2022-02-28 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1874

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+18.52%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

26.5%

in alpha space · 11.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+9.00%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.529	6.6353	-11.87%	5.642	-25.06%	0.2029	✓	0.47	2.3M	2022-03-30
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0703	0.06216	-11.58%	0.0808	+14.94%	0.1089	✓	1.78	76.7M	2022-03-30
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.504	0.446868	-11.34%	0.5986	+18.77%	0.1200	✓	2.00	2.1M	2022-03-30
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.84	1.6428	-10.72%	1.69	-8.15%	0.0767	✓	1.22	483k	2022-03-30
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6754	1.5091	-9.92%	1.47	-12.26%	0.1359	✓	1.27	272k	2022-03-30
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.836	1.6544	-9.89%	1.937	+5.50%	0.0824	✓	0.87	76k	2022-03-30
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	6.40e-7	5.83e-7	-9.01%	9.33e-7	+45.74%	0.3850	✗	1.00	1.2M	2022-03-30
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	7.228	6.6015	-8.67%	8.072	+11.68%	0.0847	✓	1.35	1.9M	2022-03-30
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	21,589.29	19,718.71	-8.66%	24,045.64	+11.38%	0.1137	✗	0.98	5.7M	2022-03-30
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	67.763	62.0243	-8.47%	69.3339	+2.32%	0.0088	✓	1.40	214k	2022-03-30
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	91.38	83.8036	-8.29%	105.96	+15.96%	0.1091	✗	1.46	4.5M	2022-03-30
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3657	0.335659	-8.21%	0.4822	+31.86%	0.2231	✗	1.62	14.6M	2022-03-30
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.64	2.4262	-8.10%	2.38	-9.85%	0.1054	✓	1.00	490k	2022-03-30
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.029	0.026695	-7.95%	0.03322	+14.55%	0.1034	✗	1.34	494k	2022-03-30
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.7584	0.698859	-7.85%	1.0802	+42.43%	0.4047	✗	0.36	1.3M	2022-03-30
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.79	6.2604	-7.80%	7.88	+16.05%	0.1078	✗	1.42	1.1M	2022-03-30
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.13	18.578	-7.71%	21.81	+8.35%	0.0591	✓	1.18	21.3M	2022-03-30
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.012148	0.011216	-7.67%	0.015574	+28.20%	0.2394	✗	1.03	16k	2022-03-30
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.934	3.6324	-7.67%	4.904	+24.66%	0.1887	✗	1.29	1.8M	2022-03-30
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.36	1.2581	-7.49%	1.52	+11.76%	0.0974	✗	1.06	932k	2022-03-30
STX	Stacks	native	1.25	1.1655	-6.76%	1.54	+23.20%	0.1758	✗	1.19	610k	2022-03-30
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.4391	2.2747	-6.74%	3.4679	+42.18%	0.3460	✗	0.88	2.7M	2022-03-30
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.0214	0.019971	-6.68%	0.02037	-4.81%	0.0754	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-03-30
XMR	Monero	Monero	170.31	159.2962	-6.47%	221.39	+29.99%	0.2436	✗	0.99	1.0M	2022-03-30
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.664	2.4961	-6.30%	3.313	+24.36%	0.1680	✗	1.34	584k	2022-03-30
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.86	1.7446	-6.20%	2.41	+29.57%	0.2095	✗	1.32	1.9M	2022-03-30
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03503	0.032895	-6.09%	0.04133	+17.98%	0.1503	✗	0.90	1.2M	2022-03-30
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.75	0.704307	-6.09%	0.8	+6.67%	0.0203	✓	1.72	995k	2022-03-30
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.236	1.1648	-5.76%	2.11	+70.71%	0.5018	✗	1.07	1.2M	2022-03-30
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.16	19.9431	-5.75%	25.48	+20.42%	0.1213	✗	1.44	325k	2022-03-30
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1303	0.122934	-5.65%	0.2226	+70.84%	0.4832	✗	1.28	2.9M	2022-03-30
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01099	0.010373	-5.61%	0.01386	+26.11%	0.1701	✗	1.39	2.7M	2022-03-30
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.9	29.1701	-5.60%	31.8	+2.91%	0.0058	✓	0.94	1.5M	2022-03-30
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.52	2.3789	-5.60%	2.73	+8.33%	0.0515	✓	1.00	486k	2022-03-30
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.078	0.073702	-5.51%	0.0883	+13.21%	0.0671	✗	1.32	1.0M	2022-03-30
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.154	3.9282	-5.43%	6.643	+59.92%	0.4186	✗	1.24	2.3M	2022-03-30
