8=======>

2022-03-04 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1431
152 of 152 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.05%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
23.0%
in alpha space · 19.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.60%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.518.2651-2.88%8.2-3.64%0.0126✓0.78480k2022-03-05
UMAUMAEthereum9.2168.9741-2.63%9.313+1.05%0.0290✗1.352.0M2022-03-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3173.2363-2.43%3.29-0.81%0.0133✓0.52955k2022-03-05
AVTAventusEthereum2.722.6638-2.07%2.59-4.78%0.0341✓1.00443k2022-03-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.417.1786-1.27%17.27-0.75%0.0017✓0.602.8M2022-03-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73040.721279-1.25%0.7277-0.37%0.0011✓1.292.7M2022-03-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.37e-77.29e-7-1.10%0.000001117+51.59%0.4211✗1.001.0M2022-03-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3710.2634-1.03%10.56+1.83%0.0249✗0.59984k2022-03-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.276.2159-0.86%6.28+0.16%0.0053✓0.82518k2022-03-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05660.056148-0.80%0.0573+1.24%0.0099✗1.7366.8M2022-03-05
LUNATerraTerra 283.4982.8565-0.76%87.53+4.84%0.0465✗1.405.0M2022-03-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8832.8613-0.75%2.877-0.21%0.0005✓0.83276k2022-03-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2615.157-0.68%14.85-2.69%0.0287✓1.372.4M2022-03-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.50672.49-0.66%2.3445-6.47%0.0651✓0.812.9M2022-03-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.73262.7147-0.66%2.826+3.42%0.0342✗1.0012.7M2022-03-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.240.238454-0.64%0.246+2.50%0.0264✗0.7966k2022-03-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.90911.8969-0.63%1.9409+1.67%0.0171✗0.9682k2022-03-05
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7991.788-0.61%1.89+5.06%0.0501✗0.8968k2022-03-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.385.3487-0.58%5.41+0.56%0.0065✗0.82584k2022-03-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.00932.992-0.58%2.9894-0.66%0.0053✓0.742.4M2022-03-05
CELLCellframeEthereum1.42431.4167-0.53%1.4397+1.08%0.0083✗1.29293k2022-03-05
API3Api3Ethereum6.3116.2775-0.53%6.513+3.20%0.0333✗0.587.0M2022-03-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3461.3392-0.50%1.334-0.89%0.0112✓1.222.4M2022-03-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4380.435826-0.50%0.4561+4.13%0.0332✗2.052.3M2022-03-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.01773.0031-0.48%2.9968-0.69%0.0066✓0.743.6M2022-03-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.093.0751-0.48%2.927-5.28%0.0560✓1.11660k2022-03-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.5130.3633-0.48%30.85+1.11%0.0088✗1.1952.8M2022-03-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02770.027573-0.46%0.0275-0.72%0.0099✓1.21503k2022-03-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011110.011059-0.46%0.01183+6.48%0.0593✗1.342.9M2022-03-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.6828.5512-0.45%29.9+4.25%0.0405✗0.941.5M2022-03-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4384.4181-0.45%4.51+1.62%0.0159✗0.78463k2022-03-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.19520.194332-0.44%0.2326+19.16%0.1722✗1.262.7M2022-03-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0441480.043958-0.43%0.04506+2.07%0.0185✗1.048.1M2022-03-05
XMRMoneroMonero159.78159.1095-0.42%166.09+3.95%0.0370✗0.991.4M2022-03-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06790.067617-0.42%0.0689+1.47%0.0133✗0.9213k2022-03-05
