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2022-03-07 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 156 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2584
156 of 156 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+18.34%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
39.1%
in alpha space · 8.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+13.61%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (156 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000014420.000001185-17.83%8.80e-7-38.96%0.4250✓1.001.1M2022-04-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.91151.6978-11.18%2.3768+24.34%0.2393✗0.7625k2022-04-06
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7251.5397-10.74%1.696-1.68%0.0203✓0.9267k2022-04-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05440.048697-10.48%0.0562+3.31%0.0777✓1.7357.6M2022-04-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.3115.6734-9.45%13.97-19.30%0.1901✓0.593.0M2022-04-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.148350.13473-9.18%0.15972+7.66%0.0496✓0.9418k2022-04-06
API3Api3Ethereum5.3024.8291-8.92%5.569+5.04%0.0638✓0.627.0M2022-04-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5851.4438-8.91%2.031+28.14%0.2100✗1.033.3M2022-04-06
ORCAOrcaSolana2.282.0795-8.80%2.08-8.77%0.0987✓0.78393k2022-04-06
CELLCellframeEthereum1.31251.1997-8.60%1.386+5.60%0.0204✓1.29293k2022-04-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.21580.197577-8.44%0.2214+2.59%0.0138✓1.00187k2022-04-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3132.1183-8.42%6.4618+179.37%0.9877✗1.008.9M2022-04-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.40750.373649-8.31%0.4367+7.17%0.1090✓2.082.3M2022-04-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.5632.3571-8.03%2.525-1.48%0.0588✓1.0052k2022-04-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.1675.6992-7.59%6.726+9.06%0.0380✓1.00646k2022-04-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.7834.4343-7.29%5.345+11.75%0.0625✓0.97157k2022-04-06
LUNATerraTerra 277.8572.2844-7.15%108.1+38.86%0.2212✗1.425.8M2022-04-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0112010.010424-6.94%0.015066+34.51%0.2387✗1.0212k2022-04-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.4692.2986-6.90%3.088+25.07%0.1926✗0.802.9M2022-04-06
UMAUMAEthereum7.87.2656-6.85%6.871-11.91%0.2312✓1.372.4M2022-04-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.60.559835-6.69%0.72+20.00%0.0373✓1.68928k2022-04-06
BANDBandEthereum3.4963.2691-6.49%4.326+23.74%0.1264✗1.201.3M2022-04-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.767.2649-6.38%8.83+13.79%0.0951✗0.78614k2022-04-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06720.06293-6.35%0.0782+16.37%0.0578✓1.251.0M2022-04-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003920.003677-6.20%0.00479+22.19%0.0580✓1.625.6M2022-04-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2310.216866-6.12%0.282+22.08%0.1594✗0.8166k2022-04-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11050.103852-6.02%0.2101+90.14%0.5488✗1.223.0M2022-04-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06710.063101-5.96%0.07684+14.52%0.0808✗0.9111k2022-04-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.625.2893-5.88%6.47+15.12%0.0250✓1.38765k2022-04-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2680.252333-5.85%0.476+77.61%0.4738✗1.262.1M2022-04-06
XMRMoneroMonero157.95148.7382-5.83%213.2+34.98%0.2323✗1.001.5M2022-04-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.25270.238018-5.81%0.3005+18.92%0.0761✗1.23242k2022-04-06
