8=======>

2022-02-21 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0850
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.03%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
49.3%
in alpha space · 37.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.32%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
API3Api3Ethereum5.725.6658-0.95%5.979+4.53%0.0426✗0.342.0M2022-02-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.6461.6333-0.77%1.72+4.50%0.0017✓1.53191k2022-02-22
RADRadworksEthereum5.075.031-0.77%5.11+0.79%0.0169✓0.99682k2022-02-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1320.131184-0.62%0.139+5.30%0.0242✗1.0351k2022-02-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012840.012768-0.56%0.01237-3.66%0.0570✓0.7815k2022-02-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,080.1036,880.57-0.54%38,333.50+3.38%0.0070✗0.9742k2022-02-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0502880.050087-0.40%0.051003+1.42%0.0234✓1.277.5M2022-02-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.920.916758-0.35%0.943+2.50%0.0125✓1.25934k2022-02-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.5126.4181-0.35%30.14+13.69%0.0999✗0.981.5M2022-02-22
DIADIAEthereum0.910.906949-0.34%0.89-2.20%0.0515✓1.00281k2022-02-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.13851.1348-0.33%1.272+11.72%0.0719✗1.292.5M2022-02-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.835.8109-0.33%5.83+0.00%0.0257✓0.89430k2022-02-22
XEMNEMnative0.09270.09244-0.28%0.0987+6.47%0.0323✗1.0238k2022-02-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2480.247337-0.27%0.24-3.23%0.0603✓0.9368k2022-02-22
LUNATerraTerra 250.1350.0215-0.22%54.77+9.26%0.0466✗1.354.8M2022-02-22
XMRMoneroMonero148147.68-0.22%150.97+2.01%0.0107✓1.001.0M2022-02-22
DODODODOEthereum0.4440.443069-0.21%0.454+2.25%0.0207✓1.384.5M2022-02-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.86822.8626-0.19%2.8677-0.02%0.0314✓1.022.4M2022-02-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43110.430302-0.19%0.453+5.08%0.0113✓1.922.0M2022-02-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02630.026252-0.18%0.0265+0.76%0.0378✓1.45497k2022-02-22
BANDBandEthereum3.773.7633-0.18%3.874+2.76%0.0126✓1.271.9M2022-02-22
ZECZcashZcash100.47100.2929-0.18%102.96+2.48%0.0127✓1.197.6M2022-02-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.172.1662-0.18%2.25+3.69%0.0047✗1.02283k2022-02-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.48272.4784-0.17%2.6533+6.87%0.0270✗1.263.2M2022-02-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.61271.6099-0.17%1.626+0.82%0.0271✓1.1375k2022-02-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.8219-0.17%4.94+2.28%0.0017✓0.79431k2022-02-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3841.3817-0.16%1.466+5.92%0.0126✗1.43970k2022-02-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8892.8844-0.16%2.996+3.70%0.0075✗0.93481k2022-02-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.7093-0.16%6.9+2.68%0.0211✗0.211.3M2022-02-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.47280.472054-0.16%0.5209+10.17%0.0554✗1.322.3M2022-02-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.6317.6022-0.16%19.41+10.10%0.0477✗1.53350k2022-02-22
KCSKuCoinnative18.13718.1096-0.15%18.94+4.43%0.0061✗1.199.8M2022-02-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06130.061208-0.15%0.0629+2.61%0.0078✓1.0714k2022-02-22
FTTFTXEthereum39.8139.7516-0.15%41.51+4.27%0.0054✗1.1627.6M2022-02-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3212.3176-0.15%2.372+2.20%0.0184✓1.27845k2022-02-22
ORCAOrcaSolana2.622.6164-0.14%2.61-0.38%0.0351✓1.00694k2022-02-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0214.0156-0.13%4.152+3.26%0.0054✗0.86383k2022-02-22
XYMSymbolnative0.14880.148604-0.13%0.1484-0.27%0.0282✓0.82362k2022-02-22
PROPropyEthereum1.991.9874-0.13%1.83-8.04%0.1396✓1.75680k2022-02-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83955.832-0.13%5.8481+0.15%0.0098✓0.38412k2022-02-22
QNTQuantEthereum106.88106.7528-0.12%115.85+8.39%0.0498✗0.986.6M2022-02-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.720.719192-0.11%0.71-1.39%0.0772✓1.971.1M2022-02-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.913.8855-0.10%14.82+6.62%0.0110✗1.662.9M2022-02-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.6418.6214-0.10%19.18+2.90%0.0109✓1.2410.1M2022-02-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12290.12278-0.10%0.1318+7.24%0.0288✗1.293.2M2022-02-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06920.069133-0.10%0.072+4.05%0.0033✗1.14194k2022-02-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.275.265-0.10%5.38+2.09%0.0070✓0.88398k2022-02-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1280940.127972-0.09%0.13132+2.52%0.0072✓1.014.2M2022-02-22
MOVRMoonriverBase68.799768.7369-0.09%69.8217+1.49%0.0335✓1.51257k2022-02-22