BANDBandEthereum3.723.7051-0.40%3.81+2.42%0.0207✗1.201.7M2022-03-05
RADRadworksEthereum5.075.05-0.39%5-1.38%0.0159✓0.98862k2022-03-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8772.8659-0.39%2.898+0.73%0.0064✗0.80457k2022-03-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.721.7134-0.38%1.81+5.23%0.0469✗1.321.9M2022-03-05
PROPropyEthereum1.761.7533-0.38%1.77+0.57%0.0026✓1.15411k2022-03-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.26230.261339-0.37%0.268+2.17%0.0178✗1.23284k2022-03-05
ZECZcashZcash117.05116.6221-0.37%116.52-0.45%0.0075✓1.107.4M2022-03-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.03042.0236-0.34%2.3731+16.88%0.1549✗0.7325k2022-03-05
QNTQuantEthereum118.5118.1052-0.33%120.94+2.06%0.0176✗1.016.3M2022-03-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0391.0356-0.33%1.06+2.02%0.0173✗0.991.2M2022-03-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.52920.52748-0.33%0.5331+0.74%0.0057✗0.82545k2022-03-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.2118.1528-0.31%19.06+4.67%0.0406✗1.37325k2022-03-05
MINAMina Protocolnative2.022.0137-0.31%2.01-0.50%0.0086✓1.12354k2022-03-05
FTTFTXEthereum40.540.3743-0.31%41.16+1.63%0.0127✗1.1019.7M2022-03-05
XEMNEMnative0.0960.095707-0.31%0.0978+1.87%0.0163✗0.8940k2022-03-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.222.2135-0.29%2.26+1.80%0.0148✗1.00242k2022-03-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3581.354-0.29%1.419+4.49%0.0379✗1.49797k2022-03-05
COMPCompoundEthereum108.79108.4834-0.28%109.66+0.80%0.0037✗1.1757k2022-03-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,859.0119,804.16-0.28%20,264.00+2.04%0.0171✗0.975.8M2022-03-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.650.648209-0.28%0.66+1.54%0.0079✗1.68988k2022-03-05
MANADecentralandEthereum2.47812.4713-0.27%2.5502+2.91%0.0238✗1.273.1M2022-03-05
DODODODOEthereum0.4120.410912-0.26%0.424+2.91%0.0243✗1.184.1M2022-03-05
DIADIAEthereum0.970.967451-0.26%1.01+4.12%0.0411✗0.33277k2022-03-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.088930.088697-0.26%0.09015+1.37%0.0104✗0.9742k2022-03-05
HIVEHivenative0.90480.902456-0.26%0.9161+1.25%0.0077✗1.212.1M2022-03-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1050.10473-0.26%0.105+0.00%0.0010✓0.6044k2022-03-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11690.116603-0.25%0.118+0.94%0.0047✗1.213.2M2022-03-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.78170.779713-0.25%0.8021+2.61%0.0265✗0.311.2M2022-03-05
XVGVergenative0.009440.009416-0.25%0.00954+1.06%0.0060✗1.181.4M2022-03-05
UOSUltraEthereum1.25761.2544-0.25%1.2868+2.33%0.0171✗1.393.1M2022-03-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.825.8057-0.25%6.06+4.12%0.0347✗1.37829k2022-03-05
QTUMQtumQtum5.92545.911-0.24%6.0793+2.60%0.0205✗1.26226k2022-03-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.064380.064224-0.24%0.06626+2.92%0.0242✗1.1760k2022-03-05
SCSiacoinnative0.008470.00845-0.24%0.00862+1.77%0.0130✗1.17546k2022-03-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,591.9039,497.35-0.24%39,586.40-0.01%0.0035✓0.9659k2022-03-05
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.000001826-0.24%0.00000186+1.64%0.0148✗0.6413.7M2022-03-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34640.345611-0.23%0.3623+4.59%0.0375✗1.6214.3M2022-03-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017610.01757-0.23%0.01871+6.25%0.0566✗1.052.2M2022-03-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06710.066947-0.23%0.0692+3.13%0.0272✗0.99159k2022-03-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.02660.02654-0.23%0.02701+1.54%0.0129✗0.774.0M2022-03-