8=======>

2022-03-14 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 156 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2560
156 of 156 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.23%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.6%
in alpha space · 60.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.95%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (156 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum118.38118.5902+0.18%122.06+3.11%0.0404✓1.227.0M2022-03-15
GTGateEthereum6.3466.3569+0.17%6.305-0.65%0.0020✗0.652.9M2022-03-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3682.3718+0.16%2.237-5.53%0.0483✗1.08534k2022-03-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.6612.6765+0.13%12.6-0.47%0.0042✓1.08359k2022-03-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.38580.386298+0.13%0.3755-2.67%0.0163✗1.27394k2022-03-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011740.011753+0.11%0.01185+0.94%0.0149✓0.719,9942022-03-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.041.0411+0.10%1.02-1.92%0.0109✗1.00569k2022-03-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.721860.722533+0.09%0.78447+8.67%0.0929✓1.12111k2022-03-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.19450.194676+0.09%0.1917-1.44%0.0031✗1.292.0M2022-03-15
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1441.145+0.09%1.134-0.87%0.0005✓0.962.9M2022-03-15
KSMKusamaHydration120.47120.5509+0.07%125.47+4.15%0.0506✓1.11649k2022-03-15
HIVEHivenative0.84270.843204+0.06%0.8341-1.02%0.0002✓1.121.8M2022-03-15
XEMNEMnative0.09470.094753+0.06%0.0945-0.21%0.0053✓0.8340k2022-03-15
TRXTRONTron0.0600640.060097+0.06%0.060553+0.81%0.0138✓0.66265k2022-03-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.733.7321+0.06%3.81+2.14%0.0337✓1.37341k2022-03-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV75.6375.6704+0.05%75.84+0.28%0.0093✓0.74939k2022-03-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.70630.706613+0.04%0.7163+1.42%0.0233✓1.0118.1M2022-03-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3361.3366+0.04%1.354+1.35%0.0221✓0.96625k2022-03-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.024670.024677+0.03%0.02452-0.61%0.0006✓0.743.1M2022-03-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9420.942248+0.03%0.92-2.34%0.0159✗0.831.0M2022-03-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.69630.696473+0.02%0.6774-2.71%0.0152✗1.31103k2022-03-15
ETHEthereumEthereum2,590.232,590.87+0.02%2,619.15+1.12%0.0207✓1.03501.7M2022-03-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.774.7708+0.02%4.941+3.58%0.0439✓0.9376k2022-03-15
COMPCompoundEthereum99.5999.6038+0.01%104.05+4.48%0.0542✓1.1044k2022-03-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06830.068306+0.01%0.0682-0.15%0.0073✓0.92151k2022-03-15
MINAMina Protocolnative1.671.6701+0.01%1.64-1.80%0.0085✗1.02328k2022-03-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.31170.311716+0.00%0.3344+7.28%0.0848✓1.5210.3M2022-03-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6220.622012+0.00%0.611-1.77%0.0091✗0.922.4M2022-03-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9521.952-0.00%1.952+0.00%0.0122✗1.289.4M2022-03-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1139130.113912-0.00%0.112562-1.19%0.0043✓0.802.9M2022-03-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.855.8499-0.00%5.85+0.00%0.0069✗0.72927k2022-03-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36550.365476-0.01%0.4259+16.53%0.1644✗1.207.9M2022-03-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin105.58105.5707-0.01%106.94+1.29%0.0224✗1.0025.9M2022-03-15
RADRadworksEthereum4.394.3894-0.01%4.34-1.14%0.0031✓0.87590k2022-03-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.036250.036244-0.02%0.03542-2.29%0.0162✓0.72979k2022-03-15
