8=======>

2022-03-18 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2063
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+26.34%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
38.1%
in alpha space · 56.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.01%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain9.54287.4687-21.73%5.3777-43.65%0.2771✓1.0053.2M2022-04-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.043790.035633-18.63%0.01799-58.92%0.5970✓1.6813.0M2022-04-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.19161.8381-16.13%2.5535+16.51%0.3657✗0.7214k2022-04-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6160.527224-14.41%0.62+0.65%0.2227✗1.182.0M2022-04-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.6093.9495-14.31%4.224-8.35%0.0991✓0.627.0M2022-04-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06330.055146-12.88%0.0492-22.27%0.0256✓1.7242.5M2022-04-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.9244.3331-12.00%4.513-8.35%0.0881✓0.92102k2022-04-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011770.000001038-11.75%9.58e-7-18.57%0.1033✓-0.451.7M2022-04-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.680.600376-11.71%0.62-8.82%0.1097✓1.51511k2022-04-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.5151.3483-11.00%1.197-20.99%0.0674✓1.011.1M2022-04-17
CELLCellframeEthereum1.5781.4118-10.53%0.942-40.30%0.3309✓1.43242k2022-04-17
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6391.4666-10.52%1.43-12.75%0.0159✓0.8050k2022-04-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.15310.137048-10.48%0.14317-6.49%0.0880✓0.8614k2022-04-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.45490.409063-10.08%0.37-18.66%0.0017✓1.922.1M2022-04-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07110.063986-10.01%0.0664-6.61%0.0980✓1.19352k2022-04-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.955.363-9.87%5.85-1.68%0.1570✗1.36447k2022-04-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.2755.6619-9.77%4.793-23.62%0.1414✓0.494.0M2022-04-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6451.4864-9.64%1.729+5.11%0.2007✗0.963.5M2022-04-17
BANDBandEthereum3.7233.3771-9.29%3.554-4.54%0.1081✗1.11631k2022-04-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum50.4745.8083-9.24%45.47-9.91%0.0568✓1.254.8M2022-04-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.0611.897-8.91%14.56+11.49%0.2235✗0.423.0M2022-04-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003580.003263-8.86%0.00406+13.41%0.2911✗1.415.2M2022-04-17
LUNATerraTerra 288.6181.0859-8.49%77.28-12.79%0.0231✓1.399.1M2022-04-17
ORCAOrcaSolana2.192.0057-8.42%1.86-15.07%0.0400✓0.69180k2022-04-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0119380.010936-8.39%0.014059+17.77%0.2989✗0.9311k2022-04-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0294.6234-8.06%5.004-0.50%0.1450✗1.282.4M2022-04-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.38313.1122-8.01%4.2838+26.62%0.3614✗0.824.6M2022-04-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12140.111779-7.93%0.18+48.27%0.5368✗1.172.1M2022-04-17
STXStacksnative1.31.1976-7.88%1.13-13.08%0.0100✓0.94463k2022-04-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33680.310356-7.85%0.3234-3.98%0.1164✗1.4610.3M2022-04-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.050.969725-7.65%1.03-1.90%0.1119✗1.00522k2022-04-17
MOVRMoonriverBase54.260850.123-7.63%57.2276+5.47%0.2021✗1.35154k2022-04-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.32880.303767-7.61%0.335+1.89%0.1655✗1.32907k2022-04-17
XECeCashnative0.000081270.000075137-7.55%0.00008878+9.24%0.2157✗0.954.7M2022-04-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.4311.4993-7.49%14.87+19.63%0.2834✗0.511.2M2022-04-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5741.4607-7.20%2.703+71.73%0.6661✗0.991.9M2022-04-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.187.5914-7.19%7.01-14.30%0.0433✓0.712.1M2022-04-17