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4131.4099-0.22%1.459+3.26%0.0278✗1.081.8M2022-03-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.16.0865-0.22%6.34+3.93%0.0361✗0.781.1M2022-03-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.047350.047245-0.22%0.05203+9.88%0.0896✗1.15605k2022-03-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.690.68851-0.22%0.687-0.43%0.0080✓0.962.6M2022-03-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.8218.7795-0.22%19.09+1.43%0.0103✗1.029.1M2022-03-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.96783.9594-0.21%4.0278+1.51%0.0106✗1.09244k2022-03-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.974.9597-0.21%5.094+2.49%0.0210✗0.9472k2022-03-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.8622.8134-0.20%23.37+2.23%0.0160✗1.351.4M2022-03-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2350.234525-0.20%0.238+1.28%0.0093✗0.902.0M2022-03-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6217.5845-0.20%17.68+0.34%0.0012✓1.1019.5M2022-03-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1223920.122147-0.20%0.124887+2.04%0.0168✗0.903.7M2022-03-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.654010.652711-0.20%0.6759+3.35%0.0270✗1.32180k2022-03-05
STXStacksnative1.111.1078-0.20%1.14+2.70%0.0216✗1.17517k2022-03-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.3812.3557-0.20%13.16+6.30%0.0565✗1.10312k2022-03-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012110.012086-0.20%0.01233+1.82%0.0154✗0.7613k2022-03-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034510.034443-0.20%0.03865+12.00%0.1107✗0.751.1M2022-03-05
ORCAOrcaSolana2.362.3554-0.19%2.43+2.97%0.0266✗0.76393k2022-03-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1141.1118-0.19%1.162+4.31%0.0378✗1.053.0M2022-03-05
XLMStellarStellar0.176060.175728-0.19%0.180332+2.43%0.0196✗1.0519.8M2022-03-05
MOVRMoonriverBase60.232760.1195-0.19%60.0292-0.34%0.0097✓1.37223k2022-03-05
ZENHorizenBase33.6133.547-0.19%34.69+3.21%0.0250✗1.41280k2022-03-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,166.5139,096.05-0.18%39,402.43+0.60%0.0018✓1.00706.4M2022-03-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14720.146936-0.18%0.146-0.82%0.0125✓1.01330k2022-03-05
ADACardanoCardano0.8450.843517-0.18%0.8654+2.41%0.0191✗1.0992.2M2022-03-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06920.069079-0.18%0.0709+2.46%0.0186✗1.241.0M2022-03-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.350.349387-0.18%0.3617+3.34%0.0263✗1.381.2M2022-03-05
GTGateEthereum6.68186.6702-0.17%6.7967+1.72%0.0146✗0.692.8M2022-03-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2740.273534-0.17%0.281+2.55%0.0194✗1.252.1M2022-03-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.6327.5838-0.17%27.83+0.72%0.0026✗1.045.2M2022-03-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.7413.7172-0.17%14.02+2.04%0.0149✗1.1550.1M2022-03-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.710.708859-0.16%0.7364+3.72%0.0320✗1.029.6M2022-03-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.340.339466-0.16%0.347+2.06%0.0141✗1.318.7M2022-03-05
XECeCashnative0.000070610.000070502-0.15%0.00007291+3.26%0.0273✗1.054.5M2022-03-05
KCSKuCoinnative18.23818.2105-0.15%18.59+1.93%0.0146✗1.009.1M2022-03-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche75.8275.7062-0.15%76.71+1.17%0.0048✗1.39123.1M2022-03-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.749.6277-0.15%51.87+4.37%0.0364✗1.306.3M2022-03-05
XYMSymbolnative0.14050.140308-0.14%0.14-0.36%0.0070✓0.81299k2022-03-05
