2022-02-24 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2587

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+18.23%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

49.7%

in alpha space · 27.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+16.15%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01693	0.017616	+4.05%	0.03654	+115.83%	0.4912	✓	1.59	11.9M	2022-03-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.64	0.658089	+2.83%	0.729	+13.91%	0.0707	✗	1.16	2.2M	2022-03-26
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.42	4.5422	+2.76%	6.98	+57.92%	0.3146	✓	0.77	459k	2022-03-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	125.3	128.5216	+2.57%	163.4	+30.41%	0.0263	✓	1.43	6.5M	2022-03-26
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.6203	2.6817	+2.34%	4.2793	+63.31%	0.3222	✓	0.97	2.3M	2022-03-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.66022	0.672083	+1.80%	0.85828	+30.00%	0.0207	✓	1.50	246k	2022-03-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01188	0.012083	+1.71%	0.01334	+12.29%	0.0151	✓	0.76	15k	2022-03-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.1	6.1979	+1.60%	6.99	+14.59%	0.0611	✓	0.40	1.3M	2022-03-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00834	0.008461	+1.46%	0.01082	+29.74%	0.0543	✓	1.28	546k	2022-03-26
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.18	2.2116	+1.45%	2.775	+27.29%	0.0235	✓	1.36	579k	2022-03-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	108.77	110.2351	+1.35%	121.77	+11.95%	0.0945	✗	1.30	64k	2022-03-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.785	4.8492	+1.34%	7.708	+61.09%	0.3192	✓	0.96	1.9M	2022-03-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0646	0.06546	+1.33%	0.079	+22.29%	0.0321	✓	1.04	176k	2022-03-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	117.93	119.3538	+1.21%	164.65	+39.62%	0.1412	✓	1.21	930k	2022-03-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.89559	0.905889	+1.15%	1.2512	+39.70%	0.1135	✓	1.40	165k	2022-03-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.104	1.1164	+1.12%	1.345	+21.83%	0.0074	✓	1.29	2.8M	2022-03-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.458	0.463051	+1.10%	1.2208	+166.55%	0.7706	✓	1.33	2.2M	2022-03-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.42	5.4746	+1.01%	6.44	+18.82%	0.0381	✓	0.83	430k	2022-03-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	11.99	12.0982	+0.90%	15.9	+32.61%	0.1197	✓	1.03	369k	2022-03-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.1956	0.197359	+0.90%	0.2487	+27.15%	0.0057	✓	1.51	3.3M	2022-03-26
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.021665	0.021859	+0.90%	0.037356	+72.43%	0.3816	✓	1.03	114k	2022-03-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.093	0.093736	+0.79%	0.1088	+16.99%	0.0060	✓	1.04	38k	2022-03-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.24	4.2714	+0.74%	5.28	+24.53%	0.0126	✗	1.50	456k	2022-03-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.344	1.3539	+0.74%	1.628	+21.13%	0.0083	✓	1.18	1.1M	2022-03-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.00894	0.008998	+0.65%	0.01105	+23.60%	0.0132	✓	1.28	1.2M	2022-03-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5371	1.545	+0.51%	2.3608	+53.58%	0.2743	✓	1.00	72k	2022-03-26
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8143	0.817076	+0.34%	1.0536	+29.39%	0.0648	✓	1.27	1.8M	2022-03-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3618	0.362301	+0.14%	0.4109	+13.57%	0.0947	✗	1.47	8.4M	2022-03-26
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.235	6.2435	+0.14%	6.4911	+4.11%	0.0791	✗	0.79	3.0M	2022-03-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02616	0.02619	+0.11%	0.02636	+0.76%	0.1103	✗	0.78	4.4M	2022-03-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	89.41	89.4435	+0.04%	101.79	+13.85%	0.0627	✗	1.28	132.7M	2022-03-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7779	0.77759	-0.04%	0.9121	+17.25%	0.0223	✓	1.21	22.9M	2022-03-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4313	0.431081	-0.05%	0.6791	+57.45%	0.2350	✗	1.47	572k	2022-03-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		5.793	5.7894	-0.06%	7.203	+24.34%	0.0222	✗	1.31	29k	2022-03-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.079	0.078926	-0.09%	0.132	+67.09%	0.2833	✗	1.54	668k	2022-03-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	1.97	1.9678	-0.11%	2.55	+29.44%	0.0766	✗	1.22	343k	2022-03-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.747	4.7412	-0.12%	6.115	+28.82%	0.1319	✗	0.82	65k	2022-03-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		81.89	81.7834	-0.13%	90.22	+10.17%	0.0334	✓	0.88	946k	2022-03-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.481	2.4771	-0.16%	3.756	+51.39%	0.2929	✗	0.82	205k	2022-03-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.03	5.02	-0.20%	8.41	+67.20%	0.3890	✗	0.85	398k	2022-03-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.56	1.5564	-0.23%	2.16	+38.46%	0.1281	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3452	0.344177	-0.30%	0.3882	+12.46%	0.0974	✓	1.45	1.3M	2022-03-26
