8=======>

2022-03-19 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3096
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+21.41%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.1%
in alpha space · 63.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.38%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0194850.019702+1.11%0.026332+35.14%0.3178✓0.81167k2022-04-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012390.012404+0.11%0.01149-7.26%0.0522✗0.719,3002022-04-18
XEMNEMnative0.10110.100762-0.33%0.0979-3.17%0.0002✓0.8439k2022-04-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,269.5041,979.38-0.69%40,850.20-3.36%0.0058✓0.9652k2022-04-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.3382.7206-0.73%84.67+1.61%0.0493✗0.761.0M2022-04-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.852.829-0.74%4.174+46.46%0.4287✗1.15514k2022-04-18
GTGateEthereum6.32146.2736-0.76%6.5754+4.02%0.0692✗0.643.3M2022-04-18
XYMSymbolnative0.1370.135541-1.06%0.1102-19.56%0.1800✓0.78296k2022-04-18
TRXTRONTron0.0619210.061243-1.09%0.0616-0.52%0.0278✗0.64259k2022-04-18
AAVEAaveEthereum157.26155.344-1.22%169.22+7.61%0.1297✗1.287.4M2022-04-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.426.3235-1.50%5.7-11.21%0.0794✓0.711.0M2022-04-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.0628.5856-1.63%26.26-9.64%0.0535✓0.91821k2022-04-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034530.033935-1.72%0.03494+1.19%0.0541✗0.72895k2022-04-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51820.507636-2.04%0.5015-3.22%0.0136✓0.75399k2022-04-18
PROPropyEthereum1.531.4988-2.04%1.86+21.57%0.2520✗1.05228k2022-04-18
XVGVergenative0.009670.009463-2.14%0.01043+7.86%0.1369✗1.151.6M2022-04-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041490.040596-2.15%0.04446+7.16%0.1199✗0.8424k2022-04-18
RADRadworksEthereum4.694.5826-2.29%4.62-1.49%0.0384✗0.88521k2022-04-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.1712.8598-2.36%14.46+9.79%0.1317✗0.423.0M2022-04-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07610.074258-2.42%0.1174+54.27%0.4904✗0.94146k2022-04-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.110.107286-2.47%0.228+107.27%0.7722✗0.5334k2022-04-18
SCSiacoinnative0.009810.009565-2.50%0.01042+6.22%0.1235✗1.10441k2022-04-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45420.442761-2.52%0.5505+21.20%0.2618✗1.28433k2022-04-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8754.7518-2.53%6.129+25.72%0.2772✗0.66593k2022-04-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin116.82113.8639-2.53%111.24-4.78%0.0111✓1.0025.9M2022-04-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5620.0258-2.60%20.41-0.73%0.0645✗1.32246k2022-04-18
XMRMoneroMonero197.76192.5598-2.63%265.87+34.44%0.3548✗0.941.7M2022-04-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6540.636748-2.64%0.737+12.69%0.1775✗0.912.1M2022-04-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1550.150885-2.66%0.1372-11.48%0.0593✓1.04215k2022-04-18
HIVEHivenative0.93240.907276-2.69%0.8922-4.31%0.0218✓1.122.1M2022-04-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.840220.81644-2.83%0.76358-9.12%0.0284✓1.12111k2022-04-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.01318.6949-2.84%340.48+3.80%0.0983✗0.946.6M2022-04-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2845.1326-2.87%5.068-4.09%0.0200✓0.9578k2022-04-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.42.3308-2.88%2.3-4.17%0.0203✓0.98146k2022-04-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.36.116-2.92%5.82-7.62%0.0239✓0.75822k2022-04-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.436.2419-2.93%5.21-18.97%0.1556✓0.731.6M2022-04-18