SOLSolanaSolana81.2481.2188-0.03%82.85+1.98%0.0318✗1.2596.5M2022-03-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.4113.4062-0.03%13.7+2.16%0.0319✗1.0742.8M2022-03-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.2613.2548-0.04%12.77-3.70%0.0332✓0.433.2M2022-03-15
DODODODOEthereum0.3690.368846-0.04%0.377+2.17%0.0322✗1.092.9M2022-03-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022030.00002202-0.04%0.00002162-1.86%0.0072✓1.173.1M2022-03-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.6418.6315-0.05%18.7+0.32%0.0161✗1.30280k2022-03-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.182.1789-0.05%2.19+0.46%0.0143✗0.96139k2022-03-15
XVGVergenative0.009160.009155-0.05%0.00872-4.80%0.0377✓1.161.5M2022-03-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4591.4583-0.05%1.481+1.51%0.0248✗0.971.6M2022-03-15
PROPropyEthereum1.431.4293-0.05%1.42-0.70%0.0036✗1.06268k2022-03-15
NANOnanopayBase1.70561.7046-0.06%1.7127+0.41%0.0151✗1.09119k2022-03-15
GITCOINGITCOIN5.4365.4326-0.06%5.363-1.34%0.0007✓1.2825k2022-03-15
XYMSymbolnative0.13220.132117-0.06%0.1317-0.38%0.0043✗0.79296k2022-03-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.99390.99326-0.06%1+0.61%0.0173✗1.11112k2022-03-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039120.039095-0.06%0.04009+2.48%0.0333✗0.8526k2022-03-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash289.43289.233-0.07%289.44+0.00%0.0096✗0.936.8M2022-03-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.48890.488539-0.07%0.4996+2.19%0.0295✗0.75420k2022-03-15
UNIUniswapEthereum8.488.4731-0.08%8.72+2.83%0.0383✗1.016.1M2022-03-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,373.2039,338.98-0.09%39,353.60-0.05%0.0095✗0.9646k2022-03-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.70460.703954-0.09%0.699-0.79%0.0039✓0.33826k2022-03-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2361.2348-0.10%1.199-2.99%0.0176✓1.242.5M2022-03-15
ADACardanoCardano0.80280.802029-0.10%0.7992-0.45%0.0060✗1.0166.9M2022-03-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1800750.179895-0.10%0.182627+1.42%0.0246✗1.0018.9M2022-03-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.1816.1638-0.10%15.84-2.10%0.0106✓1.0113.9M2022-03-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,674.1739,634.30-0.10%39,298.10-0.95%0.0010✓1.00645.2M2022-03-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15270.152544-0.10%0.1451-4.98%0.0403✓1.02244k2022-03-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71210.711366-0.10%0.7031-1.26%0.0024✓0.987.4M2022-03-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.08940.089307-0.10%0.0863-3.47%0.0225✓1.23504k2022-03-15
SUSHISushiEthereum2.92.897-0.10%2.92+0.69%0.0190✗1.165.7M2022-03-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9653.9608-0.10%3.937-0.71%0.0058✗1.252.3M2022-03-15
SCSiacoinnative0.008770.008761-0.11%0.00867-1.14%0.0000✓1.10486k2022-03-15
QTUMQtumQtum5.75685.7506-0.11%5.721-0.62%0.0056✗1.13113k2022-03-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4902440.489712-0.11%0.490642+0.08%0.0118✗1.042.0M2022-03-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.03624.0318-0.11%4.0264-0.24%0.0075✗0.93198k2022-03-15
DASHDashDash98.2498.132-0.11%95.14-3.16%0.0214✓1.001.7M2022-03-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003630.003626-0.11%0.00345-4.96%0.0356✓1.485.2M2022-03-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016190.016172-0.11%0.01617-0.12%0.0094✗1.001.3M2022-03-15
KCSKuCoinnative18.08718.0653-0.12%18.08-0.04%0.0095✗0.917.5M2022-03-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,523.0818,500.74-0.12%18,500.04-0.12%0.0088✗0.924.6M2022-03-15
MOVRMoonriverBase46.929546.869-0.13%49.271+4.99%0.0626✗1.33160k2022-03-15
BTTCBTTC0.000001750.000001748-0.13%0.00000176+0.57%0.0127✗0.6013.3M2022-03-15
QNTQuantEthereum113.5113.3473-0.13%110.23-2.88%0.0190✓0.934.7M2022-03-15
