8=======>

2022-02-28 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0917
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.23%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.9%
in alpha space · 44.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.89%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum6.716.7304+0.30%6.7553+0.68%0.0165✗0.712.8M2022-03-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017960.018011+0.28%0.01656-7.80%0.1280✗1.5512.5M2022-03-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV88.6788.8537+0.21%87.68-1.12%0.0374✗0.85905k2022-03-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1641.1664+0.20%1.224+5.15%0.0137✓1.212.9M2022-03-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.166390.166718+0.20%0.16553-0.52%0.0417✗1.2127k2022-03-01
KSMKusamaHydration130.28130.5022+0.17%138.55+6.35%0.0273✓1.14930k2022-03-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5051.5072+0.15%1.522+1.13%0.0222✗1.12931k2022-03-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012310.012328+0.14%0.01223-0.65%0.0292✗0.7512k2022-03-01
AAVEAaveEthereum145.83146.0277+0.14%143.34-1.71%0.0571✗1.356.6M2022-03-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.741170.742161+0.13%0.75556+1.94%0.0213✗1.38206k2022-03-01
QNTQuantEthereum115.74115.889+0.13%119.35+3.12%0.0014✓0.996.3M2022-03-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.66.608+0.12%6.72+1.82%0.0023✓0.511.1M2022-03-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.6642.6667+0.10%2.626-1.43%0.0534✗1.34584k2022-03-01
ETHEthereumEthereum2,923.082,926.03+0.10%2,977.72+1.87%0.0123✗1.05540.3M2022-03-01
STORJStorjEthereum1.04261.0435+0.08%1.0846+4.03%0.0008✓1.33162k2022-03-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6970.697559+0.08%0.697+0.00%0.0314✗1.082.4M2022-03-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0226550.022672+0.08%0.022682+0.12%0.0240✗0.86117k2022-03-01
GITCOINGITCOIN6.756.7551+0.08%6.823+1.08%0.0298✗1.4027k2022-03-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37720.377484+0.08%0.3753-0.50%0.0448✗1.378.7M2022-03-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0730.073054+0.07%0.0743+1.78%0.0112✗0.99160k2022-03-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004390.004393+0.07%0.00471+7.29%0.0233✓1.639.6M2022-03-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.029370.029391+0.07%0.02885-1.77%0.0409✗0.784.1M2022-03-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56960.570006+0.07%0.7582+33.11%0.2476✓1.322.4M2022-03-01
TRXTRONTron0.0617860.061828+0.07%0.062179+0.64%0.0163✗0.77286k2022-03-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.86840.868966+0.07%0.8569-1.32%0.0466✗1.1520.7M2022-03-01
SOLSolanaSolana99.7499.7937+0.05%98.7-1.04%0.0474✗1.28127.4M2022-03-01
NANOnanopayBase1.93811.939+0.05%1.9211-0.88%0.0431✗1.19179k2022-03-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin113.82113.8618+0.04%112.65-1.03%0.0429✗1.1329.3M2022-03-01
XEMNEMnative0.10810.108139+0.04%0.1097+1.48%0.0134✗0.9740k2022-03-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5711.5714+0.03%1.617+2.93%0.0041✗1.151.8M2022-03-01
HIVEHivenative0.98030.980515+0.02%1.0352+5.60%0.0207✓1.182.0M2022-03-01
MINAMina Protocolnative2.212.2104+0.02%2.18-1.36%0.0474✗1.18343k2022-03-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.08570.085711+0.01%0.1048+22.29%0.1593✓1.47613k2022-03-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.23454.2349+0.01%4.2804+1.09%0.0219✗1.14244k2022-03-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025790.000025791+0.00%0.00002713+5.20%0.0153✓1.243.8M2022-03-01
XMRMoneroMonero170.31170.307-0.00%177.8+4.40%0.0148✗0.991.0M2022-03-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1334510.133446-0.00%0.133991+0.40%0.0228✓0.943.7M2022-03-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.50070.500664-0.01%0.5253+4.91%0.0090✗1.37484k2022-03-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash339.27339.2301-0.01%328.78-3.09%0.0594✓0.997.3M2022-03-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1976750.197647-0.01%0.198927+0.63%0.0240✓1.0719.8M2022-03-01
ZECZcashZcash118.68118.6602-0.02%119.02+0.29%0.0293✓1.147.2M2022-03-01
COMPCompoundEthereum120.75120.7265-0.02%125.94+4.30%0.0078✗1.2164k2022-03-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2360.235952-0.02%0.242+2.54%0.0010✗0.8559k2022-03-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16120.161156-0.03%0.1615+0.19%0.0272✓1.03446k2022-03-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,192.6643,179.81-0.03%44,439.95+2.89%0.0003✓1.00630.5M2022-03-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048710.048694-0.03%0.04868-0.06%0.0348✓1.21686k2022-03-01
ADACardanoCardano0.9640.963665-0.03%0.9643+0.03%0.0312✓1.1296.0M2022-03-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.1415.1338-0.04%15.36+1.45%0.0189✓1.1853.4M2022-03-01