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.461	0.436006	-5.42%	0.546	+18.44%	0.1145	✗	1.28	4.2M	2022-03-30
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	31.38	29.6974	-5.36%	30.02	-4.33%	0.0886	✓	1.15	50.3M	2022-03-30
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.442	2.3124	-5.31%	2.814	+15.23%	0.0705	✗	1.46	13.6M	2022-03-30
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.55	7.153	-5.26%	9.04	+19.74%	0.1569	✗	0.90	461k	2022-03-30
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.18	15.3338	-5.23%	13.77	-14.89%	0.1696	✓	0.72	2.2M	2022-03-30
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.132	0.125214	-5.14%	0.151	+14.39%	0.1377	✗	0.58	44k	2022-03-30
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.86	4.6116	-5.11%	5.61	+15.43%	0.0651	✗	1.52	430k	2022-03-30
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.72	20.6217	-5.06%	25.9	+19.24%	0.1301	✗	1.14	8.6M	2022-03-30
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.233	3.0709	-5.01%	4.213	+30.31%	0.2412	✗	0.87	477k	2022-03-30
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.049264	0.046804	-4.99%	0.043539	-11.62%	0.1647	✓	1.07	8.1M	2022-03-30
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9258	5.6327	-4.95%	6.0877	+2.73%	0.0510	✗	0.31	385k	2022-03-30
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.14	14.3916	-4.94%	17.23	+13.80%	0.0780	✗	1.18	53.4M	2022-03-30
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.36	25.0851	-4.84%	30.69	+16.43%	0.0826	✗	1.38	1.6M	2022-03-30
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.21	2.1037	-4.81%	2.66	+20.36%	0.1333	✗	1.18	343k	2022-03-30
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0695	0.066163	-4.80%	0.08935	+28.56%	0.2141	✗	1.00	12k	2022-03-30
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.54	3.3703	-4.79%	4.47	+26.27%	0.1728	✗	1.27	6.8M	2022-03-30
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022655	0.021577	-4.76%	0.03562	+57.23%	0.4274	✗	0.86	117k	2022-03-30
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5607	0.534118	-4.74%	0.5854	+4.41%	0.0134	✓	0.91	641k	2022-03-30
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,136.20	41,102.24	-4.72%	47,057.40	+9.09%	0.0513	✗	0.98	46k	2022-03-30
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.5483	3.3829	-4.66%	3.8297	+7.93%	0.0126	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-03-30
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.566	1.4932	-4.65%	1.793	+14.50%	0.0582	✗	1.45	863k	2022-03-30
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2945	0.280849	-4.64%	0.3732	+26.72%	0.1705	✗	1.32	367k	2022-03-30
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.74117	0.707091	-4.60%	0.89959	+21.37%	0.1222	✗	1.38	206k	2022-03-30
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.317	3.1674	-4.51%	6.347	+91.35%	0.6117	✗	0.97	741k	2022-03-30
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	54.42	52.056	-4.34%	64.42	+18.38%	0.1020	✗	1.29	6.7M	2022-03-30
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.44	2.3346	-4.32%	2.77	+13.52%	0.0843	✗	1.01	254k	2022-03-30
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00439	0.004201	-4.31%	0.00461	+5.01%	0.0473	✓	1.63	9.6M	2022-03-30
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.505	1.4404	-4.29%	1.838	+22.13%	0.1471	✗	1.12	931k	2022-03-30
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.823	0.789701	-4.05%	1.2646	+53.66%	0.3456	✗	1.45	270k	2022-03-30
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.571	1.5087	-3.97%	2.108	+34.18%	0.2356	✗	1.15	1.8M	2022-03-30
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.564	1.502	-3.97%	2.64	+68.80%	0.4734	✗	1.05	3.4M	2022-03-30
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02937	0.028207	-3.96%	0.02759	-6.06%	0.0895	✓	0.78	4.1M	2022-03-30
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.4925	6.2378	-3.92%	8.8728	+36.66%	0.2371	✗	1.34	184k	2022-03-30
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	45.95	44.1526	-3.91%	51.17	+11.36%	0.0547	✗	1.08	20.8M	2022-03-30
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.115	2.9936	-3.90%	3.964	+27.26%	0.2033	✗	0.90	218k	2022-03-30
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	120.75	116.0625	-3.88%	156.18	+29.34%	0.1925	✗	1.21	64k	2022-03-30
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.37	14.7772	-3.86%	19.25	+25.24%	0.1365	✗	1.49	2.4M	2022-03-30
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1929	2.1091	-3.82%	2.6933	+22.82%	0.1836	✗	0.71	26k	2022-03-30