ORCAOrcaSolana21.9972-0.14%2.01+0.50%0.0127✗0.66192k2022-03-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.25840.258038-0.14%0.2536-1.86%0.0066✓1.13192k2022-03-15
XMRMoneroMonero185.79185.5281-0.14%183.37-1.30%0.0028✓0.931.6M2022-03-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.3727.3311-0.14%27.1-0.99%0.0000✓0.90866k2022-03-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3271.3251-0.14%1.325-0.15%0.0129✗1.36565k2022-03-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.046110.046043-0.15%0.04553-1.26%0.0011✓1.06452k2022-03-15
MANADecentralandEthereum2.30682.3034-0.15%2.2729-1.47%0.0021✓1.172.1M2022-03-15
ZENHorizenBase38.5438.4829-0.15%35.93-6.77%0.0565✓1.28244k2022-03-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.4223.3849-0.15%23.06-1.54%0.0020✓1.26801k2022-03-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.5213.4997-0.15%13.34-1.33%0.0002✓1.272.2M2022-03-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.691.6874-0.15%1.71+1.18%0.0254✗1.271.3M2022-03-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1040.103836-0.16%0.101-2.88%0.0227✓0.5239k2022-03-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.32230.321788-0.16%0.3117-3.29%0.0193✓1.32857k2022-03-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche68.9868.87-0.16%69.83+1.23%0.0260✗1.28116.5M2022-03-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02280.022763-0.16%0.02395+5.04%0.0609✗1.06305k2022-03-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5224.5147-0.16%4.502-0.44%0.0060✗0.93116k2022-03-15
CBKCobakEthereum2.0982.0944-0.17%2.106+0.38%0.0129✗0.7721k2022-03-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.14440.144142-0.18%0.14361-0.55%0.0042✗0.8315k2022-03-15
XVSVenusEthereum8.498.4741-0.19%8.49+0.00%0.0118✗1.053.2M2022-03-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23840.237953-0.19%0.2348-1.51%0.0055✓0.822.0M2022-03-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011430.011408-0.20%0.01106-3.24%0.0193✓1.223.1M2022-03-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7680.766454-0.20%0.771+0.39%0.0184✗1.322.0M2022-03-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.38740.386604-0.21%0.3734-3.61%0.0163✓1.942.1M2022-03-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.090140.089951-0.21%0.09171+1.74%0.0277✗0.8830k2022-03-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.89515.8827-0.21%5.905+0.17%0.0077✗0.41186k2022-03-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.8326.7729-0.21%26.91+0.30%0.0159✗1.1341.1M2022-03-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.19550.195081-0.21%0.1914-2.10%0.0080✓1.162.3M2022-03-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64270.641302-0.22%0.7126+10.88%0.1172✗1.243.1M2022-03-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2280.227503-0.22%0.221-3.07%0.0212✓0.8242k2022-03-15
XTZTezosTezos3.00012.9935-0.22%2.9767-0.78%0.0048✗1.091.2M2022-03-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.068770.068618-0.22%0.07459+8.46%0.0912✗0.829,6412022-03-15
UOSUltraEthereum1.13481.1322-0.23%1.1206-1.25%0.0021✓1.302.4M2022-03-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.580.578613-0.24%0.59+1.72%0.0337✗1.49632k2022-03-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.9225.8577-0.24%25.82-0.39%0.0078✗0.974.4M2022-03-15
DIADIAEthereum0.890.887844-0.24%0.89+0.00%0.0058✗0.36271k2022-03-15
BANDBandEthereum3.3663.3576-0.25%3.446+2.38%0.0364✗1.09681k2022-03-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.6917.6457-0.25%17.81+0.68%0.0196✗1.0824.2M2022-03-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.4617.4161-0.25%16.81-3.72%0.0262✓0.976.5M2022-03-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5414.5295-0.25%4.452-1.96%0.0110✓0.66522k2022-03-15