STXStacksnative1.040.979641-5.80%1.27+22.12%0.1098✗1.17463k2022-04-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.239.6407-5.76%15.06+47.21%0.3711✗0.59984k2022-04-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4351.3528-5.73%1.692+17.91%0.0861✗1.081.8M2022-04-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.2926.6716-5.72%26.92-4.84%0.1463✓1.2248.9M2022-04-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3533.1632-5.66%5.52+64.63%0.4901✗0.521.2M2022-04-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.43360.409275-5.61%0.5423+25.07%0.1538✗1.004,1622022-04-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.087640.082727-5.61%0.09932+13.33%0.0595✗0.9741k2022-04-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.1626.5882-5.58%29.02+3.05%0.0344✓0.961.3M2022-04-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum46.1543.5798-5.57%53.44+15.80%0.0342✓1.336.1M2022-04-06
AVTAventusEthereum2.322.191-5.56%3.06+31.90%0.2845✗0.39370k2022-04-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011820.011163-5.56%0.01302+10.15%0.0180✓1.353.1M2022-04-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.38075.0874-5.45%5.8226+8.21%0.0874✗0.37260k2022-04-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0417330.039473-5.42%0.03858-7.56%0.1569✓1.058.1M2022-04-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,376.2717,385.61-5.39%21,713.35+18.16%0.0954✗0.995.4M2022-04-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.71.6084-5.39%2.01+18.24%0.0517✓1.341.7M2022-04-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49250.466535-5.27%0.5248+6.56%0.0130✓0.82522k2022-04-06
MOVRMoonriverBase52.858450.0867-5.24%66.9978+26.75%0.1141✗1.39223k2022-04-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.31730.300807-5.20%0.3907+23.13%0.0564✗1.6111.1M2022-04-06
FTTFTXEthereum39.7637.699-5.18%45.03+13.25%0.0365✓1.1118.8M2022-04-06
PROPropyEthereum1.591.5079-5.17%1.48-6.92%0.1667✓1.16343k2022-04-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,523.4035,596.35-5.14%43,278.60+15.34%0.0732✗0.9653k2022-04-06
XECeCashnative0.00006890.000065462-4.99%0.00009752+41.54%0.2647✗1.054.4M2022-04-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02480.023575-4.94%0.02928+18.06%0.0606✗1.22494k2022-04-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.88172.7423-4.84%4.9634+72.24%0.5010✗0.723.6M2022-04-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.131.0755-4.83%1.28+13.27%0.0444✓1.02718k2022-04-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.87931.791-4.70%2.2052+17.34%0.0868✗0.9582k2022-04-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.31950.304498-4.70%0.3833+19.97%0.0502✗1.41997k2022-04-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.1524.9412-4.62%38.47+47.11%0.2998✗1.055.2M2022-04-06
DODODODOEthereum0.3810.363434-4.61%0.419+9.97%0.0092✓1.193.9M2022-04-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022790.000021742-4.60%0.00002436+6.89%0.0452✓1.243.9M2022-04-06
NANOnanopayBase1.61621.5428-4.54%2.4702+52.84%0.3250✗1.14165k2022-04-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9760.93201-4.51%1.262+29.30%0.1734✗1.021.1M2022-04-06
QNTQuantEthereum110.5105.522-4.50%124+12.22%0.0287✓1.046.0M2022-04-06
QTUMQtumQtum5.7125.456-4.48%6.922+21.18%0.0755✗1.27153k2022-04-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2741.217-4.47%1.603+25.82%0.1435✗1.03826k2022-04-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.067770.064743-4.47%0.07739+14.20%0.0297✓1.1754k2022-04-06
DIADIAEthereum0.930.888535-4.46%0.98+5.38%0.0527✗0.35277k2022-04-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.4321.4385-4.42%24.12+7.53%0.0555✓1.361.3M2022-04-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.417.6097-4.29%22.56+22.61%0.0713✗1.38300k2022-04-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.19420.185897-4.28%0.2275+17.15%0.0362✓1.302.7M2022-04-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.730.699015-4.24%0.8257+13.11%0.1253✗0.321.2M2022-04-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.4215.7318-4.19%18.73+14.07%0.0319✓1.1218.2M2022-04-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14220.136264-4.17%0.155+9.00%0.0004✓1.01304k2022-04-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83972.7219-4.15%4.4925+58.20%0.4068✗0.742.3M2022-04-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3071.2528-4.15%1.521+16.37%0.0027✓1.50747k2022-04-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.8217.0812-4.15%21.76+22.11%0.1106✗1.037.7M2022-04-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016910.016212-4.13%0.01983+17.27%0.0648✗1.071.9M2022-04-06
