8=======>

2022-02-22 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0027
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.92%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.7%
in alpha space · 80.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.57%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
API3Api3Ethereum5.9795.9174-1.03%6.357+6.32%0.0810✗0.362.0M2022-02-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.1429.8342-1.01%28.53-5.34%0.0183✓1.011.5M2022-02-23
CELLCellframeEthereum1.721.7054-0.85%1.7484+1.65%0.0647✗1.53213k2022-02-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039970.039691-0.70%0.0366-8.43%0.0583✓0.871.7M2022-02-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1390.13809-0.65%0.144+3.60%0.0693✗1.0551k2022-02-23
RADRadworksEthereum5.115.0826-0.54%4.86-4.89%0.0191✓0.99682k2022-02-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,333.5038,129.31-0.53%37,524.20-2.11%0.0092✗0.9742k2022-02-23
UOSUltraEthereum1.2721.2657-0.49%1.1954-6.02%0.0227✓1.322.6M2022-02-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9430.938722-0.45%0.938-0.53%0.0316✗1.24934k2022-02-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0510030.050805-0.39%0.049178-3.58%0.0003✓1.267.5M2022-02-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04660.046434-0.36%0.04486-3.73%0.0015✓1.38865k2022-02-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4530.451522-0.33%0.4331-4.39%0.0084✗1.922.0M2022-02-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012370.01233-0.32%0.01223-1.13%0.0115✗0.7515k2022-02-23
LUNATerraTerra 254.7754.5928-0.32%59.54+8.71%0.1225✗1.374.5M2022-02-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.4119.3537-0.29%18.81-3.09%0.0120✗1.55334k2022-02-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.835.8136-0.28%5.76-1.20%0.0136✗0.88430k2022-02-23
XEMNEMnative0.09870.098427-0.28%0.0943-4.46%0.0160✓1.0337k2022-02-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4661.4621-0.27%1.389-5.25%0.0139✓1.44970k2022-02-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.52090.519516-0.27%0.4922-5.51%0.0191✓1.342.3M2022-02-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.252.2441-0.26%2.17-3.56%0.0070✓1.02283k2022-02-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,636.0720,581.91-0.26%20,320.95-1.53%0.0142✗1.035.8M2022-02-23
XMRMoneroMonero150.97150.5744-0.26%149.01-1.30%0.0156✗1.00966k2022-02-23
MANADecentralandEthereum2.65332.6465-0.26%2.5516-3.83%0.0032✓1.283.3M2022-02-23
FTTFTXEthereum41.5141.4036-0.26%40.78-1.76%0.0151✗1.1627.6M2022-02-23
QNTQuantEthereum115.85115.5566-0.25%108.35-6.47%0.0384✓1.006.6M2022-02-23
DODODODOEthereum0.4540.452871-0.25%0.443-2.42%0.0137✗1.374.5M2022-02-23
UMAUMAEthereum5.1565.1433-0.25%4.977-3.47%0.0065✓1.011.8M2022-02-23
BANDBandEthereum3.8743.8646-0.24%3.655-5.65%0.0228✓1.271.9M2022-02-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13180.131486-0.24%0.1206-8.50%0.0525✓1.303.1M2022-02-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02650.026437-0.24%0.0253-4.53%0.0066✓1.43497k2022-02-23
DIADIAEthereum0.890.887997-0.23%1.1+23.60%0.2401✗1.00284k2022-02-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9962.9893-0.22%2.878-3.94%0.0136✓0.94481k2022-02-23
ORCAOrcaSolana2.612.6043-0.22%2.58-1.15%0.0167✗1.00683k2022-02-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.6261.6224-0.22%1.5861-2.45%0.0066✗1.1275k2022-02-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49760.496526-0.22%0.4849-2.55%0.0003✓0.92684k2022-02-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2665.2547-0.21%5.181-1.61%0.0066✗0.8065k2022-02-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.2450.244476-0.21%0.2396-2.20%0.0101✗1.16469k2022-02-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1524.1431-0.21%4.135-0.41%0.0204✗0.86395k2022-02-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018930.01889-0.21%0.01876-0.90%0.0227✗1.142.2M2022-02-23
AVTAventusEthereum2.492.4848-0.21%2.35-5.62%0.0297✓1.00639k2022-02-23
ZECZcashZcash102.96102.7483-0.21%97.51-5.29%0.0213✓1.197.6M2022-02-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8214.7898-0.20%14.24-3.91%0.0055✗1.662.7M2022-02-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06290.062773-0.20%0.0622-1.11%0.0187✗1.0714k2022-02-23
ZENHorizenBase35.2735.1992-0.20%32.84-6.89%0.0284✓1.58335k2022-02-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.7323.6834-0.20%22.18-6.53%0.0260✓1.521.8M2022-02-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.96.8868-0.19%6.71-2.75%0.0203✓0.221.3M2022-02-23