QTUMQtumQtum6.35446.1678-2.94%6.6996+5.43%0.1217✗1.1397k2022-04-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.073840.071646-2.97%0.0757+2.52%0.0825✗0.809,2172022-04-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.08860.085954-2.99%0.1161+31.04%0.3426✗1.22522k2022-04-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.026950.02614-3.01%0.02162-19.78%0.1641✓0.752.7M2022-04-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.051480.049929-3.01%0.04894-4.93%0.0175✓1.09459k2022-04-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2851.2461-3.02%1.27-1.17%0.0530✗0.992.9M2022-04-18
DIADIAEthereum0.940.910956-3.09%0.87-7.45%0.0333✓0.37271k2022-04-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.6351.5839-3.12%1.496-8.50%0.0225✓1.00639k2022-04-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024160.000023396-3.16%0.00002527+4.59%0.1174✗1.172.5M2022-04-18
DASHDashDash103.0399.7038-3.23%108.7+5.50%0.1210✗1.011.7M2022-04-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.211.1709-3.23%1.06-12.40%0.0645✓1.02522k2022-04-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.333.222-3.24%3.523+5.80%0.1143✗0.73789k2022-04-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2862.2106-3.30%2.185-4.42%0.0343✗1.349.5M2022-04-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25360.244976-3.40%0.2404-5.21%0.0096✓0.832.3M2022-04-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.2492.1718-3.43%2.242-0.31%0.0588✗0.7821k2022-04-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.026980.026033-3.51%0.02255-16.42%0.1065✓1.08281k2022-04-18
COMPCompoundEthereum118.78114.5931-3.52%139.03+17.05%0.2332✗1.1646k2022-04-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4315.8404-3.59%14.27-13.15%0.0598✓1.302.3M2022-04-18
KCSKuCoinnative18.63117.9579-3.61%20.26+8.74%0.1516✗0.906.5M2022-04-18
SOLSolanaSolana92.3988.9986-3.67%102.39+10.82%0.1833✗1.2592.9M2022-04-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.21150.203644-3.71%0.2419+14.37%0.2166✗1.291.8M2022-04-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41090.395299-3.80%0.3623-11.83%0.0462✓1.198.8M2022-04-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,673.7919,888.76-3.80%19,131.97-7.46%0.0018✓1.075.7M2022-04-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012140.011674-3.84%0.01101-9.31%0.0166✓1.223.1M2022-04-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.15651.1118-3.86%1.0855-6.14%0.0205✓1.292.1M2022-04-18
BTTCBTTC0.000001870.000001797-3.91%0.00000191+2.14%0.0824✗0.6212.5M2022-04-18
NANOnanopayBase2.27022.1807-3.94%2.1427-5.62%0.0218✓1.14127k2022-04-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75090.721154-3.96%0.6652-11.41%0.0468✓0.996.9M2022-04-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.5121.4516-4.00%1.213-19.78%0.1450✓1.001.3M2022-04-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.0114.4093-4.00%14.06-6.33%0.0120✓1.0636.5M2022-04-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.35580.341426-4.04%0.3495-1.77%0.0689✗1.32907k2022-04-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1236350.118567-4.10%0.140355+13.52%0.1966✗0.812.7M2022-04-18
MINAMina Protocolnative2.162.0709-4.13%2.39+10.65%0.1790✗1.04354k2022-04-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7593.6035-4.14%3.551-5.53%0.0073✓0.64650k2022-04-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.09891.0531-4.17%1.06-3.54%0.0464✗1.16128k2022-04-18
ETHEthereumEthereum2,952.162,827.86-4.21%3,056.19+3.52%0.1135✗1.04501.7M2022-04-18
ZENHorizenBase41.9940.2157-4.23%37.89-9.76%0.0145✓1.31261k2022-04-18
KSMKusamaHydration146.84140.6328-4.23%167.23+13.89%0.2121✗1.13671k2022-04-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.7660.733595-4.23%0.6854-10.52%0.0558✓0.35651k2022-04-18
UNIUniswapEthereum9.749.3095-4.42%9.39-3.59%0.0437✓1.026.1M2022-04-18
GITCOINGITCOIN7.0166.7036-4.45%5.982-14.74%0.0671✓1.3625k2022-04-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.654.4325-4.68%4.3-7.53%0.0181✓1.41361k2022-04-18
LSKLiskEthereum2.17592.0735-4.70%2.1201-2.56%0.0498✗0.80123k2022-04-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.76510.728598-4.77%0.7369-3.69%0.0459✓1.0016.8M2022-04-18
