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2022-02-20 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0132
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.43%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
37.3%
in alpha space · 35.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.56%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.021160.021366+0.97%0.01937-8.46%0.0398✗1.6110.9M2022-02-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.8282.8493+0.75%2.332-17.54%0.1538✗1.28579k2022-02-21
AAVEAaveEthereum137.55138.1031+0.40%128.58-6.52%0.0193✗1.446.8M2022-02-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.22130.222169+0.39%0.2042-7.73%0.0286✗1.543.6M2022-02-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.654.6676+0.38%4.2-9.68%0.0663✗1.08510k2022-02-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.90.903227+0.36%0.92+2.22%0.0647✓1.28878k2022-02-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.441.445+0.35%1.25-13.19%0.1005✗1.231.2M2022-02-21
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0631.0665+0.33%1.003-5.64%0.0162✗1.253.0M2022-02-21
GTGateEthereum6.25636.2763+0.32%6.0829-2.77%0.0006✓0.853.5M2022-02-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004650.004665+0.32%0.00451-3.01%0.0366✓1.9413.2M2022-02-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.70.70214+0.31%0.64-8.57%0.0543✗1.062.0M2022-02-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.37850.379647+0.30%0.3401-10.15%0.0494✗1.6716.9M2022-02-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.9813.0163+0.28%12.48-3.85%0.0047✗1.03448k2022-02-21
IMXImmutableEthereum1.821.8249+0.27%1.58-13.19%0.1059✗1.063.2M2022-02-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.13752.1431+0.26%2.2241+4.05%0.0713✓0.9428k2022-02-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.84550.847719+0.26%0.7852-7.13%0.0316✗1.2424.6M2022-02-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.985120.987646+0.26%0.88573-10.09%0.0705✗1.06180k2022-02-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.706180.707976+0.25%0.64579-8.55%0.0378✗1.49298k2022-02-21
KSMKusamaHydration138.87139.2123+0.25%125.92-9.33%0.0578✗1.17930k2022-02-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.50790.50909+0.23%0.4442-12.54%0.0848✗1.42610k2022-02-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.015.0215+0.23%4.83-3.59%0.0107✗0.78431k2022-02-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012660.012687+0.22%0.01284+1.42%0.0415✓0.8215k2022-02-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.411.4128+0.20%1.3-7.80%0.0334✗1.372.2M2022-02-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.023.026+0.20%2.8682-5.03%0.0177✗0.992.4M2022-02-21
COMPCompoundEthereum116.98117.2075+0.19%106.4-9.04%0.0506✗1.2766k2022-02-21
HIVEHivenative0.91580.917564+0.19%0.8148-11.03%0.0622✗1.561.8M2022-02-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.39170.392451+0.19%0.3572-8.81%0.0436✗1.398.7M2022-02-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0254740.025523+0.19%0.023018-9.64%0.0637✗1.0989k2022-02-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.027150.027202+0.19%0.0257-5.34%0.0256✗0.865.0M2022-02-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07290.073039+0.19%0.0692-5.08%0.0130✗1.13194k2022-02-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.0910.091169+0.19%0.0877-3.63%0.0159✓1.51807k2022-02-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.491.4927+0.18%1.37-8.05%0.0412✗1.231.1M2022-02-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05310.053195+0.18%0.0474-10.73%0.0519✗1.7564.3M2022-02-21
QNTQuantEthereum107.71107.8875+0.16%106.88-0.77%0.0271✓1.016.6M2022-02-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.731.7328+0.16%1.57-9.25%0.0504✗1.332.0M2022-02-21
UNIUniswapEthereum9.369.3749+0.16%8.52-8.97%0.0478✗1.3211.4M2022-02-21
XVGVergenative0.009620.009635+0.16%0.00929-3.43%0.0105✓1.301.2M2022-02-21
SOLSolanaSolana90.7890.9211+0.16%82.97-8.60%0.0469✗1.23171.7M2022-02-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39610.396702+0.15%0.3661-7.57%0.0284✗1.431.6M2022-02-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.6323.6658+0.15%21.87-7.45%0.0243✗1.511.8M2022-02-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.82390.825146+0.15%0.7421-9.93%0.0509✗1.52417k2022-02-21
ETHEthereumEthereum2,622.472,626.29+0.15%2,569.00-2.04%0.0184✓1.12581.4M2022-02-21
GITCOINGITCOIN6.5916.6005+0.14%6.04-8.36%0.0751✗0.3835k2022-02-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2315.2485+0.12%13.9-8.73%0.0310✗1.703.0M2022-02-21
SCSiacoinnative0.009120.009131+0.12%0.00847-7.13%0.0379✗1.03504k2022-02-21
DODODODOEthereum0.4710.471566+0.12%0.444-5.73%0.0101✗1.384.5M2022-02-21
UMAUMAEthereum5.365.3663+0.12%4.92-8.21%0.0509✗0.991.8M2022-02-21