XVSVenusEthereum8.588.5684-0.14%8.84+3.03%0.0241✗1.183.6M2022-03-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos54.9934-0.13%5.173+3.46%0.0295✗0.96166k2022-03-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.53795.5307-0.13%5.3562-3.28%0.0343✓0.38300k2022-03-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3481.3463-0.13%1.359+0.82%0.0033✗1.03917k2022-03-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2522.2491-0.13%2.247-0.22%0.0095✓1.4312.7M2022-03-05
TRXTRONTron0.0582640.058191-0.13%0.060417+3.70%0.0331✗0.74307k2022-03-05
DASHDashDash89.5989.4801-0.12%89.69+0.11%0.0041✓1.071.5M2022-03-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.949430.948265-0.12%0.96031+1.15%0.0050✗1.27162k2022-03-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037810.037764-0.12%0.03857+2.01%0.0157✗0.9129k2022-03-05
XTZTezosTezos3.07893.0753-0.12%3.141+2.02%0.0137✗1.241.7M2022-03-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.08510.085002-0.12%0.088+3.41%0.0257✗1.50592k2022-03-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV79.3679.2696-0.11%81.26+2.39%0.0199✗0.82908k2022-03-05
ETHEthereumEthereum2,623.072,620.16-0.11%2,665.77+1.63%0.0107✗1.08561.7M2022-03-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.76050.759667-0.11%0.7744+1.83%0.0125✗1.1219.7M2022-03-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023530.000023506-0.10%0.00002459+4.50%0.0376✗1.243.9M2022-03-05
GITCOINGITCOIN5.8515.8452-0.10%6.001+2.56%0.0182✗1.3525k2022-03-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.150630.150485-0.10%0.15295+1.54%0.0107✗0.9321k2022-03-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0113910.011381-0.09%0.012109+6.30%0.0560✗1.0013k2022-03-05
SUSHISushiEthereum3.043.0374-0.09%3.1+1.97%0.0132✗1.206.5M2022-03-05
CBKCobakEthereum2.1342.1322-0.09%2.18+2.16%0.0172✗0.8423k2022-03-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.780.779342-0.08%0.821+5.26%0.0446✗1.252.4M2022-03-05
NANOnanopayBase1.75291.7516-0.07%1.8157+3.58%0.0292✗1.12171k2022-03-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash290.67290.4565-0.07%294.47+1.31%0.0081✗0.947.3M2022-03-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6183.6154-0.07%3.861+6.72%0.0585✗1.212.1M2022-03-05
SOLSolanaSolana88.3288.2584-0.07%89.62+1.47%0.0077✗1.27121.6M2022-03-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.054.0473-0.07%4.15+2.47%0.0162✗1.48458k2022-03-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.7916.7798-0.06%17.32+3.16%0.0247✗1.1726.4M2022-03-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.73540.735009-0.05%0.7607+3.44%0.0256✗1.45227k2022-03-05
KSMKusamaHydration120.67120.6142-0.05%122.67+1.66%0.0102✗1.12910k2022-03-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4951140.494938-0.04%0.500783+1.14%0.0052✗1.082.8M2022-03-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0185940.018588-0.03%0.018318-1.48%0.0197✓0.84143k2022-03-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.2090.208965-0.02%0.2122+1.53%0.0066✗1.452.5M2022-03-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.171.1701+0.01%1.22+4.27%0.0358✓1.00770k2022-03-05
UNIUniswapEthereum8.818.8117+0.02%9.02+2.38%0.0166✓1.129.2M2022-03-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45040.450497+0.02%0.4583+1.75%0.0087✓1.40452k2022-03-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin101.05101.0739+0.02%104.9+3.81%0.0308✓1.0729.3M2022-03-05
AAVEAaveEthereum124.3124.3532+0.04%124.61+0.25%0.0058✗1.307.2M2022-03-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0040.004003+0.07%0.0041+2.50%0.0143✓1.616.6M2022-03-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.321.3215+0.11%1.282-2.88%0.0366✗1.043.4M2022-03-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014430.014478+0.33%0.01395-3.33%0.0460✗1.4712.7M2022-03-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.