2022-02-25 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2758

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+18.96%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

49.7%

in alpha space · 9.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+19.40%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.09	6.2443	-11.93%	5.854	-17.43%	0.1303	✓	0.37	2.0M	2022-03-27
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.96	1.7556	-10.43%	1.74	-11.22%	0.2982	✓	1.63	539k	2022-03-27
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	7.00e-7	6.31e-7	-9.85%	0.000001225	+75.07%	0.4865	✗	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6442	1.4897	-9.40%	1.5221	-7.43%	0.2337	✓	1.44	251k	2022-03-27
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0696	0.063138	-9.28%	0.0803	+15.37%	0.0997	✓	1.92	72.8M	2022-03-27
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.834	1.6796	-8.42%	1.995	+8.78%	0.0052	✓	1.00	76k	2022-03-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.419	0.38539	-8.02%	0.5139	+22.65%	0.0785	✓	2.07	2.1M	2022-03-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	67.1249	62.5475	-6.82%	67.174	+0.07%	0.1923	✓	1.49	231k	2022-03-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,170.96	18,811.36	-6.74%	22,263.59	+10.37%	0.0086	✓	1.00	5.7M	2022-03-27
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.8833	0.825242	-6.57%	0.9207	+4.23%	0.0076	✓	0.57	1.4M	2022-03-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	73.2	68.3908	-6.57%	94.25	+28.76%	0.0748	✗	1.39	4.5M	2022-03-27
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.73	2.554	-6.45%	2.33	-14.65%	0.2691	✓	1.00	544k	2022-03-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.011713	0.010962	-6.41%	0.01504	+28.40%	0.1195	✗	1.11	35k	2022-03-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3513	0.330131	-6.03%	0.3911	+11.33%	0.1310	✓	1.70	15.9M	2022-03-27
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.138	0.129714	-6.00%	0.114	-17.39%	0.2984	✓	0.95	51k	2022-03-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.168	1.0995	-5.87%	1.768	+51.37%	0.2546	✗	1.24	1.0M	2022-03-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.3	25.7009	-5.86%	29.95	+9.71%	0.0452	✓	1.12	52.8M	2022-03-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,386.50	37,098.47	-5.81%	46,722.30	+18.63%	0.0605	✗	0.96	49k	2022-03-27
STX	Stacks	native	1.15	1.0837	-5.76%	1.45	+26.09%	0.0601	✗	1.30	695k	2022-03-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.533	0.502793	-5.67%	0.585	+9.76%	0.0128	✓	0.93	643k	2022-03-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0277	0.026159	-5.56%	0.03351	+20.97%	0.0111	✓	1.46	497k	2022-03-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.74	145.3017	-5.49%	216.11	+40.57%	0.2193	✗	1.00	966k	2022-03-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9173	5.5928	-5.48%	6.1368	+3.71%	0.0186	✓	0.42	433k	2022-03-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.679	3.4787	-5.45%	4.57	+24.22%	0.0430	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-03-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.048666	0.046024	-5.43%	0.043509	-10.60%	0.2723	✓	1.22	8.1M	2022-03-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.26	28.6227	-5.41%	31.17	+3.01%	0.0964	✓	1.02	1.7M	2022-03-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.68	16.7324	-5.36%	21.9	+23.87%	0.0647	✗	1.15	22.7M	2022-03-27
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03546	0.033585	-5.29%	0.04272	+20.47%	0.0857	✗	0.87	1.5M	2022-03-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.32	5.9957	-5.13%	7.41	+17.25%	0.0385	✓	1.41	1.2M	2022-03-27
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.02	0.969219	-4.98%	1.07	+4.90%	0.0944	✗	0.03	286k	2022-03-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.16	20.1384	-4.83%	24.3	+14.84%	0.0938	✓	1.59	325k	2022-03-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8595	1.7725	-4.68%	3.1908	+71.59%	0.4683	✗	0.67	2.7M	2022-03-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0734	0.070007	-4.62%	0.0842	+14.71%	0.0630	✓	1.40	1.0M	2022-03-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0646	0.061624	-4.61%	0.08599	+33.11%	0.1443	✗	1.07	13k	2022-03-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1292	0.123423	-4.47%	0.168	+30.03%	0.0760	✗	1.31	3.1M	2022-03-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.09	41.1943	-4.40%	51.99	+20.65%	0.0289	✓	1.15	23.5M	2022-03-27