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3302	0.329146	-0.32%	0.3714	+12.48%	0.1334	✓	1.70	16.0M	2022-03-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2141	0.213223	-0.41%	0.2689	+25.60%	0.0814	✗	1.01	1.9M	2022-03-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1304	0.129833	-0.44%	0.1602	+22.85%	0.0553	✗	1.03	446k	2022-03-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.74	0.736747	-0.44%	1.0653	+43.96%	0.1399	✗	1.53	317k	2022-03-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.124116	0.123484	-0.51%	0.136089	+9.65%	0.0521	✓	1.00	3.7M	2022-03-26
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.187	1.1808	-0.52%	1.694	+42.71%	0.1746	✗	1.24	1.0M	2022-03-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.338	1.3309	-0.53%	1.897	+41.78%	0.1775	✗	1.18	1.8M	2022-03-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.423	0.420747	-0.53%	0.445	+5.20%	0.1500	✓	1.38	4.7M	2022-03-26
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	8.83	8.7794	-0.57%	10.64	+20.50%	0.0071	✓	1.33	11.0M	2022-03-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0281	0.027927	-0.62%	0.03025	+7.65%	0.1416	✓	1.48	513k	2022-03-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.219	0.217567	-0.65%	0.26	+18.72%	0.0488	✗	0.86	59k	2022-03-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.6953	0.690259	-0.72%	0.8312	+19.55%	0.0228	✗	1.09	9.7M	2022-03-26
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	13.72	13.614	-0.77%	17.38	+26.68%	0.0124	✗	1.55	2.7M	2022-03-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.061098	0.06057	-0.86%	0.066368	+8.63%	0.0344	✓	0.84	286k	2022-03-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.95	8.8705	-0.89%	10.24	+14.41%	0.0504	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-03-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	104.24	103.2511	-0.95%	124.85	+19.77%	0.0135	✗	1.18	29.5M	2022-03-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	22.41	22.192	-0.97%	27.43	+22.40%	0.0079	✓	1.47	1.8M	2022-03-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	108.73	107.5639	-1.07%	141.25	+29.91%	0.1195	✗	1.02	6.6M	2022-03-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.182403	0.180426	-1.08%	0.215838	+18.33%	0.0146	✗	1.10	21.4M	2022-03-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1641	0.162304	-1.09%	0.242	+47.47%	0.1900	✗	1.40	2.9M	2022-03-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00977	0.009663	-1.10%	0.01356	+38.79%	0.1180	✗	1.48	2.3M	2022-03-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03686	0.036433	-1.16%	0.04666	+26.59%	0.0862	✗	1.08	31k	2022-03-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.208	1.1939	-1.17%	1.516	+25.50%	0.0365	✗	1.35	1.8M	2022-03-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	300.94	297.3136	-1.21%	362.07	+20.31%	0.0475	✗	1.00	7.3M	2022-03-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.27	13.1091	-1.21%	15.84	+19.37%	0.0067	✓	1.22	60.6M	2022-03-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.13	1.1159	-1.25%	1.42	+25.66%	0.0523	✗	1.26	934k	2022-03-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01718	0.016964	-1.26%	0.02062	+20.02%	0.0291	✗	1.11	2.2M	2022-03-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.97	13.7883	-1.30%	13.43	-3.87%	0.1318	✓	0.70	1.9M	2022-03-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.504	1.4843	-1.31%	2.2	+46.28%	0.2299	✗	1.09	3.5M	2022-03-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	147	144.97	-1.38%	207.22	+40.97%	0.2087	✗	0.99	966k	2022-03-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.003	1.9747	-1.41%	2.469	+23.27%	0.0681	✗	1.04	20k	2022-03-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.22	33.7265	-1.44%	46.92	+37.11%	0.1059	✗	1.50	309k	2022-03-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.44	