SCSiacoinnative0.009680.009676-0.04%0.00979+1.14%0.0241✓1.26546k2022-03-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3521.3514-0.04%1.328-1.78%0.0550✓1.322.0M2022-03-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.864.8578-0.05%4.86+0.00%0.0428✓1.52430k2022-03-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.71631.7154-0.05%1.9861+15.73%0.1178✗1.0172k2022-03-01
MANADecentralandEthereum2.85072.8492-0.05%2.8371-0.48%0.0387✓1.213.2M2022-03-01
XVGVergenative0.010370.010364-0.05%0.01044+0.68%0.0283✓1.251.2M2022-03-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041940.041916-0.06%0.04187-0.17%0.0295✓1.0029k2022-03-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39430.394066-0.06%0.3996+1.34%0.0270✓1.441.2M2022-03-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.861.8589-0.06%1.99+6.99%0.0306✗1.321.9M2022-03-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.11043.1085-0.06%3.0922-0.59%0.0306✓0.892.4M2022-03-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.1621.1467-0.06%22.02+4.06%0.0004✓1.44325k2022-03-01
KCSKuCoinnative20.67720.6638-0.06%20.746+0.33%0.0246✓1.009.3M2022-03-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.23210.231933-0.07%0.2318-0.13%0.0428✓1.482.6M2022-03-01
DASHDashDash100.51100.4346-0.08%100.01-0.50%0.0367✓1.141.5M2022-03-01
ZENHorizenBase37.9137.8804-0.08%39.34+3.77%0.0033✓1.44280k2022-03-01
XVSVenusEthereum9.339.3226-0.08%9.35+0.21%0.0318✓1.223.1M2022-03-01
DODODODOEthereum0.4610.460622-0.08%0.479+3.90%0.0026✗1.284.2M2022-03-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8230.82231-0.08%0.8359+1.57%0.0250✓1.45270k2022-03-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06950.069441-0.09%0.0729+4.89%0.0201✗1.0012k2022-03-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.635.6251-0.09%5.445-3.29%0.0592✓0.9468k2022-03-01
UNIUniswapEthereum10.5310.5207-0.09%10.34-1.80%0.0512✓1.1910.8M2022-03-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8770.876214-0.09%0.89+1.48%0.0210✓1.292.2M2022-03-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.79670.795964-0.09%0.8+0.41%0.0261✓1.109.6M2022-03-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092130.092045-0.09%0.09224+0.12%0.0282✓1.0745k2022-03-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4422.4396-0.10%2.546+4.26%0.0011✗1.4613.6M2022-03-01
XYMSymbolnative0.15310.152928-0.11%0.1523-0.52%0.0274✓0.82295k2022-03-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.5330.4945-0.12%30.35-0.59%0.0357✓1.095.1M2022-03-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24540.245093-0.13%0.2576+4.97%0.0240✗0.911.9M2022-03-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.361.3583-0.13%1.29-5.15%0.0818✓1.06932k2022-03-01
SUSHISushiEthereum3.543.5354-0.13%3.47-1.98%0.0549✓1.276.8M2022-03-01
QTUMQtumQtum6.49256.484-0.13%6.7053+3.28%0.0045✓1.34184k2022-03-01
XECeCashnative0.000078690.000078586-0.13%0.00007896+0.34%0.0267✓1.104.4M2022-03-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072010.071907-0.14%0.07633+6.00%0.0244✗1.2469k2022-03-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.19250.192221-0.15%0.1954+1.51%0.0227✓1.372.8M2022-03-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.930.854-0.15%30.86-0.13%0.0264✓0.941.5M2022-03-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.3715.3465-0.15%15.26-0.72%0.0479✓1.492.4M2022-03-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5750510.574149-0.16%0.573577-0.26%0.0335✓1.142.8M2022-03-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,136.2043,068.18-0.16%44,139.10+2.32%0.0032✓0.9846k2022-03-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.32781.3256-0.16%1.3652+2.82%0.0094✓1.362.7M2022-03-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2361.2339-0.17%1.245+0.73%0.0216✓1.071.2M2022-03-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.442.4358-0.17%2.46+0.82%0.0187✓1.01254k2022-03-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1816.1502-0.18%15.79-2.41%0.0431✓0.722.2M2022-03-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,589.2921,549.38-0.18%21,756.24+0.77%0.0185✓0.985.7M2022-03-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5661.5631-0.19%1.607+2.62%0.0135✓1.45863k2022-03-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.29450.29395-0.19%0.3058+3.84%0.0019✗1.32367k2022-03-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0290.028945-0.19%0.0282-2.76%0.0642✓1.34494k2022-03-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.92585.9143-0.19%5.9499+0.41%0.0028✓0.31385k2022-03-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.214.1724-0.19%14.09-0.77%0.0372✓1.10331k2022-03-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010990.010969-0.20%0.01146+4.28%0.0043✗1.392.7M2022-03-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche84.5984.4152-0.21%86.96+2.80%0.0112✓1.44116.5M2022-03-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.4772.4718-0.21%2.396-3.27%0.0577✓0.9321k2022-03-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.9518.9092-0.22%18.9-0.26%0.0353✓1.2227.9M2022-03-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.3626.3027-0.22%27.26+3.41%0.0036✓1.381.6M2022-03-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0121480.01212-0.23%0.01249+2.82%0.0007✓1.0316k2022-03-01
