8=======>

2022-02-22 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3559
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+20.87%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.0%
in alpha space · 18.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+15.06%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
API3Api3Ethereum5.9795.3914-9.83%5.14-14.03%0.0979✓0.362.0M2022-03-24
CELLCellframeEthereum1.721.5536-9.67%1.3853-19.46%0.3290✓1.53213k2022-03-24
PROPropyEthereum1.831.6779-8.31%1.59-13.11%0.2842✓1.64635k2022-03-24
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8591.7183-7.57%1.908+2.64%0.0356✓1.0084k2022-03-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4530.42067-7.14%0.4337-4.26%0.2390✓1.922.0M2022-03-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,636.0719,243.07-6.75%21,219.97+2.83%0.0472✓1.035.8M2022-03-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039970.03737-6.50%0.04032+0.88%0.0465✓0.871.7M2022-03-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1390.130324-6.24%0.115-17.27%0.2725✓1.0551k2022-03-24
MOVRMoonriverBase69.821765.578-6.08%62.4871-10.50%0.2582✓1.50249k2022-03-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0125030.011788-5.72%0.013705+9.61%0.0105✓1.1544k2022-03-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.8180.771635-5.67%0.7956-2.74%0.0663✓0.691.5M2022-03-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05020.047374-5.63%0.066+31.47%0.0822✗1.7864.3M2022-03-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.8423.4634-5.54%29.27+17.83%0.0671✗1.1055.4M2022-03-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.84815.5268-5.49%6.0183+2.91%0.0323✓0.38412k2022-03-24
STXStacksnative1.171.106-5.47%1.38+17.95%0.0353✓1.33746k2022-03-24
ORCAOrcaSolana2.612.4704-5.35%2.29-12.26%0.2161✓1.00683k2022-03-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35360.335324-5.17%0.3633+2.74%0.1529✓1.6616.4M2022-03-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.9216.9976-5.15%19.43+8.43%0.0292✓1.1622.7M2022-03-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0510030.048439-5.03%0.042036-17.58%0.3187✓1.267.5M2022-03-24
XMRMoneroMonero150.97143.4662-4.97%203.77+34.97%0.2106✗1.00966k2022-03-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.1428.656-4.92%29.71-1.43%0.1059✓1.011.5M2022-03-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49760.473348-4.87%0.5368+7.88%0.0037✓0.92684k2022-03-24
AVTAventusEthereum2.492.3702-4.81%2.62+5.22%0.0401✓1.00639k2022-03-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.513.8462-4.51%13.33-8.07%0.1428✓0.751.8M2022-03-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78861.7098-4.41%3.1236+74.64%0.5279✗0.532.8M2022-03-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02650.025343-4.37%0.02649-0.04%0.1570✓1.43497k2022-03-24
BANDBandEthereum3.8743.7055-4.35%4.119+6.32%0.0721✓1.271.9M2022-03-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.265.9901-4.31%7.49+19.65%0.1649✗0.421.3M2022-03-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3952.2956-4.15%2.383-0.50%0.1808✓1.5613.8M2022-03-24
FTTFTXEthereum41.5139.8062-4.10%49.47+19.18%0.0543✗1.1627.6M2022-03-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13180.126486-4.03%0.1431+8.57%0.0594✓1.303.1M2022-03-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06290.060381-4.00%0.07771+23.55%0.1020✗1.0714k2022-03-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.4118.636-3.99%21.78+12.21%0.0620✓1.55334k2022-03-24
DIADIAEthereum0.890.854848-3.95%1.01+13.48%0.0265✓1.00284k2022-03-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07080.068055-3.88%0.084+18.64%0.0173✓1.381.1M2022-03-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,333.5036,847.50-3.88%44,010.90+14.81%0.0418✗0.9742k2022-03-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.92222.8128-3.75%3.9044+33.61%0.1876✗1.002.6M2022-03-24
LUNATerraTerra 254.7752.7519-3.68%93.83+71.32%0.3833✗1.374.5M2022-03-24
DODODODOEthereum0.4540.437829-3.56%0.458+0.88%0.1475✓1.374.5M2022-03-24
BTTCBTTC0.000001940.000001871-3.55%0.00000199+2.58%0.0787✓1.0014.6M2022-03-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.2450.236318-3.54%0.3142+28.24%0.1218✗1.16469k2022-03-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9430.909981-3.50%1.697+79.96%0.4486✗1.24934k2022-03-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.710.68526-3.48%0.7-1.41%0.2503✓1.941.0M2022-03-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01040.010043-3.44%0.01238+19.04%0.0076✓1.552.2M2022-03-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.6115.4226-3.36%5.286-5.79%0.1707✓1.04266k2022-03-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024950.000024112-3.36%0.00002469-1.04%0.1709✓1.393.7M2022-03-24
