8=======>

2022-02-24 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1360
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.93%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
25.2%
in alpha space · 19.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.32%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
API3Api3Ethereum7.0016.8425-2.26%7.09+1.27%0.0270✗0.372.0M2022-02-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1871.1604-2.24%1.168-1.60%0.0221✓1.241.0M2022-02-25
DIADIAEthereum1.021.0066-1.32%1.02+0.00%0.0127✓0.03286k2022-02-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.02e-76.93e-7-1.26%7.00e-7-0.31%0.0134✓1.001.4M2022-02-25
LUNATerraTerra 265.2464.536-1.08%73.2+12.20%0.0948✗1.364.5M2022-02-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,311.5037,915.68-1.03%39,386.50+2.81%0.0160✗0.9639k2022-02-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.7630.5071-0.82%30.26-1.63%0.0320✓1.041.6M2022-02-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02810.027927-0.62%0.0277-1.42%0.0421✓1.48513k2022-02-25
CELLCellframeEthereum1.42571.4183-0.52%1.6442+15.33%0.1156✗1.40238k2022-02-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1260.125408-0.47%0.138+9.52%0.0747✗0.9153k2022-02-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.4819.4042-0.39%21.16+8.62%0.0504✗1.58334k2022-02-25
XEMNEMnative0.0930.092694-0.33%0.0985+5.91%0.0370✗1.0438k2022-02-25
UOSUltraEthereum1.15791.1541-0.33%1.2474+7.73%0.0445✗1.452.6M2022-02-25
XMRMoneroMonero147146.5191-0.33%153.74+4.59%0.0253✗0.99966k2022-02-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05320.05303-0.32%0.0696+30.83%0.2302✗1.8167.8M2022-02-25
ORCAOrcaSolana2.682.6715-0.32%2.73+1.87%0.0013✓1.00608k2022-02-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,425.1719,364.65-0.31%20,170.96+3.84%0.0180✗0.995.7M2022-02-25
ZECZcashZcash102.72102.4013-0.31%106.72+3.89%0.0157✗1.117.8M2022-02-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0458530.045712-0.31%0.048666+6.13%0.0345✗1.228.6M2022-02-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.192.1834-0.30%2.28+4.11%0.0202✗1.01275k2022-02-25
FTTFTXEthereum41.341.1792-0.29%43.09+4.33%0.0191✗1.1426.3M2022-02-25
MANADecentralandEthereum2.58252.5753-0.28%2.7367+5.97%0.0310✗1.303.3M2022-02-25
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1041.1011-0.26%1.145+3.71%0.0094✗1.292.8M2022-02-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.53711.5331-0.26%1.6127+4.92%0.0276✗1.0072k2022-02-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011880.011849-0.26%0.01202+1.18%0.0032✓0.7615k2022-02-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.8624.7965-0.26%27.3+9.81%0.0711✗1.0952.8M2022-02-25
UMAUMAEthereum4.7854.7729-0.25%4.938+3.20%0.0119✗0.961.9M2022-02-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.4122.357-0.24%25.27+12.76%0.0887✗1.471.8M2022-02-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche76.4176.2298-0.24%81.05+6.07%0.0268✗1.50106.7M2022-02-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8270.825124-0.23%0.882+6.65%0.0353✗1.372.1M2022-02-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.660220.65873-0.23%0.7023+6.37%0.0297✗1.50246k2022-02-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.026160.026101-0.22%0.02922+11.70%0.0949✗0.784.4M2022-02-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.361.357-0.22%1.45+6.62%0.0318✗1.50970k2022-02-25
BANDBandEthereum3.5583.5502-0.22%3.679+3.40%0.0052✗1.321.9M2022-02-25
DODODODOEthereum0.4230.422077-0.22%0.447+5.67%0.0258✗1.384.7M2022-02-25
ZENHorizenBase34.2234.1456-0.22%34.73+1.49%0.0174✓1.50309k2022-02-25
