2022-02-20 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2859

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+26.07%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

64.7%

in alpha space · 39.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+10.39%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02116	0.021953	+3.75%	0.03998	+88.94%	0.4405	✓	1.61	10.9M	2022-03-22
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.7	0.710855	+1.55%	0.722	+3.14%	0.0892	✗	1.06	2.0M	2022-03-22
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.70618	0.714505	+1.18%	0.80946	+14.63%	0.0228	✗	1.49	298k	2022-03-22
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.01	5.0574	+0.95%	6.75	+34.73%	0.2117	✓	0.78	431k	2022-03-22
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	137.55	138.7006	+0.84%	152.91	+11.17%	0.0446	✗	1.44	6.8M	2022-03-22
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.9	0.907133	+0.79%	1.719	+91.00%	0.5129	✓	1.28	878k	2022-03-22
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.65	4.6855	+0.76%	4.5	-3.23%	0.1475	✗	1.08	510k	2022-03-22
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01266	0.012731	+0.56%	0.01287	+1.66%	0.0697	✗	0.82	15k	2022-03-22
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.98	13.0352	+0.43%	16.17	+24.58%	0.1135	✓	1.03	448k	2022-03-22
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00912	0.009158	+0.41%	0.0096	+5.26%	0.0545	✗	1.03	504k	2022-03-22
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	116.98	117.4096	+0.37%	114.7	-1.95%	0.1494	✗	1.27	66k	2022-03-22
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.02	3.0293	+0.31%	4.2393	+40.37%	0.2382	✓	0.99	2.4M	2022-03-22
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.98512	0.987654	+0.26%	1.1249	+14.19%	0.0252	✓	1.06	180k	2022-03-22
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0729	0.073013	+0.15%	0.0759	+4.12%	0.0731	✗	1.13	194k	2022-03-22
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.063	1.0632	+0.02%	1.26	+18.53%	0.0464	✓	1.25	3.0M	2022-03-22
SOL	Solana	Solana	90.78	90.7928	+0.01%	90.48	-0.33%	0.1251	✗	1.23	171.7M	2022-03-22
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02715	0.027152	+0.01%	0.02633	-3.02%	0.1158	✗	0.86	5.0M	2022-03-22
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.36	5.3544	-0.11%	7.622	+42.20%	0.2552	✗	0.99	1.8M	2022-03-22
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.17	7.162	-0.11%	6.67	-6.97%	0.0910	✓	0.20	1.4M	2022-03-22
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1362	0.135921	-0.21%	0.1543	+13.29%	0.0251	✗	1.03	470k	2022-03-22
XEM	NEM	native	0.0988	0.098577	-0.23%	0.1082	+9.51%	0.0066	✓	1.01	38k	2022-03-22
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8239	0.821767	-0.26%	0.8086	-1.86%	0.1667	✓	1.52	417k	2022-03-22
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	138.87	138.4216	-0.32%	158.4	+14.06%	0.0187	✗	1.17	930k	2022-03-22
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8455	0.842703	-0.33%	0.8268	-2.21%	0.1419	✓	1.24	24.6M	2022-03-22
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.2563	6.2278	-0.46%	6.4277	+2.74%	0.0523	✓	0.85	3.5M	2022-03-22
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2213	0.220151	-0.52%	0.218	-1.49%	0.1618	✓	1.54	3.6M	2022-03-22
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.36	9.3104	-0.53%	9.76	+4.27%	0.0832	✓	1.32	11.4M	2022-03-22
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.49	1.4821	-0.53%	1.547	+3.83%	0.0788	✓	1.23	1.1M	2022-03-22
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3917	0.389488	-0.56%	0.4105	+4.80%	0.0852	✓	1.39	8.7M	2022-03-22
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.14	6.1029	-0.60%	6.43	+4.72%	0.0337	✓	0.87	430k	2022-03-22
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03914	0.038901	-0.61%	0.04222	+7.87%	0.0265	✓	1.10	32k	2022-03-22
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.091	0.090373	-0.69%	0.0905	-0.55%	0.1478	✓	1.51	807k	2022-03-22
XVG	Verge	native	0.00962	0.009546	-0.77%	0.00999	+3.85%	0.0827	✓	1.30	1.2M	2022-03-22
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9158	0.908037	-0.85%	0.9224	+0.72%	0.1388	✓	1.56	1.8M	2022-03-22
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.028	0.027747	-0.90%	0.026	-7.14%	0.2098	✓	1.46	499k	2022-03-22
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6203	1.6053	-0.92%	2.188	+35.04%	0.1973	✗	1.14	75k	2022-03-22
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	302.87	299.9939	-0.95%	375.54	+23.99%	0.1280	✗	0.98	8.0M	2022-03-22