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.23	2.1334	-4.33%	2.49	+11.66%	0.0227	✓	1.00	639k	2022-03-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.74	14.103	-4.32%	13.48	-8.55%	0.1719	✓	0.71	1.9M	2022-03-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1201	2.0286	-4.32%	2.6409	+24.56%	0.1084	✗	0.88	27k	2022-03-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.72	0.689596	-4.22%	0.73	+1.39%	0.2841	✓	1.92	995k	2022-03-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01016	0.009739	-4.14%	0.01417	+39.47%	0.1098	✗	1.50	2.5M	2022-03-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.447	0.428514	-4.14%	0.49	+9.62%	0.1099	✓	1.38	4.6M	2022-03-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2632	0.252378	-4.11%	0.3422	+30.02%	0.0585	✗	1.39	451k	2022-03-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.938	4.7362	-4.09%	7.939	+60.77%	0.3512	✗	0.93	1.9M	2022-03-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.365	2.2692	-4.05%	2.621	+10.82%	0.1265	✓	1.53	13.2M	2022-03-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.27	24.2482	-4.04%	29.14	+15.31%	0.0790	✓	1.48	1.8M	2022-03-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.39	13.8293	-3.90%	16.87	+17.23%	0.0209	✓	1.24	59.6M	2022-03-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.66	1.5966	-3.82%	2.28	+37.35%	0.1206	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	51.16	49.2461	-3.74%	68.29	+33.48%	0.0884	✗	1.35	7.3M	2022-03-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08597	0.082773	-3.72%	0.11008	+28.04%	0.0878	✗	1.11	46k	2022-03-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.94	18.2371	-3.71%	23.71	+25.18%	0.0389	✗	1.26	9.1M	2022-03-27
BTTC	BTTC		0.0000019	0.000001831	-3.61%	0.00000214	+12.63%	0.0328	✓	0.69	14.7M	2022-03-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01813	0.017477	-3.60%	0.02076	+14.51%	0.0252	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-03-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1468	0.141539	-3.58%	0.1655	+12.74%	0.0322	✓	1.06	446k	2022-03-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.21	1.1666	-3.58%	1.54	+27.27%	0.0509	✗	1.28	885k	2022-03-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.7023	0.677196	-3.57%	0.90403	+28.72%	0.0334	✓	1.44	224k	2022-03-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.62	4.4591	-3.48%	5.47	+18.40%	0.0685	✓	1.54	432k	2022-03-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.297	0.286864	-3.41%	0.617	+107.74%	0.5201	✗	1.39	2.1M	2022-03-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.635	5.4451	-3.37%	5.701	+1.17%	0.1291	✓	0.99	223k	2022-03-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.536	1.4848	-3.33%	2.32	+51.04%	0.2519	✗	1.10	3.4M	2022-03-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02922	0.02826	-3.29%	0.02786	-4.65%	0.1547	✓	0.79	4.4M	2022-03-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.09	2.0214	-3.28%	2.79	+33.49%	0.1047	✗	1.23	343k	2022-03-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.017	3.8855	-3.27%	5.413	+34.75%	0.0999	✗	1.31	2.4M	2022-03-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.45	1.4026	-3.27%	1.796	+23.86%	0.0236	✓	1.53	941k	2022-03-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.453	1.4055	-3.27%	1.749	+20.37%	0.0070	✓	1.19	963k	2022-03-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1326	5.9326	-3.26%	8.5079	+38.73%	0.1043	✗	1.45	184k	2022-03-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7311	2.6435	-3.21%	4.1683	+52.62%	0.2910	✗	0.93	2.9M	2022-03-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0389	0.037663	-3.18%	0.0495	+27.25%	0.0835	✗	1.07	30k	2022-03-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2474	1.2079	-3.17%	1.2328	-1.17%	0.2349	✓	1.44	2.6M	2022-03-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.2131	3.1114	-3.17%	3.8564	+20.02%	0.0240	✓	1.35	2.1M	2022-03-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8312	0.804992	-3.15%	0.9498	+14.27%	0.0511	✓	1.22	22.9M	2022-03-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.445	1.3998	-3.13%	1.952	+35.09%	0.1202	✗	1.20	1.6M	2022-03-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.3	3.1974	-3.11%	3.99	+20.91%	0.0185	✓	1.35	7.1M	2022-03-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.37	9.0815	-3.08%	14.36	+53.26%	0.3383	✗	0.68	853k	2022-03-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.9	2.8119	-3.04%	4.074	+40.48%	0.2050	✗	0.94	477k	2022-03-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.01	27.1634	-3.02%	48.03	+71.47%	0.3720	✗	1.12	4.9M	2022-03-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007523	0.000072963	-3.01%	0.0000982	+30.53%	0.0881	✗	1.18	4.5M	2022-03-27