ZENHorizenBase34.7534.79+0.11%32.14-7.51%0.0228✗1.56364k2022-02-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.5165.5223+0.11%5.241-4.99%0.0235✗0.8065k2022-02-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.064.0647+0.11%3.73-8.13%0.0414✗1.232.3M2022-02-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039140.039183+0.11%0.03591-8.25%0.0475✗1.1032k2022-02-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.62031.622+0.11%1.6127-0.47%0.0354✓1.1475k2022-02-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7960.796848+0.11%0.739-7.16%0.0258✗1.372.2M2022-02-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.7982.8008+0.10%2.583-7.68%0.0518✗0.81206k2022-02-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.5160.516525+0.10%0.4728-8.37%0.0407✗1.322.3M2022-02-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,389.0338,428.00+0.10%37,023.00-3.56%0.0010✗1.00633.0M2022-02-21
XEMNEMnative0.09880.098897+0.10%0.0927-6.17%0.0282✗1.0138k2022-02-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010780.01079+0.10%0.01004-6.86%0.0154✗1.562.2M2022-02-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.18630.186468+0.09%0.1686-9.50%0.0507✗1.383.2M2022-02-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.30.300258+0.09%0.279-7.00%0.0254✗1.332.2M2022-02-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.036340.036369+0.08%0.03362-7.48%0.0524✗0.721.9M2022-02-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.614.6115+0.08%13.51-7.47%0.0349✗1.2063.5M2022-02-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.552.552+0.08%2.34-8.24%0.0291✗1.5914.5M2022-02-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.7918.8042+0.08%17.63-6.17%0.0086✗1.54350k2022-02-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0280.02802+0.07%0.0263-6.07%0.0103✗1.46499k2022-02-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4541.455+0.07%1.34-7.84%0.0409✗1.142.1M2022-02-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1367140.136808+0.07%0.128094-6.31%0.0294✗1.004.7M2022-02-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.085750.085807+0.07%0.0791-7.76%0.0421✗1.0849k2022-02-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1946470.194774+0.07%0.17816-8.47%0.0516✗1.0421.8M2022-02-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.146.1439+0.06%5.83-5.05%0.0210✗0.87430k2022-02-21
TRXTRONTron0.062010.06205+0.06%0.059472-4.09%0.0122✗0.84307k2022-02-21
XMRMoneroMonero153.87153.9665+0.06%148-3.81%0.0032✗1.001.0M2022-02-21
XVSVenusEthereum8.958.9552+0.06%8.64-3.46%0.0115✓1.313.2M2022-02-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.576.5737+0.06%5.95-9.44%0.0849✗0.411.4M2022-02-21
ZECZcashZcash108.11108.1673+0.05%100.47-7.07%0.0306✗1.197.6M2022-02-21
MANADecentralandEthereum2.69212.6935+0.05%2.4827-7.78%0.0366✗1.243.2M2022-02-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.156070.156147+0.05%0.15154-2.90%0.0218✓1.4330k2022-02-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.75.7026+0.05%5.27-7.54%0.0483✗0.84398k2022-02-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.4684.498+0.04%80.87-4.25%0.0118✗0.891.1M2022-02-21
ADACardanoCardano0.93190.932312+0.04%0.8572-8.02%0.0435✗1.1297.3M2022-02-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.177.1729+0.04%6.72-6.28%0.0580✗0.201.4M2022-02-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash302.87302.9853+0.04%283.16-6.51%0.0323✗0.988.0M2022-02-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.46020.460373+0.04%0.4311-6.32%0.0047✓1.942.0M2022-02-21
LUNATerraTerra 249.3349.3468+0.03%50.13+1.62%0.0658✓1.385.1M2022-02-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.2327.2387+0.03%25-8.19%0.0469✗1.075.2M2022-02-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.240.240076+0.03%0.248+3.33%0.0665✓0.9468k2022-02-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.6975.6988+0.03%5.32-6.62%0.0310✗1.04327k2022-02-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13620.136241+0.03%0.1283-5.80%0.0228✗1.03470k2022-02-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.09294.0941+0.03%3.7534-8.29%0.0439✗1.19327k2022-02-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.25250.25257+0.03%0.2293-9.19%0.0561✗1.12518k2022-02-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7114.714+0.03%13.77-6.39%0.0406✗0.711.8M2022-02-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.2805+0.02%2.17-4.82%0.0127✗1.02299k2022-02-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0192550.019259+0.02%0.018035-6.34%0.0240✗1.152.4M2022-02-21
DASHDashDash98.198.1189+0.02%87.04-11.27%0.0797✗1.111.5M2022-02-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.78590.786033+0.02%0.7113-9.49%0.0594✗1.129.9M2022-02-21
CBKCobakEthereum2.0672.0673+0.02%1.933-6.48%0.0294✗1.0420k2022-02-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5321.5322+0.01%1.384-9.66%0.0501✗1.421.0M2022-02-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.69110.6996+0.01%102.78-7.15%0.0305✗1.2130.0M2022-02-21