XVSVenusEthereum9.148.7026-4.79%10.17+11.27%0.1916✗1.043.0M2022-04-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche89.5885.2659-4.82%77.73-13.23%0.0474✓1.31119.2M2022-04-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.9360.890566-4.85%0.9302-0.62%0.0900✗1.35100k2022-04-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35410.336828-4.88%0.3385-4.41%0.0554✗1.4710.2M2022-04-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6216.7593-4.88%16.97-3.69%0.0471✓1.0014.5M2022-04-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.29860.283995-4.89%0.2911-2.51%0.0639✗1.14183k2022-04-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.8347-4.94%1.99+3.11%0.1255✗1.291.2M2022-04-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.70924.4759-4.95%4.7151+0.13%0.0846✗0.95204k2022-04-18
XLMStellarStellar0.200540.190392-5.06%0.205114+2.28%0.1087✗0.9918.9M2022-04-18
SUSHISushiEthereum3.363.1888-5.09%3.29-2.08%0.0714✗1.176.0M2022-04-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2390.226765-5.12%0.265+10.88%0.1838✗0.8136k2022-04-18
DODODODOEthereum0.4350.412584-5.15%0.39-10.34%0.0182✓1.112.8M2022-04-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.154410.146407-5.18%0.14143-8.41%0.0049✓0.8614k2022-04-18
MOVRMoonriverBase56.506253.5713-5.19%57.9777+2.60%0.1258✗1.36154k2022-04-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.22850.21663-5.19%0.2359+3.24%0.1196✗1.00352k2022-04-18
XECeCashnative0.000083210.000078796-5.31%0.00009056+8.83%0.1719✗0.954.7M2022-04-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.88040.833428-5.34%1.2254+39.19%0.4277✗1.234.4M2022-04-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5477940.51852-5.34%0.712157+30.00%0.3534✗1.051.7M2022-04-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.0545.729-5.37%5.9739-1.32%0.0560✗0.41181k2022-04-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.19493.9685-5.40%3.9596-5.61%0.0204✓0.664.1M2022-04-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00360.003405-5.41%0.00404+12.22%0.2195✗1.415.2M2022-04-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,232.2639,913.44-5.49%40,803.58-3.38%0.0565✗1.00688.5M2022-04-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5881.4998-5.56%1.316-17.13%0.0869✓1.273.5M2022-04-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8630.814973-5.57%0.855-0.93%0.0937✗1.332.0M2022-04-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13180.124301-5.69%0.1867+41.65%0.4475✗1.182.1M2022-04-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6391.5452-5.72%2.975+81.51%0.6892✗0.992.1M2022-04-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44450.419006-5.74%0.3922-11.77%0.0001✓1.922.1M2022-04-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.1734.8737-5.79%5.176+0.06%0.1044✗1.282.4M2022-04-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.6526.9878-5.80%24.08-15.95%0.0753✓1.1241.1M2022-04-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.21140.198837-5.94%0.2297+8.66%0.1841✗1.162.3M2022-04-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.096510.090772-5.95%0.09391-2.69%0.0642✗0.8829k2022-04-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.7793.5539-5.96%5.4193+43.41%0.4431✗0.613.8M2022-04-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.4311.688-5.97%14.72+18.42%0.2482✗0.511.5M2022-04-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074650.070173-6.00%0.07482+0.23%0.1009✗1.0754k2022-04-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.4218.2543-6.00%18.16-6.49%0.0318✓1.0824.4M2022-04-18
ADACardanoCardano0.9030.84864-6.02%0.9367+3.73%0.1334✗1.0164.1M2022-04-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.24180.227067-6.09%0.2011-16.83%0.0870✓1.001.8M2022-04-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.5930.556846-6.10%0.4825-18.63%0.1089✓1.005,0542022-04-18