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3961	0.392095	-1.01%	0.3622	-8.56%	0.2208	✓	1.43	1.6M	2022-03-22
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.796	0.787729	-1.04%	0.91	+14.32%	0.0090	✓	1.37	2.2M	2022-03-22
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.23	15.0704	-1.05%	17.58	+15.43%	0.0141	✓	1.70	3.0M	2022-03-22
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.025474	0.025194	-1.10%	0.025067	-1.60%	0.1131	✓	1.09	89k	2022-03-22
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.454	1.4376	-1.13%	1.626	+11.83%	0.0100	✓	1.14	2.1M	2022-03-22
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.63	23.36	-1.14%	27.98	+18.41%	0.0314	✗	1.51	1.8M	2022-03-22
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.516	5.4527	-1.15%	5.986	+8.52%	0.0147	✗	0.80	65k	2022-03-22
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.73	1.71	-1.16%	1.93	+11.56%	0.0106	✓	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-22
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.471	0.465298	-1.21%	0.446	-5.31%	0.1792	✓	1.38	4.5M	2022-03-22
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.82	1.7974	-1.24%	2.315	+27.20%	0.1488	✗	1.06	3.2M	2022-03-22
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.95	8.8385	-1.25%	9.38	+4.80%	0.0697	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-03-22
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.06201	0.061235	-1.25%	0.063447	+2.32%	0.0471	✓	0.84	307k	2022-03-22
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.591	6.508	-1.26%	6.962	+5.63%	0.0303	✗	0.38	35k	2022-03-22
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5079	0.501429	-1.27%	0.758	+49.24%	0.2726	✗	1.42	610k	2022-03-22
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.516	0.509316	-1.30%	1.1707	+126.88%	0.7020	✗	1.32	2.3M	2022-03-22
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.798	2.7606	-1.34%	4.168	+48.96%	0.3323	✗	0.81	206k	2022-03-22
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.3	0.295977	-1.34%	0.693	+131.00%	0.7196	✗	1.33	2.2M	2022-03-22
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.7	5.6231	-1.35%	8.37	+46.84%	0.3144	✗	0.84	398k	2022-03-22
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.46	83.2964	-1.38%	91.76	+8.64%	0.0092	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-03-22
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.44	1.4182	-1.51%	1.31	-9.03%	0.2009	✓	1.23	1.2M	2022-03-22
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,642.80	38,045.72	-1.55%	42,512.10	+10.01%	0.0155	✓	0.97	42k	2022-03-22
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	110.69	108.9655	-1.56%	122.81	+10.95%	0.0002	✓	1.21	30.0M	2022-03-22
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	49.33	48.5246	-1.63%	93.09	+88.71%	0.5148	✗	1.38	5.1M	2022-03-22
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.92	16.6318	-1.70%	20.22	+19.50%	0.0630	✗	1.34	31.3M	2022-03-22
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15607	0.153398	-1.71%	0.15608	+0.01%	0.1240	✓	1.43	30k	2022-03-22
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.79	18.4641	-1.73%	20.78	+10.59%	0.0343	✓	1.54	350k	2022-03-22
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.194647	0.191213	-1.76%	0.20689	+6.29%	0.0236	✓	1.04	21.8M	2022-03-22
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	107.71	105.7957	-1.78%	127.12	+18.02%	0.0841	✗	1.01	6.6M	2022-03-22
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3785	0.371764	-1.78%	0.3714	-1.88%	0.1662	✓	1.67	16.9M	2022-03-22
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.75	34.1283	-1.79%	45.47	+30.85%	0.1328	✗	1.56	364k	2022-03-22
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.71	14.441	-1.83%	13.32	-9.45%	0.1510	✓	0.71	1.8M	2022-03-22
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2401	0.235687	-1.84%	0.253	+5.37%	0.0285	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-03-22
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01078	0.01058	-1.86%	0.01179	+9.37%	0.0464	✓	1.56	2.2M	2022-03-22
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1176	1.0964	-1.90%	1.1525	+3.12%	0.0827	✓	1.34	2.5M	2022-03-22
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.019255	0.018888	-1.91%	0.01899	-1.38%	0.1082	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-03-22
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.24	0.235414	-1.91%	0.253	+5.42%	0.0209	✓	0.94	68k	2022-03-22
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.570834	0.559804	-1.93%	0.561881	-1.57%	0.1087	✓	1.14	3.5M	2022-03-22