QTUMQtumQtum5.84115.8286-0.21%6.1326+4.99%0.0178✗1.44172k2022-02-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06090.060771-0.21%0.0646+6.08%0.0369✗1.0514k2022-02-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9413.9327-0.21%4.017+1.93%0.0089✓1.312.4M2022-02-25
XYMSymbolnative0.13990.139608-0.21%0.1469+5.00%0.0322✗0.81345k2022-02-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36180.36107-0.20%0.3611-0.19%0.0338✓1.478.4M2022-02-25
KCSKuCoinnative18.17318.1365-0.20%19.466+7.11%0.0466✗1.059.6M2022-02-25
XVSVenusEthereum8.958.9322-0.20%9.2+2.79%0.0002✓1.303.2M2022-02-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.6939-0.19%14.87+8.38%0.0468✗1.552.7M2022-02-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.7185.7074-0.18%5.9173+3.49%0.0268✗0.41433k2022-02-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81311.8098-0.18%1.8595+2.56%0.0116✗0.672.7M2022-02-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.23710.236667-0.18%0.2632+11.01%0.0746✗1.38469k2022-02-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1241160.123892-0.18%0.127781+2.95%0.0080✗1.003.7M2022-02-25
TRXTRONTron0.0610980.060989-0.18%0.059479-2.65%0.0444✓0.84286k2022-02-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.7472.7422-0.17%2.9+5.57%0.0346✗0.93477k2022-02-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12050.120293-0.17%0.1292+7.22%0.0415✗1.303.1M2022-02-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.4218.3884-0.17%18.94+2.82%0.0002✓1.289.4M2022-02-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.39350.392827-0.17%0.419+6.48%0.0174✗2.052.1M2022-02-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.425.4107-0.17%5.65+4.24%0.0242✗0.83430k2022-02-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.48050.479696-0.17%0.533+10.93%0.0845✗0.91643k2022-02-25
ETHEthereumEthereum2,597.422,593.14-0.16%2,769.52+6.63%0.0413✗1.07561.7M2022-02-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,347.3038,284.67-0.16%39,238.48+2.32%0.0016✗1.00632.3M2022-02-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1824030.182111-0.16%0.191142+4.79%0.0231✗1.1021.4M2022-02-25
COMPCompoundEthereum108.77108.5978-0.16%112.66+3.58%0.0070✗1.3064k2022-02-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009770.009755-0.15%0.01016+3.99%0.0068✗1.482.3M2022-02-25
QNTQuantEthereum108.73108.5704-0.15%112.52+3.49%0.0123✗1.026.6M2022-02-25
MOVRMoonriverBase63.011262.9198-0.15%67.1249+6.53%0.0307✗1.48243k2022-02-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9453.9394-0.14%4.091+3.70%0.0188✗0.83414k2022-02-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.4580.457348-0.14%0.4821+5.26%0.0222✗1.332.2M2022-02-25
HIVEHivenative0.81430.813155-0.14%0.9019+10.76%0.0745✗1.271.8M2022-02-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2740.273618-0.14%0.297+8.39%0.0504✗1.382.2M2022-02-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.978.9576-0.14%9.37+4.46%0.0296✗0.67853k2022-02-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.2713.2526-0.13%14.39+8.44%0.0543✗1.2260.6M2022-02-25
RADRadworksEthereum4.444.4342-0.13%4.51+1.58%0.0062✓1.01696k2022-02-25
XTZTezosTezos3.03893.0351-0.12%3.2131+5.73%0.0264✗1.332.1M2022-02-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.895.8827-0.12%6.32+7.30%0.0407✗1.351.3M2022-02-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.4812.478-0.12%2.571+3.63%0.0179✗0.82205k2022-02-25