GITCOINGITCOIN5.9175.4928-7.17%5.921+0.07%0.1440✗1.3425k2022-04-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.851.7176-7.15%1.93+4.32%0.1825✗1.281.2M2022-04-17
QNTQuantEthereum116.39108.0712-7.15%110.99-4.64%0.0739✓0.924.4M2022-04-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.30020.278777-7.14%0.2832-5.66%0.0743✗1.14183k2022-04-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.6326.5952-7.11%23.23-18.86%0.0774✓1.1342.9M2022-04-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.073180.067989-7.09%0.07235-1.13%0.1170✗1.0757k2022-04-17
DODODODOEthereum0.4020.373579-7.07%0.378-5.97%0.0682✓1.102.8M2022-04-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.23020.213952-7.06%0.1925-16.38%0.0543✓1.00181k2022-04-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.5662.3862-7.01%2.126-17.15%0.0641✓1.0052k2022-04-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5911.4796-7.00%1.463-8.05%0.0403✓1.00639k2022-04-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.21190.197107-6.98%0.2333+10.10%0.2350✗1.291.8M2022-04-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.09560.089013-6.89%0.09237-3.38%0.0821✗0.8829k2022-04-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,575.0619,160.51-6.88%18,713.49-9.05%0.0316✓1.075.7M2022-04-17
MINAMina Protocolnative2.262.1057-6.83%2.28+0.88%0.1331✗1.04354k2022-04-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.32734.0326-6.81%4.0029-7.50%0.0266✓0.663.7M2022-04-17
NANOnanopayBase2.34912.1925-6.67%2.074-11.71%0.0035✓1.15119k2022-04-17
UMAUMAEthereum7.6387.1318-6.63%6.16-19.35%0.0800✓1.306.0M2022-04-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2330.2176-6.61%0.267+14.59%0.2463✗0.8142k2022-04-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.20870.194915-6.61%0.222+6.37%0.1895✗1.162.3M2022-04-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.03950.036923-6.52%0.035182-10.93%0.0003✓0.954.6M2022-04-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.842940.788297-6.48%0.72479-14.02%0.0264✓1.12111k2022-04-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15160.141829-6.45%0.1364-10.03%0.0142✓1.04215k2022-04-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01150.010768-6.36%0.0104-9.57%0.0275✓1.213.1M2022-04-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.22320.209035-6.35%0.2351+5.33%0.1689✗1.00318k2022-04-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5374250.503553-6.30%0.687666+27.96%0.3654✗1.051.7M2022-04-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.72750.681778-6.28%0.854+17.39%0.2931✗1.32100k2022-04-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.0526.3038-6.23%36.58+30.41%0.3801✗0.983.8M2022-04-17
SOLSolanaSolana89.8784.2948-6.20%100.18+11.47%0.2369✗1.2596.2M2022-04-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.7924.1945-6.19%22.23-13.80%0.0191✓1.28735k2022-04-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.243.9781-6.18%4.12-2.83%0.1069✗1.40348k2022-04-17
FTTFTXEthereum44.5841.8398-6.15%44.8+0.49%0.1215✗1.0314.5M2022-04-17
XTZTezosTezos3.16142.9673-6.14%3.09-2.26%0.0965✗1.091.1M2022-04-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.6116.5449-6.05%19.7+11.87%0.2242✗0.976.1M2022-04-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.2894.0323-5.99%4.5192+5.37%0.1621✗0.94204k2022-04-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.75520.710086-5.97%0.7108-5.88%0.0526✓1.0016.9M2022-04-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4511.3645-5.96%1.422-2.00%0.1111✗1.36503k2022-04-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.9617.838-5.92%17.74-6.43%0.0497✓1.0725.1M2022-04-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07280.068552-5.84%0.0746+2.47%0.1255✗0.809,2612022-04-17
ADACardanoCardano0.8520.802618-5.80%0.9148+7.37%0.1823✗1.0065.1M2022-04-17