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.067	2.027	-1.94%	2.255	+9.10%	0.0034	✓	1.04	20k	2022-03-22
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0654	0.064107	-1.98%	0.07627	+16.62%	0.0683	✗	1.07	15k	2022-03-22
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,622.47	2,570.58	-1.98%	2,970.51	+13.27%	0.0342	✗	1.12	581.4M	2022-03-22
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.136714	0.134004	-1.98%	0.122365	-10.50%	0.1902	✓	1.00	4.7M	2022-03-22
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1863	0.182536	-2.02%	0.2091	+12.24%	0.0005	✓	1.38	3.2M	2022-03-22
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.6	14.2905	-2.12%	15.43	+5.68%	0.0418	✓	1.20	63.5M	2022-03-22
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.93	27.3375	-2.12%	29.9	+7.05%	0.0059	✓	0.97	1.4M	2022-03-22
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9689	1.9267	-2.14%	2.2499	+14.27%	0.0318	✗	1.25	233k	2022-03-22
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7859	0.76878	-2.18%	0.7746	-1.44%	0.1030	✓	1.12	9.9M	2022-03-22
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,389.03	37,539.51	-2.21%	42,378.26	+10.39%	0.0224	✓	1.00	633.0M	2022-03-22
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1375	2.0898	-2.23%	2.6489	+23.93%	0.1437	✗	0.94	28k	2022-03-22
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.87	150.3291	-2.30%	193.89	+26.01%	0.1553	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-03-22
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	108.11	105.5946	-2.33%	174.59	+61.49%	0.3849	✗	1.19	7.6M	2022-03-22
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.697	5.563	-2.35%	5.07	-11.01%	0.1959	✓	1.04	327k	2022-03-22
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08575	0.083701	-2.39%	0.09728	+13.45%	0.0431	✗	1.08	49k	2022-03-22
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.211	4.1096	-2.41%	5.543	+31.63%	0.2164	✗	0.84	395k	2022-03-22
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007437	0.000072575	-2.41%	0.00008348	+12.25%	0.0280	✗	1.13	4.7M	2022-03-22
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.28	2.2231	-2.50%	2.44	+7.02%	0.0078	✓	1.02	299k	2022-03-22
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0487	0.047475	-2.52%	0.05567	+14.31%	0.0224	✓	1.38	903k	2022-03-22
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.41	1.3742	-2.54%	1.582	+12.20%	0.0050	✓	1.37	2.2M	2022-03-22
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.828	2.7555	-2.56%	2.762	-2.33%	0.1246	✓	1.28	579k	2022-03-22
DASH	Dash	Dash	98.1	95.5593	-2.59%	130.57	+33.10%	0.2026	✗	1.11	1.5M	2022-03-22
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.57	6.3949	-2.67%	6.98	+6.24%	0.0473	✗	0.41	1.4M	2022-03-22
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002547	0.000024751	-2.82%	0.00002344	-7.97%	0.1916	✓	1.39	3.7M	2022-03-22
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.962	18.4248	-2.83%	18.261	-3.70%	0.1271	✓	1.20	9.8M	2022-03-22
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.48	2.4095	-2.84%	2.15	-13.31%	0.2314	✓	1.19	359k	2022-03-22
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06754	0.065603	-2.87%	0.07561	+11.95%	0.0651	✗	0.78	84k	2022-03-22
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.2326	6.0521	-2.90%	7.6005	+21.95%	0.0829	✗	1.47	172k	2022-03-22
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.55	2.4761	-2.90%	2.268	-11.06%	0.2449	✓	1.59	14.5M	2022-03-22
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.06	3.9411	-2.93%	5.175	+27.46%	0.1508	✗	1.23	2.3M	2022-03-22
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.107	3.016	-2.93%	4.136	+33.12%	0.2263	✗	0.91	492k	2022-03-22
XYM	Symbol	native	0.154	0.149409	-2.98%	0.1371	-10.97%	0.1607	✓	0.76	350k	2022-03-22
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,667.46	20,050.67	-2.98%	20,305.82	-1.75%	0.0882	✓	1.02	6.0M	2022-03-22
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00465	0.004511	-2.99%	0.00429	-7.74%	0.2422	✓	1.94	13.2M	2022-03-22
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.0929	3.967	-3.08%	4.8022	+17.33%	0.0738	✗	1.19	327k	2022-03-22
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9319	0.902722	-3.13%	0.9753	+4.66%	0.0332	✓	1.12	97.3M	2022-03-22
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2525	0.244558	-3.15%	0.31	+22.77%	0.1265	✗	1.12	518k	2022-03-22
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.63	3.5148	-3.17%	3.45	-4.96%	0.1546	✓	1.38	7.2M	2022-03-22