FTTFTXEthereum45.9545.8439-0.23%46.25+0.65%0.0218✓1.0820.8M2022-03-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2333.2255-0.23%3.203-0.93%0.0318✓0.87477k2022-03-01
RADRadworksEthereum4.854.8385-0.24%5.12+5.57%0.0281✗1.00828k2022-03-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36570.364799-0.25%0.4218+15.34%0.0992✗1.6214.6M2022-03-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.035030.034944-0.25%0.03426-2.20%0.0455✓0.901.2M2022-03-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0780.077807-0.25%0.0786+0.77%0.0274✓1.321.0M2022-03-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.796.7727-0.25%6.82+0.44%0.0335✓1.421.1M2022-03-01
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.000001985-0.27%0.00000199+0.00%0.0164✓0.6714.0M2022-03-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56070.559169-0.27%0.5765+2.82%0.0046✗0.91641k2022-03-01
MOVRMoonriverBase67.76367.5727-0.28%66.4156-1.99%0.0570✓1.40214k2022-03-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.75840.756259-0.28%0.7268-4.17%0.0499✓0.361.3M2022-03-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1544.142-0.29%4.177+0.55%0.0269✓1.242.3M2022-03-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.7221.6558-0.30%20.98-3.41%0.0640✓1.148.6M2022-03-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.02140.021336-0.30%0.02045-4.44%0.0739✓1.112.2M2022-03-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0492640.049111-0.31%0.049485+0.45%0.0229✓1.078.1M2022-03-01
XTZTezosTezos3.54833.5372-0.31%3.4918-1.59%0.0497✓1.292.1M2022-03-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3080.307034-0.31%0.318+3.25%0.0021✓1.312.1M2022-03-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.3831.2799-0.32%31.14-0.76%0.0373✓1.1550.3M2022-03-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13030.129871-0.33%0.1362+4.53%0.0111✗1.282.9M2022-03-01
BANDBandEthereum3.9343.9202-0.35%4.227+7.45%0.0385✗1.291.8M2022-03-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum54.4254.2265-0.36%57.19+5.09%0.0165✗1.296.7M2022-03-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.1320.0577-0.36%19.34-3.92%0.0699✓1.1821.3M2022-03-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.8755.8536-0.36%5.771-1.77%0.0444✓1.06189k2022-03-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.750.746966-0.40%0.78+4.00%0.0055✓1.72995k2022-03-01
DIADIAEthereum1.071.0655-0.42%1.06-0.93%0.0130✓0.27286k2022-03-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.5040.50174-0.45%0.5394+7.02%0.0154✗2.002.1M2022-03-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5654.5441-0.46%4.502-1.38%0.0336✓0.85435k2022-03-01
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5641.5567-0.47%1.582+1.15%0.0138✓1.053.4M2022-03-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1510.1022-0.47%10.14-0.10%0.0153✓0.67928k2022-03-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.19292.1819-0.50%2.2579+2.96%0.0141✗0.7126k2022-03-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.515.4818-0.51%5.52+0.18%0.0176✓0.86510k2022-03-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.11963.1025-0.55%3.1217+0.07%0.0189✓0.883.6M2022-03-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1320.13127-0.55%0.123-6.82%0.0815✓0.5844k2022-03-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.66.5607-0.60%6.51-1.36%0.0331✓0.89452k2022-03-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07030.069879-0.60%0.0703+0.00%0.0447✓1.7876.7M2022-03-01
ORCAOrcaSolana2.642.6241-0.60%2.58-2.27%0.0454✓1.00490k2022-03-01
AVTAventusEthereum2.522.504-0.63%2.33-7.54%0.1005✓1.00486k2022-03-01
STXStacksnative1.251.2421-0.64%1.29+3.20%0.0039✓1.19610k2022-03-01
CELLCellframeEthereum1.67541.6645-0.65%1.7018+1.58%0.0141✓1.27272k2022-03-01
LUNATerraTerra 291.3890.7454-0.69%89.72-1.82%0.0528✓1.464.5M2022-03-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.43912.4215-0.72%2.5724+5.47%0.0355✗0.882.7M2022-03-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1153.0922-0.73%3.071-1.41%0.0325✓0.90218k2022-03-01
PROPropyEthereum1.841.8254-0.79%1.84+0.00%0.0268✓1.22483k2022-03-01
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8361.8202-0.86%1.81-1.42%0.0305✓0.8776k2022-03-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.40e-76.33e-7-1.08%6.11e-7-4.60%0.0647✓1.001.2M2022-03-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3173.2725-1.34%3.193-3.74%0.0521✓0.97741k2022-03-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.557.4449-1.39%8.27+9.54%0.0796✗0.90461k2022-03-01
API3Api3Ethereum7.5297.4142-1.53%8.094+7.50%0.0743✗0.472.3M2022-03-01
UMAUMAEthereum7.2287.0808-2.04%9.447+30.70%0.2499✗1.351.9M2022-03-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.