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2022-03-11 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 156 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1091
156 of 156 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.64%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
44.9%
in alpha space · 42.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.21%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (156 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.014890.014946+0.37%0.014171-4.83%0.0547✗0.72143k2022-03-12
AAVEAaveEthereum116.61116.9817+0.32%120.43+3.28%0.0265✓1.237.3M2022-03-12
GTGateEthereum6.3286.3433+0.24%6.4519+1.96%0.0156✓0.672.8M2022-03-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01430.014334+0.23%0.01355-5.24%0.0592✗1.4112.7M2022-03-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.422.4252+0.21%2.375-1.86%0.0231✗1.06555k2022-03-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.31890.319566+0.21%0.3185-0.13%0.0059✗1.247.9M2022-03-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.19620.196577+0.19%0.1934-1.43%0.0191✗1.362.2M2022-03-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.70140.702645+0.18%0.7051+0.53%0.0013✓1.0618.5M2022-03-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011860.011881+0.18%0.01176-0.84%0.0118✗0.7612k2022-03-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1131.1148+0.17%1.119+0.54%0.0016✓1.003.0M2022-03-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.655840.656906+0.16%0.66287+1.07%0.0066✓1.17127k2022-03-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.823.8262+0.16%3.76-1.57%0.0205✗1.45348k2022-03-12
KSMKusamaHydration124.19124.3801+0.15%123.75-0.35%0.0074✗1.14671k2022-03-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.29240.292836+0.15%0.2875-1.68%0.0212✗1.33857k2022-03-12
MINAMina Protocolnative1.751.7526+0.15%1.71-2.29%0.0268✗1.05343k2022-03-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9590.960355+0.14%0.972+1.36%0.0101✓0.921.0M2022-03-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.061.0615+0.14%1.07+0.94%0.0057✓1.08599k2022-03-12
XEMNEMnative0.09350.093626+0.13%0.0933-0.21%0.0053✗0.8640k2022-03-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.7412.7571+0.13%12.71-0.24%0.0060✗1.09331k2022-03-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.41520.415697+0.12%0.4107-1.08%0.0150✗1.37418k2022-03-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7784.7832+0.11%4.691-1.82%0.0215✗0.9676k2022-03-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6360.636646+0.10%0.626-1.57%0.0188✗0.932.5M2022-03-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3211.3222+0.09%1.329+0.61%0.0031✓0.98739k2022-03-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.31520.315482+0.09%0.2995-4.98%0.0550✗1.4210.7M2022-03-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.024680.0247+0.08%0.02468+0.00%0.0024✗0.753.2M2022-03-12
ETHEthereumEthereum2,556.422,558.43+0.08%2,569.30+0.50%0.0021✓1.05518.1M2022-03-12
HIVEHivenative0.86610.866743+0.07%0.8661+0.00%0.0031✗1.141.9M2022-03-12
COMPCompoundEthereum102.07102.1441+0.07%102.32+0.24%0.0006✓1.1244k2022-03-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV78.0478.0886+0.06%77.75-0.37%0.0059✗0.75899k2022-03-12
TRXTRONTron0.0602030.06024+0.06%0.059631-0.95%0.0116✗0.68282k2022-03-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.8413.8482+0.06%13.7-1.01%0.0117✗0.463.2M2022-03-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.971.9712+0.06%1.978+0.41%0.0007✓1.339.7M2022-03-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.115390.115445+0.05%0.11473-0.57%0.0080✗0.873.3M2022-03-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.07870.078734+0.04%0.0788+0.13%0.0021✗1.40494k2022-03-12
SOLSolanaSolana80.780.7323+0.04%81.44+0.92%0.0061✓1.27106.0M2022-03-12
