2022-02-25 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1042

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.24%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

46.4%

in alpha space · 49.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-0.26%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.168	1.1485	-1.67%	1.139	-2.48%	0.0051	✓	1.24	1.0M	2022-02-26
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0696	0.068493	-1.59%	0.0712	+2.30%	0.0437	✗	1.92	72.8M	2022-02-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.09	6.9847	-1.49%	6.528	-7.93%	0.0667	✓	0.37	2.0M	2022-02-26
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	73.2	72.1695	-1.41%	78.15	+6.76%	0.0832	✗	1.39	4.5M	2022-02-26
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	7.00e-7	6.92e-7	-1.07%	6.98e-7	-0.29%	0.0105	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-26
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.96	1.9428	-0.88%	1.86	-5.10%	0.0394	✓	1.63	539k	2022-02-26
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6442	1.6307	-0.82%	1.6235	-1.26%	0.0007	✓	1.44	251k	2022-02-26
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.02	1.0122	-0.77%	1.08	+5.88%	0.0649	✗	0.03	286k	2022-02-26
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,386.50	39,113.06	-0.69%	39,589.70	+0.52%	0.0146	✗	0.96	49k	2022-02-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.26	30.0922	-0.55%	30.18	-0.26%	0.0055	✓	1.02	1.7M	2022-02-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.533	0.53008	-0.55%	0.5505	+3.28%	0.0402	✗	0.93	643k	2022-02-26
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.138	0.137286	-0.52%	0.141	+2.17%	0.0291	✗	0.95	51k	2022-02-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.16	21.0559	-0.49%	21.2	+0.19%	0.0109	✗	1.59	325k	2022-02-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0277	0.027567	-0.48%	0.0274	-1.08%	0.0023	✓	1.46	497k	2022-02-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.27	25.1494	-0.48%	24.45	-3.24%	0.0244	✓	1.48	1.8M	2022-02-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.0985	0.098046	-0.46%	0.101	+2.54%	0.0324	✗	1.05	38k	2022-02-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02922	0.029088	-0.45%	0.02842	-2.74%	0.0212	✓	0.79	4.4M	2022-02-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.3	27.1855	-0.42%	29.89	+9.49%	0.0977	✗	1.12	52.8M	2022-02-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.74	153.1244	-0.40%	157.91	+2.71%	0.0334	✗	1.00	966k	2022-02-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.048666	0.048487	-0.37%	0.048351	-0.65%	0.0003	✓	1.22	8.1M	2022-02-26
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.419	0.417464	-0.37%	0.4281	+2.17%	0.0305	✗	2.07	2.1M	2022-02-26
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.73	2.7201	-0.36%	2.56	-6.23%	0.0581	✓	1.00	544k	2022-02-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2632	0.262258	-0.36%	0.2767	+5.13%	0.0572	✗	1.39	451k	2022-02-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1292	0.128746	-0.35%	0.1212	-6.19%	0.0570	✓	1.31	3.1M	2022-02-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2474	1.2431	-0.34%	1.2108	-2.93%	0.0226	✓	1.44	2.6M	2022-02-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1468	0.146301	-0.34%	0.1506	+2.59%	0.0317	✗	1.06	446k	2022-02-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,170.96	20,104.77	-0.33%	20,876.08	+3.50%	0.0402	✗	1.00	5.7M	2022-02-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.09	42.9503	-0.32%	43.29	+0.46%	0.0108	✗	1.15	23.5M	2022-02-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1326	6.1128	-0.32%	6.1323	-0.01%	0.0069	✗	1.45	184k	2022-02-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0646	0.064392	-0.32%	0.0674	+4.33%	0.0484	✗	1.07	13k	2022-02-26
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9019	0.899009	-0.32%	0.9533	+5.70%	0.0619	✗	1.27	1.8M	2022-02-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.28	2.2728	-0.32%	2.3	+0.88%	0.0145	✗	1.01	270k	2022-02-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.7367	2.7282	-0.31%	2.6813	-2.03%	0.0140	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-02-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.679	3.6676	-0.31%	3.6	-2.15%	0.0153	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-02-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.45	1.4455	-0.31%	1.441	-0.62%	0.0008	✓	1.53	941k	2022-02-26