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9019	0.874792	-3.01%	1.1454	+27.00%	0.0438	✗	1.27	1.8M	2022-03-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.87	14.4249	-2.99%	18.45	+24.08%	0.0231	✓	1.52	2.3M	2022-03-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.539539	0.523908	-2.90%	0.728031	+34.94%	0.1218	✗	1.17	3.1M	2022-03-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1469	0.142655	-2.89%	0.1543	+5.04%	0.0645	✓	0.81	321k	2022-03-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.28	2.2142	-2.88%	2.73	+19.74%	0.0299	✗	1.01	270k	2022-03-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.05	78.7131	-2.88%	89.91	+10.93%	0.1321	✓	1.49	106.7M	2022-03-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7386	0.717636	-2.84%	0.875	+18.47%	0.0027	✓	1.10	9.6M	2022-03-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01202	0.011679	-2.84%	0.01382	+14.98%	0.0343	✗	0.76	15k	2022-03-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.571	2.4987	-2.81%	3.779	+46.99%	0.2663	✗	0.83	207k	2022-03-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00434	0.004222	-2.72%	0.00436	+0.46%	0.2950	✓	1.85	12.3M	2022-03-27
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022712	0.022112	-2.64%	0.040217	+77.07%	0.4106	✗	1.06	114k	2022-03-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6127	1.571	-2.58%	2.4727	+53.32%	0.2758	✗	1.00	72k	2022-03-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002483	0.000024189	-2.58%	0.00002557	+2.98%	0.1843	✓	1.35	3.8M	2022-03-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.7367	2.6673	-2.54%	2.7417	+0.18%	0.2044	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-03-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.191142	0.186384	-2.49%	0.229866	+20.26%	0.0123	✓	1.11	20.5M	2022-03-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8997	0.877324	-2.49%	1.1845	+31.65%	0.0938	✗	1.16	97.3M	2022-03-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.3	5.1686	-2.48%	8.4	+58.49%	0.3332	✗	0.86	435k	2022-03-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.51	4.3998	-2.44%	5.33	+18.18%	0.0301	✗	0.91	696k	2022-03-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	92.9	90.6413	-2.43%	133.07	+43.24%	0.1835	✗	1.13	1.5M	2022-03-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3727	0.363672	-2.42%	0.4246	+13.93%	0.1056	✓	1.47	1.3M	2022-03-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7733	0.754844	-2.39%	1.1104	+43.59%	0.1145	✗	1.53	299k	2022-03-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.229	0.223684	-2.32%	0.271	+18.34%	0.0404	✗	0.85	57k	2022-03-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.091	3.9965	-2.31%	6.005	+46.79%	0.2611	✗	0.82	414k	2022-03-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127781	0.124899	-2.26%	0.144798	+13.32%	0.0295	✓	1.00	3.7M	2022-03-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0689	0.067371	-2.22%	0.0851	+23.51%	0.0480	✗	1.05	168k	2022-03-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3611	0.353131	-2.21%	0.4313	+19.44%	0.0527	✓	1.43	8.4M	2022-03-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.336	2.2852	-2.18%	6.324	+170.72%	0.7963	✗	1.25	727k	2022-03-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	112.66	110.2167	-2.17%	126.01	+11.85%	0.0959	✓	1.30	58k	2022-03-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.145	1.1206	-2.13%	1.444	+26.11%	0.0225	✗	1.30	2.8M	2022-03-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.83	12.5577	-2.12%	16.11	+25.57%	0.0674	✗	1.02	340k	2022-03-27
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.39	2.3417	-2.02%	2.864	+19.83%	0.0480	✓	1.41	572k	2022-03-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.8773	1.8405	-1.96%	2.5487	+35.77%	0.1083	✗	1.23	196k	2022-03-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	106.72	104.6425	-1.95%	210.67	+97.40%	0.5000	✗	1.13	7.6M	2022-03-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.187	2.1447	-1.94%	2.589	+18.38%	0.0016	✓	1.05	19k	2022-03-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,238.48	38,493.30	-1.90%	46,850.01	+19.40%	0.0192	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.9392	3.8648	-1.89%	5.4302	+37.85%	0.1271	✗	1.20	284k	