DODODODOEthereum0.3850.385152+0.04%0.377-2.08%0.0237✗1.133.4M2022-03-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.0513.055+0.04%13.16+0.84%0.0057✓1.1047.1M2022-03-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.69780.698064+0.04%0.69-1.12%0.0145✗1.37120k2022-03-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.8117.8156+0.03%17.7-0.62%0.0093✗1.35280k2022-03-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003530.003531+0.03%0.0035-0.85%0.0119✗1.485.4M2022-03-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.855.8516+0.03%5.85+0.00%0.0018✗0.751.0M2022-03-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06960.069611+0.02%0.0679-2.44%0.0269✗0.96151k2022-03-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.1571.1572+0.01%1.181+2.07%0.0178✓1.242.2M2022-03-12
UNIUniswapEthereum8.518.5109+0.01%8.45-0.71%0.0094✗1.056.4M2022-03-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin104.55104.5594+0.01%105.58+0.99%0.0076✓1.0226.6M2022-03-12
MANADecentralandEthereum2.30332.3035+0.01%2.3104+0.31%0.0005✓1.212.6M2022-03-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.641.64+0.00%1.63-0.61%0.0088✗1.281.4M2022-03-12
GITCOINGITCOIN5.5565.556+0.00%5.344-3.82%0.0417✗1.3425k2022-03-12
ADACardanoCardano0.78840.788394-0.00%0.7897+0.16%0.0005✓1.0373.7M2022-03-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71110.711089-0.00%0.7-1.56%0.0178✓1.007.9M2022-03-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022060.000022059-0.01%0.00002213+0.32%0.0007✗1.213.6M2022-03-12
XYMSymbolnative0.13350.133491-0.01%0.1353+1.35%0.0117✗0.82294k2022-03-12
XVGVergenative0.009390.009389-0.01%0.00964+2.66%0.0240✗1.151.5M2022-03-12
SUSHISushiEthereum2.892.8895-0.02%2.91+0.69%0.0048✗1.096.4M2022-03-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,732.0438,724.08-0.02%38,813.02+0.21%0.0002✓1.00741.9M2022-03-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5944.5929-0.02%4.615+0.46%0.0028✗0.94123k2022-03-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,538.1118,533.27-0.03%18,392.25-0.79%0.0096✓0.955.4M2022-03-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.966520.966266-0.03%1.0261+6.17%0.0577✗1.16112k2022-03-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.162.1594-0.03%2.16+0.00%0.0018✓0.98161k2022-03-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14890.148857-0.03%0.1478-0.74%0.0093✓1.04267k2022-03-12
NANOnanopayBase1.68741.6868-0.03%1.7181+1.82%0.0161✗1.08139k2022-03-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash287.73287.6237-0.04%290.92+1.11%0.0094✗0.947.2M2022-03-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.495.4879-0.04%5.69+3.64%0.0346✗0.75604k2022-03-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.0116.0036-0.04%16.07+0.37%0.0019✗1.0516.1M2022-03-12
MOVRMoonriverBase48.759148.7392-0.04%48.5533-0.42%0.0066✓1.34193k2022-03-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039060.039043-0.04%0.039-0.15%0.0029✓0.8827k2022-03-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4641.4634-0.04%1.467+0.20%0.0003✓1.021.8M2022-03-12
QNTQuantEthereum113.22113.1697-0.04%115.96+2.42%0.0224✗0.945.8M2022-03-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.286.2771-0.05%6.54+4.14%0.0394✗0.78625k2022-03-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.488410.48817-0.05%0.494996+1.35%0.0117✗1.052.2M2022-03-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8692.8675-0.05%3.05+6.31%0.0601✗0.75427k2022-03-12
SCSiacoinnative0.008790.008785-0.06%0.00875-0.46%0.0064✓1.12489k2022-03-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.8922.8769-0.06%22.97+0.35%0.0013✗1.30997k2022-03-12
DASHDashDash94.9594.8937-0.06%99.09+4.36%0.0412✗1.001.5M2022-03-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.71560.715155-0.06%0.7095-0.85%0.0086✓0.341.0M2022-03-12