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.87	14.8271	-0.29%	14.09	-5.25%	0.0471	✓	1.52	2.3M	2022-02-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	106.72	106.4128	-0.29%	107.8	+1.01%	0.0158	✗	1.13	7.6M	2022-02-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.447	0.445726	-0.29%	0.438	-2.01%	0.0139	✓	1.38	4.6M	2022-02-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.882	0.879501	-0.28%	0.895	+1.47%	0.0210	✗	1.37	2.1M	2022-02-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.05	80.8205	-0.28%	81.79	+0.91%	0.0158	✗	1.49	106.7M	2022-02-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.145	1.1418	-0.28%	1.148	+0.26%	0.0088	✗	1.30	2.8M	2022-02-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.72	0.717997	-0.28%	0.7	-2.78%	0.0204	✓	1.92	995k	2022-02-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.7023	0.700354	-0.28%	0.69949	-0.40%	0.0025	✓	1.44	224k	2022-02-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.32	6.3036	-0.26%	6.27	-0.79%	0.0017	✓	1.41	1.2M	2022-02-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.315	1.3117	-0.25%	1.276	-2.97%	0.0240	✓	1.37	1.8M	2022-02-26
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022712	0.022655	-0.25%	0.02263	-0.36%	0.0016	✓	1.06	114k	2022-02-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.39	14.3539	-0.25%	14.72	+2.29%	0.0284	✗	1.24	59.6M	2022-02-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01016	0.010135	-0.25%	0.00997	-1.87%	0.0125	✓	1.50	2.5M	2022-02-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.938	4.9257	-0.25%	4.934	-0.08%	0.0041	✗	0.93	1.9M	2022-02-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.66	1.6559	-0.25%	1.67	+0.60%	0.0119	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-02-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8595	1.8549	-0.24%	1.8532	-0.34%	0.0008	✓	0.67	2.7M	2022-02-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.466	19.4188	-0.24%	19.708	+1.24%	0.0175	✗	1.07	9.6M	2022-02-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.297	0.296282	-0.24%	0.29	-2.36%	0.0179	✓	1.39	2.1M	2022-02-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.2	9.1779	-0.24%	8.98	-2.39%	0.0185	✓	1.29	3.2M	2022-02-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.9	2.8931	-0.24%	2.874	-0.90%	0.0042	✓	0.94	477k	2022-02-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0734	0.073227	-0.24%	0.073	-0.54%	0.0005	✓	1.40	1.0M	2022-02-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	67.1249	66.9663	-0.24%	64.8155	-3.44%	0.0288	✓	1.49	231k	2022-02-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.73	34.6503	-0.23%	33.26	-4.23%	0.0371	✓	1.49	309k	2022-02-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01202	0.011993	-0.23%	0.01217	+1.25%	0.0166	✗	0.76	15k	2022-02-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.017	4.008	-0.22%	3.874	-3.56%	0.0306	✓	1.31	2.4M	2022-02-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0088	0.00878	-0.22%	0.00906	+2.95%	0.0347	✗	1.29	546k	2022-02-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6127	1.6091	-0.22%	1.5733	-2.45%	0.0200	✓	1.00	72k	2022-02-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.68	17.6409	-0.22%	17.73	+0.28%	0.0080	✗	1.15	22.7M	2022-02-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.74	14.7074	-0.22%	14.7	-0.27%	0.0013	✓	0.71	1.9M	2022-02-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,769.52	2,763.42	-0.22%	2,780.71	+0.40%	0.0090	✗	1.08	561.7M	2022-02-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1469	0.146581	-0.22%	0.1441	-1.91%	0.0150	✓	0.81	321k	2022-02-26
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.834	1.83	-0.22%	1.808	-1.42%	0.0095	✓	1.00	76k	2022-02-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.445	1.4419	-0.22%	1.524	+5.47%	0.0585	✗	1.20	1.6M	2022-02-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.65	5.6382	-0.21%	5.7	+0.88%	0.0130	✗	0.84	430k	2022-02-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.191142	0.190744	-0.21%	0.192899	+0.92%	0.0141	✗	1.11	20.5M	2022-02-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.37	9.3512	-0.20%	9.33	-0.43%	0.0005	✓	0.68	853k	2022-02-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.94	18.9023	-0.20%	19.06	+0.63%	0.0115	✗	1.26	9.1M	2022-02-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7386	0.73714	-0.20%	0.7459	+0.99%	0.0146	✗	1.10	9.6M	2022-02-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.635	5.624	-0.20%	5.391	-4.33%	0.0398	✓	0.99	223k	