BTTCBTTC0.000001940.000001938-0.09%0.00000194+0.00%0.0317✓1.0014.4M2022-02-22
AVTAventusEthereum2.372.3679-0.09%2.49+5.06%0.0177✗1.00639k2022-02-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122140.012203-0.09%0.012503+2.37%0.0134✓1.1561k2022-02-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,642.8419,626.07-0.09%20,636.07+5.06%0.0166✗1.035.8M2022-02-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.645790.64524-0.09%0.68391+5.90%0.0090✗1.51278k2022-02-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.325.3155-0.08%5.611+5.47%0.0206✗1.03297k2022-02-22
QTUMQtumQtum5.74315.7383-0.08%6.0072+4.60%0.0025✓1.48172k2022-02-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.75691.7555-0.08%1.7886+1.80%0.0012✗0.532.8M2022-02-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.5832.5809-0.08%2.693+4.26%0.0151✗0.84203k2022-02-22
HIVEHivenative0.81480.81414-0.08%0.8466+3.90%0.0117✓1.561.8M2022-02-22
NANOnanopayBase1.90471.9032-0.08%1.964+3.11%0.0089✓1.24218k2022-02-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.22930.229115-0.08%0.245+6.85%0.0295✗1.15469k2022-02-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.87752.8752-0.08%2.9222+1.55%0.0167✓1.012.5M2022-02-22
TRXTRONTron0.0594720.059425-0.08%0.06264+5.33%0.0253✗0.84307k2022-02-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.02570.025681-0.07%0.02671+3.93%0.0140✗0.774.7M2022-02-22
UMAUMAEthereum4.924.9166-0.07%5.156+4.80%0.0147✗1.011.8M2022-02-22
ZENHorizenBase32.1432.1182-0.07%35.27+9.74%0.0429✗1.55335k2022-02-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010040.010033-0.07%0.0104+3.59%0.0148✓1.552.2M2022-02-22
XLMStellarStellar0.178160.178043-0.07%0.18564+4.20%0.0074✗1.0521.8M2022-02-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.8721.8558-0.07%23.73+8.50%0.0330✗1.511.8M2022-02-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22060.220457-0.06%0.2269+2.86%0.0047✓1.031.9M2022-02-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.069.0543-0.06%9.51+4.97%0.0261✗0.70758k2022-02-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,569.002,567.41-0.06%2,637.98+2.69%0.0088✓1.10581.4M2022-02-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71130.710866-0.06%0.7509+5.57%0.0177✗1.149.9M2022-02-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2415.2378-0.06%5.266+0.48%0.0208✓0.8065k2022-02-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.7717.7594-0.06%17.92+0.84%0.0293✓1.1723.0M2022-02-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.8323.8162-0.06%24.84+4.24%0.0062✗1.1056.2M2022-02-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12830.128229-0.06%0.1319+2.81%0.0055✓1.03467k2022-02-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4810.480738-0.05%0.4976+3.45%0.0044✗0.92684k2022-02-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2790.278857-0.05%0.295+5.73%0.0125✗1.342.0M2022-02-22
MINAMina Protocolnative2.162.1589-0.05%2.18+0.93%0.0300✓1.22324k2022-02-22
SCSiacoinnative0.008470.008466-0.05%0.00878+3.66%0.0022✗1.05504k2022-02-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.78520.784853-0.04%0.8111+3.30%0.0077✓1.2423.9M2022-02-22
COMPCompoundEthereum106.4106.3569-0.04%112.33+5.57%0.0125✗1.2959k2022-02-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.35720.357067-0.04%0.3823+7.03%0.0224✗1.418.7M2022-02-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.045080.045065-0.03%0.0466+3.37%0.0117✓1.39865k2022-02-22
XVGVergenative0.009290.009287-0.03%0.00963+3.66%0.0062✓1.301.2M2022-02-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.07910.079078-0.03%0.08458+6.93%0.0313✗1.1049k2022-02-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36610.365998-0.03%0.3853+5.24%0.0047✗1.431.5M2022-02-22
DASHDashDash87.0487.017-0.03%93.56+7.49%0.0348✗1.151.5M2022-02-22
GITCOINGITCOIN6.046.039-0.02%6.214+2.88%0.0166✗0.3732k2022-02-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06810.068089-0.02%0.0708+3.96%0.0060✓1.381.1M2022-02-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0180350.018033-0.01%0.01893+4.96%0.0116✗1.132.2M2022-02-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV80.8780.862-0.01%83.42+3.15%0.0021✗0.891.0M2022-02-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.88830.88822-0.01%0.818-7.91%0.1070✓0.761.5M2022-02-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.4812.4789-0.01%12.96+3.85%0.0043✗1.03404k2022-02-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.955.9496-0.01%6.26+5.21%0.0377✗0.401.4M2022-02-22
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8531.8529-0.00%1.859+0.32%0.0294✓1.0085k2022-02-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.571.5699-0.00%1.69+7.64%0.0298✗1.352.0M2022-02-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.7713.7699-0.00%14.5+5.30%0.0276✗0.741.8M2022-02-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.5113.51-0.00%13.98+3.48%0.0054✓1.2161.5M2022-02-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.371.3701+0.00%1.423+3.87%0.0023✗1.231.1M2022-02-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,023.0037,024.62+0.00%38,251.48+3.32%0.0000✓1.00633.0M2022-02-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.341.3401+0.01%1.38+2.99%0.0085✗1.162.0M2022-02-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024040.000024047+0.03%0.00002495+3.79%0.0085✗1.393.7M2022-02-22