FTTFTXEthereum41.4741.3605-0.26%41.02-1.09%0.0016✓1.0415.8M2022-03-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.011770.011738-0.27%0.01145-2.72%0.0159✓0.9511k2022-03-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.445.4251-0.27%5.36-1.47%0.0003✓1.30545k2022-03-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.06940.069209-0.28%0.07211+3.90%0.0512✗1.0758k2022-03-15
XECeCashnative0.000075920.000075706-0.28%0.00007953+4.76%0.0584✗0.964.2M2022-03-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.856.8303-0.29%6.86+0.15%0.0115✗0.75692k2022-03-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06630.06608-0.33%0.0653-1.51%0.0009✓1.15422k2022-03-15
AVTAventusEthereum2.32.2923-0.33%2.31+0.43%0.0119✗0.44277k2022-03-15
API3Api3Ethereum4.7654.749-0.34%4.675-1.89%0.0098✓0.627.4M2022-03-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.66773.655-0.35%3.6207-1.28%0.0038✓0.593.7M2022-03-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11860.118188-0.35%0.1195+0.76%0.0223✗1.182.7M2022-03-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.8947.7035-0.39%46.86-2.15%0.0060✓1.255.2M2022-03-15
ZECZcashZcash149.64149.0562-0.39%136.27-8.93%0.0809✓0.928.1M2022-03-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.3211.2757-0.39%11.22-0.88%0.0000✓0.521.2M2022-03-15
LSKLiskEthereum2.05642.0484-0.39%2.019-1.82%0.0067✓0.81117k2022-03-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0398550.039696-0.40%0.03917-1.72%0.0042✓0.965.1M2022-03-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05580.055572-0.41%0.0544-2.51%0.0052✓1.6943.0M2022-03-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.46080.458905-0.41%0.4322-6.21%0.0504✓1.004,5242022-03-15
STXStacksnative1.281.2745-0.43%1.21-5.47%0.0431✓0.92419k2022-03-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.21860.217607-0.45%0.2151-1.60%0.0021✓1.00142k2022-03-15
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6511.6433-0.47%1.511-8.48%0.0751✓0.933.4M2022-03-15
UMAUMAEthereum7.5747.5382-0.47%7.638+0.84%0.0257✗1.315.6M2022-03-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3154.2935-0.50%3.8873-9.91%0.0935✓0.622.4M2022-03-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.0332.0226-0.51%2.0468+0.68%0.0186✗0.7119k2022-03-15
FIDABonfidaSolana1.611.6017-0.51%1.596-0.87%0.0043✓0.8255k2022-03-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.6365.6053-0.54%5.773+2.43%0.0390✗1.00462k2022-03-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.068.0154-0.55%7.92-1.74%0.0053✓0.701.3M2022-03-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.4162.4022-0.57%2.402-0.58%0.0094✗1.0053k2022-03-15
CELLCellframeEthereum1.40821.4001-0.57%1.35-4.13%0.0233✓1.39289k2022-03-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.92.8814-0.64%3.0554+5.36%0.0665✗0.834.1M2022-03-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.816.7654-0.66%6.53-4.11%0.0283✓0.75683k2022-03-15
LUNATerraTerra 294.7994.1183-0.71%88.57-6.56%0.0474✓1.418.0M2022-03-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.0714.0372-0.83%3.559-12.58%0.1203✓0.60457k2022-03-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.4533.4241-0.84%3.233-6.37%0.0507✓0.71344k2022-03-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.3125.2551-1.07%5.359+0.88%0.0239✗0.452.6M2022-03-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.019580.019338-1.24%0.01762-10.01%0.0781✓1.5612.7M2022-03-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011260.000001111-1.42%0.000001129+0.26%0.0264✗1.001.7M2022-03-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0214740.021115-1.67%0.019693-8.29%0.0617✓0.84143k2022-03-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4210.411008-2.37%0.462+9.74%0.1278✗1.141.8M2022-03-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.5978.2999-3.46%8.232-4.25%0.0013✓1.0028.1M2022-03-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.