RADRadworksEthereum4.444.4372-0.06%4.32-2.70%0.0287✓0.92521k2022-03-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.7412.7391-0.07%2.927+6.79%0.0647✗0.80330k2022-03-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.7102-0.07%13.59-0.95%0.0115✓1.282.3M2022-03-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,852.8038,824.85-0.07%39,000.00+0.38%0.0025✗0.9746k2022-03-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011510.011502-0.07%0.01145-0.52%0.0071✓1.243.2M2022-03-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3071.306-0.07%1.318+0.84%0.0062✗1.41596k2022-03-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1835910.183449-0.08%0.18515+0.85%0.0071✗1.0219.8M2022-03-12
XVSVenusEthereum8.548.5333-0.08%8.57+0.35%0.0021✗1.073.5M2022-03-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1654.1616-0.08%4.182+0.41%0.0022✗1.272.2M2022-03-12
XMRMoneroMonero170.68170.536-0.08%184.77+8.26%0.0783✗0.921.5M2022-03-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017140.017125-0.08%0.01679-2.04%0.0219✓0.991.5M2022-03-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50090.500474-0.08%0.4939-1.40%0.0149✓0.80456k2022-03-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023010.022989-0.09%0.0232+0.83%0.0068✗1.09435k2022-03-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.21860.21839-0.10%0.2192+0.27%0.0019✗0.861.9M2022-03-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.25850.258241-0.10%0.2576-0.35%0.0049✓1.15220k2022-03-12
PROPropyEthereum1.511.5085-0.10%1.47-2.65%0.0282✓1.13317k2022-03-12
KCSKuCoinnative18.1718.1514-0.10%18.015-0.85%0.0095✓0.958.4M2022-03-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.526.4717-0.11%26.29-0.79%0.0090✓1.004.8M2022-03-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.06284.0581-0.11%3.9946-1.68%0.0178✓0.97207k2022-03-12
ZENHorizenBase37.8637.8163-0.12%37.48-1.00%0.0117✓1.31280k2022-03-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8070.80602-0.12%0.777-3.72%0.0395✓1.342.1M2022-03-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2260.225724-0.12%0.225-0.44%0.0050✓0.8554k2022-03-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.040780.04073-0.12%0.04102+0.59%0.0056✗0.741.1M2022-03-12
CBKCobakEthereum2.1142.1114-0.12%2.126+0.57%0.0052✗0.8219k2022-03-12
BTTCBTTC0.000001780.000001778-0.12%0.00000178+0.00%0.0000✓0.6213.3M2022-03-12
QTUMQtumQtum5.87555.8682-0.13%5.817-1.00%0.0112✓1.16153k2022-03-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.39240.391902-0.13%0.3897-0.69%0.0097✓1.932.2M2022-03-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche71.2571.1591-0.13%70.94-0.44%0.0059✓1.33123.1M2022-03-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04720.047137-0.13%0.04815+2.01%0.0190✗1.10467k2022-03-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.590.589186-0.14%0.59+0.00%0.0020✓1.61798k2022-03-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9127.8702-0.14%27.62-1.04%0.0109✓0.91959k2022-03-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.19310.192823-0.14%0.2006+3.88%0.0370✗1.202.3M2022-03-12
BANDBandEthereum3.443.4349-0.15%3.377-1.83%0.0194✓1.161.0M2022-03-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.575.5617-0.15%5.31-4.67%0.0491✓1.36610k2022-03-12
XTZTezosTezos2.98892.9843-0.15%3.0195+1.02%0.0093✗1.141.3M2022-03-12
ORCAOrcaSolana2.092.0868-0.15%2.06-1.44%0.0144✓0.69213k2022-03-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2620.261587-0.16%0.263+0.38%0.0029✗1.181.9M2022-03-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.091150.090998-0.17%0.09108-0.08%0.0010✓0.9237k2022-03-12
UOSUltraEthereum1.15141.1494-0.17%1.1484-0.26%0.0037✓1.352.6M2022-03-12
FTTFTXEthereum40.8140.738-0.18%40.93+0.29%0.0025✗1.0517.0M2022-03-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.4727.4199-0.18%27.21-0.95%0.0101✓1.1646.0M2022-03-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3264.318-0.18%4.45+2.87%0.0286✗0.73498k2022-03-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.3717.3372-0.19%17.68+1.78%0.0175✗1.006.7M2022-03-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.67060.669331-0.19%0.6724+0.27%0.0019✗1.273.1M2022-03-12