4.3756	-1.45%	5.18	+16.67%	0.0182	✗	1.01	696k	2022-03-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.827	0.814949	-1.46%	0.998	+20.68%	0.0019	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-03-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.18	15.9408	-1.48%	20.93	+29.36%	0.0748	✗	1.32	27.9M	2022-03-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	102.72	101.1825	-1.50%	204.96	+99.53%	0.5390	✗	1.11	7.8M	2022-03-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	87.88	86.524	-1.54%	128.04	+45.70%	0.2250	✗	1.12	1.5M	2022-03-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0436	0.042919	-1.56%	0.05491	+25.94%	0.0580	✗	1.26	768k	2022-03-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,597.42	2,556.31	-1.58%	3,146.22	+21.13%	0.0478	✗	1.07	561.7M	2022-03-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1399	0.137685	-1.58%	0.1501	+7.29%	0.0355	✓	0.81	345k	2022-03-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.14	3.0903	-1.58%	3.64	+15.92%	0.0373	✓	1.34	7.1M	2022-03-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.274	0.269592	-1.61%	0.609	+122.26%	0.6090	✗	1.38	2.2M	2022-03-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0609	0.059896	-1.65%	0.08093	+32.89%	0.1433	✗	1.05	14k	2022-03-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007114	0.000069958	-1.66%	0.0000868	+22.01%	0.0401	✗	1.17	4.4M	2022-03-26
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,311.50	37,652.68	-1.72%	44,445.40	+16.01%	0.0224	✗	0.96	39k	2022-03-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.48	19.1436	-1.73%	22.24	+14.17%	0.0863	✓	1.58	334k	2022-03-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.188	2.1491	-1.78%	6.444	+194.52%	0.9132	✗	1.24	772k	2022-03-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.89	5.7843	-1.80%	7.17	+21.73%	0.0126	✓	1.35	1.3M	2022-03-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.6254	2.5773	-1.83%	4.1754	+59.04%	0.3449	✗	0.92	2.9M	2022-03-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.747	2.6948	-1.90%	4.072	+48.23%	0.2738	✗	0.93	477k	2022-03-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002389	0.000023427	-1.94%	0.00002445	+2.34%	0.1594	✓	1.35	3.7M	2022-03-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1579	1.1352	-1.96%	1.1526	-0.46%	0.2014	✓	1.45	2.6M	2022-03-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.7351	3.6616	-1.97%	5.2377	+40.23%	0.1795	✗	1.19	291k	2022-03-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.7738	1.7387	-1.97%	2.5027	+41.10%	0.1824	✗	1.21	206k	2022-03-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.36	1.333	-1.98%	1.659	+21.99%	0.0063	✓	1.50	970k	2022-03-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.5825	2.5307	-2.00%	2.6174	+1.35%	0.1603	✓	1.30	3.3M	2022-03-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.19	2.1456	-2.03%	2.6	+18.72%	0.0414	✗	1.01	275k	2022-03-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,347.30	37,565.13	-2.04%	44,539.42	+16.15%	0.0206	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	19,425.17	19,027.54	-2.05%	21,160.33	+8.93%	0.0424	✓	0.99	5.7M	2022-03-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06073	0.059481	-2.06%	0.08581	+41.30%	0.1842	✗	1.22	77k	2022-03-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.509766	0.499136	-2.09%	0.625849	+22.77%	0.0489	✗	1.18	3.2M	2022-03-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.241	2.1932	-2.13%	2.41	+7.54%	0.1317	✓	1.51	13.2M	2022-03-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.945	3.8603	-2.15%	5.974	+51.43%	0.3130	✗	0.83	414k	2022-03-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.016	4.8988	-2.34%	5.416	+7.97%	0.0431	✓	0.96	241k	2022-03-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.558	3.4745	-2.35%	4.192	+17.82%	0.0105	✓	1.32	1.9M	2022-03-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15132	0.147759	-2.35%	0.16187	+6.97%	0.1133	✓	1.37	29k	2022-03-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.173	17.7408	-2.38%	18.766	+3.26%	0.1014	✓	1.05	9.6M	2022-03-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8533	0.832935	-2.39%	1.153	+35.12%	0.1526	✗	1.15	97.3M	2022-03-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08206	0.080076	-2.42%	0.10351	+26.14%	0.0911	✗	1.11	47k	2022-03-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.8411	5.6943	-2.51%	8.2397	+41.07%	0.1541	✗	1.44	172k	2022-03-26