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000199	0.000001915	-3.78%	0.00000212	+6.53%	0.0441	✗	0.67	14.0M	2022-03-30
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.2	13.6657	-3.76%	16.49	+16.13%	0.0929	✗	1.10	331k	2022-03-30
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09213	0.088681	-3.74%	0.11481	+24.62%	0.1664	✗	1.07	45k	2022-03-30
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.308	0.296568	-3.71%	0.666	+116.23%	0.6965	✗	1.31	2.1M	2022-03-30
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1612	0.155281	-3.67%	0.1668	+3.47%	0.0173	✓	1.03	446k	2022-03-30
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	1.0309	-3.66%	1.07	+0.00%	0.0138	✓	0.27	286k	2022-03-30
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007869	0.000075824	-3.64%	0.00009555	+21.43%	0.1362	✗	1.10	4.4M	2022-03-30
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7967	0.768084	-3.59%	0.892	+11.96%	0.0552	✗	1.10	9.6M	2022-03-30
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.15	9.789	-3.56%	15.89	+56.55%	0.4270	✗	0.67	928k	2022-03-30
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9803	0.945519	-3.55%	1.1817	+20.54%	0.1214	✗	1.18	2.0M	2022-03-30
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.85	4.6792	-3.52%	5.49	+13.20%	0.0738	✗	1.00	828k	2022-03-30
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3772	0.364135	-3.46%	0.4825	+27.92%	0.1635	✗	1.37	8.7M	2022-03-30
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1196	3.0116	-3.46%	4.3201	+38.48%	0.2848	✗	0.88	3.6M	2022-03-30
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	84.59	81.685	-3.43%	95.57	+12.98%	0.0333	✓	1.44	116.5M	2022-03-30
XVG	Verge	native	0.01037	0.010019	-3.38%	0.01212	+16.88%	0.0827	✗	1.25	1.2M	2022-03-30
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	30.53	29.499	-3.38%	49.64	+62.59%	0.4269	✗	1.09	5.1M	2022-03-30
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.477	2.3945	-3.33%	2.741	+10.66%	0.0550	✗	0.93	21k	2022-03-30
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3278	1.2838	-3.31%	1.3034	-1.84%	0.1022	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-03-30
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8507	2.7579	-3.25%	2.7035	-5.16%	0.1243	✓	1.21	3.2M	2022-03-30
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.575051	0.556495	-3.23%	0.818426	+42.32%	0.2874	✗	1.14	2.8M	2022-03-30
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.236	0.228468	-3.19%	0.291	+23.31%	0.1684	✗	0.85	59k	2022-03-30
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3943	0.38207	-3.10%	0.4469	+13.34%	0.0328	✗	1.44	1.2M	2022-03-30
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8684	0.84213	-3.03%	0.9268	+6.73%	0.0029	✓	1.15	20.7M	2022-03-30
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.352	1.3119	-2.96%	1.747	+29.22%	0.1729	✗	1.32	2.0M	2022-03-30
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01231	0.011953	-2.90%	0.01346	+9.34%	0.0546	✗	0.75	12k	2022-03-30
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.95	18.409	-2.86%	22.46	+18.52%	0.0936	✗	1.22	27.9M	2022-03-30
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.875	5.71	-2.81%	6.28	+6.89%	0.0037	✓	1.06	189k	2022-03-30
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1925	0.187153	-2.78%	0.3009	+56.31%	0.3566	✗	1.37	2.8M	2022-03-30
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.073	0.071007	-2.73%	0.0871	+19.32%	0.1191	✗	0.99	160k	2022-03-30
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00968	0.009417	-2.72%	0.01247	+28.82%	0.1725	✗	1.26	546k	2022-03-30
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	130.28	126.7894	-2.68%	188.4	+44.61%	0.2975	✗	1.14	930k	2022-03-30
DASH	Dash	Dash	100.51	97.8758	-2.62%	132.65	+31.98%	0.2059	✗	1.14	1.5M	2022-03-30
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.6	6.4283	-2.60%	6.85	+3.79%	0.0195	✓	0.51	1.1M	2022-03-30
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04871	0.04745	-2.59%	0.05567	+14.29%	0.0554	✗	1.21	686k	2022-03-30
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.197675	0.19266	-2.54%	0.234742	+18.75%	0.1053	✗	1.07	19.8M	2022-03-30
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	118.68	115.6958	-2.51%	192.01	+61.79%	0.4087	✗	1.14	7.2M	2022-03-30
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7163	1.6732	-2.51%	2.6562	+54.77%	0.3752	✗	1.01	72k	2022-03-30
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04194	0.040937	-2.39%	0.05135	+22.44%	0.1407	✗	1.00	29k	2022-03-30
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.964	0.940943	-2.39%	1.1906	+23.51%	0.1388	✗	1.12	96.0M	2022-03-30