KCSKuCoinnative18.9418.9048-0.19%18.749-1.01%0.0227✗1.199.6M2022-02-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.691.6869-0.19%1.59-5.92%0.0238✓1.362.0M2022-02-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.240.239569-0.18%0.234-2.50%0.0000✓0.9068k2022-02-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3722.3678-0.18%2.318-2.28%0.0119✗1.27792k2022-02-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.8424.7963-0.18%25.15+1.25%0.0428✗1.1055.4M2022-02-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0125030.012481-0.17%0.01214-2.90%0.0022✗1.1544k2022-02-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.683910.682719-0.17%0.65943-3.58%0.0047✗1.51269k2022-02-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.6932.6883-0.17%2.599-3.49%0.0117✓0.85205k2022-02-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.6115.6013-0.17%5.363-4.42%0.0165✓1.04266k2022-02-23
MOVRMoonriverBase69.821769.7049-0.17%67.7591-2.95%0.0107✗1.50249k2022-02-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.1819.1479-0.17%18.43-3.91%0.0060✓1.249.6M2022-02-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.519.4941-0.17%9.28-2.42%0.0042✓0.71758k2022-02-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01040.010383-0.17%0.01006-3.27%0.0087✗1.552.2M2022-02-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0720.071881-0.17%0.0693-3.75%0.0068✓1.14185k2022-02-23
COMPCompoundEthereum112.33112.1492-0.16%109.49-2.53%0.0098✗1.3064k2022-02-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.38230.38169-0.16%0.3536-7.51%0.0396✓1.418.7M2022-02-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.944.9321-0.16%4.68-5.26%0.0318✓0.79415k2022-02-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.86772.8632-0.16%2.7875-2.80%0.0007✓1.002.4M2022-02-23
QTUMQtumQtum6.00725.9981-0.15%5.7401-4.45%0.0055✓1.48153k2022-02-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75090.749774-0.15%0.7126-5.10%0.0210✓1.149.8M2022-02-23
DASHDashDash93.5693.4202-0.15%88.28-5.64%0.0261✓1.171.5M2022-02-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78861.786-0.15%1.7207-3.80%0.0233✓0.532.8M2022-02-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.514.4786-0.15%14.35-1.03%0.0105✗0.751.8M2022-02-23
HIVEHivenative0.84660.845358-0.15%0.8185-3.32%0.0083✗1.561.8M2022-02-23
TRXTRONTron0.062640.06255-0.14%0.060784-2.96%0.0065✓0.85299k2022-02-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.266.251-0.14%5.85-6.55%0.0554✓0.421.3M2022-02-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.026710.026672-0.14%0.02593-2.92%0.0080✓0.784.6M2022-02-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2950.294582-0.14%0.282-4.41%0.0084✓1.352.0M2022-02-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.131320.131135-0.14%0.127361-3.01%0.0030✓1.013.7M2022-02-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.84815.8399-0.14%6.0975+4.26%0.0530✗0.38412k2022-02-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.710.709007-0.14%0.67-5.63%0.0062✓1.941.0M2022-02-23
XLMStellarStellar0.185640.185384-0.14%0.181888-2.02%0.0085✗1.0621.8M2022-02-23
XYMSymbolnative0.14840.148195-0.14%0.147-0.94%0.0131✗0.81354k2022-02-23
SCSiacoinnative0.008780.008768-0.14%0.0084-4.33%0.0155✓1.05525k2022-02-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.385.3728-0.13%5.27-2.04%0.0035✗0.88398k2022-02-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07080.070705-0.13%0.0687-2.97%0.0071✗1.381.1M2022-02-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.084580.084468-0.13%0.08287-2.02%0.0099✗1.1148k2022-02-23
BTTCBTTC0.000001940.000001938-0.13%0.0000019-2.06%0.0065✗1.0014.6M2022-02-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.9217.8973-0.13%17.29-3.52%0.0043✓1.1622.7M2022-02-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.38530.38482-0.12%0.3651-5.24%0.0153✓1.431.4M2022-02-23
XVGVergenative0.009630.009619-0.12%0.00938-2.60%0.0086✗1.301.2M2022-02-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.92222.9189-0.11%2.8418-2.75%0.0007✓1.002.6M2022-02-23
ETHEthereumEthereum2,637.982,635.02-0.11%2,580.97-2.16%0.0078✗1.10581.4M2022-02-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22690.226649-0.11%0.221-2.60%0.0015✗1.031.8M2022-02-23
MINAMina Protocolnative2.182.1777-0.11%2.12-2.75%0.0047✗1.21324k2022-02-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.9813.9651-0.11%13.34-4.58%0.0142✓1.2161.5M2022-02-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037930.03789-0.11%0.03744-1.29%0.0172✗1.1232k2022-02-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.81110.81026-0.10%0.7853-3.18%0.0010✓1.2423.2M2022-02-23
NANOnanopayBase1.9641.962-0.10%1.9093-2.78%0.0049✗1.23210k2022-02-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13190.131774-0.10%0.1335+1.21%0.0399✗1.03467k2022-02-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7070.706349-0.09%0.667-5.66%0.0288✓1.091.9M2022-02-23
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0781.077-0.09%1.038-3.71%0.0040✓1.262.9M2022-02-23
ADACardanoCardano0.88810.887326-0.09%0.8664-2.44%0.0059✗1.1497.3M2022-02-23