AVTAventusEthereum2.192.1857-0.20%2.18-0.46%0.0034✓0.40288k2022-03-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06610.065962-0.21%0.0665+0.61%0.0057✗1.18687k2022-03-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83625.8239-0.21%5.8489+0.22%0.0035✗0.40201k2022-03-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.717.6625-0.21%18.13+2.43%0.0238✗1.1225.2M2022-03-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071180.071026-0.22%0.07134+0.22%0.0021✓1.1054k2022-03-12
API3Api3Ethereum4.7764.7657-0.22%5.01+4.90%0.0487✗0.627.0M2022-03-12
DIADIAEthereum0.930.92792-0.22%0.9-3.23%0.0313✓0.35274k2022-03-12
XECeCashnative0.00007310.000072936-0.22%0.00007339+0.40%0.0041✗1.004.2M2022-03-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum45.945.7972-0.22%46.61+1.55%0.0150✗1.265.4M2022-03-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.068310.068147-0.24%0.06846+0.22%0.0028✗0.8613k2022-03-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11440.114122-0.24%0.1151+0.61%0.0060✗1.202.9M2022-03-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.155360.154982-0.24%0.14642-5.75%0.0587✓0.8816k2022-03-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0118620.011831-0.26%0.01151-2.97%0.0296✓1.0011k2022-03-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5910.5623-0.26%11.93+12.65%0.1206✗0.561.1M2022-03-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0400590.039936-0.31%0.039692-0.92%0.0082✓0.995.8M2022-03-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1110.110657-0.31%0.109-1.80%0.0162✓0.5444k2022-03-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.05292.0466-0.31%1.9953-2.81%0.0269✓0.7520k2022-03-12
UMAUMAEthereum7.0757.0513-0.33%7.768+9.80%0.0940✗1.323.7M2022-03-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05760.057403-0.34%0.0539-6.42%0.0666✓1.7352.1M2022-03-12
ZECZcashZcash153.51152.9343-0.38%151.6-1.24%0.0109✓1.017.4M2022-03-12
LSKLiskEthereum2.11552.1073-0.39%2.1318+0.77%0.0098✗0.85109k2022-03-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.48160.479633-0.41%0.479-0.54%0.0034✓1.004,8972022-03-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.21360.212709-0.42%0.2139+0.14%0.0035✓1.00168k2022-03-12
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6621.6548-0.43%1.65-0.72%0.0046✓0.8364k2022-03-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.8245.7981-0.44%5.812-0.21%0.0003✓1.00523k2022-03-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.57492.5631-0.46%2.7465+6.66%0.0674✗0.813.6M2022-03-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.847.8023-0.48%8.14+3.83%0.0408✗0.74807k2022-03-12
LUNATerraTerra 288.2887.8121-0.53%86.03-2.55%0.0235✓1.427.0M2022-03-12
CELLCellframeEthereum1.48671.4785-0.55%1.3548-8.87%0.0901✓1.32289k2022-03-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.46083.4409-0.58%4.1135+18.86%0.1771✗0.683.4M2022-03-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.4982.4818-0.65%2.65+6.08%0.0635✗1.0052k2022-03-12
STXStacksnative1.361.3475-0.92%1.32-2.94%0.0225✓0.90419k2022-03-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7073.6709-0.97%5.032+35.74%0.3138✗0.732.4M2022-03-12
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7051.687-1.05%1.865+9.38%0.0983✗0.973.3M2022-03-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011640.000001149-1.32%0.000001086-6.71%0.0583✓1.001.4M2022-03-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.7615.508-4.39%6.597+14.51%0.1794✗0.491.5M2022-03-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.89288.265-7.06%9.5289+7.15%0.1402✗1.0014.1M2022-03-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.