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03323	0.032382	-2.55%	0.04136	+24.47%	0.1201	✗	0.83	1.6M	2022-03-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.97	8.7398	-2.57%	14.26	+58.97%	0.3891	✗	0.67	853k	2022-03-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.941	3.8366	-2.65%	5.117	+29.84%	0.0916	✗	1.31	2.4M	2022-03-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.621199	-2.94%	0.7	+9.37%	0.1647	✓	1.90	1.0M	2022-03-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1205	0.116946	-2.95%	0.1714	+42.24%	0.1870	✗	1.30	3.1M	2022-03-26
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.3935	0.381814	-2.97%	0.4455	+13.21%	0.1527	✓	2.05	2.1M	2022-03-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	63.0112	61.0329	-3.14%	61.5671	-2.29%	0.2130	✓	1.48	243k	2022-03-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.53	25.6808	-3.20%	47.21	+77.95%	0.4437	✗	1.10	5.1M	2022-03-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.76	29.7609	-3.25%	30.63	-0.42%	0.1270	✓	1.04	1.6M	2022-03-26
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00413	0.003992	-3.34%	0.00426	+3.15%	0.2102	✓	1.84	12.6M	2022-03-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2371	0.228967	-3.43%	0.3258	+37.41%	0.1467	✗	1.38	469k	2022-03-26
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	65.24	62.9987	-3.44%	91.46	+40.19%	0.1697	✗	1.36	4.5M	2022-03-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0685	0.066111	-3.49%	0.0815	+18.98%	0.0018	✓	1.39	1.1M	2022-03-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	76.41	73.7445	-3.49%	85.96	+12.50%	0.0715	✓	1.50	106.7M	2022-03-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.42	17.7641	-3.56%	19.43	+5.48%	0.1014	✓	1.28	9.4M	2022-03-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	16.6	16.0042	-3.59%	19.44	+17.11%	0.0221	✓	1.15	22.7M	2022-03-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4805	0.462532	-3.74%	0.5554	+15.59%	0.0469	✗	0.91	643k	2022-03-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	24.86	23.8939	-3.89%	28.8	+15.85%	0.0236	✓	1.09	52.8M	2022-03-26
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1177	2.0282	-4.23%	2.658	+25.51%	0.1393	✗	0.88	27k	2022-03-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.0389	2.9042	-4.43%	3.6619	+20.50%	0.0326	✓	1.33	2.1M	2022-03-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.3	39.3247	-4.78%	49.92	+20.87%	0.0676	✗	1.14	26.3M	2022-03-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	48.82	46.4531	-4.85%	66.96	+37.16%	0.1653	✗	1.34	7.5M	2022-03-26
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000181	0.000001722	-4.86%	0.00000194	+7.18%	0.0190	✓	0.67	14.4M	2022-03-26
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.8008	0.761656	-4.89%	0.8796	+9.84%	0.0663	✗	0.52	1.5M	2022-03-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.045853	0.043592	-4.93%	0.042043	-8.31%	0.2194	✓	1.22	8.6M	2022-03-26
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.19	2.0717	-5.40%	2.46	+12.33%	0.0221	✓	1.00	639k	2022-03-26
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.02	0.964408	-5.45%	1	-1.96%	0.0324	✓	0.03	286k	2022-03-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8131	1.7123	-5.56%	3.144	+73.40%	0.5067	✗	0.67	2.7M	2022-03-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01147	0.010792	-5.91%	0.014424	+25.75%	0.1238	✗	1.11	37k	2022-03-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.718	5.3709	-6.07%	5.7949	+1.34%	0.0151	✓	0.41	433k	2022-03-26
STX	Stacks	native	1.12	1.0484	-6.39%	1.36	+21.43%	0.0659	✓	1.30	725k	2022-03-26
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0532	0.049615	-6.74%	0.0794	+49.25%	0.1985	✗	1.81	67.8M	2022-03-26
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.69	1.5744	-6.84%	1.62	-4.14%	0.2068	✓	1.57	539k	2022-03-26
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.126	0.117007	-7.14%	0.113	-10.32%	0.1718	✓	0.91	53k	2022-03-26
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.68	2.4728	-7.73%	2.29	-14.55%	0.2265	✓	1.00	608k	2022-03-26
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.4257	1.3043	-8.52%	1.3654	-4.23%	0.1640	✓	1.40	238k	2022-03-26
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.717	1.5692	-8.61%	1.883	+9.67%	0.0326	✓	1.00	84k	2022-03-26
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	7.02e-7	6.12e-7	-12.81%	0.000001176	+67.48%	0.5030	✗	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.001	6.0702	-13.30%	6.055	-13.51%	0.0581	✓	0.37	2.0M	2022-03-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.