BTTCBTTC0.000001770.000001697-4.12%0.00000197+11.30%0.0664✗0.6513.5M2022-04-06
ADACardanoCardano0.79320.760588-4.11%1.0525+32.69%0.1843✗1.1080.3M2022-04-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4722330.452847-4.11%0.70341+48.95%0.3017✗1.092.5M2022-04-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.175.9216-4.03%6.36+3.08%0.0319✓0.811.1M2022-04-06
UOSUltraEthereum1.18721.1394-4.02%1.1805-0.57%0.1444✓1.412.9M2022-04-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.973.8108-4.01%4.57+15.11%0.0076✓1.48365k2022-04-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1696850.162912-3.99%0.203353+19.84%0.0871✗1.0619.8M2022-04-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.70510.67722-3.95%0.966+37.00%0.1728✗1.43213k2022-04-06
MANADecentralandEthereum2.36222.2691-3.94%2.3325-1.26%0.1366✓1.293.0M2022-04-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.935.698-3.91%6.13+3.37%0.0325✓0.83560k2022-04-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.10.096102-3.90%0.211+111.00%0.7097✗0.6044k2022-04-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.65983.5183-3.87%4.7892+30.86%0.1692✗1.09236k2022-04-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.024970.024015-3.82%0.02507+0.40%0.0562✓0.783.8M2022-04-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.633150.609084-3.80%0.75427+19.13%0.0483✗1.30142k2022-04-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2344.0731-3.80%6.75+59.42%0.4041✗0.79471k2022-04-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1169340.112499-3.79%0.143326+22.57%0.1264✗0.913.7M2022-04-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.19930.191815-3.76%0.2749+37.93%0.1728✗1.472.4M2022-04-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.038340.036902-3.75%0.04548+18.62%0.0927✗0.9130k2022-04-06
CBKCobakEthereum2.0852.0069-3.74%2.344+12.42%0.0471✗0.8521k2022-04-06
XTZTezosTezos2.92742.8195-3.69%3.299+12.69%0.0007✓1.241.5M2022-04-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.72770.700917-3.68%0.7666+5.35%0.0538✓1.1219.2M2022-04-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034340.033076-3.68%0.03877+12.90%0.0595✗0.781.1M2022-04-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011580.011155-3.67%0.03176+174.27%0.8545✗1.5012.7M2022-04-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7113.2229-3.55%16.2+18.16%0.0286✓1.372.5M2022-04-06
HIVEHivenative0.84120.811394-3.54%0.9422+12.01%0.0075✓1.231.9M2022-04-06
SCSiacoinnative0.008660.008355-3.52%0.01105+27.60%0.1309✗1.16514k2022-04-06
ZENHorizenBase33.7332.5483-3.50%41.31+22.47%0.0650✗1.36261k2022-04-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum12.712.2573-3.49%15.43+21.50%0.0815✗1.1648.2M2022-04-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06570.063419-3.47%0.1055+60.58%0.3821✗0.99159k2022-04-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,994.0036,678.65-3.46%43,166.70+13.61%0.0352✓1.00700.9M2022-04-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.67110.648058-3.43%1.143+70.32%0.4009✗1.302.8M2022-04-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche71.7569.2941-3.42%82.99+15.67%0.0031✓1.39123.1M2022-04-06
MINAMina Protocolnative1.841.7783-3.36%3.04+65.22%0.3941✗1.11354k2022-04-06
GTGateEthereum6.776.5462-3.31%6.6073-2.40%0.0802✓0.702.8M2022-04-06
XEMNEMnative0.09350.090454-3.26%0.1035+10.70%0.0215✓0.8942k2022-04-06
XVGVergenative0.008830.008543-3.25%0.01136+28.65%0.1337✗1.191.4M2022-04-06