UOSUltraEthereum1.2721.2294-3.35%1.153-9.36%0.2497✓1.322.6M2022-03-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.519.1989-3.27%13.53+42.27%0.2856✗0.71758k2022-03-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4661.4192-3.19%1.684+14.87%0.0305✓1.44970k2022-03-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2950.285634-3.17%0.618+109.49%0.5821✗1.352.0M2022-03-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.1818.5713-3.17%19.64+2.40%0.1175✓1.249.6M2022-03-24
UMAUMAEthereum5.1564.9937-3.15%7.907+53.36%0.3174✗1.011.8M2022-03-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9962.9019-3.14%3.938+31.44%0.1740✗0.94481k2022-03-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.9813.5415-3.14%16.17+15.67%0.0074✓1.2161.5M2022-03-24
XYMSymbolnative0.14840.14385-3.07%0.1426-3.91%0.1228✓0.81354k2022-03-24
SUSHISushiEthereum3.43.2972-3.02%3.67+7.94%0.0879✓1.397.1M2022-03-24
MINAMina Protocolnative2.182.1142-3.02%2.58+18.35%0.0294✓1.21324k2022-03-24
QTUMQtumQtum6.00725.8264-3.01%7.8674+30.97%0.0929✗1.48153k2022-03-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.81110.786905-2.98%0.8916+9.92%0.0491✓1.2423.2M2022-03-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.6932.6137-2.94%3.765+39.81%0.2462✗0.85205k2022-03-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.7323.037-2.92%27.96+17.83%0.0194✓1.521.8M2022-03-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012370.012012-2.90%0.01336+8.00%0.0006✓0.7515k2022-03-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.084580.082146-2.88%0.10347+22.33%0.0746✗1.1148k2022-03-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.6825.9237-2.83%48.64+82.31%0.4750✗1.105.1M2022-03-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1524.0343-2.83%5.478+31.94%0.1856✗0.86395k2022-03-24
RADRadworksEthereum5.114.9662-2.81%5.02-1.76%0.1276✓0.99682k2022-03-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.131320.127681-2.77%0.136967+4.30%0.0711✓1.013.7M2022-03-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum51.1549.7556-2.73%70.34+37.52%0.1632✗1.307.8M2022-03-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.434.3098-2.71%4.74+7.00%0.0604✓1.11471k2022-03-24
MANADecentralandEthereum2.65332.5819-2.69%2.6959+1.60%0.1362✓1.283.3M2022-03-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.691.6451-2.66%2.11+24.85%0.0584✗1.362.0M2022-03-24
DASHDashDash93.5691.0844-2.65%130.02+38.97%0.1918✗1.171.5M2022-03-24
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6561.6124-2.63%2.162+30.56%0.1379✗1.113.4M2022-03-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4231.3857-2.62%1.629+14.48%0.0115✓1.231.1M2022-03-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75090.731338-2.61%0.8052+7.23%0.0644✓1.149.8M2022-03-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.683910.666098-2.60%0.85665+25.26%0.0395✗1.51269k2022-03-24
ADACardanoCardano0.88810.865682-2.52%1.1314+27.40%0.1076✗1.1497.3M2022-03-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3722.3123-2.52%6.349+167.66%0.8318✗1.27792k2022-03-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.240.233963-2.52%0.26+8.33%0.0213✓0.9068k2022-03-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.38530.375626-2.51%0.3888+0.91%0.1666✓1.431.4M2022-03-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.385.2469-2.47%8.28+53.90%0.3334✗0.88398k2022-03-24
XECeCashnative0.000072220.00007048-2.41%0.00008405+16.38%0.0133✓1.164.5M2022-03-24
XLMStellarStellar0.185640.181169-2.41%0.215105+15.87%0.0236✓1.0621.8M2022-03-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018930.018488-2.33%0.02128+12.41%0.0189✓1.142.2M2022-03-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8214.4783-2.31%18.14+22.40%0.0080✓1.662.7M2022-03-24
NANOnanopayBase1.9641.9189-2.30%2.3244+18.35%0.0187✓1.23210k2022-03-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.252.1986-2.29%2.59+15.11%0.0206✓1.02283k2022-03-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche74.4272.7289-2.27%87.61+17.72%0.0242✓1.50106.7M2022-03-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.381.3492-2.23%1.713+24.13%0.0764✗1.161.8M2022-03-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0043.9156-2.21%5.282+31.92%0.1231✗1.262.3M2022-03-24
XTZTezosTezos3.07123.0035-2.20%3.5281+14.88%0.0202✓1.292.1M2022-03-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.026710.026136-2.15%0.02695+0.90%0.0783✓0.784.6M2022-03-24
HIVEHivenative0.84660.828471-2.14%1.0248+21.05%0.0057✓1.561.8M2022-03-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13190.129084-2.13%0.1577+19.56%0.0556✗1.03467k2022-03-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3581.3295-2.10%1.58+16.35%0.0219✓1.391.8M2022-03-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80190.785209-2.08%1.0824+34.98%0.1110✗1.50361k2022-03-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.10872.065-2.07%2.402+13.91%0.0264✗0.8928k2022-03-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037930.037159-2.03%0.04349+14.66%0.0004✓1.1232k2022-03-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.311.2837-2.01%1.55+18.32%0.0095✓1.28968k2022-03-24