XVSVenusEthereum8.648.6431+0.04%8.66+0.23%0.0405✗1.303.2M2022-02-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.033620.033633+0.04%0.03997+18.89%0.1487✓0.731.7M2022-02-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5190670.519277+0.04%0.543354+4.68%0.0078✓1.153.5M2022-02-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash283.16283.2745+0.04%293.48+3.64%0.0033✓0.988.0M2022-02-22
ADACardanoCardano0.85720.857624+0.05%0.8881+3.60%0.0024✗1.1497.3M2022-02-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0031.0035+0.05%1.078+7.48%0.0308✓1.253.0M2022-02-22
SUSHISushiEthereum3.283.2818+0.05%3.4+3.66%0.0101✗1.397.1M2022-02-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche70.0870.1183+0.05%74.42+6.19%0.0107✓1.50106.7M2022-02-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.3547.3759+0.05%51.15+8.03%0.0346✓1.298.1M2022-02-22
XECeCashnative0.000067830.000067868+0.06%0.00007222+6.47%0.0246✓1.154.6M2022-02-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.75343.7556+0.06%3.9847+6.16%0.0201✓1.20309k2022-02-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7390.739431+0.06%0.799+8.12%0.0332✓1.362.1M2022-02-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.342.3414+0.06%2.395+2.35%0.0283✗1.5614.4M2022-02-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.16860.168705+0.06%0.1778+5.46%0.0068✓1.403.0M2022-02-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.059940.05998+0.07%0.06248+4.24%0.0144✓0.8180k2022-02-22
XTZTezosTezos2.97312.9752+0.07%3.0712+3.30%0.0105✗1.302.1M2022-02-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.74210.742627+0.07%0.8019+8.06%0.0284✓1.48411k2022-02-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.885730.88637+0.07%0.92764+4.73%0.0103✓1.08165k2022-02-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.035910.035939+0.08%0.03793+5.63%0.0177✓1.1132k2022-02-22
GTGateEthereum6.08296.0878+0.08%6.1901+1.76%0.0111✗0.853.2M2022-02-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.08770.087777+0.09%0.0886+1.03%0.0397✗1.50700k2022-02-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230180.023039+0.09%0.022348-2.91%0.0666✗1.1189k2022-02-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151540.151686+0.10%0.15134-0.13%0.0484✗1.4130k2022-02-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin102.78102.8868+0.10%107.51+4.60%0.0043✓1.2129.9M2022-02-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.22412.2264+0.11%2.1087-5.19%0.0843✗0.9228k2022-02-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative2525.0267+0.11%26.68+6.72%0.0284✓1.095.2M2022-02-22
KSMKusamaHydration125.92126.0545+0.11%129.85+3.12%0.0092✗1.19930k2022-02-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.1916.2081+0.11%16.61+2.59%0.0191✗1.3430.0M2022-02-22
SOLSolanaSolana82.9783.0676+0.12%86.43+4.17%0.0009✓1.24154.8M2022-02-22
STXStacksnative1.111.1114+0.13%1.17+5.41%0.0087✓1.31782k2022-02-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.24.2059+0.14%4.43+5.48%0.0161✓1.10485k2022-02-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.640.640931+0.15%0.707+10.47%0.0632✓1.071.9M2022-02-22
AAVEAaveEthereum128.58128.777+0.15%134.74+4.79%0.0019✗1.456.7M2022-02-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.733.7361+0.16%4.004+7.35%0.0286✓1.242.3M2022-02-22
CBKCobakEthereum1.9331.9364+0.17%2.01+3.98%0.0030✓1.0520k2022-02-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44420.445015+0.18%0.4585+3.22%0.0174✗1.45586k2022-02-22
UNIUniswapEthereum8.528.536+0.19%8.86+3.99%0.0059✗1.3211.2M2022-02-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.31.3026+0.20%1.358+4.46%0.0033✗1.381.9M2022-02-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004510.004521+0.24%0.00452+0.22%0.0629✗1.9212.9M2022-02-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04740.047535+0.28%0.0502+5.91%0.0033✗1.7764.3M2022-02-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34010.341183+0.32%0.3536+3.97%0.0188✗1.6716.7M2022-02-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.20420.204885+0.34%0.2163+5.93%0.0039✓1.543.6M2022-02-22
IMXImmutableEthereum1.581.5859+0.38%1.656+4.81%0.0074✓1.103.3M2022-02-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.251.2556+0.45%1.31+4.80%0.0011✓1.271.1M2022-02-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.019370.01952+0.77%0.02+3.25%0.0294✗1.6510.9M2022-02-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3322.3555+1.01%2.436+4.46%0.0109✗1.36579k2022-02-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.