2022-03-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7299	2.6803	-1.82%	4.2578	+55.97%	0.2899	✗	0.98	2.3M	2022-03-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.73	34.1068	-1.79%	50.08	+44.20%	0.1194	✗	1.49	309k	2022-03-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.466	19.133	-1.71%	19.247	-1.13%	0.1831	✓	1.07	9.6M	2022-03-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1741	0.171313	-1.60%	0.2692	+54.62%	0.2016	✗	1.41	2.8M	2022-03-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.00953	0.009377	-1.60%	0.01253	+31.48%	0.0605	✗	1.29	1.2M	2022-03-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.65	5.5596	-1.60%	6.49	+14.87%	0.0066	✓	0.84	430k	2022-03-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.28	17.0093	-1.57%	22.48	+30.09%	0.0427	✗	1.33	26.4M	2022-03-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.33	6.2322	-1.54%	7.13	+12.64%	0.0601	✗	0.42	1.2M	2022-03-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0088	0.008667	-1.51%	0.0124	+40.91%	0.1294	✗	1.29	546k	2022-03-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	112.52	110.9164	-1.43%	148.67	+32.13%	0.1105	✗	1.03	6.4M	2022-03-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,769.52	2,730.23	-1.42%	3,296.29	+19.02%	0.0032	✓	1.08	561.7M	2022-03-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.0985	0.097119	-1.40%	0.1176	+19.39%	0.0058	✓	1.05	38k	2022-03-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	124.6	122.8739	-1.39%	173.98	+39.63%	0.1343	✗	1.20	930k	2022-03-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3134	6.2304	-1.31%	6.5917	+4.41%	0.0828	✓	0.79	3.0M	2022-03-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.315	1.2981	-1.28%	1.595	+21.29%	0.0378	✓	1.37	1.8M	2022-03-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15869	0.156697	-1.26%	0.16715	+5.33%	0.1778	✓	1.37	28k	2022-03-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2121	0.209453	-1.25%	0.2582	+21.74%	0.0611	✓	1.53	3.3M	2022-03-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.082	0.081	-1.22%	0.1288	+57.07%	0.1882	✗	1.55	668k	2022-03-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2233	0.220844	-1.10%	0.275	+23.15%	0.0416	✗	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04609	0.045597	-1.07%	0.05681	+23.26%	0.0008	✓	1.24	703k	2022-03-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.282	6.2149	-1.07%	7.352	+17.03%	0.0759	✓	1.38	28k	2022-03-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4634	0.458499	-1.06%	0.7181	+54.96%	0.1860	✗	1.48	572k	2022-03-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4821	0.477154	-1.03%	1.3598	+182.06%	0.8106	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059479	0.058886	-1.00%	0.069166	+16.29%	0.0143	✗	0.83	286k	2022-03-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.654	0.647645	-0.97%	0.745	+13.91%	0.0654	✓	1.16	2.0M	2022-03-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	139.7	138.379	-0.95%	169.24	+21.15%	0.0569	✓	1.46	6.5M	2022-03-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.882	0.874176	-0.89%	1.058	+19.95%	0.0523	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-03-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0649	0.064325	-0.89%	0.08788	+35.41%	0.0931	✗	1.23	74k	2022-03-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.95596	0.950951	-0.52%	1.3301	+39.14%	0.0863	✗	1.41	165k	2022-03-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.61	4.5904	-0.43%	7.01	+52.06%	0.2853	✗	0.78	459k	2022-03-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.84	92.5847	-0.28%	107.09	+15.35%	0.0832	✓	1.29	132.7M	2022-03-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.933	4.924	-0.18%	6.421	+30.16%	0.1188	✗	0.83	65k	2022-03-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.8	84.6851	-0.14%	95	+12.03%	0.0420	✓	0.89	946k	2022-03-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.25	9.2491	-0.01%	11.42	+23.46%	0.0266	✓	1.34	10.8M	2022-03-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.33	110.2306	+0.82%	129.68	+18.61%	0.0485	✗	1.19	29.5M	2022-03-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.2	9.2856	+0.93%	10.9	+18.48%	0.0688	✗	1.29	3.2M	2022-03-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	309.04	312.7156	+1.19%	376.78	+21.92%	0.0087	✓	1.00	7.3M	2022-03-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01819	0.018428	+1.31%	0.03666	+101.54%	0.4033	✓	1.60	12.7M	2022-03-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.