UNIUniswapEthereum9.629.0625-5.79%9.25-3.85%0.0729✗1.026.1M2022-04-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022360.000021067-5.78%0.00002468+10.38%0.2181✗1.172.5M2022-04-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.0214.1543-5.76%13.72-8.66%0.0235✓1.0638.8M2022-04-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.87213.6499-5.74%5.7783+49.23%0.4912✗0.623.9M2022-04-17
XMRMoneroMonero195183.8427-5.72%242+24.10%0.3229✗0.941.7M2022-04-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.2645.9117-5.62%6.457+3.08%0.1396✗1.00462k2022-04-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41080.387713-5.62%0.3486-15.14%0.0453✓1.198.8M2022-04-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.47970.452906-5.59%0.4194-12.57%0.0255✓1.001.5M2022-04-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.740.699234-5.51%0.6939-6.23%0.0101✓0.35681k2022-04-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1928910.182343-5.47%0.196617+1.93%0.1263✗0.9919.3M2022-04-17
AVTAventusEthereum2.071.9578-5.42%2.6+25.60%0.3055✗0.42309k2022-04-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.0553.8353-5.42%4.567+12.63%0.2260✗1.00370k2022-04-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.145.8107-5.36%5.74-6.51%0.0260✓0.75830k2022-04-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.08445.7588-5.35%5.8959-3.10%0.0448✓0.41184k2022-04-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.025150.023823-5.28%0.02224-11.57%0.0307✓0.742.7M2022-04-17
MANADecentralandEthereum2.44512.317-5.24%2.0532-16.03%0.0609✓1.171.5M2022-04-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2512.1339-5.20%2.194-2.53%0.0964✗1.349.5M2022-04-17
LSKLiskEthereum2.12692.0181-5.12%2.074-2.49%0.0684✗0.80123k2022-04-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016730.015886-5.05%0.01749+4.54%0.1474✗1.001.3M2022-04-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.8816.0317-5.03%16.41-2.78%0.0748✗1.0014.5M2022-04-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02710.025741-5.01%0.02283-15.76%0.0646✓1.08281k2022-04-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.6512.9705-4.98%13.28-2.71%0.0803✗1.10388k2022-04-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07170.06814-4.97%0.1134+58.16%0.5574✗0.94146k2022-04-17
ZECZcashZcash172.57164.0413-4.94%137.47-20.34%0.1269✓0.9711.9M2022-04-17
QTUMQtumQtum6.1235.8232-4.90%6.5324+6.69%0.1729✗1.1397k2022-04-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.24410.232217-4.87%0.1957-19.83%0.1197✓1.001.8M2022-04-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche85.7681.6014-4.85%75.45-12.02%0.0110✓1.31120.2M2022-04-17
KSMKusamaHydration148.53141.4832-4.74%168.62+13.53%0.2337✗1.13664k2022-04-17
COMPCompoundEthereum119.38113.7326-4.73%148.41+24.32%0.3258✗1.1646k2022-04-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1050.100041-4.72%0.221+110.48%0.8197✗0.5339k2022-04-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3651.3008-4.70%1.328-2.71%0.0854✗1.263.3M2022-04-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.5880.560403-4.69%0.4737-19.44%0.1167✓1.005,0372022-04-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.87330.83247-4.68%1.1949+36.83%0.4245✗1.234.0M2022-04-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040780.038887-4.64%0.04362+6.96%0.1581✗0.8424k2022-04-17
XVGVergenative0.009280.008851-4.63%0.01036+11.64%0.2164✗1.151.6M2022-04-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1193220.113855-4.58%0.139371+16.80%0.2437✗0.812.8M2022-04-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.0114.323-4.58%13.71-8.66%0.0224✓1.292.3M2022-04-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2161.1606-4.56%1.239+1.89%0.1159✗0.982.9M2022-04-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,510.7039,630.51-4.53%40,677.80-2.01%0.0753✗0.9652k2022-04-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,774.9839,885.88-4.52%39,683.54-5.01%0.0463✗1.00729.5M2022-04-17
DASHDashDash98.8794.4143-4.51%104.4+5.59%0.1521✗1.001.7M2022-04-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.2119.3019-4.49%19.64-2.82%0.0852✗1.32246k2022-04-17