FTTFTXEthereum44.9242.1764-6.11%43.37-3.45%0.0635✗1.0314.4M2022-04-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122330.011482-6.14%0.014417+17.85%0.2597✗0.9311k2022-04-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.7126.0079-6.14%23.4-15.55%0.0615✓1.28735k2022-04-18
AVTAventusEthereum2.152.0178-6.15%2.51+16.74%0.2331✗0.43309k2022-04-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.5121.109-6.22%13.42-40.38%0.4132✓1.16397k2022-04-18
QNTQuantEthereum119.96112.4932-6.22%111.58-6.99%0.0236✓0.924.4M2022-04-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.2117.0703-6.26%19.62+7.74%0.1726✗0.976.1M2022-04-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.097.5802-6.30%6.7-17.18%0.0991✓0.712.1M2022-04-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.511.4148-6.30%1.441-4.57%0.0652✗1.36498k2022-04-18
UMAUMAEthereum7.6897.2034-6.31%6.318-17.83%0.0866✓1.306.0M2022-04-18
ORCAOrcaSolana2.131.9938-6.39%1.87-12.21%0.0405✓0.69180k2022-04-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020610.019283-6.44%0.01729-16.11%0.0739✓1.021.3M2022-04-18
STXStacksnative1.321.2347-6.46%1.21-8.33%0.0121✓0.94463k2022-04-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.48220.450723-6.53%0.4206-12.77%0.0348✓1.001.6M2022-04-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.7132.5313-6.70%2.075-23.52%0.1644✓1.0052k2022-04-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0421970.039336-6.78%0.03442-18.43%0.1007✓0.954.6M2022-04-18
XTZTezosTezos3.25773.0323-6.92%3.1743-2.56%0.0833✗1.091.1M2022-04-18
MANADecentralandEthereum2.5082.3326-6.99%2.0866-16.80%0.0713✓1.171.4M2022-04-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.61359-7.03%0.64-3.03%0.0939✗1.50511k2022-04-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.2614.887-7.11%4.573-13.08%0.0344✓0.93102k2022-04-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.24930.231345-7.20%0.1952-21.70%0.1355✓1.00180k2022-04-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0720.06681-7.21%0.0672-6.67%0.0467✓1.19352k2022-04-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.9931.4698-7.41%36.9+8.56%0.1936✗1.003.8M2022-04-18
BANDBandEthereum3.813.526-7.45%3.783-0.71%0.1086✗1.11631k2022-04-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.036.4924-7.65%5.97-15.08%0.0364✓1.38447k2022-04-18
LUNATerraTerra 292.184.9117-7.80%90.98-1.22%0.1168✗1.399.1M2022-04-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.036020.033169-7.91%0.01821-49.44%0.5425✓1.6613.0M2022-04-18
IMXImmutableEthereum2.0841.9113-8.29%1.751-15.98%0.0535✓0.993.6M2022-04-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.32863.0524-8.30%4.2984+29.14%0.3702✗0.814.1M2022-04-18
ZECZcashZcash179.68164.4123-8.50%156.2-13.07%0.0177✓0.9712.5M2022-04-18
CELLCellframeEthereum1.50321.373-8.66%0.9939-33.88%0.2740✓1.43236k2022-04-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum52.0547.5029-8.74%46.22-11.20%0.0157✓1.254.8M2022-04-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.5235.9027-9.51%6.541+0.28%0.1371✗1.00475k2022-04-18
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7181.5484-9.87%1.46-15.02%0.0310✓0.8150k2022-04-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.20051.9519-11.30%2.545+15.66%0.2901✗0.7213k2022-04-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0660.05851-11.35%0.0502-23.94%0.0938✓1.7343.9M2022-04-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.8955.2125-11.58%4.599-21.98%0.1086✓0.484.5M2022-04-18
API3Api3Ethereum5.024.4074-12.20%4.285-14.64%0.0065✓0.637.4M2022-04-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum7.446.479-12.92%4.722-36.53%0.2819✓1.00417k2022-04-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011960.000001003-16.07%0.000001187-0.76%0.1521✓-0.451.7M2022-04-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6980.584104-16.32%0.676-3.15%0.1871✗1.192.0M2022-04-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain9.13687.4736-18.20%5.3562-41.38%0.2987✓1.0049.7M2022-04-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.