UOSUltraEthereum1.11761.1177+0.00%1.1385+1.87%0.0671✓1.342.5M2022-02-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025470.00002547+0.00%0.00002404-5.61%0.0075✗1.393.7M2022-02-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.067540.06754-0.00%0.05994-11.25%0.0912✓0.7884k2022-02-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.9216.9196-0.00%16.19-4.31%0.0044✗1.3431.3M2022-02-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1073.1069-0.00%2.889-7.02%0.0399✓0.91492k2022-02-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06540.065397-0.00%0.0613-6.27%0.0261✓1.0715k2022-02-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.95392.9536-0.01%2.8775-2.59%0.0096✗0.982.5M2022-02-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5708340.570742-0.02%0.519067-9.07%0.0537✓1.143.5M2022-02-21
NANOnanopayBase1.96891.9684-0.02%1.9047-3.26%0.0123✗1.25233k2022-02-21
XYMSymbolnative0.1540.153952-0.03%0.1488-3.38%0.0067✓0.76350k2022-02-21
SUSHISushiEthereum3.633.6286-0.04%3.28-9.64%0.0512✓1.387.2M2022-02-21
MINAMina Protocolnative2.482.479-0.04%2.16-12.90%0.0947✓1.19359k2022-02-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,667.4620,659.16-0.04%19,642.84-4.96%0.0135✓1.026.0M2022-02-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.52.499-0.04%2.321-7.16%0.0279✓1.27845k2022-02-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,642.8038,626.35-0.04%37,080.10-4.04%0.0058✓0.9742k2022-02-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2114.2092-0.04%4.021-4.51%0.0154✓0.84395k2022-02-21
MOVRMoonriverBase74.324274.2859-0.05%68.7997-7.43%0.0220✓1.51281k2022-02-21
XECeCashnative0.000074370.000074331-0.05%0.00006783-8.79%0.0505✓1.134.7M2022-02-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24010.239945-0.06%0.2206-8.12%0.0476✓1.011.9M2022-02-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51190.511553-0.07%0.481-6.04%0.0285✓0.91724k2022-02-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum18.718.6849-0.08%17.77-4.97%0.0079✓1.1723.0M2022-02-21
QTUMQtumQtum6.23266.2273-0.09%5.7431-7.85%0.0278✓1.47172k2022-02-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.0926.0672-0.09%23.83-8.66%0.0509✓1.0757.6M2022-02-21
KCSKuCoinnative18.96218.9447-0.09%18.137-4.35%0.0003✓1.209.8M2022-02-21
BANDBandEthereum4.384.3758-0.10%3.77-13.93%0.1039✓1.251.9M2022-02-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04870.048649-0.10%0.04508-7.43%0.0260✓1.38903k2022-02-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.3977.3063-0.11%70.08-9.45%0.0456✓1.45106.7M2022-02-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum52.152.0406-0.11%47.35-9.12%0.0479✓1.298.7M2022-02-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.013180.013164-0.12%0.012214-7.33%0.0336✓1.1481k2022-02-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07440.074303-0.13%0.0681-8.47%0.0382✓1.351.1M2022-02-21
STXStacksnative1.231.2283-0.13%1.11-9.76%0.0551✓1.28817k2022-02-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.780.778925-0.14%0.72-7.69%0.0073✓1.971.2M2022-02-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.8219.7923-0.14%18.64-5.95%0.0154✓1.2310.5M2022-02-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9327.8881-0.15%26.51-5.08%0.0157✓0.971.4M2022-02-21
XTZTezosTezos3.26243.2575-0.15%2.9731-8.87%0.0450✓1.282.1M2022-02-21
BTTCBTTC0.000001970.000001967-0.15%0.00000194-1.52%0.0224✗1.0014.3M2022-02-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.950.948508-0.16%0.8883-6.49%0.0387✓0.741.5M2022-02-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.779.7544-0.16%9.06-7.27%0.0496✓0.67821k2022-02-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13430.134044-0.19%0.1229-8.49%0.0397✓1.303.3M2022-02-21
FTTFTXEthereum40.8440.7597-0.20%39.81-2.52%0.0186✗1.1627.9M2022-02-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.01762.0124-0.26%1.7569-12.92%0.1173✓0.512.8M2022-02-21
AVTAventusEthereum2.572.563-0.27%2.37-7.78%0.0421✓1.00681k2022-02-21
DIADIAEthereum0.940.937224-0.30%0.91-3.19%0.0068✗1.00277k2022-02-21
ORCAOrcaSolana2.762.7507-0.34%2.62-5.07%0.0124✓1.00696k2022-02-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0512190.051041-0.35%0.050288-1.82%0.0319✗1.297.5M2022-02-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1270.126438-0.44%0.132+3.94%0.0827✗1.0951k2022-02-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.7355.7095-0.44%5.8395+1.82%0.0364✗0.38430k2022-02-21
PROPropyEthereum1.961.9503-0.50%1.99+1.53%0.0856✗1.81690k2022-02-21
FIDABonfidaSolana2.0392.0233-0.77%1.853-9.12%0.0517✓1.0084k2022-02-21
CELLCellframeEthereum1.81411.7999-0.78%1.646-9.27%0.0346✓1.51189k2022-02-21
API3Api3Ethereum6.976.8709-1.42%5.72-17.93%0.1740✓0.262.0M2022-02-21
RADRadworksEthereum7.056.9451-1.49%5.07-28.09%0.2823✓0.89682k2022-02-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.