2022-02-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3611	0.360408	-0.19%	0.3486	-3.46%	0.0296	✓	1.43	8.4M	2022-02-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.571	2.5661	-0.19%	2.576	+0.19%	0.0060	✗	0.83	207k	2022-02-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9173	5.9061	-0.19%	6.0612	+2.43%	0.0270	✗	0.42	433k	2022-02-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01813	0.018096	-0.19%	0.01882	+3.81%	0.0421	✗	1.11	2.2M	2022-02-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.00953	0.009512	-0.19%	0.00985	+3.36%	0.0382	✗	1.29	1.2M	2022-02-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8312	0.829636	-0.19%	0.8598	+3.44%	0.0388	✗	1.22	22.9M	2022-02-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0689	0.068771	-0.19%	0.0685	-0.58%	0.0013	✓	1.05	168k	2022-02-26
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.8833	0.881682	-0.18%	0.794	-10.11%	0.1033	✓	0.57	1.4M	2022-02-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08597	0.085814	-0.18%	0.08727	+1.51%	0.0197	✗	1.11	46k	2022-02-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007523	0.000075095	-0.18%	0.00007538	+0.20%	0.0068	✗	1.18	4.5M	2022-02-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0389	0.038831	-0.18%	0.04014	+3.19%	0.0359	✗	1.07	30k	2022-02-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.2131	3.2074	-0.18%	3.4172	+6.35%	0.0668	✗	1.35	2.1M	2022-02-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	112.66	112.4626	-0.18%	113.35	+0.61%	0.0112	✗	1.30	58k	2022-02-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.09	2.0864	-0.17%	2.05	-1.91%	0.0144	✓	1.23	343k	2022-02-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.091	4.0839	-0.17%	4.058	-0.81%	0.0043	✓	0.82	414k	2022-02-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127781	0.127562	-0.17%	0.127595	-0.15%	0.0028	✗	1.00	3.7M	2022-02-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3727	0.372073	-0.17%	0.3655	-1.93%	0.0140	✓	1.47	1.3M	2022-02-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.3	5.2911	-0.17%	5.38	+1.51%	0.0189	✗	0.86	435k	2022-02-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4821	0.481299	-0.17%	0.504	+4.54%	0.0495	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-02-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04609	0.046014	-0.16%	0.04782	+3.75%	0.0417	✗	1.24	703k	2022-02-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.62	4.6124	-0.16%	4.46	-3.46%	0.0296	✓	1.54	432k	2022-02-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.3	3.2946	-0.16%	3.25	-1.52%	0.0101	✓	1.35	7.1M	2022-02-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.282	6.2718	-0.16%	6.245	-0.59%	0.0007	✓	1.38	28k	2022-02-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.01	27.9652	-0.16%	28.91	+3.21%	0.0361	✗	1.12	4.9M	2022-02-26
BTTC	BTTC		0.0000019	0.000001897	-0.16%	0.00000191	+0.53%	0.0086	✗	0.69	14.7M	2022-02-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.453	1.4507	-0.16%	1.437	-1.10%	0.0064	✓	1.19	963k	2022-02-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.33	6.3201	-0.16%	6.27	-0.95%	0.0069	✓	0.42	1.2M	2022-02-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	112.52	112.3441	-0.16%	110.79	-1.54%	0.0113	✓	1.03	6.4M	2022-02-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8997	0.898296	-0.16%	0.8873	-1.38%	0.0093	✓	1.16	97.3M	2022-02-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	139.7	139.4827	-0.16%	136.67	-2.17%	0.0166	✓	1.46	6.5M	2022-02-26
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03546	0.035407	-0.15%	0.03453	-2.62%	0.0228	✓	0.87	1.5M	2022-02-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,238.48	39,179.38	-0.15%	39,137.80	-0.26%	0.0015	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-02-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.336	2.3325	-0.15%	2.305	-1.33%	0.0086	✓	1.25	727k	2022-02-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.51	4.5033	-0.15%	4.47	-0.89%	0.0051	✓	0.91	696k	2022-02-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.365	2.3616	-0.15%	2.394	+1.23%	0.0176	✗	1.53	13.2M	2022-02-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0649	0.064807	-0.14%	0.06611	+1.86%	0.0231	✗	1.23	74k	2022-02-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	92.9	92.7721	-0.14%	93.68	+0.84%	0.0126	✗	1.13	1.5M	2022-02-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059479	0.0594	-0.13%	0.059459	-0.03%	0.0031	✗	0.83	286k	2022-02-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	51.16	51.0923	-0.13%	50.44	-1.41%	0.0094	✓	1.35	7.3M	2022-02-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2233	0.223011	-0.13%	0.226	+1.21%	0.0159	✗	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.539539	0.53886	-0.13%	0.544581	+0.93%	0.0136	✗	1.17	3.1M	2022-02-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002483	0.0000248	-0.12%	0.00002435	-1.93%	0.0148	✓	1.35	3.8M	2022-02-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.011713	0.011699	-0.12%	0.01194	+1.94%	0.0233	✗	1.11	35k	2022-02-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.83	12.8149	-0.12%	12.91	+0.62%	0.0100	✗	1.02	340k	2022-02-26