SOLSolanaSolana81.6679.0781-3.16%112.94+38.31%0.1917✗1.29114.6M2022-04-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.981.9176-3.15%2.497+26.11%0.0809✗1.4411.4M2022-04-06
ZECZcashZcash109.5106.0636-3.14%160.99+47.02%0.2750✗1.117.4M2022-04-06
DASHDashDash85.983.255-3.08%113.64+32.29%0.1732✗1.081.5M2022-04-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0851.0517-3.07%1.259+16.04%0.0455✗1.053.0M2022-04-06
GITCOINGITCOIN5.6155.4433-3.06%6.427+14.46%0.0083✓1.3725k2022-04-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.4712.0961-3.00%15.19+21.81%0.0859✗1.11312k2022-04-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.6940.67392-2.89%0.736+6.05%0.0440✓1.048.8M2022-04-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0120.011653-2.89%0.01233+2.75%0.0407✓0.7612k2022-04-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.112.0514-2.78%2.5+18.48%0.0691✗1.01191k2022-04-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.7062.6309-2.78%3.76+38.95%0.2499✗0.84322k2022-04-06
KCSKuCoinnative17.76117.2713-2.76%19.679+10.80%0.0011✓1.018.8M2022-04-06
XYMSymbolnative0.13330.129711-2.69%0.1309-1.80%0.0947✓0.81296k2022-04-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.32980.320967-2.68%0.4125+25.08%0.0832✗1.318.0M2022-04-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048520.047231-2.66%0.05178+6.72%0.0561✓1.16516k2022-04-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.415.9687-2.63%19.85+21.04%0.0673✗1.1825.8M2022-04-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.21840.212744-2.59%0.2568+17.58%0.0724✗0.912.0M2022-04-06
KSMKusamaHydration120.6117.4843-2.58%174.43+44.64%0.2511✗1.13834k2022-04-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.623.5279-2.54%5.387+48.81%0.2667✗1.232.1M2022-04-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.08020.078227-2.46%0.1219+52.00%0.2491✗1.52572k2022-04-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8782.8074-2.45%3.923+36.31%0.2320✗0.80427k2022-04-06
SUSHISushiEthereum2.882.8095-2.45%3.57+23.96%0.0883✗1.196.4M2022-04-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.014.8875-2.45%6.23+24.35%0.1377✗0.82592k2022-04-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6490.633525-2.38%0.818+26.04%0.1322✗0.972.6M2022-04-06
ETHEthereumEthereum2,491.582,433.66-2.32%3,168.52+27.17%0.1254✗1.08546.1M2022-04-06
RADRadworksEthereum4.44.3006-2.26%4.89+11.14%0.0037✓0.98862k2022-04-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2431.2157-2.19%1.562+25.66%0.0925✗1.242.4M2022-04-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV76.4274.7754-2.15%89.14+16.64%0.0764✗0.78899k2022-04-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.890590.871592-2.13%1.1147+25.17%0.0843✗1.27116k2022-04-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.562.5073-2.06%3.75+46.48%0.2597✗1.12584k2022-04-06
TRXTRONTron0.0585560.057431-1.92%0.063056+7.68%0.0008✓0.74307k2022-04-06
COMPCompoundEthereum98.596.6284-1.90%134.27+36.31%0.1790✗1.1846k2022-04-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.41440.406812-1.83%0.6836+64.96%0.3380✗1.42448k2022-04-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7620.748658-1.75%0.94+23.36%0.0656✗1.272.2M2022-04-06
UNIUniswapEthereum8.318.1772-1.60%9.95+19.74%0.0527✗1.128.5M2022-04-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin98.3597.3036-1.06%111.68+13.55%0.0010✓1.0728.7M2022-04-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6184.5762-0.91%4.86+5.24%0.0630✓0.9774k2022-04-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash273.86272.1025-0.64%331+20.86%0.0754✗0.947.2M2022-04-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174370.017345-0.53%0.027832+59.61%0.3670✗0.83167k2022-04-06
XVSVenusEthereum8.378.3476-0.27%11.39+36.08%0.1571✗1.203.6M2022-04-06
AAVEAaveEthereum116.88116.7849-0.08%191.3+63.67%0.3245✗1.327.3M2022-04-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.