2.151.9771-8.04%1.93-10.23%0.0276✓0.67182k2022-04-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12470.114488-8.19%0.2015+61.59%0.5591✗1.192.1M2022-04-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34290.314818-8.19%0.3628+5.80%0.1349✗1.33965k2022-04-19
LUNATerraTerra 290.4382.8294-8.41%95.57+5.68%0.1358✗1.399.1M2022-04-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum17.3515.8722-8.52%13.73-20.86%0.1513✓1.20426k2022-04-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.4371.3129-8.64%1.265-11.97%0.0424✓1.011.4M2022-04-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003650.003334-8.65%0.00425+16.44%0.2353✗1.405.2M2022-04-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.121.0226-8.69%1.12+0.00%0.0856✓1.03522k2022-04-19
MOVRMoonriverBase59.668554.4503-8.75%60.1688+0.84%0.0928✗1.34154k2022-04-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.40420.3684-8.86%0.3979-1.56%0.0669✓1.932.1M2022-04-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.8611.716-8.90%15.02+16.80%0.2463✗0.413.0M2022-04-19
BANDBandEthereum3.5843.2601-9.04%3.962+10.55%0.1891✗1.12622k2022-04-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.8745.0295-9.71%47.4-4.95%0.0447✓1.264.8M2022-04-19
IMXImmutableEthereum2.1861.9717-9.80%1.975-9.65%0.0034✓0.983.8M2022-04-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.153170.137682-10.11%0.14532-5.13%0.0495✓0.8614k2022-04-19
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6471.4762-10.37%1.443-12.39%0.0270✓0.8155k2022-04-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.2385.573-10.66%4.665-25.22%0.1803✓0.475.1M2022-04-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.571149-10.76%0.64+0.00%0.1060✓1.50477k2022-04-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.495.7764-11.00%6.19-4.62%0.0619✓1.39447k2022-04-19
CELLCellframeEthereum1.47131.307-11.17%0.8912-39.43%0.3904✓1.43217k2022-04-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.000001180.000001046-11.35%0.00000123+4.25%0.1643✗-0.431.7M2022-04-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07050.062418-11.46%0.0695-1.42%0.1013✓1.19337k2022-04-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06620.058002-12.38%0.0548-17.22%0.0658✓1.7243.9M2022-04-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.8844.2522-12.94%5.024+2.87%0.1619✗0.94102k2022-04-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.032550.028249-13.21%0.02273-30.17%0.2261✓1.6813.3M2022-04-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.16881.8484-14.77%2.497+15.13%0.2970✗0.7213k2022-04-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.8140.685697-15.76%0.662-18.67%0.0412✓1.162.1M2022-04-19
API3Api3Ethereum4.7733.9993-16.21%4.632-2.95%0.1436✓0.637.4M2022-04-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain9.20077.3184-20.46%5.4567-40.69%0.2988✓1.0048.8M2022-04-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.