XEMNEMnative0.09870.096734-1.99%0.1091+10.54%0.0241✓1.0337k2022-03-24
ZECZcashZcash102.96100.9394-1.96%193.05+87.50%0.4812✗1.197.6M2022-03-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.98473.9067-1.96%5.2272+31.18%0.1221✗1.21291k2022-03-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004520.004432-1.95%0.00439-2.88%0.2756✓1.9012.7M2022-03-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.835.7163-1.95%6.52+11.84%0.0084✓0.88430k2022-03-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,251.4837,508.39-1.94%44,012.29+15.06%0.0196✓1.00646.5M2022-03-24
KCSKuCoinnative18.9418.5745-1.93%18.833-0.56%0.1529✓1.199.6M2022-03-24
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0781.0579-1.86%1.352+25.42%0.0683✗1.262.9M2022-03-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4362.3908-1.85%2.846+16.83%0.0203✓1.39579k2022-03-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.38230.375234-1.85%0.44+15.09%0.0392✓1.418.7M2022-03-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.86772.8149-1.84%4.1695+45.40%0.2520✗1.002.4M2022-03-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0720.07071-1.79%0.0793+10.14%0.0459✓1.14185k2022-03-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.6261.597-1.78%2.2754+39.94%0.1963✗1.1275k2022-03-24
QNTQuantEthereum115.85113.8058-1.76%136.28+17.63%0.0403✗1.006.6M2022-03-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5433540.533973-1.73%0.590761+8.72%0.0608✓1.153.3M2022-03-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.52090.512071-1.70%1.098+110.79%0.5749✗1.342.3M2022-03-24
ZENHorizenBase35.2734.7195-1.56%45.37+28.64%0.0466✗1.58335k2022-03-24
TRXTRONTron0.062640.061725-1.46%0.065663+4.83%0.0572✓0.85299k2022-03-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0223480.022031-1.42%0.03772+68.78%0.3851✗1.09101k2022-03-24
COMPCompoundEthereum112.33110.741-1.41%119.41+6.30%0.1066✓1.3064k2022-03-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22690.223704-1.41%0.2687+18.42%0.0394✗1.031.8M2022-03-24
GTGateEthereum6.19016.1034-1.40%6.4925+4.89%0.0568✓0.853.1M2022-03-24
ETHEthereumEthereum2,637.982,602.10-1.36%3,112.52+17.99%0.0252✗1.10581.4M2022-03-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.17780.175428-1.33%0.2208+24.18%0.0324✗1.413.0M2022-03-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.96.8083-1.33%6.84-0.87%0.0261✓0.221.3M2022-03-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.9612.7899-1.31%15.84+22.22%0.0695✗1.03392k2022-03-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.4282.3375-1.30%91.06+9.16%0.0245✓0.89986k2022-03-24
KSMKusamaHydration129.85128.2836-1.21%162.8+25.38%0.0713✗1.19930k2022-03-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.08860.08758-1.15%0.1068+20.54%0.0101✓1.49684k2022-03-24
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2146.1486-1.05%7.452+19.92%0.1396✗0.3829k2022-03-24
XVGVergenative0.009630.009535-0.99%0.01065+10.59%0.0713✓1.301.2M2022-03-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.21630.214197-0.97%0.234+8.18%0.1282✓1.543.4M2022-03-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.944.8945-0.92%6.72+36.03%0.2057✗0.79415k2022-03-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45850.454359-0.90%0.6697+46.06%0.1853✗1.44586k2022-03-24
SCSiacoinnative0.008780.008704-0.87%0.01029+17.20%0.0200✗1.05525k2022-03-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.6116.4749-0.81%21.25+27.93%0.0681✗1.3329.5M2022-03-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04660.046279-0.69%0.05648+21.20%0.0052✓1.38865k2022-03-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151340.150345-0.66%0.16172+6.86%0.1235✓1.4030k2022-03-24
AAVEAaveEthereum134.74133.9712-0.57%168.07+24.74%0.0242✗1.446.5M2022-03-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7070.703852-0.45%0.726+2.69%0.1226✓1.091.9M2022-03-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2665.245-0.40%6.323+20.07%0.0751✗0.8065k2022-03-24
CBKCobakEthereum2.012.0033-0.33%2.363+17.56%0.0170✗1.0619k2022-03-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7990.796718-0.29%0.953+19.27%0.0135✓1.372.1M2022-03-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.062480.06241-0.11%0.07971+27.58%0.1304✗0.8180k2022-03-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.927640.927443-0.02%1.1819+27.40%0.0900✗1.09165k2022-03-24
SOLSolanaSolana86.4386.4766+0.05%102.38+18.45%0.0055✗1.24139.1M2022-03-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin107.51107.9682+0.43%126.52+17.68%0.0122✗1.2229.9M2022-03-24
UNIUniswapEthereum8.868.9267+0.75%10.79+21.78%0.0041✓1.3211.0M2022-03-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash293.48297.5153+1.37%366.47+24.87%0.0697✓0.997.6M2022-03-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020.020281+1.41%0.04032+101.60%0.4566✓1.6411.1M2022-03-24
XVSVenusEthereum8.668.8466+2.15%10.44+20.55%0.0149✓1.293.2M2022-03-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.