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1201	2.1178	-0.11%	2.2359	+5.46%	0.0565	✗	0.88	27k	2022-02-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.95596	0.954975	-0.10%	0.99036	+3.60%	0.0400	✗	1.41	165k	2022-02-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.8773	1.8754	-0.10%	1.8651	-0.65%	0.0024	✓	1.23	196k	2022-02-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.229	0.228778	-0.10%	0.232	+1.31%	0.0162	✗	0.85	57k	2022-02-26
STX	Stacks	native	1.15	1.1489	-0.10%	1.19	+3.48%	0.0385	✗	1.30	695k	2022-02-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	309.04	308.749	-0.09%	315.57	+2.11%	0.0244	✗	1.00	7.3M	2022-02-26
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7299	2.7274	-0.09%	2.7102	-0.72%	0.0038	✓	0.98	2.3M	2022-02-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.28	17.264	-0.09%	18.04	+4.40%	0.0474	✗	1.33	26.4M	2022-02-26
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.61	4.6063	-0.08%	4.68	+1.52%	0.0179	✗	0.78	459k	2022-02-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.84	92.7685	-0.08%	90.32	-2.71%	0.0234	✓	1.29	132.7M	2022-02-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7733	0.772714	-0.08%	0.7651	-1.06%	0.0060	✓	1.53	299k	2022-02-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.9392	3.9362	-0.08%	4.0234	+2.14%	0.0250	✗	1.20	284k	2022-02-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15869	0.158579	-0.07%	0.15626	-1.53%	0.0112	✓	1.37	28k	2022-02-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.933	4.9295	-0.07%	5.009	+1.54%	0.0181	✗	0.83	65k	2022-02-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.187	2.1858	-0.05%	2.285	+4.48%	0.0471	✗	1.05	19k	2022-02-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7311	2.73	-0.04%	2.7384	+0.27%	0.0054	✗	0.93	2.9M	2022-02-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1741	0.174032	-0.04%	0.1751	+0.57%	0.0097	✗	1.41	2.8M	2022-02-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.8	84.7734	-0.03%	84.76	-0.05%	0.0021	✗	0.89	946k	2022-02-26
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.25	9.2473	-0.03%	9.06	-2.05%	0.0170	✓	1.34	10.8M	2022-02-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	124.6	124.5642	-0.03%	124.78	+0.14%	0.0048	✗	1.20	930k	2022-02-26
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.23	2.2295	-0.02%	2.35	+5.38%	0.0552	✗	1.00	639k	2022-02-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.33	109.3139	-0.01%	108.29	-0.95%	0.0064	✓	1.19	29.5M	2022-02-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.654	0.653933	-0.01%	0.679	+3.82%	0.0406	✗	1.16	2.0M	2022-02-26
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3134	6.3141	+0.01%	6.4106	+1.54%	0.0172	✓	0.79	3.0M	2022-02-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4634	0.463462	+0.01%	0.4599	-0.76%	0.0039	✗	1.48	572k	2022-02-26
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3513	0.351354	+0.02%	0.3507	-0.17%	0.0025	✓	1.70	15.9M	2022-02-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.082	0.082043	+0.05%	0.0854	+4.15%	0.0441	✓	1.55	668k	2022-02-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2121	0.212352	+0.12%	0.2129	+0.38%	0.0065	✓	1.53	3.3M	2022-02-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.536	1.5381	+0.14%	1.5	-2.34%	0.0223	✗	1.10	3.4M	2022-02-26
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00434	0.004348	+0.18%	0.00431	-0.69%	0.0040	✗	1.85	12.3M	2022-02-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.21	1.2133	+0.27%	1.24	+2.48%	0.0250	✓	1.28	885k	2022-02-26
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01819	0.018277	+0.48%	0.01784	-1.92%	0.0201	✗	1.60	12.7M	2022-02-26
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.39	2.4033	+0.56%	2.581	+7.99%	0.0749	✓	1.41	572k	2022-02-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.