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.23	26.3475	-3.24%	51.65	+89.68%	0.5670	✗	1.07	5.2M	2022-03-22
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.532	1.4817	-3.28%	1.457	-4.90%	0.1575	✓	1.42	1.0M	2022-03-22
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6921	2.603	-3.31%	2.4316	-9.68%	0.1906	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-03-22
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0744	0.071892	-3.37%	0.0724	-2.69%	0.1265	✓	1.35	1.1M	2022-03-22
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	74.3242	71.8061	-3.39%	66.9272	-9.95%	0.2198	✓	1.51	281k	2022-03-22
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1343	0.129745	-3.39%	0.1349	+0.45%	0.0895	✓	1.30	3.3M	2022-03-22
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.77	9.4381	-3.40%	13.41	+37.26%	0.2850	✗	0.67	821k	2022-03-22
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.5	2.415	-3.40%	6.234	+149.36%	0.8229	✗	1.27	845k	2022-03-22
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.39	74.7222	-3.45%	83.98	+8.52%	0.0265	✓	1.45	106.7M	2022-03-22
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.9539	2.851	-3.48%	3.8754	+31.20%	0.2097	✗	0.98	2.5M	2022-03-22
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.78	0.752349	-3.55%	0.67	-14.10%	0.3106	✓	1.97	1.2M	2022-03-22
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.38	4.2176	-3.71%	3.81	-13.01%	0.2248	✓	1.25	1.9M	2022-03-22
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4602	0.442662	-3.81%	0.4064	-11.69%	0.2776	✓	1.94	2.0M	2022-03-22
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.82	19.0315	-3.98%	18.31	-7.62%	0.1602	✓	1.23	10.5M	2022-03-22
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	52.1	49.8826	-4.26%	52.46	+0.69%	0.0767	✓	1.29	8.7M	2022-03-22
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.09	24.9575	-4.34%	28.03	+7.44%	0.0100	✓	1.07	57.6M	2022-03-22
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5119	0.488557	-4.56%	0.5151	+0.63%	0.0372	✓	0.91	724k	2022-03-22
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.2624	3.1134	-4.57%	3.302	+1.21%	0.0675	✓	1.28	2.1M	2022-03-22
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03634	0.034678	-4.57%	0.03923	+7.95%	0.0518	✗	0.72	1.9M	2022-03-22
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.05	6.7204	-4.68%	4.97	-29.50%	0.3901	✓	0.89	682k	2022-03-22
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	18.7	17.8017	-4.80%	18.02	-3.64%	0.1032	✓	1.17	23.0M	2022-03-22
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.84	38.821	-4.94%	45.28	+10.87%	0.0388	✓	1.16	27.9M	2022-03-22
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0531	0.050231	-5.40%	0.0657	+23.73%	0.0955	✗	1.75	64.3M	2022-03-22
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.94	0.88901	-5.42%	0.95	+1.06%	0.0325	✓	1.00	277k	2022-03-22
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000197	0.000001861	-5.53%	0.00000186	-5.58%	0.0994	✓	1.00	14.3M	2022-03-22
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.051219	0.048234	-5.83%	0.040562	-20.81%	0.3008	✓	1.29	7.5M	2022-03-22
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01318	0.012394	-5.96%	0.013307	+0.96%	0.0416	✓	1.14	81k	2022-03-22
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0176	1.8844	-6.60%	3.292	+63.16%	0.5073	✗	0.51	2.8M	2022-03-22
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.735	5.3387	-6.91%	6.1887	+7.91%	0.1097	✗	0.38	430k	2022-03-22
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.57	2.3916	-6.94%	2.21	-14.01%	0.1779	✓	1.00	681k	2022-03-22
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.76	2.5671	-6.99%	2.16	-21.74%	0.2715	✓	1.00	696k	2022-03-22
STX	Stacks	native	1.23	1.1386	-7.43%	1.3	+5.69%	0.0065	✓	1.28	817k	2022-03-22
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.127	0.116984	-7.89%	0.105	-17.32%	0.2162	✓	1.09	51k	2022-03-22
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.95	0.87193	-8.22%	0.78	-17.89%	0.1847	✓	0.74	1.5M	2022-03-22
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.039	1.859	-8.83%	1.793	-12.06%	0.1350	✓	1.00	84k	2022-03-22
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.96	1.7788	-9.24%	1.54	-21.43%	0.3227	✓	1.81	690k	2022-03-22
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.8141	1.6155	-10.95%	1.466	-19.19%	0.2465	✓	1.51	189k	2022-03-22
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.97	6.1176	-12.23%	4.907	-29.60%	0.2459	✓	0.26	2.0M	2022-03-22

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.