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8591.8575-0.08%1.807-2.80%0.0015✓1.0084k2022-02-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,251.4838,220.29-0.08%37,268.19-2.57%0.0008✗1.00646.5M2022-02-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024950.00002493-0.08%0.00002484-0.44%0.0325✗1.393.7M2022-02-23
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2146.2098-0.07%5.858-5.73%0.0485✓0.3829k2022-02-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum51.1551.1154-0.07%48.79-4.61%0.0126✓1.307.8M2022-02-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7990.798478-0.07%0.779-2.50%0.0111✗1.372.1M2022-02-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche74.4274.3714-0.07%73.5-1.24%0.0273✗1.50106.7M2022-02-23
SUSHISushiEthereum3.43.3978-0.06%3.28-3.53%0.0009✗1.397.1M2022-02-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4231.4221-0.06%1.383-2.81%0.0043✗1.231.1M2022-02-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.381.3792-0.06%1.331-3.55%0.0054✓1.161.8M2022-02-23
STXStacksnative1.171.1693-0.06%1.13-3.42%0.0003✓1.33746k2022-02-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.9612.9525-0.06%12.71-1.93%0.0079✗1.03392k2022-02-23
XECeCashnative0.000072220.00007218-0.06%0.00007022-2.77%0.0027✗1.164.5M2022-02-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5433540.543065-0.05%0.526579-3.09%0.0008✓1.153.3M2022-02-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.98473.9826-0.05%3.8658-2.98%0.0016✗1.21291k2022-02-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0044.002-0.05%3.748-6.39%0.0329✓1.262.3M2022-02-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3952.3941-0.04%2.285-4.59%0.0061✓1.5613.8M2022-02-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.062480.06246-0.03%0.06016-3.71%0.0163✓0.8180k2022-02-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.4283.3944-0.03%82.17-1.50%0.0085✗0.89986k2022-02-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05020.050185-0.03%0.0476-5.18%0.0066✓1.7864.3M2022-02-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80190.801669-0.03%0.7513-6.31%0.0259✓1.50361k2022-02-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.6826.673-0.03%26.53-0.56%0.0233✗1.105.1M2022-02-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.17780.177766-0.02%0.1703-4.22%0.0062✓1.413.0M2022-02-23
XTZTezosTezos3.07123.0707-0.02%2.9331-4.50%0.0122✓1.292.1M2022-02-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash293.48293.4419-0.01%288.37-1.74%0.0083✗0.997.6M2022-02-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.927640.927539-0.01%0.90329-2.62%0.0018✗1.09165k2022-02-23
PROPropyEthereum1.831.83+0.00%1.78-2.73%0.0150✓1.64635k2022-02-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.434.4301+0.00%4.23-4.51%0.0173✗1.11471k2022-02-23
XVSVenusEthereum8.668.6614+0.02%8.34-3.70%0.0043✗1.293.2M2022-02-23
KSMKusamaHydration129.85129.8799+0.02%123.58-4.83%0.0187✗1.19930k2022-02-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin107.51107.5374+0.03%105.41-1.95%0.0117✓1.2229.9M2022-02-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151340.151389+0.03%0.14949-1.22%0.0239✓1.4030k2022-02-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3581.3585+0.04%1.294-4.71%0.0125✗1.391.8M2022-02-23
AAVEAaveEthereum134.74134.7963+0.04%130.67-3.02%0.0065✓1.446.5M2022-02-23
GTGateEthereum6.19016.1928+0.04%6.1482-0.68%0.0148✓0.853.1M2022-02-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.8180.818384+0.05%0.9299+13.68%0.1457✓0.691.5M2022-02-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.08860.088646+0.05%0.0845-4.63%0.0092✗1.49684k2022-02-23
SOLSolanaSolana86.4386.4792+0.06%84.64-2.07%0.0109✓1.24139.1M2022-02-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.6116.6201+0.06%15.97-3.85%0.0053✗1.3329.5M2022-02-23
UNIUniswapEthereum8.868.8675+0.08%8.75-1.24%0.0211✓1.3211.0M2022-02-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45850.458886+0.08%0.4391-4.23%0.0065✗1.44586k2022-02-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.10872.1106+0.09%2.1538+2.14%0.0434✓0.8928k2022-02-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0223480.022371+0.10%0.022758+1.83%0.0455✓1.09101k2022-02-23
CBKCobakEthereum2.012.0123+0.12%2.007-0.15%0.0248✓1.0619k2022-02-23
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6561.6581+0.12%1.554-6.16%0.0360✗1.113.4M2022-02-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.21630.216671+0.17%0.2039-5.73%0.0205✗1.543.4M2022-02-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35360.354228+0.18%0.3293-6.87%0.0297✗1.6616.4M2022-02-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004520.004528+0.18%0.00444-1.77%0.0298✓1.9012.7M2022-02-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.311.3136+0.27%1.19-9.16%0.0656✗1.28968k2022-02-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020.020117+0.58%0.01802-9.90%0.0673✗1.6411.1M2022-02-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4362.4565+0.84%2.27-6.81%0.0428✗1.39579k2022-02-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.