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1531	0.149515	-2.34%	0.1493	-2.48%	0.0720	✓	0.82	295k	2022-03-30
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0857	0.083731	-2.30%	0.1259	+46.91%	0.2816	✗	1.47	613k	2022-03-30
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,192.66	42,203.97	-2.29%	47,078.03	+9.00%	0.0232	✓	1.00	630.5M	2022-03-30
ZEN	Horizen	Base	37.91	37.0433	-2.29%	49.86	+31.52%	0.1729	✗	1.44	280k	2022-03-30
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002579	0.000025201	-2.28%	0.00002736	+6.09%	0.0248	✓	1.24	3.8M	2022-03-30
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5007	0.489284	-2.28%	0.6894	+37.69%	0.2249	✗	1.37	484k	2022-03-30
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1104	3.0401	-2.26%	4.3	+38.25%	0.2700	✗	0.89	2.4M	2022-03-30
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.6	6.4583	-2.15%	6.66	+0.91%	0.0460	✓	0.89	452k	2022-03-30
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	115.74	113.2885	-2.12%	143.18	+23.71%	0.1493	✗	0.99	6.3M	2022-03-30
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.697	0.683041	-2.00%	0.818	+17.36%	0.0876	✗	1.08	2.4M	2022-03-30
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2345	4.1578	-1.81%	5.69	+34.37%	0.2152	✗	1.14	244k	2022-03-30
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07201	0.070759	-1.74%	0.09268	+28.70%	0.1632	✗	1.24	69k	2022-03-30
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.133451	0.131236	-1.66%	0.142853	+7.05%	0.0035	✓	0.94	3.7M	2022-03-30
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2454	0.241465	-1.60%	0.293	+19.40%	0.1155	✗	0.91	1.9M	2022-03-30
XEM	NEM	native	0.1081	0.106367	-1.60%	0.1223	+13.14%	0.0558	✗	0.97	40k	2022-03-30
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.63	5.5421	-1.56%	6.258	+11.15%	0.0407	✗	0.94	68k	2022-03-30
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.677	20.3543	-1.56%	21.318	+3.10%	0.0401	✓	1.00	9.3M	2022-03-30
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.164	1.1459	-1.56%	1.385	+18.99%	0.0852	✗	1.21	2.9M	2022-03-30
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	145.83	143.6198	-1.52%	223.52	+53.27%	0.3258	✗	1.35	6.6M	2022-03-30
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,923.08	2,879.92	-1.48%	3,386.68	+15.86%	0.0720	✗	1.05	540.3M	2022-03-30
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2321	0.229017	-1.33%	0.2868	+23.57%	0.0971	✗	1.48	2.6M	2022-03-30
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.061786	0.061042	-1.20%	0.073058	+18.24%	0.1133	✗	0.77	286k	2022-03-30
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.877	0.867043	-1.14%	1.12	+27.71%	0.1452	✗	1.29	2.2M	2022-03-30
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.53	10.4116	-1.12%	11.74	+11.49%	0.0176	✗	1.19	10.8M	2022-03-30
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0426	1.031	-1.11%	1.4172	+35.93%	0.2036	✗	1.33	162k	2022-03-30
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5696	0.564925	-0.82%	1.2858	+125.74%	0.7084	✗	1.32	2.4M	2022-03-30
SOL	Solana	Solana	99.74	99.0113	-0.73%	120.79	+21.10%	0.0889	✗	1.28	127.4M	2022-03-30
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.71	6.6649	-0.67%	6.7657	+0.83%	0.0462	✓	0.71	2.8M	2022-03-30
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.51	5.4804	-0.54%	8.17	+48.28%	0.3251	✗	0.86	510k	2022-03-30
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.75	6.7139	-0.53%	7.714	+14.28%	0.0184	✗	1.40	27k	2022-03-30
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.565	4.5441	-0.46%	7.08	+55.09%	0.3700	✗	0.85	435k	2022-03-30
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01796	0.017898	-0.35%	0.03793	+111.19%	0.6178	✗	1.55	12.5M	2022-03-30
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9381	1.9329	-0.27%	2.5355	+30.82%	0.1690	✗	1.19	179k	2022-03-30
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.33	9.3359	+0.06%	11.27	+20.79%	0.0832	✓	1.22	3.1M	2022-03-30
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16639	0.166917	+0.32%	0.16978	+2.04%	0.0874	✗	1.21	27k	2022-03-30
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	339.27	340.9251	+0.49%	380.29	+12.09%	0.0243	✓	0.99	7.3M	2022-03-30
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		88.67	89.1306	+0.52%	97.98	+10.50%	0.0217	✓	0.85	905k	2022-03-30
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	113.82	114.84	+0.90%	131.12	+15.20%	0.0352	✓	1.13	29.3M	2022-03-30

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.