SCSiacoinnative0.008340.00833-0.12%0.0088+5.52%0.0255✗1.28546k2022-02-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06850.06842-0.12%0.0734+7.15%0.0384✗1.391.1M2022-02-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.77790.777008-0.11%0.8312+6.85%0.0395✗1.2122.9M2022-02-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.16.0931-0.11%6.33+3.77%0.0291✗0.401.3M2022-02-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3381.3365-0.11%1.445+8.00%0.0509✗1.181.8M2022-02-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.036860.036819-0.11%0.0389+5.53%0.0302✗1.0831k2022-02-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04360.043552-0.11%0.04609+5.71%0.0277✗1.26768k2022-02-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.9713.9547-0.11%14.74+5.51%0.0386✗0.701.9M2022-02-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.69530.694546-0.11%0.7386+6.23%0.0365✗1.099.7M2022-02-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06460.064532-0.11%0.0689+6.66%0.0416✗1.04176k2022-02-25
DASHDashDash87.8887.7884-0.10%92.9+5.71%0.0310✗1.121.5M2022-02-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.082060.081974-0.10%0.08597+4.76%0.0222✗1.1147k2022-02-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.561.5584-0.10%1.66+6.41%0.0325✗1.332.0M2022-02-25
MINAMina Protocolnative1.971.9681-0.10%2.09+6.09%0.0321✗1.22343k2022-02-25
XECeCashnative0.000071140.000071075-0.09%0.00007523+5.75%0.0299✗1.174.4M2022-02-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13040.130282-0.09%0.1468+12.58%0.0956✗1.03446k2022-02-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.616.5851-0.09%17.68+6.51%0.0375✗1.1522.7M2022-02-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash300.94300.6714-0.09%309.04+2.69%0.0045✗1.007.3M2022-02-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017180.017165-0.09%0.01813+5.53%0.0292✗1.112.2M2022-02-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.5326.5065-0.09%28.01+5.58%0.0298✗1.105.1M2022-02-25
XVGVergenative0.008940.008933-0.08%0.00953+6.60%0.0352✗1.281.2M2022-02-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.21410.213935-0.08%0.2233+4.30%0.0197✗1.011.9M2022-02-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.639508-0.08%0.72+12.50%0.0749✗1.901.0M2022-02-25
NANOnanopayBase1.77381.7725-0.07%1.8773+5.84%0.0296✗1.21206k2022-02-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.035.0264-0.07%5.3+5.37%0.0335✗0.85398k2022-02-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023890.000023874-0.07%0.00002483+3.93%0.0083✗1.353.7M2022-02-25
ADACardanoCardano0.85330.852738-0.07%0.8997+5.44%0.0271✗1.1597.3M2022-02-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.033230.033209-0.06%0.03546+6.71%0.0465✗0.831.6M2022-02-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.1882.1866-0.06%2.336+6.76%0.0377✗1.24772k2022-02-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.0165.013-0.06%5.635+12.34%0.0949✗0.96241k2022-02-25
GITCOINGITCOIN5.7935.7898-0.06%6.282+8.44%0.0515✗1.3129k2022-02-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.060730.060696-0.06%0.0649+6.87%0.0390✗1.2277k2022-02-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.011470.011464-0.05%0.011713+2.12%0.0040✓1.1137k2022-02-25
SUSHISushiEthereum3.143.1383-0.05%3.3+5.10%0.0194✗1.347.1M2022-02-25
SOLSolanaSolana89.4189.3674-0.05%92.84+3.84%0.0087✗1.28132.7M2022-02-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum48.8248.7978-0.05%51.16+4.79%0.0165✗1.347.5M2022-02-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3441.3434-0.05%1.453+8.11%0.0514✗1.181.1M2022-02-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum11.9911.9847-0.04%12.83+7.01%0.0446✗1.03369k2022-02-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.424.4181-0.04%4.61+4.30%0.0249✗0.77459k2022-02-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.62032.6194-0.03%2.7299+4.18%0.0190✗0.972.3M2022-02-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV81.8981.866-0.03%84.8+3.55%0.0150✗0.88946k2022-02-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5097660.509618-0.03%0.539539+5.84%0.0298✗1.183.2M2022-02-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0216650.021659-0.03%0.022712+4.83%0.0238✗1.03114k2022-02-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.11772.1171-0.03%2.1201+0.11%0.0187✓0.8827k2022-02-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34520.345119-0.02%0.3727+7.97%0.0435✗1.451.3M2022-02-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7474.7459-0.02%4.933+3.92%0.0199✗0.8265k2022-02-25