BTTCBTTC0.000001860.00000178-4.30%0.0000019+2.15%0.0971✗0.6212.6M2022-04-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.07291.0271-4.27%1.0359-3.45%0.0680✗1.16128k2022-04-17
ZENHorizenBase41.2639.5454-4.16%36.47-11.61%0.0138✓1.31261k2022-04-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.0926.9237-4.15%26.43-5.91%0.0282✓0.91821k2022-04-17
HIVEHivenative0.91860.88158-4.03%0.8858-3.57%0.0624✗1.122.0M2022-04-17
SUSHISushiEthereum3.313.1774-4.00%3.2-3.32%0.0671✗1.176.4M2022-04-17
UOSUltraEthereum1.12961.0845-3.99%0.918-18.73%0.1002✓1.292.1M2022-04-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash305.71293.6057-3.96%328.18+7.35%0.1590✗0.936.5M2022-04-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.9107.477-3.95%108.78-2.79%0.0631✗0.9925.9M2022-04-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.1892.1028-3.94%2.195+0.27%0.0830✗0.7822k2022-04-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8284.6385-3.93%6.115+26.66%0.3103✗0.66556k2022-04-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.345.1306-3.92%4.775-10.58%0.0229✓0.9578k2022-04-17
SCSiacoinnative0.009190.008841-3.79%0.01013+10.23%0.1923✗1.09441k2022-04-17
GTGateEthereum6.346.1-3.79%6.4168+1.21%0.0838✗0.653.2M2022-04-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.72850.700995-3.78%0.6449-11.48%0.0328✓0.997.1M2022-04-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5120.492856-3.74%0.4969-2.95%0.0467✗0.75420k2022-04-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24780.238603-3.71%0.2385-3.75%0.0419✗0.822.1M2022-04-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV80.5977.6009-3.71%83.62+3.76%0.1135✗0.751.0M2022-04-17
XEMNEMnative0.10.096341-3.66%0.0971-2.90%0.0512✗0.8439k2022-04-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8360.805502-3.65%0.806-3.59%0.0687✗1.331.9M2022-04-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012240.011807-3.54%0.01168-4.58%0.0254✓0.709,5442022-04-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3463.2276-3.54%3.669+9.65%0.1657✗0.73633k2022-04-17
AAVEAaveEthereum160.34154.6921-3.52%167.03+4.17%0.1428✗1.297.3M2022-04-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44240.426852-3.51%0.5731+29.54%0.3603✗1.28416k2022-04-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.08680.083789-3.47%0.1168+34.56%0.3941✗1.21504k2022-04-17
DIADIAEthereum0.940.907506-3.46%0.88-6.38%0.0118✓0.37279k2022-04-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.436.2078-3.46%5.35-16.80%0.1112✓0.731.3M2022-04-17
KCSKuCoinnative18.25917.6608-3.28%19.932+9.16%0.1671✗0.906.9M2022-04-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.376.1636-3.24%5.68-10.83%0.0453✓0.71895k2022-04-17
XVSVenusEthereum8.778.4884-3.21%9.76+11.29%0.1927✗1.033.0M2022-04-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.42.3269-3.05%2.24-6.67%0.0122✓0.98154k2022-04-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.640.621039-2.96%0.747+16.72%0.2312✗0.912.0M2022-04-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.033670.032682-2.93%0.03421+1.60%0.0826✗0.72837k2022-04-17
ETHEthereumEthereum2,939.172,854.06-2.90%2,988.40+1.67%0.0996✗1.04513.4M2022-04-17
PROPropyEthereum1.41.3599-2.87%1.93+37.86%0.4035✗1.04228k2022-04-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6713.5663-2.85%3.597-2.02%0.0413✗0.64610k2022-04-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3692.311-2.45%3.845+62.30%0.5672✗1.13514k2022-04-17
RADRadworksEthereum4.314.2058-2.42%4.6+6.73%0.1342✗0.87487k2022-04-17
XYMSymbolnative0.1330.12987-2.35%0.1117-16.02%0.1107✓0.78296k2022-04-17
TRXTRONTron0.0617380.060295-2.34%0.060149-2.57%0.0304✗0.64281k2022-04-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049770.048704-2.14%0.04978+0.02%0.0777✗1.09459k2022-04-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0172750.017115-0.93%0.027257+57.78%0.5059✗0.79167k2022-04-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.