BTTCBTTC0.000001810.00000181-0.02%0.0000019+4.97%0.0334✗0.6714.4M2022-02-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.1816.1766-0.02%17.28+6.80%0.0357✗1.3227.9M2022-02-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2190.218958-0.02%0.229+4.57%0.0250✗0.8659k2022-02-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.73513.7344-0.02%3.9392+5.46%0.0260✗1.19291k2022-02-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.80080.800664-0.02%0.8833+10.30%0.0863✗0.521.5M2022-02-25
STORJStorjEthereum0.895590.895447-0.02%0.95596+6.74%0.0332✗1.40165k2022-02-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.740.739887-0.02%0.7733+4.50%0.0091✗1.53317k2022-02-25
GTGateEthereum6.2356.2341-0.01%6.3134+1.26%0.0055✓0.793.0M2022-02-25
STXStacksnative1.121.1199-0.01%1.15+2.68%0.0033✓1.30725k2022-02-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2412.2409-0.01%2.365+5.53%0.0192✗1.5113.2M2022-02-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.244.2401+0.00%4.62+8.96%0.0513✓1.50456k2022-02-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151320.151323+0.00%0.15869+4.87%0.0162✓1.3729k2022-02-25
AVTAventusEthereum2.192.1906+0.03%2.23+1.83%0.0051✗1.00639k2022-02-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin104.24104.2719+0.03%109.33+4.88%0.0203✓1.1829.5M2022-02-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.640.6402+0.03%0.654+2.19%0.0052✗1.162.2M2022-02-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.62542.6264+0.04%2.7311+4.03%0.0180✓0.922.9M2022-02-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.16410.164166+0.04%0.1741+6.09%0.0266✓1.402.9M2022-02-25
UNIUniswapEthereum8.838.834+0.05%9.25+4.76%0.0154✓1.3311.0M2022-02-25
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7171.7179+0.05%1.834+6.81%0.0424✓1.0084k2022-02-25
CBKCobakEthereum2.0032.0041+0.06%2.187+9.19%0.0635✓1.0420k2022-02-25
KSMKusamaHydration117.93117.9994+0.06%124.6+5.66%0.0267✓1.21930k2022-02-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2081.2088+0.06%1.315+8.86%0.0532✓1.351.8M2022-02-25
AAVEAaveEthereum125.3125.3971+0.08%139.7+11.49%0.0752✓1.436.5M2022-02-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.0790.07909+0.11%0.082+3.80%0.0007✓1.54668k2022-02-25
PROPropyEthereum1.691.6922+0.13%1.96+15.98%0.1108✓1.57539k2022-02-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.43130.431895+0.14%0.4634+7.44%0.0367✓1.47572k2022-02-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33020.330833+0.19%0.3513+6.39%0.0210✓1.7016.0M2022-02-25
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5041.508+0.27%1.536+2.13%0.0067✗1.093.5M2022-02-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.19560.196191+0.30%0.2121+8.44%0.0434✓1.513.3M2022-02-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004130.004143+0.33%0.00434+5.08%0.0041✓1.8412.6M2022-02-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.131.1353+0.47%1.21+7.08%0.0348✓1.26934k2022-02-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016930.017057+0.75%0.01819+7.44%0.0278✓1.5911.9M2022-02-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.182.1977+0.81%2.39+9.63%0.0527✓1.36579k2022-02-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.